← Blackburn with Darwen (all cycles) · 5 May 2016 cohort
Blackburn with Darwen 2016
Local elections held 5 May 2016.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 22 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 22 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labour Party | 20,649 | 58.2% | 14 | 63.6% | 13 | 59.1% | +1 |
| Conservative Party | 10,481 | 29.5% | 6 | 27.3% | 7 | 31.8% | -1 |
| Liberal Democrats | 1,892 | 5.3% | 2 | 9.1% | 1 | 4.5% | +1 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 1,692 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 4.5% | -1 |
| Independent | 783 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 35,497 | 100.0% | 22 | 100.0% | 22 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2016 election (current) and immediately before it (2015). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2016 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Marsh House · 1 seat · won at 33.8% · −16.2 pts below quota
- North Turton with Tockholes · 1 seat · won at 42.6% · −7.4 pts below quota
- Earcroft · 1 seat · won at 49.6% · −0.4 pts below quota
- Whitehall · 1 seat · won at 52.3% · above quota
- Meadowhead · 1 seat · won at 53.0% · above quota
- Sudell · 1 seat · won at 54.3% · above quota
- Roe Lee · 1 seat · won at 57.1% · above quota
- Sunnyhurst · 1 seat · won at 58.1% · above quota
- Mill Hill · 1 seat · won at 60.4% · above quota
- Beardwood with Lammack · 1 seat · won at 62.6% · above quota
- Fernhurst · 1 seat · won at 64.2% · above quota
- Shadsworth with Whitebirk · 1 seat · won at 66.8% · above quota
- Livesey with Pleasington · 1 seat · won at 69.1% · above quota
- Audley · 1 seat · won at 71.5% · above quota
- Higher Croft · 1 seat · won at 73.9% · above quota
- Little Harwood · 1 seat · won at 74.1% · above quota
- Ewood · 1 seat · won at 74.7% · above quota
- Shear Brow · 1 seat · won at 76.9% · above quota
- Queen's Park · 1 seat · won at 79.6% · above quota
- Bastwell · 1 seat · won at 81.4% · above quota
- Wensley Fold · 1 seat · won at 81.8% · above quota
- Corporation Park · 1 seat · won at 85.7% · above quota
Race results
Marsh House · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 33.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −16.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,655
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neil Slater | Conservative Party | 560 | 33.8% | −16.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Frank Connor | Labour Party | 558 | 33.7% | — | |
| 3 | Simon Huggill | Liberal Democrats | 279 | 16.9% | — | |
| 4 | Madeline Allen-Holmes | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 258 | 15.6% | — |
North Turton with Tockholes · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 42.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −7.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,623
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colin Rigby | Conservative Party | 692 | 42.6% | −7.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Phil McDermott | Independent | 657 | 40.5% | — | |
| 3 | Diane Waddington | Labour Party | 274 | 16.9% | — |
Earcroft · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 804
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephanie Brookfield | Labour Party | 399 | 49.6% | −0.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Lynn Perkins | Conservative Party | 299 | 37.2% | — | |
| 3 | John East | Liberal Democrats | 106 | 13.2% | — |
Whitehall · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,243
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karimeh Foster | Liberal Democrats | 650 | 52.3% | +2.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Steve Duncan | Conservative Party | 267 | 21.5% | — | |
| 3 | Austin Molloy | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 166 | 13.4% | — | |
| 4 | Joanne Birkner | Labour Party | 160 | 12.9% | — |
Meadowhead · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 53.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +3.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,403
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Keith Murray | Conservative Party | 743 | 53.0% | +3.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ashley Whalley | Labour Party | 660 | 47.0% | — |
Sudell · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,364
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roy Davies | Liberal Democrats | 741 | 54.3% | +4.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Kate Stirton | Labour Party | 478 | 35.0% | — | |
| 3 | Jean Brindle | Conservative Party | 145 | 10.6% | — |
Roe Lee · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,695
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sylvia Liddle | Labour Party | 968 | 57.1% | +7.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Maureen McGarvey | Conservative Party | 727 | 42.9% | — |
Sunnyhurst · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,747
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peter Hollings | Labour Party | 1,015 | 58.1% | +8.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Travis Frain | Conservative Party | 337 | 19.3% | — | |
| 3 | Ian Grimshaw | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 279 | 16.0% | — | |
| 4 | Ros Myers | Liberal Democrats | 116 | 6.6% | — |
Mill Hill · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 60.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +10.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,163
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carl Nuttall | Labour Party | 702 | 60.4% | +10.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Michael Longbottom | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 309 | 26.6% | — | |
| 3 | Ann Tolley | Conservative Party | 152 | 13.1% | — |
Beardwood with Lammack · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 62.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +12.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,765
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julie Daley | Conservative Party | 1,105 | 62.6% | +12.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Paul Mason | Labour Party | 660 | 37.4% | — |
Fernhurst · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 64.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +14.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,233
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Slater | Conservative Party | 791 | 64.2% | +14.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Donna Talbot | Labour Party | 442 | 35.8% | — |
Shadsworth with Whitebirk · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 66.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +16.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,311
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicky McGurk | Labour Party | 876 | 66.8% | +16.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Michael Madigan | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 349 | 26.6% | — | |
| 3 | Margaret Rawlinson | Conservative Party | 86 | 6.6% | — |
Livesey with Pleasington · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 69.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +19.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,066
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paul Marrow | Conservative Party | 1,427 | 69.1% | +19.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Adam Holden | Labour Party | 639 | 30.9% | — |
Audley · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 71.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +21.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,221
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zamir Khan | Labour Party | 1,587 | 71.5% | +21.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Saleem Kapadi | Conservative Party | 508 | 22.9% | — | |
| 3 | Raja Khan | Independent | 126 | 5.7% | — |
Higher Croft · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 73.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +23.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,183
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Don McKinlay | Labour Party | 874 | 73.9% | +23.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Michael Brooks | Conservative Party | 309 | 26.1% | — |
Little Harwood · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 74.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +24.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,902
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abdul Patel | Labour Party | 1,409 | 74.1% | +24.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Liz Lawson | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 331 | 17.4% | — | |
| 3 | Ghulam Sabir | Conservative Party | 162 | 8.5% | — |
Ewood · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 74.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +24.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,126
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamie Groves | Labour Party | 841 | 74.7% | +24.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Eleanor Sutcliffe | Conservative Party | 285 | 25.3% | — |
Shear Brow · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 76.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +26.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,354
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suleman Khonat | Labour Party | 1,811 | 76.9% | +26.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mohmed Irfan Balapatel | Conservative Party | 543 | 23.1% | — |
Queen's Park · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 79.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +29.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,171
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Faryad Hussain | Labour Party | 932 | 79.6% | +29.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Imraan Valimulla | Conservative Party | 239 | 20.4% | — |
Bastwell · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 81.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +31.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,643
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shaukat Hussain | Labour Party | 2,151 | 81.4% | +31.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sabir Esa | Conservative Party | 492 | 18.6% | — |
Wensley Fold · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 81.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +31.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,701
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dave Harling | Labour Party | 1,392 | 81.8% | +31.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Tariq Mahmood | Conservative Party | 309 | 18.2% | — |
Corporation Park · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 85.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +35.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,124
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tassy Fazal | Labour Party | 1,821 | 85.7% | +35.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Riaz Valli | Conservative Party | 303 | 14.3% | — |