← Tonbridge & Malling (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

Tonbridge & Malling 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

19 ward races

44 seats

34 elected below the proportional quota

77.3% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 19 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 44 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party	32,304	40.2%	20	45.5%	19	43.2%	+1
Liberal Democrats	19,808	24.6%	11	25.0%	11	25.0%	0
Green Party	16,621	20.7%	8	18.2%	9	20.5%	-1
Labour Party	6,358	7.9%	3	6.8%	3	6.8%	0
IAK	4,472	5.6%	2	4.5%	2	4.5%	0
Independent	527	0.7%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Reform UK	244	0.3%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Heritage Party	77	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	80,411	100.0%	44	100.0%	44	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Aylesford North & North Downs · 3 seats · won at 13.3% · +11.7 pts below quota
Trench · 2 seats · won at 22.0% · +11.3 pts below quota
Bourne · 2 seats · won at 22.6% · +10.7 pts below quota
Aylesford South & Ditton · 3 seats · won at 16.6% · +8.4 pts below quota
Higham · 2 seats · won at 25.1% · +8.2 pts below quota
Snodland East & Ham Hill · 2 seats · won at 25.3% · +8.1 pts below quota
Pilgrims with Ightham · 2 seats · won at 25.9% · +7.4 pts below quota
Hildenborough · 2 seats · won at 26.2% · +7.1 pts below quota
Snodland West & Holborough Lakes · 2 seats · won at 27.7% · +5.7 pts below quota
Cage Green & Angel · 3 seats · won at 19.5% · +5.5 pts below quota
Vauxhall · 3 seats · won at 19.6% · +5.4 pts below quota
Kings Hill · 3 seats · won at 19.8% · +5.2 pts below quota
Birling, Leybourne & Ryarsh · 2 seats · won at 28.5% · +4.8 pts below quota
East Malling, West Malling & Offham · 3 seats · won at 23.2% · +1.8 pts below quota
East and West Peckham, Mereworth & Wateringbury · 2 seats · won at 32.2% · +1.2 pts below quota
Larkfield · 3 seats · won at 27.0% · above quota
Judd · 2 seats · won at 38.8% · above quota
Borough Green & Platt · 2 seats · won at 39.4% · above quota
Walderslade · 1 seat · won at 65.3% · above quota

Race results

Aylesford North & North Downs · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 13.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +11.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,534

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Dalton, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	953	17.2%	Elected
2	Davis, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	909	16.4%	Elected
3	McDermott, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	737	13.3%	Elected
4	Beadle, S.	Labour Party	661	11.9%
5	Bell, J.	Liberal Democrats	471	8.5%
6	Shelley, R.	Labour Party	329	5.9%
7	Young, D.	Liberal Democrats	321	5.8%
8	Shelley, T.	Labour Party	315	5.7%
9	Green, J.	Independent	301	5.4%
10	Perera, E.	Green Party	223	4.0%
11	West, M.	Green Party	195	3.5%
12	Gailer, R.	Reform UK	119	2.2%

Electorate 7,071 · Ballots cast 5,534 · Back to ward index

Trench · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +11.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,302

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mehmet, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	735	22.3%	Elected
2	Tunstall, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	726	22.0%	Elected
3	Pilgrim, S.	Green Party	720	21.8%
4	Hill, C.	Green Party	686	20.8%
5	Lake, C.	Labour Party	173	5.2%
6	Parish, K.	Labour Party	165	5.0%
7	Brightmore, Y.	Liberal Democrats	97	2.9%

Electorate 4,172 · Ballots cast 3,302 · Back to ward index

Bourne · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.6% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +10.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,226

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Crisp, S.	Green Party	761	23.6%	Elected
2	Lark, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	730	22.6%	Elected
3	Catt, B.	Green Party	725	22.5%
4	Montague, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	655	20.3%
5	Butterfill, S.	IAK	355	11.0%

Electorate 4,137 · Ballots cast 3,226 · Back to ward index

Aylesford South & Ditton · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 16.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +8.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,874

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hammond, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,132	19.3%	Elected
2	Williams, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	975	16.6%	Elected
3	Cannon, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	975	16.6%	Elected
4	Markham, D.	Liberal Democrats	789	13.4%
5	Walker, T.	Liberal Democrats	778	13.2%
6	Cox, J.	Liberal Democrats	700	11.9%
7	Jenner, J.	Labour Party	284	4.8%
8	Wilson, P.	Labour Party	241	4.1%

Electorate 6,576 · Ballots cast 5,874 · Back to ward index

Higham · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 25.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +8.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,398

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Athwal, L.	Green Party	1,240	28.2%	Elected
2	King, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,106	25.1%	Elected
3	Burdon, A.	Green Party	1,101	25.0%
4	Tombolis, F.	Conservative and Unionist Party	951	21.6%

Electorate 4,757 · Ballots cast 4,398 · Back to ward index

Snodland East & Ham Hill · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 25.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +8.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,761

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mallard, W.	Labour Party	487	27.7%	Elected
2	Bell, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	445	25.3%	Elected
3	Aldridge, M.	Labour Party	430	24.4%
4	Luker, B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	399	22.7%

Electorate 4,182 · Ballots cast 1,761 · Back to ward index

Pilgrims with Ightham · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 25.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +7.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,606

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Betts, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	987	27.4%	Elected
2	Coffin, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	934	25.9%	Elected
3	Shaw, T.	IAK	908	25.2%
4	Millener, S.	IAK	777	21.5%

Electorate 4,588 · Ballots cast 3,606 · Back to ward index

Hildenborough · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 26.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +7.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,538

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Rhodes, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,011	28.6%	Elected
2	Barton, K.	Green Party	928	26.2%	Elected
3	Webster, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	812	23.0%
4	Hobhouse, H.	Liberal Democrats	505	14.3%
5	Connor, M.	Labour Party	282	8.0%

Electorate 4,289 · Ballots cast 3,538 · Back to ward index

Snodland West & Holborough Lakes · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 27.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +5.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,307

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hickmott, P.	Labour Party	755	32.7%	Elected
2	Bennison, A.	Labour Party	638	27.7%	Elected
3	Gaunt, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	422	18.3%
4	Bartlett, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	415	18.0%
5	Parker, V.	Heritage Party	77	3.3%

Electorate 4,394 · Ballots cast 2,307 · Back to ward index

Cage Green & Angel · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 19.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +5.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 8,402

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Cope, A.	Green Party	1,828	21.8%	Elected
2	Oliver, R.	Green Party	1,737	20.7%	Elected
3	Parry, B.	Green Party	1,639	19.5%	Elected
4	Branson, V.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,128	13.4%
5	Lewis, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,087	12.9%
6	Islam, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	983	11.7%

Electorate 6,715 · Ballots cast 8,402 · Back to ward index

Vauxhall · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 19.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +5.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,516

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hoskins, F.	Liberal Democrats	1,487	22.8%	Elected
2	Bridge, G.	Liberal Democrats	1,306	20.0%	Elected
3	Clokey, J.	Liberal Democrats	1,275	19.6%	Elected
4	Cain, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	612	9.4%
5	Payne, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	603	9.3%
6	Tay, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	544	8.3%
7	Jordan-Days, K.	Labour Party	338	5.2%
8	Sinha, R.	Independent	226	3.5%
9	White, P.	Reform UK	125	1.9%

Electorate 6,225 · Ballots cast 6,516 · Back to ward index

Kings Hill · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 19.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +5.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,296

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Harman, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,085	20.5%	Elected
2	Brown, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,048	19.8%	Elected
3	Tanner, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,047	19.8%	Elected
4	Dowling, R.	Green Party	480	9.1%
5	Westlake, L.	Green Party	438	8.3%
6	Garlick, K.	Labour Party	258	4.9%
7	Taplin, N.	Liberal Democrats	256	4.8%
8	Poege, K.	Liberal Democrats	234	4.4%
9	Palmer, S.	Labour Party	234	4.4%
10	Young, J.	Liberal Democrats	216	4.1%

Electorate 6,930 · Ballots cast 5,296 · Back to ward index

Birling, Leybourne & Ryarsh · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 28.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +4.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,048

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Boxall, P.	Liberal Democrats	957	31.4%	Elected
2	Banks, B.	Liberal Democrats	870	28.5%	Elected
3	McKinlay, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	558	18.3%
4	Webb, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	543	17.8%
5	Evans, D.	Labour Party	120	3.9%

Electorate 4,563 · Ballots cast 3,048 · Back to ward index

East Malling, West Malling & Offham · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 23.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +1.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,885

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Dean, T.	Liberal Democrats	1,831	26.6%	Elected
2	Roud, R.	Liberal Democrats	1,620	23.5%	Elected
3	Tatton, M.	Liberal Democrats	1,598	23.2%	Elected
4	Thompson, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	695	10.1%
5	Slater, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	626	9.1%
6	Blacket, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	515	7.5%

Electorate 6,629 · Ballots cast 6,885 · Back to ward index

East and West Peckham, Mereworth & Wateringbury · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 32.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +1.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,733

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hudson, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,260	33.8%	Elected
2	Boughton, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,201	32.2%	Elected
3	Winterbottom, K.	Green Party	377	10.1%
4	Jackson, S.	Green Party	348	9.3%
5	Potter, R.	Labour Party	279	7.5%
6	Burdon, S.	Liberal Democrats	268	7.2%

Electorate 4,991 · Ballots cast 3,733 · Back to ward index

Larkfield · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 27.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference −2.0 pts Valid ballots 5,085

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Thornewell, D.	Liberal Democrats	1,401	27.6%	Elected
2	Oakley, A.	Liberal Democrats	1,385	27.2%	Elected
3	Bishop, T.	Liberal Democrats	1,372	27.0%	Elected
4	Dick, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	371	7.3%
5	Noble, H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	284	5.6%
6	Thackwell, E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	272	5.3%

Electorate 6,911 · Ballots cast 5,085 · Back to ward index

Judd · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 38.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −5.5 pts Valid ballots 4,025

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hood, M.	Green Party	1,633	40.6%	Elected
2	Hines, G.	Green Party	1,562	38.8%	Elected
3	Ware, H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	358	8.9%
4	Webster, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	321	8.0%
5	Oliver, M.	Labour Party	151	3.8%

Electorate 4,683 · Ballots cast 4,025 · Back to ward index

Borough Green & Platt · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 39.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −6.1 pts Valid ballots 3,042

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Taylor, M.	IAK	1,233	40.5%	Elected
2	Palmer, W.	IAK	1,199	39.4%	Elected
3	Lohlein, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	319	10.5%
4	Wragg, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	291	9.6%

Electorate 4,565 · Ballots cast 3,042 · Back to ward index

Walderslade · single-seat

Marginal winner 65.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −15.3 pts Valid ballots 833

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Keers, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	544	65.3%	Elected
2	Oyewusi, L.	Labour Party	218	26.2%
3	Cox, L.	Liberal Democrats	71	8.5%

Electorate 2,345 · Ballots cast 833 · Back to ward index