← Adur (all cycles) · 7 May 2026 cohort
Adur 2026
Local elections held 7 May 2026.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 14 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 14 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reform UK | 6,700 | 29.3% | 6 | 42.9% | 4 | 28.6% | +2 |
| Labour Party | 5,871 | 25.7% | 5 | 35.7% | 4 | 28.6% | +1 |
| Green Party | 4,213 | 18.4% | 1 | 7.1% | 3 | 21.4% | -2 |
| Conservative Party | 2,601 | 11.4% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 7.1% | -1 |
| Independent | 2,138 | 9.3% | 2 | 14.3% | 1 | 7.1% | +1 |
| Liberal Democrats | 1,353 | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 7.1% | -1 |
| Total | 22,876 | 100.0% | 14 | 100.0% | 14 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2026 election (current) and immediately before it (2025). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2026 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Churchill · 1 seat · won at 29.7% · −20.3 pts below quota
- Hillside · 1 seat · won at 34.1% · −15.9 pts below quota
- Southlands · 1 seat · won at 35.9% · −14.1 pts below quota
- Eastbrook · 1 seat · won at 36.1% · −13.9 pts below quota
- Manor · 1 seat · won at 38.3% · −11.7 pts below quota
- Buckingham · 1 seat · won at 38.5% · −11.5 pts below quota
- Peverel · 1 seat · won at 38.5% · −11.5 pts below quota
- Mash Barn · 1 seat · won at 38.5% · −11.5 pts below quota
- St Nicolas · 1 seat · won at 40.8% · −9.2 pts below quota
- Cokeham · 1 seat · won at 42.7% · −7.3 pts below quota
- Southwick Green · 1 seat · won at 42.8% · −7.2 pts below quota
- St Mary's · 1 seat · won at 43.6% · −6.4 pts below quota
- Widewater · 1 seat · won at 45.3% · −4.7 pts below quota
- Marine · 1 seat · won at 48.7% · −1.3 pts below quota
Race results
Churchill · single-seat
Marginal winner 29.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −20.3 pts Valid ballots 1,545
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Below quota | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Mendoza | Reform UK | 459 | 29.7% | −20.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Steve Neocleous | Independent | 388 | 25.1% | — | |
| 3 | Vikki Fryer | Labour Party | 225 | 14.6% | — | |
| 4 | Stuart Ian Richardson | Green Party | 194 | 12.6% | — | |
| 5 | Tony Nicklen | Conservative Party | 157 | 10.2% | — | |
| 6 | Ashley Ridley | Liberal Democrats | 122 | 7.9% | — |
Hillside · single-seat
Marginal winner 34.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −15.9 pts Valid ballots 1,359
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Below quota | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rhys Bradley Grinstead | Reform UK | 463 | 34.1% | −15.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Pat McGrath | Labour Party | 345 | 25.4% | — | |
| 3 | Leila Yasmin Powell Williams | Conservative Party | 343 | 25.2% | — | |
| 4 | Declan Decke | Green Party | 208 | 15.3% | — |
Southlands · single-seat
Marginal winner 35.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −14.1 pts Valid ballots 1,271
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Below quota | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nigel David Hepworth | Reform UK | 456 | 35.9% | −14.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Peter Ashley | Labour Party | 376 | 29.6% | — | |
| 3 | Maggie Rumble | Green Party | 251 | 19.7% | — | |
| 4 | Keith Humphrey | Liberal Democrats | 188 | 14.8% | — |
Eastbrook · single-seat
Marginal winner 36.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −13.9 pts Valid ballots 1,388
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Below quota | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David John Lovelidge | Labour Party | 501 | 36.1% | −13.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Joby Pannell | Reform UK | 379 | 27.3% | — | |
| 3 | Kelvin Howard Fry | Conservative Party | 219 | 15.8% | — | |
| 4 | Patrick George Ginnelly | Green Party | 219 | 15.8% | — | |
| 5 | Jacqueline Bartram | Liberal Democrats | 70 | 5.0% | — |
Manor · single-seat
Marginal winner 38.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −11.7 pts Valid ballots 1,565
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Below quota | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carol Albury | Independent | 599 | 38.3% | −11.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mark Grahame Burton | Reform UK | 473 | 30.2% | — | |
| 3 | Jude Harvey | Labour Party | 221 | 14.1% | — | |
| 4 | Effy Walsh | Green Party | 221 | 14.1% | — | |
| 5 | Cheikh Amed Tidiane Gueye | Liberal Democrats | 51 | 3.3% | — |
Buckingham · single-seat
Marginal winner 38.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −11.5 pts Valid ballots 1,643
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Below quota | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Joseph Devoy | Labour Party | 632 | 38.5% | −11.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David Stephen Cotton | Reform UK | 393 | 23.9% | — | |
| 3 | Kevin Boram | Conservative Party | 364 | 22.2% | — | |
| 4 | Gabrielle Crisp | Green Party | 159 | 9.7% | — | |
| 5 | William Harpley | Liberal Democrats | 95 | 5.8% | — |
Peverel · single-seat
Marginal winner 38.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −11.5 pts Valid ballots 1,424
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Below quota | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stuart Parsons | Reform UK | 548 | 38.5% | −11.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Matt Fry | Conservative Party | 267 | 18.8% | — | |
| 3 | Henry Herbert Allinson | Labour Party | 261 | 18.3% | — | |
| 4 | Saffi Price | Green Party | 194 | 13.6% | — | |
| 5 | Paul Mansfield | Independent | 154 | 10.8% | — |
Mash Barn · single-seat
Marginal winner 38.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −11.5 pts Valid ballots 1,639
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Below quota | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lee Cowen | Labour Party | 631 | 38.5% | −11.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Victoria Charlotte Fairman | Reform UK | 598 | 36.5% | — | |
| 3 | Susan Fry | Conservative Party | 183 | 11.2% | — | |
| 4 | Katie Piatt | Green Party | 165 | 10.1% | — | |
| 5 | Carolyn White | Liberal Democrats | 62 | 3.8% | — |
St Nicolas · single-seat
Marginal winner 40.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −9.2 pts Valid ballots 1,887
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Below quota | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liam John Brook Tidy | Green Party | 770 | 40.8% | −9.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jennifer Sarah Mendoza | Reform UK | 354 | 18.8% | — | |
| 3 | Bob Towner | Conservative Party | 306 | 16.2% | — | |
| 4 | Kathryn Elizabeth Upton | Labour Party | 295 | 15.6% | — | |
| 5 | Ian Jones | Liberal Democrats | 162 | 8.6% | — |
Cokeham · single-seat
Marginal winner 42.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −7.3 pts Valid ballots 1,521
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Below quota | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jim Doubtfire | Reform UK | 650 | 42.7% | −7.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Tony Bellasis | Conservative Party | 303 | 19.9% | — | |
| 3 | Alun Wynne Jones | Labour Party | 270 | 17.8% | — | |
| 4 | Adam Alexander Baxter | Green Party | 201 | 13.2% | — | |
| 5 | David Thompson | Liberal Democrats | 97 | 6.4% | — |
Southwick Green · single-seat
Marginal winner 42.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −7.2 pts Valid ballots 1,575
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Below quota | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dan Flower | Labour Party | 674 | 42.8% | −7.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Stuart Bower | Reform UK | 326 | 20.7% | — | |
| 3 | Julie Anne Searle | Conservative Party | 265 | 16.8% | — | |
| 4 | Helen Mears | Green Party | 231 | 14.7% | — | |
| 5 | Anthony Charles Stuart | Liberal Democrats | 79 | 5.0% | — |
St Mary's · single-seat
Marginal winner 43.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −6.4 pts Valid ballots 1,926
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Below quota | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeremy Gardner | Labour Party | 839 | 43.6% | −6.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Angie Buhl-Nielsen | Green Party | 431 | 22.4% | — | |
| 3 | Kate Michaela | Reform UK | 367 | 19.1% | — | |
| 4 | Maryam Shapouri | Conservative Party | 194 | 10.1% | — | |
| 5 | Dawn Rowatt | Liberal Democrats | 95 | 4.9% | — |
Widewater · single-seat
Marginal winner 45.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −4.7 pts Valid ballots 2,086
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Below quota | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joe Pannell | Reform UK | 945 | 45.3% | −4.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Connor James Ranahan | Green Party | 438 | 21.0% | — | |
| 3 | Joseph James O'Halloran | Labour Party | 423 | 20.3% | — | |
| 4 | Samantha Eaton | Liberal Democrats | 280 | 13.4% | — |
Marine · single-seat
Marginal winner 48.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −1.3 pts Valid ballots 2,047
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Below quota | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julia Watts | Independent | 997 | 48.7% | −1.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Troy Wade | Green Party | 531 | 25.9% | — | |
| 3 | Paul Garrett | Reform UK | 289 | 14.1% | — | |
| 4 | Pat Alden | Labour Party | 178 | 8.7% | — | |
| 5 | Neville James Pressley | Liberal Democrats | 52 | 2.5% | — |