← Waltham Forest (all cycles) · 3 May 2018 cohort
Waltham Forest 2018
Local elections held 3 May 2018.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 20 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 60 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labour Party | 115,189 | 58.1% | 46 | 76.7% | 36 | 60.0% | +10 |
| Conservative Party | 47,608 | 24.0% | 14 | 23.3% | 15 | 25.0% | -1 |
| Liberal Democrats | 20,453 | 10.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 6 | 10.0% | -6 |
| Green Party | 10,963 | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 5.0% | -3 |
| Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 2,836 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 385 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| DPl | 349 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| IndNwk | 259 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| The Liberal Party | 117 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 198,159 | 100.0% | 60 | 100.0% | 60 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
The 2018 cycle was an all-out election — every seat was contested. The two opencouncildata snapshots below show the council immediately after the 2018 election (current) and on the eve of it (2017), so you can see what the result replaced.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Hale End and Highams Park · 3 seats · won at 45.0% · above quota
- Valley · 3 seats · won at 48.3% · above quota
- Hatch Lane · 3 seats · won at 49.8% · above quota
- Larkswood · 3 seats · won at 52.9% · above quota
- Leyton · 3 seats · won at 55.5% · above quota
- Grove Green · 3 seats · won at 59.9% · above quota
- Forest · 3 seats · won at 60.4% · above quota
- High Street · 3 seats · won at 60.6% · above quota
- Chapel End · 3 seats · won at 61.5% · above quota
- Chingford Green · 3 seats · won at 62.5% · above quota
- Endlebury · 3 seats · won at 65.2% · above quota
- Wood Street · 3 seats · won at 65.7% · above quota
- Cann Hall · 3 seats · won at 65.9% · above quota
- Hoe Street · 3 seats · won at 66.8% · above quota
- Higham Hill · 3 seats · won at 67.4% · above quota
- Leytonstone · 3 seats · won at 67.4% · above quota
- Lea Bridge · 3 seats · won at 67.8% · above quota
- Markhouse · 3 seats · won at 68.2% · above quota
- William Morris · 3 seats · won at 71.3% · above quota
- Cathall · 3 seats · won at 75.6% · above quota
Race results
Hale End and Highams Park · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 45.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +20.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 4,107
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tony Bell | Labour Party | 2,114 | 17.2% | 51.5% | +26.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Rosalind Doré | Labour Party | 2,011 | 16.3% | 49.0% | +24.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Zia-Ur Rehman | Labour Party | 1,846 | 15.0% | 45.0% | +20.0 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Sheree Rackham | Conservative Party | 1,749 | 14.2% | 42.6% | — | |
| 5 | Munish Chopra-Evans | Conservative Party | 1,716 | 13.9% | 41.8% | — | |
| 6 | Molly Samuel | Conservative Party | 1,694 | 13.8% | 41.3% | — | |
| 7 | Roger Payne | Green Party | 597 | 4.8% | 14.5% | — | |
| 8 | Jane Morgan | Liberal Democrats | 319 | 2.6% | 7.8% | — | |
| 9 | Jo Loxton | Liberal Democrats | 274 | 2.2% | 6.7% | — |
Valley · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 48.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +23.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,525
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jemma Hemsted | Conservative Party | 1,764 | 16.7% | 50.0% | +25.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Elizabeth Baptiste | Labour Party | 1,747 | 16.5% | 49.6% | +24.6 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Alan Siggers | Conservative Party | 1,703 | 16.1% | 48.3% | +23.3 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Aktar Beg | Labour Party | 1,654 | 15.6% | 46.9% | — | |
| 5 | Afzal Akram | Conservative Party | 1,631 | 15.4% | 46.3% | — | |
| 6 | Zaheer Khan | Labour Party | 1,582 | 15.0% | 44.9% | — | |
| 7 | Ian Paterson | Liberal Democrats | 204 | 1.9% | 5.8% | — | |
| 8 | Joshua Curtis-Hale | Liberal Democrats | 173 | 1.6% | 4.9% | — | |
| 9 | Henry Boyle | The Liberal Party | 117 | 1.1% | 3.3% | — |
Hatch Lane · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 49.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +24.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,433
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marion Fitzgerald | Conservative Party | 1,768 | 17.2% | 51.5% | +26.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Geoff Walker | Conservative Party | 1,739 | 16.9% | 50.7% | +25.7 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Tim James | Conservative Party | 1,709 | 16.6% | 49.8% | +24.8 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Lesley Finlayson | Labour Party | 1,338 | 13.0% | 39.0% | — | |
| 5 | Liz Fenton | Labour Party | 1,309 | 12.7% | 38.1% | — | |
| 6 | Jenny Lennox | Labour Party | 1,287 | 12.5% | 37.5% | — | |
| 7 | Rosemary Green | Green Party | 367 | 3.6% | 10.7% | — | |
| 8 | Michael Holloway | Green Party | 279 | 2.7% | 8.1% | — | |
| 9 | Rebecca Redwood | Green Party | 272 | 2.6% | 7.9% | — | |
| 10 | Ted Cooke | Liberal Democrats | 231 | 2.2% | 6.7% | — |
Larkswood · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 52.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +27.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,799
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Moss | Conservative Party | 2,196 | 19.3% | 57.8% | +32.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Selina Seesunkur | Conservative Party | 2,027 | 17.8% | 53.4% | +28.4 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Catherine Saumarez | Conservative Party | 2,008 | 17.6% | 52.9% | +27.9 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Angela da Costa | Labour Party | 1,500 | 13.2% | 39.5% | — | |
| 5 | Rehana Ali-Rahman | Labour Party | 1,479 | 13.0% | 38.9% | — | |
| 6 | Shumon Ali-Rahman | Labour Party | 1,412 | 12.4% | 37.2% | — | |
| 7 | Robert Tatam | Green Party | 392 | 3.4% | 10.3% | — | |
| 8 | Leonie Hirst | Liberal Democrats | 211 | 1.9% | 5.6% | — | |
| 9 | Nigel Lea | Liberal Democrats | 173 | 1.5% | 4.6% | — |
Leyton · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 55.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +30.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,500
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacob Edwards | Labour Party | 2,122 | 20.2% | 60.6% | +35.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Whitney Ihenachor | Labour Party | 2,114 | 20.1% | 60.4% | +35.4 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Simon Miller | Labour Party | 1,943 | 18.5% | 55.5% | +30.5 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Bob Sullivan | Liberal Democrats | 1,253 | 11.9% | 35.8% | — | |
| 5 | Ed Bird | Liberal Democrats | 1,167 | 11.1% | 33.3% | — | |
| 6 | Farooq Qureshi | Liberal Democrats | 1,162 | 11.1% | 33.2% | — | |
| 7 | Patricia Branagan | Conservative Party | 192 | 1.8% | 5.5% | — | |
| 8 | Rommel Moseley | Conservative Party | 190 | 1.8% | 5.4% | — | |
| 9 | Michael Caplan | Conservative Party | 176 | 1.7% | 5.0% | — | |
| 10 | Boguslawa Danielewicz | DPl | 96 | 0.9% | 2.7% | — | |
| 11 | Cédric Gérôme | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 85 | 0.8% | 2.4% | — |
Grove Green · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 59.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +34.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,335
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anna Mbachu | Labour Party | 2,052 | 20.5% | 61.5% | +36.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Khevyn Limbajee | Labour Party | 2,047 | 20.5% | 61.4% | +36.4 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Chris Robbins | Labour Party | 1,997 | 20.0% | 59.9% | +34.9 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Arran Angus | Liberal Democrats | 897 | 9.0% | 26.9% | — | |
| 5 | Naomi McCarthy | Liberal Democrats | 725 | 7.2% | 21.7% | — | |
| 6 | Ukonu Obasi | Liberal Democrats | 623 | 6.2% | 18.7% | — | |
| 7 | Deanna Donovan | Green Party | 456 | 4.6% | 13.7% | — | |
| 8 | Liam Connor | Green Party | 416 | 4.2% | 12.5% | — | |
| 9 | Jane Bartram | Conservative Party | 247 | 2.5% | 7.4% | — | |
| 10 | James Ellingham | Conservative Party | 216 | 2.2% | 6.5% | — | |
| 11 | Thor Halland | Conservative Party | 200 | 2.0% | 6.0% | — | |
| 12 | Sarah Sachs-Eldridge | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 128 | 1.3% | 3.8% | — |
Forest · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 60.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +35.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,206
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shabana Dhedhi | Labour Party | 2,101 | 21.8% | 65.5% | +40.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Kastriot Berberi | Labour Party | 2,013 | 20.9% | 62.8% | +37.8 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Gerry Lyons | Labour Party | 1,936 | 20.1% | 60.4% | +35.4 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Jordan Sullivan | Liberal Democrats | 770 | 8.0% | 24.0% | — | |
| 5 | Rupert Pickering | Liberal Democrats | 735 | 7.6% | 22.9% | — | |
| 6 | Dave Sherwood | Liberal Democrats | 698 | 7.3% | 21.8% | — | |
| 7 | Diana Korchien | Green Party | 548 | 5.7% | 17.1% | — | |
| 8 | Lauren Maske | Conservative Party | 281 | 2.9% | 8.8% | — | |
| 9 | Barbara Randall | Conservative Party | 278 | 2.9% | 8.7% | — | |
| 10 | Pamela Jovcic | Conservative Party | 258 | 2.7% | 8.0% | — |
High Street · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 60.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +35.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,564
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clare Coghill | Labour Party | 2,629 | 24.6% | 73.8% | +48.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Raja Anwar | Labour Party | 2,354 | 22.0% | 66.0% | +41.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Liaquat Ali | Labour Party | 2,160 | 20.2% | 60.6% | +35.6 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Andrew Johns | Green Party | 804 | 7.5% | 22.6% | — | |
| 5 | Ciara Simmons | Liberal Democrats | 374 | 3.5% | 10.5% | — | |
| 6 | Sally Burnell | Liberal Democrats | 361 | 3.4% | 10.1% | — | |
| 7 | Rory Fitzgerald | Liberal Democrats | 358 | 3.3% | 10.0% | — | |
| 8 | Richard Keough | Conservative Party | 303 | 2.8% | 8.5% | — | |
| 9 | Nancy Taaffe | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 297 | 2.8% | 8.3% | — | |
| 10 | Henryka Gibbons | Conservative Party | 289 | 2.7% | 8.1% | — | |
| 11 | Adenike Akinbusoye | Conservative Party | 263 | 2.5% | 7.4% | — | |
| 12 | James O'Rourke | IndNwk | 259 | 2.4% | 7.3% | — | |
| 13 | Marvin Hay | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 242 | 2.3% | 6.8% | — |
Chapel End · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 61.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +36.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,232
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Louise Mitchell | Labour Party | 2,272 | 23.4% | 70.3% | +45.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Paul Douglas | Labour Party | 2,187 | 22.6% | 67.7% | +42.7 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Steve Terry | Labour Party | 1,986 | 20.5% | 61.5% | +36.5 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Susan Wheat | Green Party | 712 | 7.3% | 22.0% | — | |
| 5 | James Simmons | Conservative Party | 495 | 5.1% | 15.3% | — | |
| 6 | Fatlum Lushi | Conservative Party | 459 | 4.7% | 14.2% | — | |
| 7 | Rachelle Harris | Liberal Democrats | 430 | 4.4% | 13.3% | — | |
| 8 | Mostakin Miah | Conservative Party | 429 | 4.4% | 13.3% | — | |
| 9 | Adam Pike | Liberal Democrats | 293 | 3.0% | 9.1% | — | |
| 10 | Peter Sigrist | Liberal Democrats | 279 | 2.9% | 8.6% | — | |
| 11 | Kevin Parslow | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 153 | 1.6% | 4.7% | — |
Chingford Green · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 62.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +37.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,380
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andy Hemsted | Conservative Party | 2,185 | 21.6% | 64.7% | +39.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Kay Isa | Conservative Party | 2,133 | 21.0% | 63.1% | +38.1 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Nick Halebi | Conservative Party | 2,113 | 20.8% | 62.5% | +37.5 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Kieran Falconer | Labour Party | 967 | 9.5% | 28.6% | — | |
| 5 | Shameem Highfield | Labour Party | 924 | 9.1% | 27.3% | — | |
| 6 | Anton Lyons | Labour Party | 860 | 8.5% | 25.4% | — | |
| 7 | Miranda James | Green Party | 474 | 4.7% | 14.0% | — | |
| 8 | Joan Carder | Liberal Democrats | 270 | 2.7% | 8.0% | — | |
| 9 | Jeniffer Sullivan | Liberal Democrats | 213 | 2.1% | 6.3% | — |
Endlebury · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 65.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +40.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,322
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roy Berg | Conservative Party | 2,276 | 22.8% | 68.5% | +43.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Emma Best | Conservative Party | 2,223 | 22.3% | 66.9% | +41.9 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Mitchell Goldie | Conservative Party | 2,166 | 21.7% | 65.2% | +40.2 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Arran Griffiths | Labour Party | 929 | 9.3% | 28.0% | — | |
| 5 | Crystal Ihenachor | Labour Party | 890 | 8.9% | 26.8% | — | |
| 6 | Shaheen Rafique | Labour Party | 855 | 8.6% | 25.7% | — | |
| 7 | Rosemary Warrington | Green Party | 301 | 3.0% | 9.1% | — | |
| 8 | Chris Portou | Liberal Democrats | 172 | 1.7% | 5.2% | — | |
| 9 | Bettina Szabo-Shaw | Liberal Democrats | 153 | 1.5% | 4.6% | — |
Wood Street · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 65.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +40.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,445
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ros Flowers | Labour Party | 2,496 | 24.2% | 72.5% | +47.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Vicky te Velde | Labour Party | 2,333 | 22.6% | 67.7% | +42.7 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Richard Sweden | Labour Party | 2,262 | 21.9% | 65.7% | +40.7 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Christine Olende | Green Party | 612 | 5.9% | 17.8% | — | |
| 5 | Stephen Murphy | Conservative Party | 510 | 4.9% | 14.8% | — | |
| 6 | Moufazzal Bhuiyan | Conservative Party | 479 | 4.6% | 13.9% | — | |
| 7 | Humayun Ikram | Conservative Party | 438 | 4.2% | 12.7% | — | |
| 8 | Beth Bramley | Liberal Democrats | 359 | 3.5% | 10.4% | — | |
| 9 | Suleman Ahmed | Liberal Democrats | 248 | 2.4% | 7.2% | — | |
| 10 | Sadia Mirza | Liberal Democrats | 242 | 2.3% | 7.0% | — | |
| 11 | Linda Taaffe | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 184 | 1.8% | 5.3% | — | |
| 12 | Lee Hawksbee | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 172 | 1.7% | 5.0% | — |
Cann Hall · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 65.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +40.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,972
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sally Littlejohn | Labour Party | 1,993 | 22.4% | 67.1% | +42.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Keith Rayner | Labour Party | 1,971 | 22.1% | 66.3% | +41.3 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Patrick Edwards | Labour Party | 1,958 | 22.0% | 65.9% | +40.9 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Liz Phillips | Liberal Democrats | 726 | 8.1% | 24.4% | — | |
| 5 | Rupert Alexander | Liberal Democrats | 682 | 7.6% | 22.9% | — | |
| 6 | Faiz Faiz | Liberal Democrats | 574 | 6.4% | 19.3% | — | |
| 7 | Ami Amlani | Green Party | 434 | 4.9% | 14.6% | — | |
| 8 | Kathleen Berg | Conservative Party | 178 | 2.0% | 6.0% | — | |
| 9 | Phillip Brimley | Conservative Party | 167 | 1.9% | 5.6% | — | |
| 10 | Muhammed Shaikh | Conservative Party | 167 | 1.9% | 5.6% | — | |
| 11 | Claire Laker-Mansfield | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 67 | 0.8% | 2.3% | — |
Hoe Street · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 66.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +41.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,321
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saima Mahmud | Labour Party | 2,409 | 24.2% | 72.5% | +47.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ahsan Khan | Labour Party | 2,222 | 22.3% | 66.9% | +41.9 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Tom Connor | Labour Party | 2,219 | 22.3% | 66.8% | +41.8 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Stephen Lambert | Green Party | 736 | 7.4% | 22.2% | — | |
| 5 | Matthew Davis | Conservative Party | 395 | 4.0% | 11.9% | — | |
| 6 | Svetlana Holloway | Conservative Party | 357 | 3.6% | 10.8% | — | |
| 7 | Rachel Wedderburn | Conservative Party | 355 | 3.6% | 10.7% | — | |
| 8 | Letica Gil Martinez | Liberal Democrats | 350 | 3.5% | 10.5% | — | |
| 9 | James Goodman | Liberal Democrats | 348 | 3.5% | 10.5% | — | |
| 10 | Thomas Addenbrooke | Liberal Democrats | 290 | 2.9% | 8.7% | — | |
| 11 | Paul Bell | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 281 | 2.8% | 8.5% | — |
Higham Hill · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 67.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +42.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,059
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karen Bellamy | Labour Party | 2,406 | 26.2% | 78.7% | +53.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Hather Ali | Labour Party | 2,188 | 23.8% | 71.5% | +46.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Alistair Strathern | Labour Party | 2,061 | 22.5% | 67.4% | +42.4 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Louise Ashcroft | Green Party | 587 | 6.4% | 19.2% | — | |
| 5 | Tim Bennett-Goodman | Independent | 385 | 4.2% | 12.6% | — | |
| 6 | Carl Atkin-House | Conservative Party | 383 | 4.2% | 12.5% | — | |
| 7 | Michael Bamber | Conservative Party | 351 | 3.8% | 11.5% | — | |
| 8 | Daniel Malachi | Conservative Party | 315 | 3.4% | 10.3% | — | |
| 9 | Patrick Smith | Liberal Democrats | 255 | 2.8% | 8.3% | — | |
| 10 | Shahnaz Malik | Liberal Democrats | 245 | 2.7% | 8.0% | — |
Leytonstone · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 67.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +42.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,161
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clyde Loakes | Labour Party | 2,218 | 23.4% | 70.2% | +45.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jenny Gray | Labour Party | 2,168 | 22.9% | 68.6% | +43.6 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Marie Pye | Labour Party | 2,132 | 22.5% | 67.4% | +42.4 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Mark Dawes | Green Party | 628 | 6.6% | 19.9% | — | |
| 5 | Marian Cristea | Conservative Party | 425 | 4.5% | 13.4% | — | |
| 6 | Muhammad Afzal Choudhry | Liberal Democrats | 358 | 3.8% | 11.3% | — | |
| 7 | David McCarthy | Liberal Democrats | 338 | 3.6% | 10.7% | — | |
| 8 | Camilla Small | Conservative Party | 338 | 3.6% | 10.7% | — | |
| 9 | Roger Hemsted | Conservative Party | 335 | 3.5% | 10.6% | — | |
| 10 | David Young | Liberal Democrats | 252 | 2.7% | 8.0% | — | |
| 11 | Mark Best | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 119 | 1.3% | 3.8% | — | |
| 12 | Isai Priya | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 97 | 1.0% | 3.1% | — | |
| 13 | Theo Sharieff | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 75 | 0.8% | 2.4% | — |
Lea Bridge · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 67.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +42.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,003
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Masood Ahmad | Labour Party | 2,313 | 25.7% | 77.0% | +52.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Yemi Osho | Labour Party | 2,131 | 23.7% | 71.0% | +46.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Mohammad Asghar | Labour Party | 2,036 | 22.6% | 67.8% | +42.8 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Rachel Barrat | Green Party | 660 | 7.3% | 22.0% | — | |
| 5 | Elliot Burton | Conservative Party | 408 | 4.5% | 13.6% | — | |
| 6 | Irfan Khadim | Conservative Party | 262 | 2.9% | 8.7% | — | |
| 7 | Jemima Miah | Liberal Democrats | 252 | 2.8% | 8.4% | — | |
| 8 | Zeshan Ahmed | Liberal Democrats | 240 | 2.7% | 8.0% | — | |
| 9 | Mohammed Shaikh | Conservative Party | 222 | 2.5% | 7.4% | — | |
| 10 | Martin Reynolds | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 214 | 2.4% | 7.1% | — | |
| 11 | Waqas Qureshi | Liberal Democrats | 175 | 1.9% | 5.8% | — | |
| 12 | Beata Gajos | DPl | 97 | 1.1% | 3.2% | — |
Markhouse · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 68.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +43.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,027
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sharon Waldron | Labour Party | 2,173 | 23.9% | 71.8% | +46.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Asim Mahmood | Labour Party | 2,075 | 22.9% | 68.6% | +43.6 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Johar Khan | Labour Party | 2,064 | 22.7% | 68.2% | +43.2 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Christopher Lemin | Green Party | 625 | 6.9% | 20.6% | — | |
| 5 | Laura Offer | Liberal Democrats | 379 | 4.2% | 12.5% | — | |
| 6 | Gillian Hemsted | Conservative Party | 354 | 3.9% | 11.7% | — | |
| 7 | Saima Islam | Conservative Party | 335 | 3.7% | 11.1% | — | |
| 8 | Jerry Leport | Conservative Party | 286 | 3.1% | 9.4% | — | |
| 9 | Marek Marczynski | Liberal Democrats | 250 | 2.8% | 8.3% | — | |
| 10 | Ben Robinson | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 230 | 2.5% | 7.6% | — | |
| 11 | Sam Simonds-Gooding | Liberal Democrats | 203 | 2.2% | 6.7% | — | |
| 12 | Joanna Dorobisz | DPl | 106 | 1.2% | 3.5% | — |
William Morris · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 71.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +46.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,201
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grace Williams | Labour Party | 2,429 | 25.3% | 75.9% | +50.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Joe Lacey-Holland | Labour Party | 2,286 | 23.8% | 71.4% | +46.4 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Umar Ali | Labour Party | 2,283 | 23.8% | 71.3% | +46.3 pts | Elected |
| 4 | David Hamilton | Green Party | 743 | 7.7% | 23.2% | — | |
| 5 | Millie Balkan | Conservative Party | 315 | 3.3% | 9.8% | — | |
| 6 | Benjamin Connon | Conservative Party | 303 | 3.2% | 9.5% | — | |
| 7 | Dexter Coles | Conservative Party | 288 | 3.0% | 9.0% | — | |
| 8 | Jan-Dinant Schreuder | Liberal Democrats | 280 | 2.9% | 8.7% | — | |
| 9 | Michael Rodden | Liberal Democrats | 259 | 2.7% | 8.1% | — | |
| 10 | Paula Mitchell | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 229 | 2.4% | 7.2% | — | |
| 11 | Ken Douglas | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 187 | 1.9% | 5.8% | — |
Cathall · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 75.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +50.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,463
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Naheed Asghar | Labour Party | 1,996 | 27.0% | 81.1% | +56.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Terry Wheeler | Labour Party | 1,887 | 25.5% | 76.6% | +51.6 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Jonathan O'Dea | Labour Party | 1,863 | 25.2% | 75.6% | +50.6 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Glyn Roberts | Green Party | 320 | 4.3% | 13.0% | — | |
| 5 | John Howard | Liberal Democrats | 231 | 3.1% | 9.4% | — | |
| 6 | Fatima Ahmad | Conservative Party | 219 | 3.0% | 8.9% | — | |
| 7 | Joan O'Brien | Liberal Democrats | 205 | 2.8% | 8.3% | — | |
| 8 | Clyde Kitson | Liberal Democrats | 194 | 2.6% | 7.9% | — | |
| 9 | Craig Moss | Conservative Party | 194 | 2.6% | 7.9% | — | |
| 10 | Zarif Isa | Conservative Party | 153 | 2.1% | 6.2% | — | |
| 11 | Scott Jones | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 76 | 1.0% | 3.1% | — | |
| 12 | Elzbieta Raza | DPl | 50 | 0.7% | 2.0% | — |