← Trafford (all cycles) · 3 May 2018 cohort

Trafford 2018

Local elections held 3 May 2018.

21 ward races
22 seats
5 elected below the proportional quota
22.7% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 21 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 22 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Labour Party35,17845.8%1359.1%1150.0%+2
Conservative Party28,22636.7%731.8%836.4%-1
Green Party6,4388.4%29.1%29.1%0
Liberal Democrats5,4117.0%00.0%14.5%-1
UK Independence Party (UKIP)1,0111.3%00.0%00.0%0
The Liberal Party3910.5%00.0%00.0%0
Independent1650.2%00.0%00.0%0
Total76,820100.0%22100.0%22100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Council composition: what this election replaced

Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2018 election (current) and immediately before it (2017). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2018 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.

Current (2018)
Previous (2017)

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Timperley · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 40.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −9.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 4,196

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Nathan EvansConservative Party1,69440.4%−9.6 ptsElected
2William JonesLiberal Democrats1,32931.7%
3Julia GarlickLabour Party71817.1%
4Neil TaylorThe Liberal Party3428.2%
5Jadwiga LeighGreen Party1132.7%

EC ward code E05000837 · Back to ward index

Village · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 40.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −9.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,255

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Thomas CareyConservative Party1,33140.9%−9.1 ptsElected
2Tony FishwickLiberal Democrats1,00330.8%
3Tony O'BrienLabour Party74222.8%
4Angela O'NeillUK Independence Party (UKIP)1063.3%
5Matthew WestbrookGreen Party732.2%

EC ward code E05000839 · Back to ward index

Ashton upon Mersey · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,584

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1John LambConservative Party1,67746.8%−3.2 ptsElected
2Ben HartleyLabour Party1,56843.8%
3Caroline Robertson-BrownGreen Party1484.1%
4Stephen PowerLiberal Democrats1383.9%
5Kevin GrimeUK Independence Party (UKIP)531.5%

EC ward code E05000820 · Back to ward index

Brooklands · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 4,074

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Steven LongdenLabour Party1,93947.6%−2.4 ptsElected
2Mike JeffersonConservative Party1,75543.1%
3Meenakshi MinnisLiberal Democrats1704.2%
4Mandy KingGreen Party1553.8%
5Tony NaylerUK Independence Party (UKIP)551.4%

EC ward code E05000823 · Back to ward index

Broadheath · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 4,212

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Amy WhyteLabour Party2,07749.3%−0.7 ptsElected
2Kate BurkeConservative Party1,71640.7%
3Christopher MarrittLiberal Democrats1704.0%
4Daniel GrestyGreen Party1603.8%
5Mike Bayley-SandersonUK Independence Party (UKIP)561.3%
6Stephen FarndonIndependent330.8%

EC ward code E05000822 · Back to ward index

Sale Moor · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 51.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,772

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Elizabeth PatelLabour Party1,43351.7%+1.7 ptsElected
2Darren MeacherConservative Party97135.0%
3Czarina KirkLiberal Democrats2077.5%
4Jane LeicesterGreen Party1615.8%

EC ward code E05000835 · Back to ward index

Hale Central · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 53.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +3.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,992

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Alan MitchellConservative Party1,60453.6%+3.6 ptsElected
2Jill AxfordLabour Party80927.0%
3Will FrassLiberal Democrats36412.2%
4Stephen LeicesterGreen Party1665.5%
5Wayne HarrisonThe Liberal Party491.6%

EC ward code E05000831 · Back to ward index

Altrincham · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 40.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 4,003

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Dan JerromeGreen Party1,94424.3%48.6%+15.2 ptsElected
2Geraldine CogginsGreen Party1,62120.2%40.5%+7.2 ptsElected
3Constantine BillerConservative Party1,38617.3%34.6%
4Angela StoneConservative Party1,34216.8%33.5%
5Stephane SavaryLabour Party84610.6%21.1%
6Barry WinstanleyLabour Party6558.2%16.4%
7Julian NewgroshLiberal Democrats1181.5%2.9%
8David MartinLiberal Democrats931.2%2.3%

EC ward code E05000819 · Back to ward index

Davyhulme West · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,881

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Graham WhithamLabour Party2,23057.5%+7.5 ptsElected
2Christine TurnerConservative Party1,40336.2%
3Paul ReganUK Independence Party (UKIP)962.5%
4David KiermanLiberal Democrats812.1%
5Rob RaikesGreen Party711.8%

EC ward code E05000827 · Back to ward index

Davyhulme East · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,835

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Jayne DillonLabour Party2,20557.5%+7.5 ptsElected
2Mike CornesConservative Party1,38836.2%
3Steven Tennant-SmytheGreen Party1002.6%
4Susan SutherlandLiberal Democrats731.9%
5Gary ReganUK Independence Party (UKIP)691.8%

EC ward code E05000826 · Back to ward index

Urmston · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,883

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Kevin ProctorLabour Party2,24357.8%+7.8 ptsElected
2Michelle McGrathConservative Party1,21731.3%
3Timothy WoodwardGreen Party1554.0%
4Krissy DouglasUK Independence Party (UKIP)1383.6%
5Kirsty CullenLiberal Democrats1303.3%

EC ward code E05000838 · Back to ward index

Flixton · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 59.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 4,560

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Simon ThomasLabour Party2,73259.9%+9.9 ptsElected
2Viv WardConservative Party1,52833.5%
3Christine McLaughlinGreen Party1252.7%
4Andrew BeaumontUK Independence Party (UKIP)912.0%
5Norman SutherlandLiberal Democrats841.8%

EC ward code E05000828 · Back to ward index

St Mary's · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 60.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +10.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,423

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Rob ChiltonConservative Party2,05360.0%+10.0 ptsElected
2Mal ChoudhuryLabour Party1,05430.8%
3Louise BirdLiberal Democrats1674.9%
4Nicholas Robertson-BrownGreen Party1494.4%

EC ward code E05000834 · Back to ward index

Priory · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 60.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +10.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,346

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Jane BaughLabour Party2,01860.3%+10.3 ptsElected
2George BarkerConservative Party98829.5%
3Paul GreerGreen Party1705.1%
4Michael MacdonaldLiberal Democrats1705.1%

EC ward code E05000833 · Back to ward index

Hale Barns · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 66.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +16.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,894

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Dylan ButtConservative Party1,93266.8%+16.8 ptsElected
2Akila AkinolaLabour Party47716.5%
3Maggie BoysenLiberal Democrats2588.9%
4Sandra TaylorIndependent1324.6%
5Deborah LeftwichGreen Party953.3%

EC ward code E05000830 · Back to ward index

Bowdon · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 68.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +18.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,116

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Karen BarclayConservative Party2,13068.4%+18.4 ptsElected
2Waseem HassanLabour Party42213.5%
3Ludo Tolhurst-CleaverLiberal Democrats35611.4%
4Nigel HennerleyGreen Party1695.4%
5Jim CookUK Independence Party (UKIP)391.3%

EC ward code E05000821 · Back to ward index

Bucklow-St Martins · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 70.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +20.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,023

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Adele NewLabour Party1,42770.5%+20.5 ptsElected
2Geoff TurnerConservative Party42421.0%
3Norine NapierUK Independence Party (UKIP)904.4%
4Rodrigo Capucho PauloGreen Party442.2%
5Simon WrightLiberal Democrats381.9%

EC ward code E05000824 · Back to ward index

Stretford · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 71.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +21.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,122

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Jane SlaterLabour Party2,23171.5%+21.5 ptsElected
2Shengke ZhiConservative Party49015.7%
3Liz O'NeillGreen Party2116.8%
4Simon LeporiLiberal Democrats983.1%
5Ian RoyleUK Independence Party (UKIP)922.9%

EC ward code E05000836 · Back to ward index

Longford · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 71.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +21.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,650

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1David JarmanLabour Party2,61171.5%+21.5 ptsElected
2Cathy ConchieConservative Party54715.0%
3Margaret WestbrookGreen Party2386.5%
4Anna FryerLiberal Democrats1945.3%
5Pauline RoyleUK Independence Party (UKIP)601.6%

EC ward code E05000832 · Back to ward index

Gorse Hill · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 73.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +23.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,793

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1David ActonLabour Party2,03973.0%+23.0 ptsElected
2Lijo JohnConservative Party48517.4%
3Joe RyanGreen Party1154.1%
4Dawn Carberry-PowerLiberal Democrats883.2%
5Seamus MartinUK Independence Party (UKIP)662.4%

EC ward code E05000829 · Back to ward index

Clifford · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 84.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +34.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,204

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Sophie TaylorLabour Party2,70284.3%+34.3 ptsElected
2Jess MayoGreen Party2558.0%
3Alex FinneyConservative Party1655.1%
4Pauline CliffLiberal Democrats822.6%

EC ward code E05000825 · Back to ward index