← Three Rivers (all cycles) · 3 May 2018 cohort
Three Rivers 2018
Local elections held 3 May 2018.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 13 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 13 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 9,559 | 40.1% | 4 | 30.8% | 6 | 46.2% | -2 |
| Liberal Democrats | 8,905 | 37.4% | 8 | 61.5% | 5 | 38.5% | +3 |
| Labour Party | 3,798 | 15.9% | 1 | 7.7% | 2 | 15.4% | -1 |
| Green Party | 943 | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 499 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 116 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 23,820 | 100.0% | 13 | 100.0% | 13 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2018 election (current) and immediately before it (2017). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2018 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Oxhey Hall and Hayling · 1 seat · won at 44.3% · −5.7 pts below quota
- Penn and Mill End · 1 seat · won at 48.4% · −1.6 pts below quota
- Dickinsons · 1 seat · won at 48.9% · −1.1 pts below quota
- Chorleywood South and Maple Cross · 1 seat · won at 50.2% · above quota
- Leavesden · 1 seat · won at 53.9% · above quota
- Gade Valley · 1 seat · won at 54.5% · above quota
- Durrants · 1 seat · won at 56.9% · above quota
- Abbots Langley and Bedmond · 1 seat · won at 57.2% · above quota
- Rickmansworth Town · 1 seat · won at 57.8% · above quota
- Carpenders Park · 1 seat · won at 61.8% · above quota
- South Oxhey · 1 seat · won at 62.6% · above quota
- Chorleywood North and Sarratt · 1 seat · won at 74.1% · above quota
- Moor Park and Eastbury · 1 seat · won at 77.1% · above quota
Race results
Oxhey Hall and Hayling · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 44.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −5.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,805
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alison Scarth | Liberal Democrats | 800 | 44.3% | −5.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Andy Milner | Conservative Party | 463 | 25.7% | — | |
| 3 | Chris Green | Labour Party | 433 | 24.0% | — | |
| 4 | Michael Matthewson | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 67 | 3.7% | — | |
| 5 | Matt Jones | Green Party | 42 | 2.3% | — |
Penn and Mill End · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,770
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sarah Nelmes | Liberal Democrats | 857 | 48.4% | −1.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Nayesh Radia | Conservative Party | 618 | 34.9% | — | |
| 3 | Martin Waldron | Labour Party | 185 | 10.5% | — | |
| 4 | Peter Loader | Green Party | 110 | 6.2% | — |
Dickinsons · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,978
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Margaret Hofman | Liberal Democrats | 967 | 48.9% | −1.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David Redman | Conservative Party | 678 | 34.3% | — | |
| 3 | Jeni Swift Gillette | Labour Party | 290 | 14.7% | — | |
| 4 | Tracey Smart | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 43 | 2.2% | — |
Chorleywood South and Maple Cross · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,288
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Martin Trevett | Liberal Democrats | 1,149 | 50.2% | +0.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Colin Payne | Conservative Party | 842 | 36.8% | — | |
| 3 | Jack Hazlewood | Labour Party | 157 | 6.9% | — | |
| 4 | Roger Stafford | Green Party | 140 | 6.1% | — |
Leavesden · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 53.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +3.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,771
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alex Turner | Liberal Democrats | 954 | 53.9% | +3.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Hitesh Tailor | Conservative Party | 356 | 20.1% | — | |
| 3 | Marie-Louise Nolan | Labour Party | 283 | 16.0% | — | |
| 4 | Martin Brooks | Independent | 116 | 6.5% | — | |
| 5 | David Bennett | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 62 | 3.5% | — |
Gade Valley · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,533
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jon Tankard | Liberal Democrats | 835 | 54.5% | +4.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Dee Ward | Conservative Party | 372 | 24.3% | — | |
| 3 | Bruce Prochnik | Labour Party | 261 | 17.0% | — | |
| 4 | Emma Brading | Green Party | 65 | 4.2% | — |
Durrants · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 56.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +6.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,814
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steve Drury | Liberal Democrats | 1,033 | 56.9% | +6.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David Woodford | Conservative Party | 411 | 22.7% | — | |
| 3 | John Grillo | Labour Party | 225 | 12.4% | — | |
| 4 | Matthew Pashby | Green Party | 102 | 5.6% | — | |
| 5 | Tony Speechly | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 43 | 2.4% | — |
Abbots Langley and Bedmond · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,915
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sara Bedford | Liberal Democrats | 1,096 | 57.2% | +7.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Andrew O'Brien | Conservative Party | 456 | 23.8% | — | |
| 3 | Joanne Cox | Labour Party | 237 | 12.4% | — | |
| 4 | Bobbie Curran | Green Party | 67 | 3.5% | — | |
| 5 | John Appleford | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 59 | 3.1% | — |
Rickmansworth Town · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,398
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paula Hiscocks | Conservative Party | 1,386 | 57.8% | +7.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Tom Pashby | Green Party | 395 | 16.5% | — | |
| 3 | Pat Howell | Liberal Democrats | 333 | 13.9% | — | |
| 4 | Andrew Gallagher | Labour Party | 233 | 9.7% | — | |
| 5 | Mark Massyn | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 51 | 2.1% | — |
Carpenders Park · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 61.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,850
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donna Duncan | Conservative Party | 1,144 | 61.8% | +11.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mandy Shumake | Labour Party | 397 | 21.5% | — | |
| 3 | Pam Hames | Liberal Democrats | 309 | 16.7% | — |
South Oxhey · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 62.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +12.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,298
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephen King | Labour Party | 812 | 62.6% | +12.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Elizabeth Willetts | Conservative Party | 269 | 20.7% | — | |
| 3 | Yessica Gould | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 135 | 10.4% | — | |
| 4 | Robert Johnston | Liberal Democrats | 60 | 4.6% | — | |
| 5 | Mary Chabrel | Green Party | 22 | 1.7% | — |
Chorleywood North and Sarratt · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 74.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +24.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,944
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alex Hayward | Conservative Party | 1,441 | 74.1% | +24.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Frank Mahon-Daly | Liberal Democrats | 320 | 16.5% | — | |
| 3 | Margaret Gallagher | Labour Party | 144 | 7.4% | — | |
| 4 | Hazel Day | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 39 | 2.0% | — |
Moor Park and Eastbury · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 77.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +27.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,456
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jo Clemens | Conservative Party | 1,123 | 77.1% | +27.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jeremy Asquith | Liberal Democrats | 192 | 13.2% | — | |
| 3 | Sonia Adesara | Labour Party | 141 | 9.7% | — |