← Thurrock (all cycles) · 6 May 2021 cohort

Thurrock 2021

Local elections held 6 May 2021.

17 ward races

17 seats

4 elected below the proportional quota

23.5% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 17 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 17 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party	15,533	53.2%	13	76.5%	10	58.8%	+3
Labour Party	9,704	33.2%	4	23.5%	6	35.3%	-2
THIND	2,435	8.3%	0	0.0%	1	5.9%	-1
Independent	1,086	3.7%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Green Party	301	1.0%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Reform UK	140	0.5%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	29,199	100.0%	17	100.0%	17	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

East Tilbury · 1 seat · won at 42.8% · +7.2 pts below quota
Belhus · 1 seat · won at 44.8% · +5.2 pts below quota
Chadwell St. Mary · 1 seat · won at 45.4% · +4.6 pts below quota
Tilbury St. Chads · 1 seat · won at 46.2% · +3.8 pts below quota
Stanford-Le-Hope West · 1 seat · won at 50.4% · above quota
Grays Riverside · 1 seat · won at 51.3% · above quota
Little Thurrock Blackshots · 1 seat · won at 51.8% · above quota
South Chafford · 1 seat · won at 53.0% · above quota
West Thurrock & South Stifford · 1 seat · won at 55.1% · above quota
Ockendon · 1 seat · won at 55.2% · above quota
Grays Thurrock · 1 seat · won at 57.4% · above quota
The Homesteads · 1 seat · won at 59.9% · above quota
Stanford East & Corringham Town · 1 seat · won at 61.2% · above quota
Aveley & Uplands · 1 seat · won at 66.3% · above quota
Chafford & North Stifford · 1 seat · won at 69.1% · above quota
Corringham & Fobbing · 1 seat · won at 70.3% · above quota
Orsett · 1 seat · won at 80.6% · above quota

Race results

East Tilbury · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,494

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Sammons S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	639	42.8%	Elected
2	Speight N.	Independent	605	40.5%
3	Dobson J.	Labour Party	250	16.7%

Electorate 5,293 · Ballots cast 1,494 · EC ward code E05002234 · Back to ward index

Belhus · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,711

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Polley G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	767	44.8%	Elected
2	Hoque A.	Labour Party	577	33.7%
3	Hamilton G.L.	THIND	367	21.4%

Electorate 7,310 · Ballots cast 1,711 · EC ward code E05002230 · Back to ward index

Chadwell St. Mary · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,960

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Carter A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	889	45.4%	Elected
2	Morris C.A.G.	Labour Party	771	39.3%
3	Cherry R.P.	THIND	300	15.3%

Electorate 7,277 · Ballots cast 1,960 · EC ward code E05002231 · Back to ward index

Tilbury St. Chads · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,036

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Raper K.	Labour Party	479	46.2%	Elected
2	Allen J.A.	Independent	364	35.1%
3	Kaley J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	193	18.6%

Electorate 4,415 · Ballots cast 1,036 · EC ward code E05002247 · Back to ward index

Stanford-Le-Hope West · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.4 pts Valid ballots 1,555

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Piccolo T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	784	50.4%	Elected
2	Byrne R.J.	THIND	371	23.9%
3	Strange L.J.	Labour Party	342	22.0%
4	Braun D.P.	Reform UK	58	3.7%

Electorate 5,485 · Ballots cast 1,555 · EC ward code E05002243 · Back to ward index

Grays Riverside · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.3 pts Valid ballots 1,789

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Fish T.	Labour Party	917	51.3%	Elected
2	Adewa-Faboro T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	638	35.7%
3	Fallows D.D.	Green Party	234	13.1%

Electorate 8,368 · Ballots cast 1,789 · EC ward code E05002235 · Back to ward index

Little Thurrock Blackshots · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.8 pts Valid ballots 1,696

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Redsell J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	879	51.8%	Elected
2	Smith O.M.	THIND	398	23.5%
3	Sugrue M.J.F.	Labour Party	352	20.8%
4	Singh M.	Green Party	67	4.0%

Electorate 5,187 · Ballots cast 1,696 · EC ward code E05002237 · Back to ward index

South Chafford · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.0 pts Valid ballots 1,269

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Ononaji A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	672	53.0%	Elected
2	Holloway C.J.	Labour Party	597	47.0%

Electorate 5,093 · Ballots cast 1,269 · EC ward code E05002241 · Back to ward index

West Thurrock & South Stifford · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.1 pts Valid ballots 1,821

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Watson L.	Labour Party	1,004	55.1%	Elected
2	Seeger B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	817	44.9%

Electorate 8,606 · Ballots cast 1,821 · EC ward code E05002248 · Back to ward index

Ockendon · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.2 pts Valid ballots 2,198

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Spillman L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,213	55.2%	Elected
2	Clapham R.E.	Labour Party	733	33.3%
3	Kelley M.	THIND	252	11.5%

Electorate 8,205 · Ballots cast 2,198 · EC ward code E05002239 · Back to ward index

Grays Thurrock · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.4 pts Valid ballots 1,968

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Kent J.G.	Labour Party	1,130	57.4%	Elected
2	Corcoran S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	838	42.6%

Electorate 6,742 · Ballots cast 1,968 · EC ward code E05002236 · Back to ward index

The Homesteads · single-seat

Marginal winner 59.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −9.9 pts Valid ballots 2,382

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Collins G.A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,426	59.9%	Elected
2	Hurrell M.W.	Labour Party	445	18.7%
3	Fox J.R.	THIND	429	18.0%
4	Poskitt B.	Reform UK	82	3.4%

Electorate 6,475 · Ballots cast 2,382 · EC ward code E05002245 · Back to ward index

Stanford East & Corringham Town · single-seat

Marginal winner 61.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −11.2 pts Valid ballots 1,883

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Duffin J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,153	61.2%	Elected
2	Morris-Cook V.	Labour Party	412	21.9%
3	Ojajugbagbe G.	THIND	318	16.9%

Electorate 6,469 · Ballots cast 1,883 · EC ward code E05002242 · Back to ward index

Aveley & Uplands · single-seat

Marginal winner 66.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −16.3 pts Valid ballots 1,716

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Pearce M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,137	66.3%	Elected
2	Panjala S.G.	Labour Party	579	33.7%

Electorate 7,631 · Ballots cast 1,716 · EC ward code E05002229 · Back to ward index

Chafford & North Stifford · single-seat

Marginal winner 69.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −19.1 pts Valid ballots 1,491

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Thandi J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,031	69.1%	Elected
2	Tuhin M.P.	Labour Party	460	30.9%

Electorate 5,617 · Ballots cast 1,491 · EC ward code E05002232 · Back to ward index

Corringham & Fobbing · single-seat

Marginal winner 70.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −20.3 pts Valid ballots 1,412

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Snell G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	992	70.3%	Elected
2	Cecil J.	Labour Party	420	29.7%

Electorate 4,498 · Ballots cast 1,412 · EC ward code E05002233 · Back to ward index

Orsett · single-seat

Marginal winner 80.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −30.6 pts Valid ballots 1,818

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Little S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,465	80.6%	Elected
2	Watson G.	Labour Party	236	13.0%
3	Andrews S.J.	Independent	117	6.4%

Electorate 4,992 · Ballots cast 1,818 · EC ward code E05002240 · Back to ward index