← Tandridge (all cycles) · 6 May 2021 cohort

Tandridge 2021

Local elections held 6 May 2021.

20 ward races
22 seats
13 elected below the proportional quota
59.1% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 20 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 22 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party20,58041.7%1150.0%1045.5%+1
Liberal Democrats11,86424.0%522.7%522.7%0
Independent8,26716.7%418.2%418.2%0
Labour Party4,5429.2%00.0%29.1%-2
RES2,8275.7%29.1%14.5%+1
Green Party9481.9%00.0%00.0%0
ND2600.5%00.0%00.0%0
UK Independence Party (UKIP)1050.2%00.0%00.0%0
Total49,393100.0%22100.0%22100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Godstone · single-seat

Marginal winner 39.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +10.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,880

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Farr C.Independent1,52239.2%Elected
2Webster E.M.Conservative and Unionist Party1,31233.8%
3Redman M.L.Liberal Democrats41210.6%
4Finch S.J.Green Party3829.8%
5Baharier L.R.Labour Party2526.5%

Electorate 9,717 · Ballots cast 3,880 · EC ward code E58001492 · Back to ward index

Westway · single-seat

Marginal winner 40.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +9.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,220

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1O'Driscoll T.D.S.Conservative and Unionist Party49140.2%Elected
2Rujbally H.M.Liberal Democrats47639.0%
3Clements R.B.Labour Party18615.2%
4Windsor H.M.Independent675.5%

Electorate 3,510 · Ballots cast 1,220 · EC ward code E05007406 · Back to ward index

Harestone · single-seat

Marginal winner 40.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +9.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,439

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Cooper M.J.W.Conservative and Unionist Party58140.4%Elected
2Evans A.Liberal Democrats55738.7%
3Heaton C.E.Independent18713.0%
4Mills A.C.Labour Party1147.9%

Electorate 3,263 · Ballots cast 1,439 · EC ward code E05007395 · Back to ward index

Burstow Horne & Outwood · single-seat

Marginal winner 40.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +9.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,697

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Gillman M.Independent69140.7%Elected
2Fitzgerald H.J.Conservative and Unionist Party66739.3%
3Wilkinson J.Liberal Democrats1277.5%
4Moss A.J.Labour Party1076.3%
5Baart J.J.C.Green Party1056.2%

Electorate 4,872 · Ballots cast 1,697 · EC ward code E05007410 · Back to ward index

Queens Park · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 25.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +8.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,230

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Groves M.P.Conservative and Unionist Party57525.8%Elected
2Duck G.Conservative and Unionist Party56125.2%Elected
3Robinson V.Liberal Democrats49622.2%
4Rujbally J.Liberal Democrats37616.9%
5Stewart R.I.K.Labour Party1265.7%
6Vince R.L.Labour Party964.3%

Electorate 2,958 · Ballots cast 2,230 · EC ward code E05007401 · Back to ward index

Bletchingley & Nutfield · single-seat

Marginal winner 43.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +6.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,882

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Hammond L.G.F.Conservative and Unionist Party81543.3%Elected
2Pinard C.Independent60632.2%
3Fowler R.B.Liberal Democrats30316.1%
4Baharier L.R.Labour Party1588.4%

Electorate 4,519 · Ballots cast 1,882 · EC ward code E05007409 · Back to ward index

Caterham Hill · single-seat

Marginal winner 43.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +6.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,384

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Webster J.Conservative and Unionist Party1,91343.6%Elected
2Botten C.Liberal Democrats1,81941.5%
3Clements R.B.Labour Party4349.9%
4Windsor H.M.Independent2185.0%

Electorate 11,380 · Ballots cast 4,384 · EC ward code E58001469 · Back to ward index

Valley · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 28.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +4.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,102

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Gaffney J.Liberal Democrats64530.7%Elected
2Jones A.A.Liberal Democrats60628.8%Elected
3Emmanuel V.Conservative and Unionist Party27112.9%
4Knight D.Conservative and Unionist Party26312.5%
5Lessey C.Labour Party994.7%
6Chuter W.R.Labour Party813.9%
7Roberts P.R.A.Independent783.7%
8Bolter J.W.ND592.8%

Electorate 3,249 · Ballots cast 2,102 · EC ward code E05007403 · Back to ward index

Caterham Valley · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,688

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Gray J.M.Liberal Democrats1,75147.5%Elected
2Cooper M.J.W.Conservative and Unionist Party1,34836.6%
3Lessey C.Labour Party38810.5%
4Bolter J.W.ND2015.5%

Electorate 9,809 · Ballots cast 3,688 · EC ward code E58001470 · Back to ward index

Whyteleafe · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,093

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Lee D.J.Liberal Democrats52247.8%Elected
2Bradbury S.Conservative and Unionist Party41838.2%
3Kamara F.Labour Party15314.0%

Electorate 3,281 · Ballots cast 1,093 · EC ward code E05007407 · Back to ward index

Lingfield · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,783

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Steeds L.S.Conservative and Unionist Party2,35249.2%Elected
2Lockwood L.Independent1,16824.4%
3Peterson B.Green Party4619.6%
4Wilkes D.Liberal Democrats3828.0%
5Moss A.J.Labour Party3156.6%
6Searle J.F.UK Independence Party (UKIP)1052.2%

Electorate 12,602 · Ballots cast 4,783 · EC ward code E58001511 · Back to ward index

Oxted South · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.4 pts Valid ballots 2,078

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Shiner D.RES1,04850.4%Elected
2Parker L.Conservative and Unionist Party70934.1%
3Kerr S.J.Labour Party24311.7%
4Caxton M.Liberal Democrats783.8%

Electorate 4,854 · Ballots cast 2,078 · EC ward code E05007399 · Back to ward index

Oxted · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.7 pts Valid ballots 5,627

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1McIntosh C.R.I.Conservative and Unionist Party2,90751.7%Elected
2Dean C.C.Independent1,10619.7%
3Kerr S.J.Labour Party97617.3%
4Chotai P.Liberal Democrats63811.3%

Electorate 12,336 · Ballots cast 5,627 · EC ward code E58001515 · Back to ward index

Portley · single-seat

Marginal winner 54.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −4.8 pts Valid ballots 1,245

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Botten C.Liberal Democrats68254.8%Elected
2Grasso M.R.Conservative and Unionist Party45836.8%
3Giddings I.Labour Party1058.4%

Electorate 3,438 · Ballots cast 1,245 · EC ward code E05007400 · Back to ward index

Warlingham · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.2 pts Valid ballots 4,281

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Rush B.Conservative and Unionist Party2,49258.2%Elected
2Caulcott C.A.Liberal Democrats1,21728.4%
3Haley M.A.Independent3377.9%
4Manning N.C.Labour Party2355.5%

Electorate 10,480 · Ballots cast 4,281 · EC ward code E58001530 · Back to ward index

Warlingham East & Chelsham & Farleigh · single-seat

Marginal winner 59.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −9.4 pts Valid ballots 1,780

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Pursehouse J.Independent1,05759.4%Elected
2Adams N.Conservative and Unionist Party46726.2%
3Wilson M.E.Labour Party1307.3%
4Haley M.A.Independent1267.1%

Electorate 4,408 · Ballots cast 1,780 · EC ward code E05007404 · Back to ward index

Warlingham West · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.7 pts Valid ballots 1,197

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Prew K.Conservative and Unionist Party72660.7%Elected
2Cooper N.S.Liberal Democrats40533.8%
3Manning D.J.Labour Party665.5%

Electorate 2,860 · Ballots cast 1,197 · EC ward code E05007405 · Back to ward index

Godstone · single-seat

Marginal winner 61.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −11.5 pts Valid ballots 1,795

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Crane M.Independent1,10461.5%Elected
2Blake-Thomas E.R.Conservative and Unionist Party45125.1%
3Wantling B.A.Labour Party1206.7%
4Redman M.L.Liberal Democrats1206.7%

Electorate 4,570 · Ballots cast 1,795 · EC ward code E05007394 · Back to ward index

Woldingham · single-seat

Marginal winner 69.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −19.5 pts Valid ballots 689

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1North C.L.Conservative and Unionist Party47969.5%Elected
2Farrar-Wilson A.H.Liberal Democrats13319.3%
3Manning N.C.Labour Party7711.2%

Electorate 1,584 · Ballots cast 689 · EC ward code E05007408 · Back to ward index

Oxted North & Tandridge · single-seat

Marginal winner 77.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −27.2 pts Valid ballots 2,303

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Wren J.RES1,77977.2%Elected
2Standen A.Conservative and Unionist Party32414.1%
3McCann R.J.Liberal Democrats1195.2%
4Wheale J.P.Labour Party813.5%

Electorate 4,529 · Ballots cast 2,303 · EC ward code E05007398 · Back to ward index