← Trafford (all cycles) · 7 May 2026 cohort

Trafford 2026

Local elections held 7 May 2026.

21 ward races

21 seats

18 elected below the proportional quota

85.7% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 21 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 21 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Green Party	20,167	23.4%	4	19.0%	5	23.8%	-1
Labour Party	20,047	23.3%	7	33.3%	5	23.8%	+2
Conservative Party	19,954	23.2%	5	23.8%	5	23.8%	0
Reform UK	16,378	19.0%	3	14.3%	4	19.0%	-1
Liberal Democrats	9,083	10.6%	2	9.5%	2	9.5%	0
Advance UK	205	0.2%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Social Democratic Party	145	0.2%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Independent	109	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	86,088	100.0%	21	100.0%	21	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Council composition: what this election replaced

Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2026 election (current) and immediately before it (2025). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2026 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.

Current (2026)

Previous (2025)

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Flixton · 1 seat · won at 29.6% · −20.4 pts below quota
Davyhulme · 1 seat · won at 30.1% · −19.9 pts below quota
Lostock and Barton · 1 seat · won at 30.9% · −19.1 pts below quota
Brooklands · 1 seat · won at 32.0% · −18.0 pts below quota
Stretford and Humphrey Park · 1 seat · won at 32.3% · −17.7 pts below quota
Ashton upon Mersey · 1 seat · won at 34.5% · −15.5 pts below quota
Broadheath · 1 seat · won at 35.7% · −14.3 pts below quota
Urmston · 1 seat · won at 36.1% · −13.9 pts below quota
Sale Central · 1 seat · won at 36.4% · −13.6 pts below quota
Sale Moor · 1 seat · won at 36.9% · −13.1 pts below quota
Timperley Central · 1 seat · won at 39.0% · −11.0 pts below quota
Bucklow-St Martins · 1 seat · won at 43.6% · −6.4 pts below quota
Altrincham · 1 seat · won at 44.2% · −5.8 pts below quota
Gorse Hill and Cornbrook · 1 seat · won at 44.3% · −5.7 pts below quota
Hale · 1 seat · won at 45.2% · −4.8 pts below quota
Longford · 1 seat · won at 46.7% · −3.3 pts below quota
Manor · 1 seat · won at 46.9% · −3.1 pts below quota
Timperley North · 1 seat · won at 48.6% · −1.4 pts below quota
Hale Barns and Timperley South · 1 seat · won at 51.7% · above quota
Old Trafford · 1 seat · won at 52.6% · above quota
Bowdon · 1 seat · won at 54.5% · above quota

Race results

Flixton · single-seat

Marginal winner 29.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −20.4 pts Valid ballots 4,436

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Below quota	Elected
1	Mark John Ormiston	Reform UK	1,314	29.6%	−20.4 pts	Elected
2	Dolores Catherine O'Sullivan	Labour Party	1,291	29.1%	—
3	Katrin Cotter	Green Party	812	18.3%	—
4	Paul Lally	Conservative Party	746	16.8%	—
5	Tim Kinsella	Liberal Democrats	241	5.4%	—
6	Andrew Beaumont	Advance UK	32	0.7%	—

Electorate 8,616 · Ballots cast 4,445 · Invalid 9 · EC ward code local.trafford.flixton.2026-05-07 · Back to ward index

Davyhulme · single-seat

Marginal winner 30.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −19.9 pts Valid ballots 4,303

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Below quota	Elected
1	Billy Burke	Reform UK	1,294	30.1%	−19.9 pts	Elected
2	Karina Carter	Labour Party	1,283	29.8%	—
3	Jonathan Coupe	Conservative Party	811	18.8%	—
4	Kevin Peter Chatterton	Green Party	665	15.5%	—
5	Briony Stephenson	Liberal Democrats	214	5.0%	—
6	Gary Regan	Advance UK	36	0.8%	—

Electorate 8,879 · Ballots cast 4,319 · Invalid 16 · EC ward code local.trafford.davyhulme.2026-05-07 · Back to ward index

Lostock and Barton · single-seat

Marginal winner 30.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −19.1 pts Valid ballots 3,451

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Below quota	Elected
1	Mark Gregory Tobin	Labour Party	1,068	30.9%	−19.1 pts	Elected
2	Ian Andrew Edwards	Reform UK	1,037	30.0%	—
3	Stephen William Holman	Green Party	700	20.3%	—
4	Tracey Beryl Haworth	Conservative Party	468	13.6%	—
5	David Kierman	Liberal Democrats	178	5.2%	—

Electorate 8,205 · Ballots cast 3,460 · Invalid 9 · EC ward code local.trafford.lostock-barton.2026-05-07 · Back to ward index

Brooklands · single-seat

Marginal winner 32.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −18.0 pts Valid ballots 4,422

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Below quota	Elected
1	Rose Thompson	Labour Party	1,417	32.0%	−18.0 pts	Elected
2	Bheem Pulla	Conservative Party	1,149	26.0%	—
3	John Spencer Churchill	Reform UK	811	18.3%	—
4	Renate Aspden	Green Party	783	17.7%	—
5	Pauline Cliff	Liberal Democrats	262	5.9%	—

Electorate 7,837 · Ballots cast 4,433 · Invalid 11 · EC ward code local.trafford.brooklands.2026-05-07 · Back to ward index

Stretford and Humphrey Park · single-seat

Marginal winner 32.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −17.7 pts Valid ballots 4,274

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Below quota	Elected
1	Jane Winifred Slater	Labour Party	1,380	32.3%	−17.7 pts	Elected
2	Daniel John Bowdler	Green Party	1,264	29.6%	—
3	Jamie Gordon Hook	Reform UK	1,033	24.2%	—
4	Syeda Bushra Rizvi	Conservative Party	360	8.4%	—
5	Stephen Lee Power	Liberal Democrats	161	3.8%	—
6	Hazel Joy Gibb-Shacklock	Independent	76	1.8%	—

Electorate 8,910 · Ballots cast 4,288 · Invalid 14 · EC ward code local.trafford.stretford-humphrey-park.2026-05-07 · Back to ward index

Ashton upon Mersey · single-seat

Marginal winner 34.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −15.5 pts Valid ballots 4,281

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Below quota	Elected
1	Ben Hartley	Labour Party	1,476	34.5%	−15.5 pts	Elected
2	Christopher Halliday	Conservative Party	1,038	24.2%	—
3	Diane Elizabeth Plunkett	Green Party	801	18.7%	—
4	Luke Sowerby	Reform UK	683	16.0%	—
5	Jonathan Bevan	Liberal Democrats	283	6.6%	—

Electorate 7,732 · Ballots cast 4,287 · Invalid 6 · EC ward code local.trafford.ashton-upon-mersey.2026-05-07 · Back to ward index

Broadheath · single-seat

Marginal winner 35.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −14.3 pts Valid ballots 4,822

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Below quota	Elected
1	Prakash Nathani	Conservative Party	1,721	35.7%	−14.3 pts	Elected
2	Javed Bakht Khwaja	Labour Party	1,018	21.1%	—
3	Barbara Gerard	Liberal Democrats	842	17.5%	—
4	Terence Charnock	Reform UK	704	14.6%	—
5	Alexander Young	Green Party	504	10.5%	—
6	Stephen John Farndon	Independent	33	0.7%	—

Electorate 8,988 · Ballots cast 4,827 · Invalid 5 · EC ward code local.trafford.broadheath.2026-05-07 · Back to ward index

Urmston · single-seat

Marginal winner 36.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −13.9 pts Valid ballots 4,313

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Below quota	Elected
1	Clare Sheridan	Labour Party	1,555	36.1%	−13.9 pts	Elected
2	Dave Stubbs	Reform UK	1,130	26.2%	—
3	Steve Tennant	Green Party	897	20.8%	—
4	Ali Aydogdu	Conservative Party	468	10.9%	—
5	John Robert Franklin-Johnston	Liberal Democrats	227	5.3%	—
6	Paul Regan	Advance UK	36	0.8%	—

Electorate 8,716 · Ballots cast 4,322 · Invalid 9 · EC ward code local.trafford.urmston.2026-05-07 · Back to ward index

Sale Central · single-seat

Marginal winner 36.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −13.6 pts Valid ballots 3,864

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Below quota	Elected
1	Eve Rebecca Parker	Labour Party	1,405	36.4%	−13.6 pts	Elected
2	Teddy Somers	Green Party	943	24.4%	—
3	Stephen Colin Ardern	Reform UK	571	14.8%	—
4	Kameswari Achanta	Conservative Party	521	13.5%	—
5	Joe Samuel Kramer	Liberal Democrats	279	7.2%	—
6	Hilary Salt	Social Democratic Party	145	3.8%	—

Electorate 7,746 · Ballots cast 3,882 · Invalid 18 · EC ward code local.trafford.sale-central.2026-05-07 · Back to ward index

Sale Moor · single-seat

Marginal winner 36.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −13.1 pts Valid ballots 3,983

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Below quota	Elected
1	Liz Patel	Labour Party	1,471	36.9%	−13.1 pts	Elected
2	James William McCullough	Reform UK	985	24.7%	—
3	Chris James Hargreaves	Green Party	786	19.7%	—
4	Kishorchandra Patil	Conservative Party	533	13.4%	—
5	James Miller	Liberal Democrats	208	5.2%	—

Electorate 8,343 · Ballots cast 3,996 · Invalid 13 · EC ward code local.trafford.sale-moor.2026-05-07 · Back to ward index

Timperley Central · single-seat

Marginal winner 39.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −11.0 pts Valid ballots 4,339

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Below quota	Elected
1	Julian David Newgrosh	Liberal Democrats	1,693	39.0%	−11.0 pts	Elected
2	Philip Alexander Holt	Reform UK	1,081	24.9%	—
3	Vineeta Singh Chouhan	Conservative Party	765	17.6%	—
4	James Brooke-Taylor	Green Party	475	10.9%	—
5	Barbara Ruth Twiney	Labour Party	325	7.5%	—

Electorate 8,644 · Ballots cast 4,344 · Invalid 5 · EC ward code local.trafford.timperley-central.2026-05-07 · Back to ward index

Bucklow-St Martins · single-seat

Marginal winner 43.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −6.4 pts Valid ballots 2,812

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Below quota	Elected
1	Charlotte Amy Eileen Waterworth	Reform UK	1,226	43.6%	−6.4 pts	Elected
2	Aidan James Williams	Labour Party	618	22.0%	—
3	George James Speight	Green Party	412	14.7%	—
4	Istvan Toth	Conservative Party	314	11.2%	—
5	Margaret Hamilton Boysen	Liberal Democrats	173	6.2%	—
6	Paul Swansborough	Advance UK	69	2.5%	—

Electorate 8,135 · Ballots cast 2,820 · Invalid 8 · EC ward code local.trafford.bucklow-st-martins.2026-05-07 · Back to ward index

Altrincham · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −5.8 pts Valid ballots 3,942

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Below quota	Elected
1	Dan Jerrome	Green Party	1,744	44.2%	−5.8 pts	Elected
2	Nick Dean	Conservative Party	1,099	27.9%	—
3	Stuart Craig Niven	Reform UK	556	14.1%	—
4	Mark Nesbitt	Labour Party	363	9.2%	—
5	Donald McIntosh	Liberal Democrats	180	4.6%	—

Electorate 8,131 · Ballots cast 3,954 · Invalid 12 · EC ward code local.trafford.altrincham.2026-05-07 · Back to ward index

Gorse Hill and Cornbrook · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −5.7 pts Valid ballots 3,199

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Below quota	Elected
1	Aaron James Fradley	Green Party	1,417	44.3%	−5.7 pts	Elected
2	Fianna Frances Ritchen Hornby	Labour Party	943	29.5%	—
3	Bill Sumner	Reform UK	515	16.1%	—
4	Stuart Donnelly	Conservative Party	199	6.2%	—
5	Dawn Lee Carberry-Power	Liberal Democrats	125	3.9%	—

Electorate 9,044 · Ballots cast 3,210 · Invalid 11 · EC ward code local.trafford.gorse-hill-cornbrook.2026-05-07 · Back to ward index

Hale · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −4.8 pts Valid ballots 4,291

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Below quota	Elected
1	Rupert Owen Kelly	Conservative Party	1,941	45.2%	−4.8 pts	Elected
2	Orla Weir	Green Party	1,571	36.6%	—
3	Richard Anthony Shean	Reform UK	346	8.1%	—
4	Seth Edward Champion	Labour Party	271	6.3%	—
5	Jason Stack	Liberal Democrats	162	3.8%	—

Electorate 7,298 · Ballots cast 4,297 · Invalid 6 · EC ward code local.trafford.hale.2026-05-07 · Back to ward index

Longford · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −3.3 pts Valid ballots 3,683

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Below quota	Elected
1	Gareth Adam Twose	Green Party	1,719	46.7%	−3.3 pts	Elected
2	Judith Ann Lloyd	Labour Party	1,196	32.5%	—
3	Charles William Oliver Rear	Reform UK	399	10.8%	—
4	Chris Boyes	Conservative Party	242	6.6%	—
5	Anna Fryer	Liberal Democrats	127	3.4%	—

Electorate 8,220 · Ballots cast 3,690 · Invalid 7 · EC ward code local.trafford.longford.2026-05-07 · Back to ward index

Manor · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −3.1 pts Valid ballots 4,340

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Below quota	Elected
1	Rupali Paul	Conservative Party	2,037	46.9%	−3.1 pts	Elected
2	Dan Barker	Reform UK	827	19.1%	—
3	Gawain Glenton	Labour Party	803	18.5%	—
4	James McGlashan	Green Party	528	12.2%	—
5	Simon Wright	Liberal Democrats	145	3.3%	—

Electorate 8,616 · Ballots cast 4,353 · Invalid 13 · EC ward code local.trafford.manor.2026-05-07 · Back to ward index

Timperley North · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −1.4 pts Valid ballots 4,684

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Below quota	Elected
1	Will Frass	Liberal Democrats	2,276	48.6%	−1.4 pts	Elected
2	Anthony Shaw	Reform UK	830	17.7%	—
3	Angela Bruer-Morris	Conservative Party	646	13.8%	—
4	Aagash Vadera	Green Party	471	10.1%	—
5	Jo Sharpe	Labour Party	440	9.4%	—
6	Angela O'Neill	Advance UK	21	0.4%	—

Electorate 8,790 · Ballots cast 4,694 · Invalid 10 · EC ward code local.trafford.timperley-north.2026-05-07 · Back to ward index

Hale Barns and Timperley South · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota +1.7 pts Valid ballots 4,135

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Below quota	Elected
1	Nathan Evans	Conservative Party	2,138	51.7%	+1.7 pts	Elected
2	Matt Sellars	Liberal Democrats	1,084	26.2%	—
3	Leslie Cupitt	Reform UK	431	10.4%	—
4	Centaine Parker	Green Party	299	7.2%	—
5	Isaac Jones	Labour Party	183	4.4%	—

Electorate 7,647 · Ballots cast 4,143 · Invalid 8 · EC ward code local.trafford.hale-barns-timperley-south.2026-05-07 · Back to ward index

Old Trafford · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota +2.6 pts Valid ballots 3,710

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Below quota	Elected
1	Jennie Patricia Wadsworth	Green Party	1,952	52.6%	+2.6 pts	Elected
2	Mahvish Masood	Labour Party	1,338	36.1%	—
3	Alan Cowell	Reform UK	160	4.3%	—
4	Diane Coupe	Conservative Party	142	3.8%	—
5	Andy Hick	Liberal Democrats	118	3.2%	—

Electorate 8,817 · Ballots cast 3,720 · Invalid 10 · EC ward code local.trafford.old-trafford.2026-05-07 · Back to ward index

Bowdon · single-seat

Marginal winner 54.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota +4.5 pts Valid ballots 4,804

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Below quota	Elected
1	Shengke Zhi	Conservative Party	2,616	54.5%	+4.5 pts	Elected
2	Bridget Mary Green	Green Party	1,424	29.6%	—
3	Michelle Lesley McCusker	Reform UK	445	9.3%	—
4	Kate Lamerton	Labour Party	203	4.2%	—
5	Ludo Tolhurst-Cleaver	Liberal Democrats	105	2.2%	—
6	Ron Hutton	Advance UK	11	0.2%	—

Electorate 8,558 · Ballots cast 4,816 · Invalid 12 · EC ward code local.trafford.bowdon.2026-05-07 · Back to ward index