← Worcester (all cycles) · 3 May 2018 cohort

Worcester 2018

Local elections held 3 May 2018.

12 ward races
13 seats
5 elected below the proportional quota
38.5% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 12 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 13 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Conservative Party9,36041.3%646.2%646.2%0
Labour Party7,87734.7%646.2%538.5%+1
Green Party2,71312.0%17.7%17.7%0
Liberal Democrats1,6797.4%00.0%17.7%-1
UK Independence Party (UKIP)8213.6%00.0%00.0%0
WEP1580.7%00.0%00.0%0
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition320.1%00.0%00.0%0
BritRes170.1%00.0%00.0%0
Libtn140.1%00.0%00.0%0
Total22,671100.0%13100.0%13100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Council composition: what this election replaced

Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2018 election (current) and immediately before it (2017). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2018 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.

Current (2018)
Previous (2017)

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Claines · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 40.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −9.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,854

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Stuart Denlegh-MaxwellConservative Party1,15540.5%−9.5 ptsElected
2Mel AllcottLiberal Democrats1,09338.3%
3Rachael BaylisLabour Party41714.6%
4Peter RobinsonGreen Party1475.2%
5Mark HulmeUK Independence Party (UKIP)421.5%

EC ward code E05007884 · Back to ward index

Gorse Hill · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 43.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −6.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,286

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Mohammed AltafConservative Party56043.5%−6.5 ptsElected
2Jenny BarnesLabour Party52941.1%
3John FrancisUK Independence Party (UKIP)1179.1%
4Hannah CooperGreen Party806.2%

EC ward code E05007885 · Back to ward index

Warndon Parish North · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,558

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Stephen HodgsonConservative Party70445.2%−4.8 ptsElected
2Andy GrahamLabour Party56236.1%
3Andrew CrossGreen Party19612.6%
4Sarah MurrayLiberal Democrats553.5%
5Paul BoyesUK Independence Party (UKIP)271.7%
6James GoadLibtn140.9%

EC ward code E05007893 · Back to ward index

Cathedral · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,148

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Jabba RiazLabour Party1,47246.8%−3.2 ptsElected
2Nida HassanConservative Party1,18037.5%
3Alaric StephenGreen Party2377.5%
4Ken CarpenterLiberal Democrats1635.2%
5Hazel FinchUK Independence Party (UKIP)963.0%

EC ward code E05007883 · Back to ward index

Battenhall · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,269

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Louise GriffithsGreen Party1,11449.1%−0.9 ptsElected
2Steve MackayConservative Party1,01544.7%
3Saiful IslamLabour Party944.1%
4John ButterfieldUK Independence Party (UKIP)321.4%
5Karen LawranceLiberal Democrats140.6%

EC ward code E05007881 · Back to ward index

Bedwardine · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,204

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Bill AmosConservative Party1,11150.4%+0.4 ptsElected
2Christopher WinwoodLabour Party57826.2%
3Mike MullinsLiberal Democrats1627.4%
4Leisa TaylorWEP1587.2%
5Daniel ManningGreen Party1205.4%
6John BeachamUK Independence Party (UKIP)753.4%

EC ward code E05007882 · Back to ward index

Nunnery · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,007

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Pat AgarLabour Party1,01750.7%+0.7 ptsElected
2Haris SaleemConservative Party71335.5%
3Barbara MitraGreen Party1497.4%
4Jon BarrasUK Independence Party (UKIP)1115.5%
5Carl MasonBritRes170.8%

EC ward code E05007886 · Back to ward index

St John · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 56.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +6.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,670

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Matthew LambLabour Party94256.4%+6.4 ptsElected
2Malcolm CopsonConservative Party47928.7%
3Chris LindsayGreen Party885.3%
4Darrell ButlerLiberal Democrats774.6%
5Rob MenziesUK Independence Party (UKIP)523.1%
6Mark DaviesTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition321.9%

EC ward code E05007889 · Back to ward index

Warndon Parish South · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,424

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Andy RobertsConservative Party82057.6%+7.6 ptsElected
2Ella YoungLabour Party40628.5%
3Stephen BrohanGreen Party825.8%
4Steve MatherLiberal Democrats815.7%
5Nicholas JordanUK Independence Party (UKIP)352.5%

EC ward code E05007894 · Back to ward index

Rainbow Hill · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 59.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,008

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Tom CollinsLabour Party59959.4%+9.4 ptsElected
2Chris RimellConservative Party23323.1%
3Marjory BissetGreen Party979.6%
4Dave CarneyUK Independence Party (UKIP)454.5%
5Jon TaylorLiberal Democrats343.4%

EC ward code E05007887 · Back to ward index

St Peter's Parish · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 63.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +13.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,580

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Mike JohnsonConservative Party1,00963.9%+13.9 ptsElected
2Bob SouthernLabour Party30019.0%
3Nicky WilliamsGreen Party23114.6%
4Lisa BarrasUK Independence Party (UKIP)402.5%

EC ward code E05007890 · Back to ward index

Warndon · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 54.6% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +21.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 832

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Jo HodgesLabour Party50730.5%61.0%+27.6 ptsElected
2Ceri StalkerLabour Party45427.3%54.6%+21.3 ptsElected
3Pam ClaytonConservative Party21312.8%25.6%
4Francis LankesterConservative Party16810.1%20.2%
5Peter NielsenGreen Party1146.9%13.7%
6Owen ClearyUK Independence Party (UKIP)1126.7%13.5%
7Alison MorganGreen Party583.5%7.0%
8Chris RobertsUK Independence Party (UKIP)372.2%4.4%

EC ward code E05007892 · Back to ward index