← Swindon (all cycles) · 2 May 2024 cohort

Swindon 2024

Local elections held 2 May 2024.

19 ward races

20 seats

8 elected below the proportional quota

40.0% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 19 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 20 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Labour Party	25,574	48.6%	14	70.0%	10	50.0%	+4
Conservative and Unionist Party	18,060	34.3%	6	30.0%	7	35.0%	-1
Liberal Democrats	5,011	9.5%	0	0.0%	2	10.0%	-2
Green Party	2,529	4.8%	0	0.0%	1	5.0%	-1
ND	718	1.4%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	404	0.8%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Reform UK	284	0.5%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	52,580	100.0%	20	100.0%	20	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Wroughton and Wichelstowe · 2 seats · won at 19.5% · +13.8 pts below quota
St. Margaret and South Marston · 1 seat · won at 43.6% · +6.4 pts below quota
St. Andrews · 1 seat · won at 45.2% · +4.8 pts below quota
Blunsdon and Highworth · 1 seat · won at 45.8% · +4.2 pts below quota
Priory Vale · 1 seat · won at 46.1% · +3.9 pts below quota
Covingham and Dorcan · 1 seat · won at 48.5% · +1.5 pts below quota
Penhill and Upper Stratton · 1 seat · won at 49.6% · +0.4 pts below quota
Shaw · 1 seat · won at 50.5% · above quota
Haydon Wick · 1 seat · won at 51.0% · above quota
Lydiard and Freshbrook · 1 seat · won at 52.1% · above quota
Central · 1 seat · won at 53.0% · above quota
Liden Eldene and Park South · 1 seat · won at 53.6% · above quota
Rodbourne Cheney · 1 seat · won at 53.8% · above quota
Ridgeway · 1 seat · won at 55.4% · above quota
Eastcott · 1 seat · won at 61.5% · above quota
Gorse Hill and Pinehurst · 1 seat · won at 62.3% · above quota
Walcot and Park North · 1 seat · won at 64.6% · above quota
Old Town · 1 seat · won at 65.9% · above quota
Mannington and Western · 1 seat · won at 67.2% · above quota

Race results

Wroughton and Wichelstowe · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 19.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +13.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,523

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Courtliff, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,026	22.7%	Elected
2	Cook, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	884	19.5%	Elected
3	Barrett, M.	Liberal Democrats	816	18.0%
4	Pajak, S.	Liberal Democrats	643	14.2%
5	Ahmed, S.	Labour Party	417	9.2%
6	Fairbourn, S.	Green Party	405	9.0%
7	Hamid, A.	Labour Party	332	7.3%

Electorate 6,950 · Ballots cast 4,523 · EC ward code E05008972 · Back to ward index

St. Margaret and South Marston · single-seat

Marginal winner 43.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +6.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,823

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Shelley, S.	Labour Party	1,231	43.6%	Elected
2	Wills, E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,199	42.5%
3	March, E.	Green Party	210	7.4%
4	Comber, L.	Liberal Democrats	183	6.5%

Electorate 9,426 · Ballots cast 2,823 · EC ward code E05008969 · Back to ward index

St. Andrews · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,634

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Adams, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,642	45.2%	Elected
2	Wood, J.	Labour Party	1,490	41.0%
3	March, H.	Green Party	311	8.6%
4	Pajak, D.	Liberal Democrats	191	5.3%

Electorate 12,845 · Ballots cast 3,634 · EC ward code E05008968 · Back to ward index

Blunsdon and Highworth · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,053

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Manro, V.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,399	45.8%	Elected
2	James, I.	Labour Party	1,191	39.0%
3	Day, A.	Green Party	336	11.0%
4	Pajak, H.	Liberal Democrats	127	4.2%

Electorate 9,187 · Ballots cast 3,053 · EC ward code E05010755 · Back to ward index

Priory Vale · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,505

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Edwards, I.	Labour Party	1,156	46.1%	Elected
2	Manro, V.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,076	43.0%
3	Best, P.	Green Party	172	6.9%
4	King, D.	Liberal Democrats	101	4.0%

Electorate 8,676 · Ballots cast 2,505 · EC ward code E05008965 · Back to ward index

Covingham and Dorcan · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,029

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Parry, B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,469	48.5%	Elected
2	Banwell-Moore, R.	Labour Party	1,363	45.0%
3	Kerslake, S.	Liberal Democrats	111	3.7%
4	Hunter, S.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	86	2.8%

Electorate 8,254 · Ballots cast 3,029 · EC ward code E05008956 · Back to ward index

Penhill and Upper Stratton · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,228

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Smith, T.	Labour Party	1,106	49.6%	Elected
2	Ibitoye, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	878	39.4%
3	Horrobin, M.	Liberal Democrats	244	11.0%

Electorate 9,006 · Ballots cast 2,228 · EC ward code E05010757 · Back to ward index

Shaw · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.5 pts Valid ballots 2,784

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Llewellyn, R.	Labour Party	1,405	50.5%	Elected
2	Williams, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,131	40.6%
3	McCormick, Z.	Liberal Democrats	248	8.9%

Electorate 8,009 · Ballots cast 2,784 · EC ward code E05008970 · Back to ward index

Haydon Wick · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.0 pts Valid ballots 2,666

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Ballman, R.	Labour Party	1,359	51.0%	Elected
2	Patrick-Okoh, B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,050	39.4%
3	King, G.	Liberal Democrats	257	9.6%

Electorate 8,726 · Ballots cast 2,666 · EC ward code E05010756 · Back to ward index

Lydiard and Freshbrook · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.1 pts Valid ballots 2,520

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Grother, L.	Labour Party	1,312	52.1%	Elected
2	Sydney-Smith, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	898	35.6%
3	Shepherd, C.	Liberal Democrats	208	8.3%
4	Pettefar, R.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	102	4.0%

Electorate 8,053 · Ballots cast 2,520 · EC ward code E05008961 · Back to ward index

Central · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.0 pts Valid ballots 3,992

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Dias, D.	Labour Party	2,117	53.0%	Elected
2	Fernandes, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	838	21.0%
3	Fernandes, V.	ND	718	18.0%
4	Sarnowski, M.	Liberal Democrats	195	4.9%
5	Quate, M.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	124	3.1%

Electorate 10,158 · Ballots cast 3,992 · EC ward code E05008954 · Back to ward index

Liden Eldene and Park South · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.6 pts Valid ballots 2,441

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Le Coyte-Grinney, M.	Labour Party	1,308	53.6%	Elected
2	Stephen, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	662	27.1%
3	Wheeler, B.	Reform UK	284	11.6%
4	Salmon, M.	Liberal Democrats	187	7.7%

Electorate 8,030 · Ballots cast 2,441 · EC ward code E05008960 · Back to ward index

Rodbourne Cheney · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.8 pts Valid ballots 2,639

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Fernandes, A.	Labour Party	1,420	53.8%	Elected
2	Nukana, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	870	33.0%
3	Hebden, R.	Green Party	231	8.8%
4	Skinner, C.	Liberal Democrats	118	4.5%

Electorate 9,257 · Ballots cast 2,639 · EC ward code E05008967 · Back to ward index

Ridgeway · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.4 pts Valid ballots 1,036

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Sumner, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	574	55.4%	Elected
2	Mearns, L.	Liberal Democrats	246	23.7%
3	Allsop, S.	Labour Party	216	20.8%

Electorate 2,763 · Ballots cast 1,036 · EC ward code E05008966 · Back to ward index

Eastcott · single-seat

Marginal winner 61.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −11.5 pts Valid ballots 2,795

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Strinkovsky, M.	Labour Party	1,719	61.5%	Elected
2	Robson, T.	Liberal Democrats	455	16.3%
3	Anupindi, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	388	13.9%
4	Noyce, C.	Green Party	233	8.3%

Electorate 7,973 · Ballots cast 2,795 · EC ward code E05008957 · Back to ward index

Gorse Hill and Pinehurst · single-seat

Marginal winner 62.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −12.3 pts Valid ballots 2,653

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Fernandes, P.	Labour Party	1,652	62.3%	Elected
2	Adekoya, N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	530	20.0%
3	Bentley, A.	Green Party	290	10.9%
4	Taylor, G.	Liberal Democrats	133	5.0%
5	Harris, H.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	48	1.8%

Electorate 9,285 · Ballots cast 2,653 · EC ward code E05008958 · Back to ward index

Walcot and Park North · single-seat

Marginal winner 64.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −14.6 pts Valid ballots 2,382

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Miah, M.	Labour Party	1,539	64.6%	Elected
2	Bell, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	496	20.8%
3	Dickinson, M.	Liberal Democrats	187	7.9%
4	Lodwick, I.	Green Party	160	6.7%

Electorate 8,842 · Ballots cast 2,382 · EC ward code E05008971 · Back to ward index

Old Town · single-seat

Marginal winner 65.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −15.9 pts Valid ballots 2,841

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Milner-Barry, J.	Labour Party	1,873	65.9%	Elected
2	Solomon, B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	586	20.6%
3	Hughes, B.	Green Party	181	6.4%
4	Wiltshire, M.	Liberal Democrats	157	5.5%
5	Bowie, D.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	44	1.5%

Electorate 8,136 · Ballots cast 2,841 · EC ward code E05008963 · Back to ward index

Mannington and Western · single-seat

Marginal winner 67.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −17.2 pts Valid ballots 2,036

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Small, K.	Labour Party	1,368	67.2%	Elected
2	Singh, N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	464	22.8%
3	McCormick, F.	Liberal Democrats	204	10.0%

Electorate 7,544 · Ballots cast 2,036 · EC ward code E05008962 · Back to ward index