← Trafford (all cycles) · 6 May 2021 cohort

Trafford 2021

Local elections held 6 May 2021.

21 ward races

25 seats

14 elected below the proportional quota

56.0% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 21 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 25 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Labour Party	40,453	45.5%	16	64.0%	12	48.0%	+4
Conservative and Unionist Party	29,906	33.6%	7	28.0%	8	32.0%	-1
Green Party	11,167	12.5%	1	4.0%	3	12.0%	-2
Liberal Democrats	7,101	8.0%	1	4.0%	2	8.0%	-1
WEP	134	0.2%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Independent	120	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
UK Independence Party (UKIP)	75	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
DEMNET	42	0.0%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	88,998	100.0%	25	100.0%	25	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Hale Central · 1 seat · won at 37.9% · +12.1 pts below quota
Village · 1 seat · won at 38.1% · +11.9 pts below quota
Timperley · 1 seat · won at 40.2% · +9.8 pts below quota
Flixton · 2 seats · won at 26.0% · +7.3 pts below quota
Brooklands · 1 seat · won at 44.8% · +5.2 pts below quota
Priory · 2 seats · won at 28.2% · +5.1 pts below quota
Bowdon · 2 seats · won at 28.5% · +4.8 pts below quota
Longford · 2 seats · won at 29.9% · +3.4 pts below quota
Ashton Upon Mersey · 1 seat · won at 47.3% · +2.7 pts below quota
St. Marys · 1 seat · won at 48.2% · +1.8 pts below quota
Broadheath · 1 seat · won at 48.9% · +1.1 pts below quota
Davyhulme East · 1 seat · won at 51.9% · above quota
Davyhulme West · 1 seat · won at 53.4% · above quota
Altrincham · 1 seat · won at 55.8% · above quota
Sale Moor · 1 seat · won at 57.0% · above quota
Urmston · 1 seat · won at 58.5% · above quota
Bucklow-St. Martins · 1 seat · won at 60.3% · above quota
Hale Barns · 1 seat · won at 61.8% · above quota
Stretford · 1 seat · won at 67.2% · above quota
Gorse Hill · 1 seat · won at 71.0% · above quota
Clifford · 1 seat · won at 76.2% · above quota

Race results

Hale Central · single-seat

Marginal winner 37.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +12.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,958

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Chalkin D.N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,499	37.9%	Elected
2	Leicester J.F.	Green Party	1,307	33.0%
3	Frass W.	Liberal Democrats	737	18.6%
4	Little S.E.	Labour Party	415	10.5%

Electorate 7,495 · Ballots cast 3,958 · EC ward code E05000831 · Back to ward index

Village · single-seat

Marginal winner 38.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +11.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,390

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Blackburn L.L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,293	38.1%	Elected
2	Ennis S.G.	Liberal Democrats	1,028	30.3%
3	Jones W.	Labour Party	901	26.6%
4	Raikes R.	Green Party	168	5.0%

Electorate 7,972 · Ballots cast 3,390 · EC ward code E05000839 · Back to ward index

Timperley · single-seat

Marginal winner 40.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +9.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,387

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Brophy J.E.	Liberal Democrats	1,762	40.2%	Elected
2	Donnelly S.J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,528	34.8%
3	Legg A.T.	Labour Party	799	18.2%
4	Leigh J.T.	Green Party	298	6.8%

Electorate 8,353 · Ballots cast 4,387 · EC ward code E05000837 · Back to ward index

Flixton · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 26.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +7.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 7,309

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Carter G.	Labour Party	2,202	30.1%	Elected
2	O'Sullivan D.C.	Labour Party	1,900	26.0%	Elected
3	Taylor S.A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,293	17.7%
4	Towers G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	871	11.9%
5	Cotter K.	Green Party	399	5.5%
6	Cavanagh A.J.	Green Party	280	3.8%
7	Kinsella T.J.	Liberal Democrats	179	2.4%
8	Sutherland N.I.	Liberal Democrats	110	1.5%
9	Swansborough P.J.	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	75	1.0%

Electorate 8,383 · Ballots cast 7,309 · EC ward code E05000828 · Back to ward index

Brooklands · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,230

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Boyes C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,894	44.8%	Elected
2	Hornby F.F.R.	Labour Party	1,875	44.3%
3	Ryan J.	Green Party	255	6.0%
4	Cliff P.A.	Liberal Democrats	206	4.9%

Electorate 7,831 · Ballots cast 4,230 · EC ward code E05000823 · Back to ward index

Priory · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 28.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +5.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 7,019

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Brotherton B.	Labour Party	2,029	28.9%	Elected
2	Dagnall L.	Labour Party	1,981	28.2%	Elected
3	Duncan R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,043	14.9%
4	Stonehill S.C.D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	778	11.1%
5	Robertson-Brown N.	Green Party	440	6.3%
6	Turner D.	Green Party	367	5.2%
7	Stephenson B.R.	Liberal Democrats	173	2.5%
8	Kierman D.J.	Liberal Democrats	166	2.4%
9	Garrod E.D.	DEMNET	42	0.6%

Electorate 8,121 · Ballots cast 7,019 · EC ward code E05000833 · Back to ward index

Bowdon · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 28.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +4.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,177

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mirza M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,814	29.4%	Elected
2	Whetton M.P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,763	28.5%	Elected
3	Green B.M.	Green Party	684	11.1%
4	Hague T.R.	Labour Party	672	10.9%
5	Mayer C.W.	Labour Party	471	7.6%
6	Skelton M.E.	Green Party	331	5.4%
7	Tolhurst-Cleaver L.	Liberal Democrats	226	3.7%
8	Miniaci M.E.	Liberal Democrats	216	3.5%

Electorate 7,316 · Ballots cast 6,177 · EC ward code E05000821 · Back to ward index

Longford · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 29.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +3.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,933

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Haughey S.J.	Labour Party	2,470	35.6%	Elected
2	Lloyd J.A.	Labour Party	2,072	29.9%	Elected
3	Wadsworth J.P.	Green Party	517	7.5%
4	Westbrook M.E.	Green Party	435	6.3%
5	John L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	433	6.2%
6	May D.R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	409	5.9%
7	Fryer A.C.	Liberal Democrats	387	5.6%
8	Campion M.M.	Liberal Democrats	210	3.0%

Electorate 9,472 · Ballots cast 6,933 · EC ward code E05000832 · Back to ward index

Ashton Upon Mersey · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,096

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Gilbert S.J.	Labour Party	1,938	47.3%	Elected
2	Dwyer K.G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,722	42.0%
3	Robertson-Brown C.L.	Green Party	314	7.7%
4	Lovell C.J.	Liberal Democrats	122	3.0%

Electorate 7,699 · Ballots cast 4,096 · EC ward code E05000820 · Back to ward index

St. Marys · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,589

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Holden J.C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,729	48.2%	Elected
2	Mills J.	Labour Party	1,317	36.7%
3	McGlashan J.	Green Party	235	6.5%
4	Bird L.C.	Liberal Democrats	174	4.8%
5	Wood L.A.	WEP	134	3.7%

Electorate 8,671 · Ballots cast 3,589 · EC ward code E05000834 · Back to ward index

Broadheath · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,623

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Western D.A.	Labour Party	2,260	48.9%	Elected
2	Chakraborty K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,708	36.9%
3	Young A.P.	Green Party	319	6.9%
4	Marritt C.P.	Liberal Democrats	216	4.7%
5	Farndon S.J.	Independent	120	2.6%

Electorate 10,149 · Ballots cast 4,623 · EC ward code E05000822 · Back to ward index

Davyhulme East · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.9 pts Valid ballots 3,628

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Axford J.M.	Labour Party	1,882	51.9%	Elected
2	Dillon S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,467	40.4%
3	Tennant S.	Green Party	172	4.7%
4	Marshall J.P./.	Liberal Democrats	107	2.9%

Electorate 7,703 · Ballots cast 3,628 · EC ward code E05000826 · Back to ward index

Davyhulme West · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.4 pts Valid ballots 3,442

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Maitland S.	Labour Party	1,837	53.4%	Elected
2	Coupe J.R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,378	40.0%
3	Horner A.P.	Green Party	146	4.2%
4	Zuk G.A.	Liberal Democrats	81	2.4%

Electorate 7,745 · Ballots cast 3,442 · EC ward code E05000827 · Back to ward index

Altrincham · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.8 pts Valid ballots 4,274

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Coggins G.P.	Green Party	2,387	55.8%	Elected
2	Zhi S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,227	28.7%
3	Slater B.	Labour Party	567	13.3%
4	Martin D.H.	Liberal Democrats	93	2.2%

Electorate 9,189 · Ballots cast 4,274 · EC ward code E05000819 · Back to ward index

Sale Moor · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.0 pts Valid ballots 3,179

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Freeman M.	Labour Party	1,812	57.0%	Elected
2	Bell D.J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	971	30.5%
3	Leicester S.E.	Green Party	268	8.4%
4	Ramsbottom M.S.	Liberal Democrats	128	4.0%

Electorate 7,635 · Ballots cast 3,179 · EC ward code E05000835 · Back to ward index

Urmston · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.5 pts Valid ballots 3,786

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hynes C.L.	Labour Party	2,214	58.5%	Elected
2	Chinthala A.R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,101	29.1%
3	Whyte L.	Green Party	324	8.6%
4	Franklin-Johnston J.R.	Liberal Democrats	147	3.9%

Electorate 8,496 · Ballots cast 3,786 · EC ward code E05000838 · Back to ward index

Bucklow-St. Martins · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.3 pts Valid ballots 2,063

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Wright J.A.	Labour Party	1,244	60.3%	Elected
2	Maxwell T.P.S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	585	28.4%
3	Capucho Paulo R.	Green Party	147	7.1%
4	Wright S.A.	Liberal Democrats	87	4.2%

Electorate 7,213 · Ballots cast 2,063 · EC ward code E05000824 · Back to ward index

Hale Barns · single-seat

Marginal winner 61.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −11.8 pts Valid ballots 3,247

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Myers P.J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,008	61.8%	Elected
2	Twiney B.R.	Labour Party	671	20.7%
3	Schorah D.G.	Green Party	337	10.4%
4	Lepori S.E.	Liberal Democrats	231	7.1%

Electorate 7,503 · Ballots cast 3,247 · EC ward code E05000830 · Back to ward index

Stretford · single-seat

Marginal winner 67.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −17.2 pts Valid ballots 3,213

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Ross T.W.	Labour Party	2,160	67.2%	Elected
2	Hooley C.R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	625	19.5%
3	O'Neill L.	Green Party	356	11.1%
4	Power S.L.	Liberal Democrats	72	2.2%

Electorate 7,974 · Ballots cast 3,213 · EC ward code E05000836 · Back to ward index

Gorse Hill · single-seat

Marginal winner 71.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −21.0 pts Valid ballots 2,979

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Walsh L.J.	Labour Party	2,114	71.0%	Elected
2	Voronov I.	Conservative and Unionist Party	513	17.2%
3	Patel S.	Green Party	212	7.1%
4	Carberry-Power D.L.	Liberal Democrats	140	4.7%

Electorate 8,666 · Ballots cast 2,979 · EC ward code E05000829 · Back to ward index

Clifford · single-seat

Marginal winner 76.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −26.2 pts Valid ballots 3,476

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hassan W.	Labour Party	2,650	76.2%	Elected
2	Mayo J.	Green Party	469	13.5%
3	Halliday C.J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	254	7.3%
4	Hick A.P.G.	Liberal Democrats	103	3.0%

Electorate 9,053 · Ballots cast 3,476 · EC ward code E05000825 · Back to ward index