← West Lindsey (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

West Lindsey 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

19 ward races

35 seats

24 elected below the proportional quota

68.6% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 19 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 35 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Liberal Democrats	19,633	47.1%	18	51.4%	18	51.4%	0
Conservative and Unionist Party	15,340	36.8%	13	37.1%	14	40.0%	-1
Labour Party	1,818	4.4%	0	0.0%	1	2.9%	-1
Independent	1,737	4.2%	2	5.7%	1	2.9%	+1
LINCS IND	1,503	3.6%	2	5.7%	1	2.9%	+1
Green Party	763	1.8%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Reform UK	572	1.4%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
GAINS IND	186	0.4%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	68	0.2%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
The Liberal Party	60	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	41,680	100.0%	35	100.0%	35	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Scampton · 1 seat · won at 37.2% · +12.8 pts below quota
Nettleham · 2 seats · won at 21.2% · +12.2 pts below quota
Market Rasen · 3 seats · won at 14.3% · +10.7 pts below quota
Dunholme & Welton · 3 seats · won at 15.7% · +9.3 pts below quota
Cherry Willingham · 3 seats · won at 16.1% · +8.9 pts below quota
Gainsborough East · 3 seats · won at 18.0% · +7.0 pts below quota
Scotter & Blyton · 3 seats · won at 19.4% · +5.6 pts below quota
Gainsborough North · 3 seats · won at 19.6% · +5.4 pts below quota
Hemswell · 1 seat · won at 45.8% · +4.2 pts below quota
Saxilby · 2 seats · won at 29.9% · +3.4 pts below quota
Caistor & Yarborough · 2 seats · won at 30.3% · +3.0 pts below quota
Torksey · 1 seat · won at 48.6% · +1.4 pts below quota
Gainsborough South West · 2 seats · won at 33.4% · above quota
Lea · 1 seat · won at 51.4% · above quota
Sudbrooke · 1 seat · won at 51.6% · above quota
Wold View · 1 seat · won at 55.9% · above quota
Stow · 1 seat · won at 57.9% · above quota
Waddingham & Spital · 1 seat · won at 58.3% · above quota
Bardney · 1 seat · won at 60.9% · above quota

Race results

Scampton · single-seat

Marginal winner 37.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +12.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 802

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Patterson, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	298	37.2%	Elected
2	Sullivan, G.	Labour Party	294	36.7%
3	Berger, N.	Liberal Democrats	111	13.8%
4	Smith, N.	Reform UK	99	12.3%

Electorate 2,099 · Ballots cast 802 · Back to ward index

Nettleham · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 21.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +12.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,802

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Barrett, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	641	22.9%	Elected
2	Brown, F.	Conservative and Unionist Party	593	21.2%	Elected
3	Hladun, P.	Liberal Democrats	475	17.0%
4	McGuire, J.	Labour Party	409	14.6%
5	Shore, H.	Liberal Democrats	295	10.5%
6	Johnson, C.	Green Party	273	9.7%
7	Smith, J.	Reform UK	62	2.2%
8	Cambo, A.	Reform UK	54	1.9%

Electorate 3,661 · Ballots cast 2,802 · Back to ward index

Market Rasen · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 14.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +10.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,989

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Bunney, S.	Liberal Democrats	1,539	25.7%	Elected
2	Bennett, E.	Liberal Democrats	1,041	17.4%	Elected
3	Westley, M.	Liberal Democrats	859	14.3%	Elected
4	McNeill, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	693	11.6%
5	Ashby, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	623	10.4%
6	Bridgwood, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	561	9.4%
7	Saywell, C.	Labour Party	341	5.7%
8	Vause, K.	Labour Party	332	5.5%

Electorate 6,659 · Ballots cast 5,989 · Back to ward index

Dunholme & Welton · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 15.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +9.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,770

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Swift, P.	Liberal Democrats	1,038	18.0%	Elected
2	Hague, S.	Liberal Democrats	909	15.8%	Elected
3	Rodgers, D.	Independent	906	15.7%	Elected
4	Grimble, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	788	13.7%
5	Easters, F.	Liberal Democrats	754	13.1%
6	Seal, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	705	12.2%
7	Sharman, E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	670	11.6%

Electorate 6,842 · Ballots cast 5,770 · Back to ward index

Cherry Willingham · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 16.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +8.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,594

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Darcel, C.	LINCS IND	918	20.0%	Elected
2	Bridgwood, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	741	16.1%	Elected
3	Palmer, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	740	16.1%	Elected
4	Morris, E.	Liberal Democrats	675	14.7%
5	Plastow, J.	Liberal Democrats	524	11.4%
6	Ward, J.	Liberal Democrats	505	11.0%
7	Thompson, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	491	10.7%

Electorate 6,357 · Ballots cast 4,594 · Back to ward index

Gainsborough East · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 18.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +7.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,122

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Boles, M.	Liberal Democrats	534	25.2%	Elected
2	Dobbie, D.	Liberal Democrats	397	18.7%	Elected
3	Flear, J.	Liberal Democrats	382	18.0%	Elected
4	Devine, M.	GAINS IND	186	8.8%
5	Smith, P.	Labour Party	161	7.6%
6	Davies, T.	Independent	154	7.3%
7	Burge, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	130	6.1%
8	Downey, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	110	5.2%
9	Hancock, M.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	68	3.2%

Electorate 5,091 · Ballots cast 2,122 · Back to ward index

Scotter & Blyton · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 19.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +5.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,567

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Rollings, L.	Liberal Democrats	1,037	22.7%	Elected
2	Clews, L.	Liberal Democrats	970	21.2%	Elected
3	Carless, K.	Liberal Democrats	884	19.4%	Elected
4	Bibb, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	595	13.0%
5	Blakelock, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	531	11.6%
6	Allison, C.	Reform UK	288	6.3%
7	Woolley, K.	Independent	262	5.7%

Electorate 6,014 · Ballots cast 4,567 · Back to ward index

Gainsborough North · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 19.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +5.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,832

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Snee, J.	Liberal Democrats	622	22.0%	Elected
2	Key, P.	LINCS IND	585	20.7%	Elected
3	Snee, M.	Liberal Democrats	555	19.6%	Elected
4	Brennan, S.	Liberal Democrats	503	17.8%
5	Bowler, N.	Green Party	341	12.0%
6	McDaniel, H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	226	8.0%

Electorate 5,425 · Ballots cast 2,832 · Back to ward index

Hemswell · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 670

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Howitt-Cowan, P.	Independent	307	45.8%	Elected
2	Butroid, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	212	31.6%
3	Barstow, R.	Liberal Democrats	151	22.5%

Electorate 2,105 · Ballots cast 670 · Back to ward index

Saxilby · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 29.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +3.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,843

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Brockway, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,055	37.1%	Elected
2	Lee, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	851	29.9%	Elected
3	Young, L.	Liberal Democrats	475	16.7%
4	Rollings, J.	Liberal Democrats	462	16.3%

Electorate 4,834 · Ballots cast 2,843 · Back to ward index

Caistor & Yarborough · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 30.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +3.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,305

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Bierley, O.	Conservative and Unionist Party	726	31.5%	Elected
2	Lawrence, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	699	30.3%	Elected
3	Clark, J.	Liberal Democrats	469	20.3%
4	Panter, K.	Liberal Democrats	411	17.8%

Electorate 4,447 · Ballots cast 2,305 · Back to ward index

Torksey · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 901

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Pilgrim, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	438	48.6%	Elected
2	Mullally, N.	Liberal Democrats	304	33.7%
3	Cox, T.	Labour Party	159	17.6%

Electorate 2,359 · Ballots cast 901 · Back to ward index

Gainsborough South West · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 33.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference 0.0 pts Valid ballots 1,429

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Young, T.	Liberal Democrats	551	38.6%	Elected
2	McGhee, J.	Liberal Democrats	477	33.4%	Elected
3	Eddowes, M.	Labour Party	122	8.5%
4	Craig, R.	Independent	108	7.6%
5	Woodward, V.	Conservative and Unionist Party	102	7.1%
6	Morley, S.	Reform UK	69	4.8%

Electorate 3,800 · Ballots cast 1,429 · Back to ward index

Lea · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.4 pts Valid ballots 693

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Bailey, E.	Liberal Democrats	356	51.4%	Elected
2	Milne, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	337	48.6%

Electorate 1,781 · Ballots cast 693 · Back to ward index

Sudbrooke · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.6 pts Valid ballots 717

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Velan, B.	Liberal Democrats	370	51.6%	Elected
2	Welburn, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	347	48.4%

Electorate 2,166 · Ballots cast 717 · Back to ward index

Wold View · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.9 pts Valid ballots 612

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Smith, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	342	55.9%	Elected
2	Levison, R.	Liberal Democrats	270	44.1%

Electorate 2,026 · Ballots cast 612 · Back to ward index

Stow · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.9 pts Valid ballots 668

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mullally, L.	Liberal Democrats	387	57.9%	Elected
2	Coulson, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	281	42.1%

Electorate 1,974 · Ballots cast 668 · Back to ward index

Waddingham & Spital · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.3 pts Valid ballots 643

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Duguid, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	375	58.3%	Elected
2	Taylor, N.	Liberal Democrats	268	41.7%

Electorate 1,999 · Ballots cast 643 · Back to ward index

Bardney · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.9 pts Valid ballots 721

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Fleetwood, I.	Conservative and Unionist Party	439	60.9%	Elected
2	Pearson, V.	Green Party	149	20.7%
3	Kenyon, C.	Liberal Democrats	73	10.1%
4	Shaw, C.	The Liberal Party	60	8.3%

Electorate 2,089 · Ballots cast 721 · Back to ward index