← West Oxfordshire (all cycles) · 3 May 2018 cohort

West Oxfordshire 2018

Local elections held 3 May 2018.

16 ward races
17 seats
4 elected below the proportional quota
23.5% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 16 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 17 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Conservative Party9,29945.4%1058.8%847.1%+2
Labour Party5,40526.4%317.6%529.4%-2
Liberal Democrats4,36321.3%423.5%423.5%0
Green Party7803.8%00.0%00.0%0
Independent6203.0%00.0%00.0%0
Total20,467100.0%17100.0%17100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Council composition: what this election replaced

Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2018 election (current) and immediately before it (2017). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2018 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.

Current (2018)
Previous (2017)

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Woodstock and Bladon · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 42.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −8.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,438

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Julian CooperLiberal Democrats60442.0%−8.0 ptsElected
2Betsy GlasgowConservative Party40328.0%
3Sharone ParnesIndependent15410.7%
4Mathew ParkinsonGreen Party15210.6%
5Dave BaldwinLabour Party1258.7%

EC ward code E05006653 · Back to ward index

Witney South · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 42.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −7.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,553

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Anthony HarveyConservative Party66642.9%−7.1 ptsElected
2Owen CollinsLabour Party64041.2%
3Carol CatherGreen Party1348.6%
4Christopher BlountLiberal Democrats1137.3%

EC ward code E05006651 · Back to ward index

Witney East · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 44.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −5.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,969

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Rosalind BolgerLabour Party86944.1%−5.9 ptsElected
2Ron SpursConservative Party85943.6%
3Gabriel SchenkLiberal Democrats1306.6%
4Stuart MacDonaldGreen Party1115.6%

EC ward code E05006649 · Back to ward index

Eynsham and Cassington · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,151

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Carl RylettLiberal Democrats1,06249.4%−0.6 ptsElected
2Abdul MubinConservative Party60428.1%
3Elsa DawsonLabour Party38317.8%
4Helen GavinGreen Party1024.7%

EC ward code E05006639 · Back to ward index

Ascott and Shipton · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 866

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Jake AcockLiberal Democrats45752.8%+2.8 ptsElected
2Tom SimcoxConservative Party33738.9%
3Sian O'NeillLabour Party576.6%
4Celia KerslakeGreen Party151.7%

EC ward code E05006628 · Back to ward index

The Bartons · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 53.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +3.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 798

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Dave JacksonLiberal Democrats42353.0%+3.0 ptsElected
2Jonny RosemontConservative Party34242.9%
3Aaron MilesLabour Party334.1%

EC ward code E05006647 · Back to ward index

Freeland and Hanborough · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 39.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,533

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Merilyn DaviesLabour Party74124.2%48.4%+15.0 ptsElected
2Alaa al-YousufConservative Party60219.6%39.3%+5.9 ptsElected
3Colin DingwallConservative Party57018.6%37.2%
4Andrew LesnikLabour Party44214.4%28.8%
5Stuart BrooksIndependent37012.1%24.1%
6Andrew WrightGreen Party1234.0%8.0%
7Andy CrickLiberal Democrats1224.0%8.0%
8Chris TattonLiberal Democrats953.1%6.2%

EC ward code E05006640 · Back to ward index

Bampton and Clanfield · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,104

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1James MillsConservative Party64658.5%+8.5 ptsElected
2Dennis WalkerLiberal Democrats21419.4%
3Trevor LicenseLabour Party11010.0%
4Pete HandleyIndependent968.7%
5Harriet KopinskaGreen Party383.4%

EC ward code E05006629 · Back to ward index

Chipping Norton · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 59.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,890

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Laetisia CarterLabour Party1,11659.0%+9.0 ptsElected
2Gary JonesConservative Party49025.9%
3Juliet ByrneLiberal Democrats28415.0%

EC ward code E05006637 · Back to ward index

Standlake, Aston and Stanton Harcourt · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 61.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,282

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Steve GoodConservative Party78761.4%+11.4 ptsElected
2Andrew GoodwinLiberal Democrats23017.9%
3Jessica CartwrightLabour Party18914.7%
4Alma TumilowiczGreen Party765.9%

EC ward code E05006645 · Back to ward index

Ducklington · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 62.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +12.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 605

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Ben WoodruffConservative Party37562.0%+12.0 ptsElected
2John ColeLiberal Democrats11919.7%
3Richard KelsallLabour Party11118.3%

EC ward code E05006638 · Back to ward index

Carterton North East · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 65.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +15.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 765

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Martin McBrideConservative Party50065.4%+15.4 ptsElected
2Calvert McGibbonLabour Party16721.8%
3Derek LaudLiberal Democrats9812.8%

EC ward code E05006632 · Back to ward index

Carterton North West · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 68.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +18.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 909

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Maxine CrosslandConservative Party62668.9%+18.9 ptsElected
2Dave WessonLabour Party18920.8%
3Ivan Aguado MeletLiberal Democrats9410.3%

EC ward code E05009365 · Back to ward index

Carterton South · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 69.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +19.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 821

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Nick LevertonConservative Party57269.7%+19.7 ptsElected
2Ben LinesLiberal Democrats11113.5%
3Simon AdderleyLabour Party10913.3%
4Andy KingGreen Party293.5%

EC ward code E05006634 · Back to ward index

Brize Norton and Shilton · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 71.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +21.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 580

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Alex PostanConservative Party41771.9%+21.9 ptsElected
2Gillian WorkmanLiberal Democrats9416.2%
3Stephen ParkinsonLabour Party6911.9%

EC ward code E05009364 · Back to ward index

Burford · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 75.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +25.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 671

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Derek CotterillConservative Party50375.0%+25.0 ptsElected
2Elizabeth MortimerLiberal Democrats11316.8%
3Andrew FerreroLabour Party558.2%

EC ward code E05009363 · Back to ward index