← Trafford (all cycles) · 2 May 2024 cohort

Trafford 2024

Local elections held 2 May 2024.

21 ward races

21 seats

6 elected below the proportional quota

28.6% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 21 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 21 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Labour Party	29,339	41.9%	15	71.4%	9	42.9%	+6
Conservative and Unionist Party	17,645	25.2%	2	9.5%	6	28.6%	-4
Green Party	12,410	17.7%	2	9.5%	4	19.0%	-2
Liberal Democrats	7,989	11.4%	2	9.5%	2	9.5%	0
Reform UK	1,595	2.3%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Independent	842	1.2%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	88	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
IND GREEN	72	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	69,980	100.0%	21	100.0%	21	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Manor · 1 seat · won at 40.9% · +9.1 pts below quota
Broadheath · 1 seat · won at 41.3% · +8.7 pts below quota
Hale Barns and Timperley South · 1 seat · won at 43.0% · +7.0 pts below quota
Bowdon · 1 seat · won at 43.0% · +7.0 pts below quota
Brooklands · 1 seat · won at 47.5% · +2.5 pts below quota
Hale · 1 seat · won at 47.7% · +2.3 pts below quota
Timperley Central · 1 seat · won at 50.0% · above quota
Davyhulme · 1 seat · won at 53.1% · above quota
Ashton Upon Mersey · 1 seat · won at 54.8% · above quota
Flixton · 1 seat · won at 56.8% · above quota
Altrincham · 1 seat · won at 57.4% · above quota
Urmston · 1 seat · won at 57.4% · above quota
Longford · 1 seat · won at 57.6% · above quota
Timperley North · 1 seat · won at 58.5% · above quota
Sale Moor · 1 seat · won at 58.6% · above quota
Stretford and Humphrey Park · 1 seat · won at 60.0% · above quota
Old Trafford · 1 seat · won at 60.1% · above quota
Sale Central · 1 seat · won at 60.4% · above quota
Lostock and Barton · 1 seat · won at 60.9% · above quota
Gorse Hill and Cornbrook · 1 seat · won at 60.9% · above quota
Bucklow-St. Martins · 1 seat · won at 61.5% · above quota

Race results

Manor · single-seat

Marginal winner 40.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +9.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,406

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Glenton, K.	Labour Party	1,393	40.9%	Elected
2	Paul, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,363	40.0%
3	McGlashan, J.	Green Party	301	8.8%
4	O'Neill, A.	Reform UK	223	6.5%
5	Kierman, D.	Liberal Democrats	126	3.7%

Electorate 8,458 · Ballots cast 3,406 · EC ward code E05015252 · Back to ward index

Broadheath · single-seat

Marginal winner 41.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +8.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,151

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Savary, U.	Labour Party	1,716	41.3%	Elected
2	Chakraborty, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,710	41.2%
3	Young, A.	Green Party	271	6.5%
4	Brougham-Holland, A.	Reform UK	219	5.3%
5	Marritt, C.	Liberal Democrats	179	4.3%
6	Farndon, S.	Independent	56	1.3%

Electorate 8,787 · Ballots cast 4,151 · EC ward code E05015242 · Back to ward index

Hale Barns and Timperley South · single-seat

Marginal winner 43.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,221

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Taylor, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,385	43.0%	Elected
2	Ramsbottom, M.	Liberal Democrats	1,076	33.4%
3	Glenton, G.	Labour Party	336	10.4%
4	Ross, J.	Green Party	223	6.9%
5	Davies, A.	Reform UK	201	6.2%

Electorate 7,521 · Ballots cast 3,221 · EC ward code E05015249 · Back to ward index

Bowdon · single-seat

Marginal winner 43.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,995

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hancock, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,719	43.0%	Elected
2	Green, B.	Green Party	1,698	42.5%
3	Lamerton, K.	Labour Party	322	8.1%
4	Swansborough, P.	Reform UK	174	4.4%
5	Tolhurst-Cleaver, L.	Liberal Democrats	82	2.1%

Electorate 8,361 · Ballots cast 3,995 · EC ward code E05015241 · Back to ward index

Brooklands · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,830

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Babar, B.	Labour Party	1,819	47.5%	Elected
2	Halliday, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,184	30.9%
3	Aspden, R.	Green Party	354	9.2%
4	Barker, D.	Reform UK	255	6.7%
5	Cliff, P.	Liberal Democrats	218	5.7%

Electorate 7,738 · Ballots cast 3,830 · EC ward code E05015243 · Back to ward index

Hale · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,673

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Sutton, O.	Green Party	1,751	47.7%	Elected
2	Shalom, N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,351	36.8%
3	Spindler, J.	Labour Party	436	11.9%
4	Stack, J.	Liberal Democrats	135	3.7%

Electorate 7,814 · Ballots cast 3,673 · EC ward code E05015248 · Back to ward index

Timperley Central · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference 0.0 pts Valid ballots 3,616

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Lepori, S.	Liberal Democrats	1,808	50.0%	Elected
2	Atack, H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	751	20.8%
3	Nesbitt, M.	Labour Party	623	17.2%
4	Rhodes, D.	Reform UK	245	6.8%
5	Brooke-Taylor, J.	Green Party	189	5.2%

Electorate 8,463 · Ballots cast 3,616 · EC ward code E05015257 · Back to ward index

Davyhulme · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.1 pts Valid ballots 3,339

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Winstanley, B.	Labour Party	1,772	53.1%	Elected
2	Coupe, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	918	27.5%
3	Chatterton, K.	Green Party	337	10.1%
4	Regan, G.	Independent	166	5.0%
5	Kinsella, T.	Liberal Democrats	146	4.4%

Electorate 8,823 · Ballots cast 3,339 · EC ward code E05015245 · Back to ward index

Ashton Upon Mersey · single-seat

Marginal winner 54.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −4.8 pts Valid ballots 3,450

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	O'Brien, T.	Labour Party	1,891	54.8%	Elected
2	Narang, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	927	26.9%
3	Plunkett, J.	Green Party	449	13.0%
4	Rule, B.	Liberal Democrats	183	5.3%

Electorate 7,631 · Ballots cast 3,450 · EC ward code E05015240 · Back to ward index

Flixton · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.8 pts Valid ballots 3,411

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Thomas, S.	Labour Party	1,936	56.8%	Elected
2	John, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	718	21.0%
3	Cotter, K.	Green Party	425	12.5%
4	Regan, P.	Independent	200	5.9%
5	Cullen, K.	Liberal Democrats	132	3.9%

Electorate 8,564 · Ballots cast 3,411 · EC ward code E05015246 · Back to ward index

Altrincham · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.4 pts Valid ballots 3,358

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Welton, M.	Green Party	1,927	57.4%	Elected
2	Ashall, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	810	24.1%
3	Franks, W.	Labour Party	518	15.4%
4	Miniaci, M.	Liberal Democrats	103	3.1%

Electorate 7,876 · Ballots cast 3,358 · EC ward code E05015239 · Back to ward index

Urmston · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.4 pts Valid ballots 3,440

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Procter, K.	Labour Party	1,975	57.4%	Elected
2	Aydogdu, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	471	13.7%
3	Tennant, S.	Green Party	345	10.0%
4	Dillon, S.	Reform UK	278	8.1%
5	Beaumont, A.	Independent	236	6.9%
6	Franklin-Johnston, J.	Liberal Democrats	135	3.9%

Electorate 8,543 · Ballots cast 3,440 · EC ward code E05015259 · Back to ward index

Longford · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.6 pts Valid ballots 2,913

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Jarman, D.	Labour Party	1,678	57.6%	Elected
2	Westbrook, M.	Green Party	645	22.1%
3	Hooley, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	288	9.9%
4	Fryer, A.	Liberal Democrats	214	7.3%
5	Hogan-Webb, S.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	88	3.0%

Electorate 7,941 · Ballots cast 2,913 · EC ward code E05015250 · Back to ward index

Timperley North · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.5 pts Valid ballots 3,980

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Minnis, M.	Liberal Democrats	2,329	58.5%	Elected
2	Fell, R.	Labour Party	754	18.9%
3	Chinthala, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	638	16.0%
4	Vadera, A.	Green Party	259	6.5%

Electorate 8,658 · Ballots cast 3,980 · EC ward code E05015258 · Back to ward index

Sale Moor · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.6 pts Valid ballots 3,177

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Baskerville, O.	Labour Party	1,863	58.6%	Elected
2	Carroll, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	728	22.9%
3	Hargreaves, C.	Green Party	394	12.4%
4	Miller, J.	Liberal Democrats	192	6.0%

Electorate 8,198 · Ballots cast 3,177 · EC ward code E05015255 · Back to ward index

Stretford and Humphrey Park · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.0 pts Valid ballots 3,386

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Ross, T.	Labour Party	2,032	60.0%	Elected
2	O'Neill, L.	Green Party	623	18.4%
3	Boyes, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	572	16.9%
4	Power, S.	Liberal Democrats	159	4.7%

Electorate 8,774 · Ballots cast 3,386 · EC ward code E05015256 · Back to ward index

Old Trafford · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.1 pts Valid ballots 3,229

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Taylor, S.	Labour Party	1,941	60.1%	Elected
2	Moncrieff, A.	Green Party	1,011	31.3%
3	Coupe, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	144	4.5%
4	Hick, A.	Liberal Democrats	133	4.1%

Electorate 8,520 · Ballots cast 3,229 · EC ward code E05015253 · Back to ward index

Sale Central · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.4 pts Valid ballots 3,342

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Deakin, Z.	Labour Party	2,020	60.4%	Elected
2	Bancks, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	713	21.3%
3	Turner, D.	Green Party	318	9.5%
4	Kramer, J.	Liberal Democrats	291	8.7%

Electorate 7,530 · Ballots cast 3,342 · EC ward code E05015254 · Back to ward index

Lostock and Barton · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.9 pts Valid ballots 2,688

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Procter, S.	Labour Party	1,638	60.9%	Elected
2	Hooley, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	578	21.5%
3	Bowater, S.	Green Party	342	12.7%
4	Wright, S.	Liberal Democrats	130	4.8%

Electorate 8,104 · Ballots cast 2,688 · EC ward code E05015251 · Back to ward index

Gorse Hill and Cornbrook · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.9 pts Valid ballots 2,563

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Devlin, G.	Labour Party	1,562	60.9%	Elected
2	Clitheroe, L.	Green Party	419	16.3%
3	Donnelly, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	302	11.8%
4	Gibb, H.	Independent	184	7.2%
5	Carberry-Power, D.	Liberal Democrats	96	3.7%

Electorate 8,531 · Ballots cast 2,563 · EC ward code E05015247 · Back to ward index

Bucklow-St. Martins · single-seat

Marginal winner 61.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −11.5 pts Valid ballots 1,812

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Wright, J.	Labour Party	1,114	61.5%	Elected
2	Lijo, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	375	20.7%
3	Wadsworth, D.	Green Party	129	7.1%
4	Sellars, M.	Liberal Democrats	122	6.7%
5	Capucho Paulo, R.	IND GREEN	72	4.0%

Electorate 7,484 · Ballots cast 1,812 · EC ward code E05015244 · Back to ward index