← Adur (all cycles) · 5 May 2016 cohort
Adur 2016
Local elections held 5 May 2016.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 14 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 15 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 6,140 | 35.6% | 7 | 46.7% | 5 | 33.3% | +2 |
| Labour Party | 4,278 | 24.8% | 3 | 20.0% | 4 | 26.7% | -1 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 4,179 | 24.2% | 4 | 26.7% | 4 | 26.7% | 0 |
| Liberal Democrats | 1,149 | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 6.7% | -1 |
| Independent | 1,036 | 6.0% | 1 | 6.7% | 1 | 6.7% | 0 |
| Green Party | 489 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 17,271 | 100.0% | 15 | 100.0% | 15 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2016 election (current) and immediately before it (2015). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2016 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Southlands · 1 seat · won at 31.2% · −18.8 pts below quota
- Cokeham · 1 seat · won at 33.6% · −16.4 pts below quota
- St Mary's · 1 seat · won at 33.6% · −16.4 pts below quota
- Churchill · 1 seat · won at 34.3% · −15.7 pts below quota
- Manor · 1 seat · won at 37.8% · −12.2 pts below quota
- Eastbrook · 1 seat · won at 40.0% · −10.0 pts below quota
- Mash Barn · 1 seat · won at 42.3% · −7.7 pts below quota
- Peverel · 1 seat · won at 45.7% · −4.3 pts below quota
- St Nicolas · 1 seat · won at 48.4% · −1.6 pts below quota
- Southwick Green · 1 seat · won at 50.2% · above quota
- Widewater · 2 seats · won at 34.4% · above quota
- Hillside · 1 seat · won at 51.6% · above quota
- Buckingham · 1 seat · won at 52.8% · above quota
- Marine · 1 seat · won at 68.5% · above quota
Race results
Southlands · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 31.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −18.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 966
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paul Graysmark | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 301 | 31.2% | −18.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Anthony Nicklen | Conservative Party | 289 | 29.9% | — | |
| 3 | Kieran Francis | Labour Party | 281 | 29.1% | — | |
| 4 | Andrew Tinsley | Liberal Democrats | 95 | 9.8% | — |
Cokeham · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 33.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −16.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,120
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barry Mear | Labour Party | 376 | 33.6% | −16.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mick Clark | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 358 | 32.0% | — | |
| 3 | Paul Mansfield | Conservative Party | 328 | 29.3% | — | |
| 4 | Narsing Dooraree | Liberal Democrats | 58 | 5.2% | — |
St Mary's · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 33.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −16.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,194
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sami Zeglam | Labour Party | 401 | 33.6% | −16.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Cindy Golds | Conservative Party | 374 | 31.3% | — | |
| 3 | Sean Ridley | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 176 | 14.7% | — | |
| 4 | Paul Hendy | Green Party | 154 | 12.9% | — | |
| 5 | Neville Merrett | Liberal Democrats | 89 | 7.5% | — |
Churchill · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 34.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −15.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,145
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robin Monk | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 393 | 34.3% | −15.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Pat Beresford | Conservative Party | 362 | 31.6% | — | |
| 3 | Daniel Ballance | Labour Party | 267 | 23.3% | — | |
| 4 | Steve Creed | Liberal Democrats | 123 | 10.7% | — |
Manor · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 37.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −12.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,220
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carson Albury | Conservative Party | 461 | 37.8% | −12.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jason Lock | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 316 | 25.9% | — | |
| 3 | John Ballance | Labour Party | 198 | 16.2% | — | |
| 4 | Keith Dollemore | Independent | 168 | 13.8% | — | |
| 5 | Steve Martin | Liberal Democrats | 77 | 6.3% | — |
Eastbrook · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 40.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −10.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,072
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leslie Alden | Labour Party | 429 | 40.0% | −10.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David Donaldson | Conservative Party | 405 | 37.8% | — | |
| 3 | Frances Hearne | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 189 | 17.6% | — | |
| 4 | Patrick Ginnelly | Green Party | 49 | 4.6% | — |
Mash Barn · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 42.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −7.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 940
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elizabeth Haywood | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 398 | 42.3% | −7.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Neil Maguinness | Conservative Party | 212 | 22.6% | — | |
| 3 | Douglas Bradley | Labour Party | 184 | 19.6% | — | |
| 4 | Doris Martin | Liberal Democrats | 146 | 15.5% | — |
Peverel · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,074
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | George Barton | Conservative Party | 491 | 45.7% | −4.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Raymond McLeod | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 322 | 30.0% | — | |
| 3 | Alun Jones | Labour Party | 194 | 18.1% | — | |
| 4 | Yasoda Dooraree | Liberal Democrats | 67 | 6.2% | — |
St Nicolas · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,219
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brian Coomber | Conservative Party | 590 | 48.4% | −1.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Irene Reed | Labour Party | 292 | 24.0% | — | |
| 3 | Jean Turner | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 116 | 9.5% | — | |
| 4 | Louise Miller | Green Party | 113 | 9.3% | — | |
| 5 | Janet Kimber | Liberal Democrats | 108 | 8.9% | — |
Southwick Green · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,056
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peter Metcalfe | Conservative Party | 530 | 50.2% | +0.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David Bowen | Labour Party | 252 | 23.9% | — | |
| 3 | William Jarman | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 142 | 13.4% | — | |
| 4 | David Edey | Liberal Democrats | 67 | 6.3% | — | |
| 5 | Annie Brown | Green Party | 65 | 6.2% | — |
Widewater · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 34.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,473
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ann Bridges | Conservative Party | 616 | 20.9% | 41.8% | +8.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Clive Burghard | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 506 | 17.2% | 34.4% | +1.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Gloria Eveleigh | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 492 | 16.7% | 33.4% | — | |
| 4 | Nicholas Pigott | Conservative Party | 411 | 14.0% | 27.9% | — | |
| 5 | Lee Cowen | Labour Party | 399 | 13.5% | 27.1% | — | |
| 6 | Jacqueline Pilkington | Labour Party | 366 | 12.4% | 24.8% | — | |
| 7 | Andrew Serhan | Liberal Democrats | 156 | 5.3% | 10.6% | — |
Hillside · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 51.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,067
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Angus Dunn | Conservative Party | 551 | 51.6% | +1.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Stephjen Gilbert | Labour Party | 253 | 23.7% | — | |
| 3 | Jennifer Greig | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 186 | 17.4% | — | |
| 4 | Helen Mears | Green Party | 40 | 3.7% | — | |
| 5 | Keith Humphrey | Liberal Democrats | 37 | 3.5% | — |
Buckingham · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 985
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kevin Boram | Conservative Party | 520 | 52.8% | +2.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Michael Thornton | Labour Party | 195 | 19.8% | — | |
| 3 | Darren Compton | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 133 | 13.5% | — | |
| 4 | Cyril Cannings | Liberal Democrats | 69 | 7.0% | — | |
| 5 | Leslie Groves Williams | Green Party | 68 | 6.9% | — |
Marine · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 68.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +18.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,267
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jocelyn Loader | Independent | 868 | 68.5% | +18.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Adrienne Lowe | Labour Party | 191 | 15.1% | — | |
| 3 | Peter Harvey | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 151 | 11.9% | — | |
| 4 | Thomas Hilditch | Liberal Democrats | 57 | 4.5% | — |