← Three Rivers (all cycles) · 7 May 2026 cohort
Three Rivers 2026
Local elections held 7 May 2026.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 13 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 13 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 9,783 | 31.6% | 7 | 53.8% | 4 | 30.8% | +3 |
| Liberal Democrats | 7,951 | 25.7% | 5 | 38.5% | 4 | 30.8% | +1 |
| Reform UK | 6,719 | 21.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 23.1% | -3 |
| Green Party | 3,981 | 12.9% | 1 | 7.7% | 2 | 15.4% | -1 |
| Labour Party | 1,813 | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 650 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 19 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 30,916 | 100.0% | 13 | 100.0% | 13 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2026 election (current) and immediately before it (2025). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2026 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Gade Valley · 1 seat · won at 32.8% · −17.2 pts below quota
- South Oxhey · 1 seat · won at 35.2% · −14.8 pts below quota
- Oxhey Hall and Hayling · 1 seat · won at 36.8% · −13.2 pts below quota
- Chorleywood South and Maple Cross · 1 seat · won at 37.1% · −12.9 pts below quota
- Penn and Mill End · 1 seat · won at 37.5% · −12.5 pts below quota
- Abbots Langley and Bedmond · 1 seat · won at 38.2% · −11.8 pts below quota
- Carpenders Park · 1 seat · won at 38.3% · −11.7 pts below quota
- Leavesden · 1 seat · won at 40.5% · −9.5 pts below quota
- Chorleywood North and Sarratt · 1 seat · won at 47.2% · −2.8 pts below quota
- Rickmansworth Town · 1 seat · won at 49.5% · −0.5 pts below quota
- Dickinsons · 1 seat · won at 50.8% · above quota
- Durrants · 1 seat · won at 52.4% · above quota
- Moor Park and Eastbury · 1 seat · won at 58.0% · above quota
Race results
Gade Valley · single-seat
Marginal winner 32.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −17.2 pts Valid ballots 2,183
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Below quota | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aidan Christopher Bentley | Liberal Democrats | 716 | 32.8% | −17.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jo Colledge-Miller | Conservative Party | 697 | 31.9% | — | |
| 3 | Sachin Dhir | Reform UK | 508 | 23.3% | — | |
| 4 | Andrew Gallagher | Green Party | 162 | 7.4% | — | |
| 5 | Bruce Prochnik | Labour Party | 100 | 4.6% | — |
South Oxhey · single-seat
Marginal winner 35.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −14.8 pts Valid ballots 2,258
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Below quota | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kavan Trivedi | Conservative Party | 795 | 35.2% | −14.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Taylor Edward George Smith | Reform UK | 712 | 31.5% | — | |
| 3 | Stephen Michael James King | Labour Party | 465 | 20.6% | — | |
| 4 | Chris Lawrence | Green Party | 201 | 8.9% | — | |
| 5 | Rhys leuan Southall | Liberal Democrats | 85 | 3.8% | — |
Oxhey Hall and Hayling · single-seat
Marginal winner 36.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −13.2 pts Valid ballots 2,355
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Below quota | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shelley Gormley | Liberal Democrats | 866 | 36.8% | −13.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Alex James Trainor | Reform UK | 746 | 31.7% | — | |
| 3 | Jason St John | Labour Party | 396 | 16.8% | — | |
| 4 | Noah Yeates | Green Party | 201 | 8.5% | — | |
| 5 | Vishal Patel | Conservative Party | 146 | 6.2% | — |
Chorleywood South and Maple Cross · single-seat
Marginal winner 37.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −12.9 pts Valid ballots 2,693
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Below quota | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Louise Price | Liberal Democrats | 1,000 | 37.1% | −12.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Philip Hearn | Conservative Party | 857 | 31.8% | — | |
| 3 | Natalie Johnson | Reform UK | 511 | 19.0% | — | |
| 4 | Roger Stafford | Green Party | 258 | 9.6% | — | |
| 5 | John Monk | Labour Party | 67 | 2.5% | — |
Penn and Mill End · single-seat
Marginal winner 37.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −12.5 pts Valid ballots 2,379
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Below quota | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kerry Milliken | Conservative Party | 892 | 37.5% | −12.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Dane Bradley Clarke | Reform UK | 623 | 26.2% | — | |
| 3 | Sarah Jane Nelmes | Liberal Democrats | 574 | 24.1% | — | |
| 4 | Malcolm Lee | Green Party | 204 | 8.6% | — | |
| 5 | Joanne Victoria Cox | Labour Party | 86 | 3.6% | — |
Abbots Langley and Bedmond · single-seat
Marginal winner 38.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −11.8 pts Valid ballots 2,421
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Below quota | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ian Campbell | Conservative Party | 926 | 38.2% | −11.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jane Lay | Liberal Democrats | 753 | 31.1% | — | |
| 3 | Kodi-Chantal Lloyd | Reform UK | 436 | 18.0% | — | |
| 4 | Jane Powell | Green Party | 226 | 9.3% | — | |
| 5 | Pierce Culliton | Labour Party | 80 | 3.3% | — |
Carpenders Park · single-seat
Marginal winner 38.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −11.7 pts Valid ballots 2,535
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Below quota | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krutika Patel | Conservative Party | 970 | 38.3% | −11.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Rue Grewal | Independent | 650 | 25.6% | — | |
| 3 | Martin Thomas | Reform UK | 572 | 22.6% | — | |
| 4 | Matt Jones | Green Party | 187 | 7.4% | — | |
| 5 | Don Wilkinson | Labour Party | 156 | 6.2% | — |
Leavesden · single-seat
Marginal winner 40.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −9.5 pts Valid ballots 2,190
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Below quota | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kevin Raeburn | Liberal Democrats | 888 | 40.5% | −9.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Nicky Rowe | Reform UK | 538 | 24.6% | — | |
| 3 | Anne Jervis | Conservative Party | 438 | 20.0% | — | |
| 4 | Michael John Rayment | Green Party | 193 | 8.8% | — | |
| 5 | Colin James Gray | Labour Party | 114 | 5.2% | — | |
| 6 | Richard Shattock | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 19 | 0.9% | — |
Chorleywood North and Sarratt · single-seat
Marginal winner 47.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −2.8 pts Valid ballots 2,551
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Below quota | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matthew Hunt | Conservative Party | 1,203 | 47.2% | −2.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Caroline Margaret Ansell | Reform UK | 576 | 22.6% | — | |
| 3 | Mohinder Kalsi | Liberal Democrats | 481 | 18.9% | — | |
| 4 | Peter Loader | Green Party | 199 | 7.8% | — | |
| 5 | Margaret Gallagher | Labour Party | 92 | 3.6% | — |
Rickmansworth Town · single-seat
Marginal winner 49.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −0.5 pts Valid ballots 2,787
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Below quota | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrea Fraser | Conservative Party | 1,380 | 49.5% | −0.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Katy Sorkin | Liberal Democrats | 667 | 23.9% | — | |
| 3 | Melvyn Paul Clifford | Reform UK | 373 | 13.4% | — | |
| 4 | Kelly Critcher | Green Party | 282 | 10.1% | — | |
| 5 | Philip Lockett | Labour Party | 85 | 3.0% | — |
Dickinsons · single-seat
Marginal winner 50.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota +0.8 pts Valid ballots 2,428
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Below quota | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Mitchell | Green Party | 1,234 | 50.8% | +0.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Atif Wasay | Liberal Democrats | 455 | 18.7% | — | |
| 3 | Alison Wall | Reform UK | 445 | 18.3% | — | |
| 4 | Rupert Barnes | Conservative Party | 235 | 9.7% | — | |
| 5 | Jeni Swift Gillett | Labour Party | 59 | 2.4% | — |
Durrants · single-seat
Marginal winner 52.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota +2.4 pts Valid ballots 2,369
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Below quota | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steve Drury | Liberal Democrats | 1,242 | 52.4% | +2.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Andy Delius | Green Party | 441 | 18.6% | — | |
| 3 | Dominic Milner Evans | Reform UK | 417 | 17.6% | — | |
| 4 | Neil Marathe | Conservative Party | 219 | 9.2% | — | |
| 5 | John Grillo | Labour Party | 50 | 2.1% | — |
Moor Park and Eastbury · single-seat
Marginal winner 58.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota +8.0 pts Valid ballots 1,767
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Below quota | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anaika Chopra | Conservative Party | 1,025 | 58.0% | +8.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Shailja Shah | Reform UK | 262 | 14.8% | — | |
| 3 | Peter Terence Harman | Liberal Democrats | 224 | 12.7% | — | |
| 4 | Jan Blatchford Pace | Green Party | 193 | 10.9% | — | |
| 5 | Mashkoor Khan | Labour Party | 63 | 3.6% | — |