← Torfaen (all cycles) · 5 May 2022 cohort
Torfaen 2022
Local elections held 5 May 2022.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 18 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 40 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labour Party | 28,097 | 57.4% | 30 | 75.0% | 24 | 60.0% | +6 |
| Independent | 12,432 | 25.4% | 10 | 25.0% | 10 | 25.0% | 0 |
| Conservative and Unionist Party | 7,231 | 14.8% | 0 | 0.0% | 6 | 15.0% | -6 |
| Liberal Democrats | 455 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| PC | 432 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Green Party | 268 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| FREE | 47 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 48,962 | 100.0% | 40 | 100.0% | 40 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Two Locks · 3 seats · won at 15.0% · +10.0 pts below quota
- Pontnewynydd & Snatchwood · 2 seats · won at 24.8% · +8.5 pts below quota
- Upper Cwmbran · 2 seats · won at 25.5% · +7.9 pts below quota
- Llantarnam · 3 seats · won at 17.5% · +7.5 pts below quota
- St. Dials · 2 seats · won at 25.9% · +7.5 pts below quota
- New Inn · 3 seats · won at 18.0% · +7.0 pts below quota
- Pontnewydd · 3 seats · won at 19.5% · +5.5 pts below quota
- Blaenavon · 3 seats · won at 19.8% · +5.2 pts below quota
- Abersychan · 3 seats · won at 20.0% · +5.0 pts below quota
- Pontypool Fawr · 3 seats · won at 22.7% · +2.3 pts below quota
- Panteg · 3 seats · won at 23.3% · +1.7 pts below quota
- Llanfrechfa and Ponthir · 1 seat · won at 50.6% · above quota
- Croesyceiliog · 2 seats · won at 35.1% · above quota
- Fairwater · 2 seats · won at 39.1% · above quota
- Trevethin & Penygarn · 2 seats · won at 39.2% · above quota
- Greenmeadow · 1 seat · won at 62.5% · above quota
- Llanyrafon · 1 seat · won at 66.6% · above quota
- Coed Eva · 1 seat · won at 69.7% · above quota
Race results
Two Locks · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 15.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +10.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,981
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thomas C. | Labour Party | 781 | 19.6% | Elected |
| 2 | Jones P. | Labour Party | 695 | 17.5% | Elected |
| 3 | Burnett R. | Independent | 597 | 15.0% | Elected |
| 4 | Evans K. | Labour Party | 562 | 14.1% | |
| 5 | Fortey K. | Independent | 362 | 9.1% | |
| 6 | Brown J. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 241 | 6.1% | |
| 7 | Boyce A. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 215 | 5.4% | |
| 8 | Senior R. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 189 | 4.7% | |
| 9 | Davies M. | Liberal Democrats | 165 | 4.1% | |
| 10 | Roberts B. | Liberal Democrats | 127 | 3.2% | |
| 11 | Stamper V. | FREE | 47 | 1.2% |
Pontnewynydd & Snatchwood · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 24.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +8.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,568
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Best A. | Labour Party | 412 | 26.3% | Elected |
| 2 | Simons N. | Labour Party | 389 | 24.8% | Elected |
| 3 | Jenkins w. | Independent | 347 | 22.1% | |
| 4 | Burgess R. | Independent | 282 | 18.0% | |
| 5 | Clarke M. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 138 | 8.8% |
Upper Cwmbran · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 25.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +7.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,786
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Evans S. | Labour Party | 571 | 32.0% | Elected |
| 2 | Williams L. | Labour Party | 455 | 25.5% | Elected |
| 3 | Legge S. | Independent | 387 | 21.7% | |
| 4 | Kemp R. | Independent | 373 | 20.9% |
Llantarnam · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 17.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +7.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,425
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thomas D. | Independent | 1,081 | 19.9% | Elected |
| 2 | Slade A. | Independent | 996 | 18.4% | Elected |
| 3 | Jones N. | Independent | 950 | 17.5% | Elected |
| 4 | Bolton D. | Labour Party | 667 | 12.3% | |
| 5 | Bird A. | Labour Party | 550 | 10.1% | |
| 6 | Johnston L. | Labour Party | 481 | 8.9% | |
| 7 | Woolfall Jones M. | PC | 432 | 8.0% | |
| 8 | Davies P. | Green Party | 268 | 4.9% |
St. Dials · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 25.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +7.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,048
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haynes E. | Independent | 630 | 30.8% | Elected |
| 2 | Bonera C. | Independent | 530 | 25.9% | Elected |
| 3 | Jones F. | Labour Party | 437 | 21.3% | |
| 4 | Manneh K. | Labour Party | 349 | 17.0% | |
| 5 | Thomas P. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 102 | 5.0% |
New Inn · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 18.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +7.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,714
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Byrne N. | Labour Party | 906 | 19.2% | Elected |
| 2 | Matthews R. | Labour Party | 859 | 18.2% | Elected |
| 3 | James J. | Labour Party | 848 | 18.0% | Elected |
| 4 | James K. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 780 | 16.5% | |
| 5 | Overton R. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 677 | 14.4% | |
| 6 | Jones N. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 644 | 13.7% |
Pontnewydd · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 19.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +5.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,419
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniels D. | Labour Party | 984 | 22.3% | Elected |
| 2 | Morgan S. | Labour Party | 949 | 21.5% | Elected |
| 3 | Ashley S. | Labour Party | 863 | 19.5% | Elected |
| 4 | Campbell D. | Independent | 507 | 11.5% | |
| 5 | Brankley M. | Independent | 481 | 10.9% | |
| 6 | Edmunds D. | Independent | 472 | 10.7% | |
| 7 | Richards R. | Liberal Democrats | 163 | 3.7% |
Abersychan · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 20.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +5.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,854
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tew C. | Independent | 1,027 | 26.6% | Elected |
| 2 | Davies G. | Labour Party | 935 | 24.3% | Elected |
| 3 | Clarkson L. | Labour Party | 772 | 20.0% | Elected |
| 4 | Tomlinson W. | Independent | 481 | 12.5% | |
| 5 | Rogers B. | Labour Party | 380 | 9.9% | |
| 6 | Millard A. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 259 | 6.7% |
Pontypool Fawr · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 22.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +2.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,584
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jones M. | Independent | 940 | 26.2% | Elected |
| 2 | Price C. | Labour Party | 838 | 23.4% | Elected |
| 3 | James G. | Labour Party | 812 | 22.7% | Elected |
| 4 | Stephens P. | Labour Party | 639 | 17.8% | |
| 5 | Bishop L. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 355 | 9.9% |
Panteg · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 23.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +1.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,282
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hunt A. | Labour Party | 1,480 | 28.0% | Elected |
| 2 | Parrish N. | Labour Party | 1,253 | 23.7% | Elected |
| 3 | Yeowell N. | Labour Party | 1,230 | 23.3% | Elected |
| 4 | Senior S. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 501 | 9.5% | |
| 5 | Martin J. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 415 | 7.9% | |
| 6 | Lang A. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 403 | 7.6% |
Llanfrechfa and Ponthir · single-seat
Marginal winner 50.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.6 pts Valid ballots 769
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gauden K. | Labour Party | 389 | 50.6% | Elected |
| 2 | Bevan H. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 380 | 49.4% |
Croesyceiliog · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 35.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −1.8 pts Valid ballots 2,699
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clark R. | Labour Party | 950 | 35.2% | Elected |
| 2 | Gauden J. | Labour Party | 948 | 35.1% | Elected |
| 3 | Bubela A. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 421 | 15.6% | |
| 4 | Morgan R. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 380 | 14.1% |
Fairwater · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 39.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −5.8 pts Valid ballots 1,686
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seabourne R. | Labour Party | 697 | 41.3% | Elected |
| 2 | Watkins J. | Labour Party | 660 | 39.1% | Elected |
| 3 | Leaves A. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 329 | 19.5% |
Trevethin & Penygarn · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 39.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −5.8 pts Valid ballots 1,465
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malson S. | Labour Party | 676 | 46.1% | Elected |
| 2 | Horlor J. | Labour Party | 574 | 39.2% | Elected |
| 3 | White A. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 215 | 14.7% |
Greenmeadow · single-seat
Marginal winner 62.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −12.5 pts Valid ballots 683
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Owen M. | Labour Party | 427 | 62.5% | Elected |
| 2 | O'Connell J. | Independent | 256 | 37.5% |
Llanyrafon · single-seat
Marginal winner 66.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −16.6 pts Valid ballots 704
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Williams D. | Labour Party | 469 | 66.6% | Elected |
| 2 | Scriven C. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 235 | 33.4% |
Coed Eva · single-seat
Marginal winner 69.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −19.7 pts Valid ballots 624
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cross F. | Labour Party | 435 | 69.7% | Elected |
| 2 | Edmunds N. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 117 | 18.8% | |
| 3 | Clarke S. | Independent | 72 | 11.5% |