← Welwyn Hatfield (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

Welwyn Hatfield 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

16 ward races

16 seats

8 elected below the proportional quota

50.0% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 16 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 16 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party	9,017	33.8%	4	25.0%	6	37.5%	-2
Labour Party	8,239	30.9%	6	37.5%	5	31.3%	+1
Liberal Democrats	6,908	25.9%	6	37.5%	4	25.0%	+2
Green Party	2,365	8.9%	0	0.0%	1	6.3%	-1
Reform UK	162	0.6%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	26,691	100.0%	16	100.0%	16	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Welham Green & Hatfield South · 1 seat · won at 38.1% · +11.9 pts below quota
Hatfield East · 1 seat · won at 39.8% · +10.2 pts below quota
Hatfield South West · 1 seat · won at 43.7% · +6.3 pts below quota
Hatfield Villages · 1 seat · won at 44.0% · +6.0 pts below quota
Peartree · 1 seat · won at 44.6% · +5.4 pts below quota
Welwyn East · 1 seat · won at 45.7% · +4.3 pts below quota
Welwyn West · 1 seat · won at 47.0% · +3.0 pts below quota
Panshanger · 1 seat · won at 47.2% · +2.8 pts below quota
Haldens · 1 seat · won at 50.9% · above quota
Sherrards · 1 seat · won at 53.0% · above quota
Howlands · 1 seat · won at 54.9% · above quota
Handside · 1 seat · won at 56.0% · above quota
Hatfield Central · 1 seat · won at 57.5% · above quota
Hollybush · 1 seat · won at 58.3% · above quota
Brookmans Park & Little Heath · 1 seat · won at 62.0% · above quota
Northaw & Cuffley · 1 seat · won at 66.8% · above quota

Race results

Welham Green & Hatfield South · single-seat

Marginal winner 38.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +11.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,609

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Nix, A.	Liberal Democrats	613	38.1%	Elected
2	Travell, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	566	35.2%
3	Mendez, L.	Labour Party	335	20.8%
4	Nendick, I.	Green Party	50	3.1%
5	Scott, S.	Reform UK	45	2.8%

Electorate 5,202 · Ballots cast 1,609 · Back to ward index

Hatfield East · single-seat

Marginal winner 39.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +10.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,791

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Watson, C.	Labour Party	712	39.8%	Elected
2	Juggins, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	592	33.1%
3	Joglu, M.	Liberal Democrats	388	21.7%
4	Gregory, I.	Green Party	99	5.5%

Electorate 5,654 · Ballots cast 1,791 · Back to ward index

Hatfield South West · single-seat

Marginal winner 43.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +6.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,509

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Goldwater, H.	Liberal Democrats	659	43.7%	Elected
2	Shah, V.	Labour Party	559	37.0%
3	Perkins, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	216	14.3%
4	Henn, A.	Green Party	75	5.0%

Electorate 5,602 · Ballots cast 1,509 · Back to ward index

Hatfield Villages · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +6.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,606

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Grewal, R.	Labour Party	707	44.0%	Elected
2	Kurland, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	476	29.6%
3	Taylor, B.	Liberal Democrats	289	18.0%
4	Kukol, A.	Green Party	86	5.4%
5	Whitehead, P.	Reform UK	48	3.0%

Electorate 5,730 · Ballots cast 1,606 · Back to ward index

Peartree · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,306

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Goldwater, S.	Liberal Democrats	582	44.6%	Elected
2	Green, T.	Labour Party	466	35.7%
3	Dhelaria, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	167	12.8%
4	Ferlisi, C.	Green Party	91	7.0%

Electorate 5,430 · Ballots cast 1,306 · Back to ward index

Welwyn East · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,859

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Trigg, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	849	45.7%	Elected
2	Chesterman, A.	Labour Party	571	30.7%
3	Barton, M.	Green Party	235	12.6%
4	Fatemi, P.	Liberal Democrats	204	11.0%

Electorate 5,124 · Ballots cast 1,859 · Back to ward index

Welwyn West · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,986

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Kingsbury, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	934	47.0%	Elected
2	Butcher, S.	Green Party	724	36.5%
3	Carlen, D.	Labour Party	200	10.1%
4	Archer, S.	Liberal Democrats	128	6.4%

Electorate 4,845 · Ballots cast 1,986 · Back to ward index

Panshanger · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,541

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Quinton, J.	Liberal Democrats	728	47.2%	Elected
2	McAuliffe, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	441	28.6%
3	Hewitt, P.	Labour Party	304	19.7%
4	Miles, C.	Green Party	68	4.4%

Electorate 4,384 · Ballots cast 1,541 · Back to ward index

Haldens · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.9 pts Valid ballots 1,683

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Scott, A.	Labour Party	856	50.9%	Elected
2	Bradbury, N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	521	31.0%
3	Payne, J.	Liberal Democrats	175	10.4%
4	Smith, L.	Green Party	131	7.8%

Electorate 4,925 · Ballots cast 1,683 · Back to ward index

Sherrards · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.0 pts Valid ballots 1,925

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Marsh, F.	Liberal Democrats	1,020	53.0%	Elected
2	Gilbert, L.	Labour Party	416	21.6%
3	Kumar, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	337	17.5%
4	Cox, D.	Green Party	83	4.3%
5	Aaron, J.	Reform UK	69	3.6%

Electorate 4,373 · Ballots cast 1,925 · Back to ward index

Howlands · single-seat

Marginal winner 54.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −4.9 pts Valid ballots 1,568

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Weston, J.	Labour Party	861	54.9%	Elected
2	Chattha, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	502	32.0%
3	Skoczylas, H.	Liberal Democrats	103	6.6%
4	Berrington, P.	Green Party	102	6.5%

Electorate 5,291 · Ballots cast 1,568 · Back to ward index

Handside · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.0 pts Valid ballots 2,505

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Siewniak, M.	Liberal Democrats	1,403	56.0%	Elected
2	Seeger, B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	695	27.7%
3	Mpofu, M.	Labour Party	253	10.1%
4	Hopley, P.	Green Party	154	6.1%

Electorate 5,443 · Ballots cast 2,505 · Back to ward index

Hatfield Central · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.5 pts Valid ballots 1,239

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Thorpe, K.	Labour Party	713	57.5%	Elected
2	Short, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	276	22.3%
3	Edwards, A.	Liberal Democrats	148	11.9%
4	Ribeiro, R.	Green Party	102	8.2%

Electorate 5,404 · Ballots cast 1,239 · Back to ward index

Hollybush · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.3 pts Valid ballots 1,240

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Birleson, M.	Labour Party	723	58.3%	Elected
2	Cook, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	306	24.7%
3	Wilson, P.	Liberal Democrats	113	9.1%
4	Bristow, J.	Green Party	98	7.9%

Electorate 4,913 · Ballots cast 1,240 · Back to ward index

Brookmans Park & Little Heath · single-seat

Marginal winner 62.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −12.0 pts Valid ballots 1,684

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Boulton, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,044	62.0%	Elected
2	Beevers, G.	Labour Party	308	18.3%
3	Basford, P.	Liberal Democrats	204	12.1%
4	Berrington, W.	Green Party	128	7.6%

Electorate 5,000 · Ballots cast 1,684 · Back to ward index

Northaw & Cuffley · single-seat

Marginal winner 66.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −16.8 pts Valid ballots 1,640

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Michaelides, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,095	66.8%	Elected
2	Barrett, S.	Labour Party	255	15.5%
3	Green, A.	Liberal Democrats	151	9.2%
4	Edwards, B.	Green Party	139	8.5%

Electorate 4,690 · Ballots cast 1,640 · Back to ward index