← Blackburn with Darwen (all cycles) · 2 May 2019 cohort
Blackburn with Darwen 2019
Local elections held 2 May 2019.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 17 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 17 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labour Party | 18,200 | 55.3% | 12 | 70.6% | 11 | 64.7% | +1 |
| Conservative Party | 9,350 | 28.4% | 4 | 23.5% | 5 | 29.4% | -1 |
| Independent | 2,966 | 9.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 5.9% | -1 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 1,134 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Liberal Democrats | 1,042 | 3.2% | 1 | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0% | +1 |
| ForBritn | 220 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 32,912 | 100.0% | 17 | 100.0% | 17 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2019 election (current) and immediately before it (2018). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2019 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- West Pennine · 1 seat · won at 39.4% · −10.6 pts below quota
- Darwen East · 1 seat · won at 46.1% · −3.9 pts below quota
- Mill Hill and Moorgate · 1 seat · won at 47.5% · −2.5 pts below quota
- Billinge and Beardwood · 1 seat · won at 48.2% · −1.8 pts below quota
- Darwen South · 1 seat · won at 52.2% · above quota
- Shear Brow and Corporation Park · 1 seat · won at 53.2% · above quota
- Darwen West · 1 seat · won at 54.5% · above quota
- Blackburn South East · 1 seat · won at 57.3% · above quota
- Ewood · 1 seat · won at 58.9% · above quota
- Audley and Queen's Park · 1 seat · won at 65.0% · above quota
- Blackburn South and Lower Darwen · 1 seat · won at 65.9% · above quota
- Roe Lee · 1 seat · won at 66.4% · above quota
- Livesey with Pleasington · 1 seat · won at 76.1% · above quota
- Little Harwood and Whitebirk · 1 seat · won at 77.2% · above quota
- Blackburn Central · 1 seat · won at 81.7% · above quota
- Wensley Fold · 1 seat · won at 89.2% · above quota
- Bastwell and Daisyfield · 1 seat · won at 90.9% · above quota
Race results
West Pennine · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 39.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −10.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,591
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jean Rigby | Conservative Party | 1,022 | 39.4% | −10.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Philip McDermott | Independent | 847 | 32.7% | — | |
| 3 | Jude Rowley | Labour Party | 408 | 15.7% | — | |
| 4 | John East | Liberal Democrats | 314 | 12.1% | — |
Darwen East · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,580
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paul Browne | Liberal Democrats | 728 | 46.1% | −3.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Katrina Shepherd | Labour Party | 649 | 41.1% | — | |
| 3 | Ryan Slater | Conservative Party | 203 | 12.8% | — |
Mill Hill and Moorgate · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,501
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Damian Talbot | Labour Party | 713 | 47.5% | −2.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Michael Longbottom | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 507 | 33.8% | — | |
| 3 | Ann Tolley | Conservative Party | 281 | 18.7% | — |
Billinge and Beardwood · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,373
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jackie Floyd | Labour Party | 1,144 | 48.2% | −1.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mark Russell | Conservative Party | 727 | 30.6% | — | |
| 3 | Imtiaz Ali | Independent | 502 | 21.2% | — |
Darwen South · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,817
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lilian Salton | Conservative Party | 949 | 52.2% | +2.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Lee Ball | Labour Party | 648 | 35.7% | — | |
| 3 | Liam Robinson | ForBritn | 220 | 12.1% | — |
Shear Brow and Corporation Park · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 53.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +3.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,737
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zainab Rawat | Labour Party | 1,457 | 53.2% | +3.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Muntazir Patel | Independent | 1,033 | 37.7% | — | |
| 3 | Helen Voegt | Conservative Party | 247 | 9.0% | — |
Darwen West · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,101
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephanie Brookfield | Labour Party | 1,145 | 54.5% | +4.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Konrad Tapp | Conservative Party | 956 | 45.5% | — |
Blackburn South East · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,278
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicky McGurk | Labour Party | 732 | 57.3% | +7.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Liam Walsh | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 375 | 29.3% | — | |
| 3 | Martin Kerry | Conservative Party | 171 | 13.4% | — |
Ewood · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,330
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jim Casey | Labour Party | 784 | 58.9% | +8.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Keith Murray | Conservative Party | 546 | 41.1% | — |
Audley and Queen's Park · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 65.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +15.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,203
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salim Sidat | Labour Party | 1,431 | 65.0% | +15.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Tiger Patel | Independent | 584 | 26.5% | — | |
| 3 | Sarah Morrison | Conservative Party | 188 | 8.5% | — |
Blackburn South and Lower Darwen · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 65.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +15.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,494
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Slater | Conservative Party | 985 | 65.9% | +15.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Liz Johnson | Labour Party | 509 | 34.1% | — |
Roe Lee · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 66.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +16.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,978
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ron Whittle | Labour Party | 1,314 | 66.4% | +16.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Asghar Ali | Conservative Party | 664 | 33.6% | — |
Livesey with Pleasington · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 76.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +26.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,941
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paul Marrow | Conservative Party | 1,478 | 76.1% | +26.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Paul Mason | Labour Party | 463 | 23.9% | — |
Little Harwood and Whitebirk · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 77.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +27.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,005
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mustafa Desai | Labour Party | 1,547 | 77.2% | +27.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Grant Pugh | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 252 | 12.6% | — | |
| 3 | Judith Pearson | Conservative Party | 206 | 10.3% | — |
Blackburn Central · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 81.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +31.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,560
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahfooz Hussain | Labour Party | 1,274 | 81.7% | +31.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Cameron Prasher | Conservative Party | 286 | 18.3% | — |
Wensley Fold · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 89.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +39.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,196
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quesir Mahmood | Labour Party | 1,958 | 89.2% | +39.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Carolyn Marrow | Conservative Party | 238 | 10.8% | — |
Bastwell and Daisyfield · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 90.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +40.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,227
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shaukat Hussain | Labour Party | 2,024 | 90.9% | +40.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Henry Arnold | Conservative Party | 203 | 9.1% | — |