← Bolton (all cycles) · 5 May 2016 cohort

Bolton 2016

Local elections held 5 May 2016.

20 ward races
20 seats
12 elected below the proportional quota
60.0% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 20 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 20 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Labour Party29,59940.2%1260.0%945.0%+3
Conservative Party18,56325.2%525.0%525.0%0
UK Independence Party (UKIP)15,04320.4%210.0%420.0%-2
Liberal Democrats8,02810.9%15.0%210.0%-1
Green Party2,1983.0%00.0%00.0%0
Independent2010.3%00.0%00.0%0
Total73,632100.0%20100.0%20100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Council composition: what this election replaced

Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2016 election (current) and immediately before it (2015). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2016 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.

Current (2016)

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Westhoughton South · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 32.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −17.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,436

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Anna-Marie WattersLabour Party1,12332.7%−17.3 ptsElected
2David WilkinsonLiberal Democrats99629.0%
3Lynda Winrow-BakerConservative Party69620.3%
4Martin TigheUK Independence Party (UKIP)62118.1%

EC ward code E05000669 · Back to ward index

Breightmet · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 35.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −14.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,431

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Debbie NewallLabour Party1,23035.8%−14.2 ptsElected
2Harry LambUK Independence Party (UKIP)1,13032.9%
3Sandra MacneillConservative Party88825.9%
4Stephen HowarthLiberal Democrats942.7%
5Pamela SpurlingGreen Party892.6%

EC ward code E05000652 · Back to ward index

Hulton · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 37.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −13.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,711

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Darren WhiteheadLabour Party1,37437.0%−13.0 ptsElected
2Derek BullockConservative Party1,21432.7%
3Joan JohnsonUK Independence Party (UKIP)90924.5%
4James TomkinsonGreen Party1223.3%
5David CooperLiberal Democrats922.5%

EC ward code E05000662 · Back to ward index

Westhoughton North and Chew Moor · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 39.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −11.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 4,106

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Christine WildConservative Party1,60039.0%−11.0 ptsElected
2Anne GrahamLabour Party1,33632.5%
3George BownUK Independence Party (UKIP)69717.0%
4Derek GradwellLiberal Democrats3608.8%
5Heather RylanceGreen Party1132.8%

EC ward code E05000668 · Back to ward index

Little Lever and Darcy Lever · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 39.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −10.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 4,002

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Rees GibbonUK Independence Party (UKIP)1,57239.3%−10.7 ptsElected
2David EvansLabour Party1,09827.4%
3Eric HydeLiberal Democrats81320.3%
4Elizabeth ElliottConservative Party42910.7%
5Ed DunsdonGreen Party902.2%

EC ward code E05000664 · Back to ward index

Horwich North East · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 40.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −9.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,944

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Richard SilvesterLabour Party1,61240.9%−9.1 ptsElected
2Anne GallowayConservative Party80120.3%
3Stephen RockLiberal Democrats79520.2%
4Jeff ArmstrongUK Independence Party (UKIP)54313.8%
5Rod RiescoGreen Party1934.9%

EC ward code E05000661 · Back to ward index

Horwich and Blackrod · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 42.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −7.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,566

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Ann CunliffeLabour Party1,51642.5%−7.5 ptsElected
2Carol ForshawConservative Party1,05429.6%
3Derek SnowdenUK Independence Party (UKIP)67919.0%
4Keith CockerGreen Party1925.4%
5Doug BagnallLiberal Democrats1253.5%

EC ward code E05000660 · Back to ward index

Astley Bridge · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 42.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −7.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 4,445

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Hilary FaircloughConservative Party1,89142.5%−7.5 ptsElected
2Kevin MorrisLabour Party1,11425.1%
3Warren FoxLiberal Democrats91220.5%
4John TooneUK Independence Party (UKIP)4409.9%
5Ben DeedGreen Party882.0%

EC ward code E05000650 · Back to ward index

Kearsley · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,271

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Mark CunninghamUK Independence Party (UKIP)1,48045.2%−4.8 ptsElected
2Carol BurrowsLabour Party1,24838.2%
3Richard ElliottConservative Party3009.2%
4Aaron HepworthLiberal Democrats2437.4%

EC ward code E05000663 · Back to ward index

Tonge with the Haulgh · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,085

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Martin DonaghyLabour Party1,41545.9%−4.1 ptsElected
2Derek FisherUK Independence Party (UKIP)1,03033.4%
3Jennifer KirkConservative Party44814.5%
4Michael LangdonLiberal Democrats1093.5%
5Alexander ParkinsonGreen Party832.7%

EC ward code E05000667 · Back to ward index

Farnworth · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,928

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Asif IbrahimLabour Party1,41748.4%−1.6 ptsElected
2Andrew MabonUK Independence Party (UKIP)1,06636.4%
3Aidan MeaganConservative Party2538.6%
4Trevor BonfieldGreen Party1033.5%
5Glen AtkinsonLiberal Democrats893.0%

EC ward code E05000655 · Back to ward index

Harper Green · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,029

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Champak MistryLabour Party1,49849.5%−0.5 ptsElected
2Dave HarveyUK Independence Party (UKIP)97832.3%
3Robert TylerConservative Party35411.7%
4Michelle BroderickGreen Party1053.5%
5Kevin WalshLiberal Democrats943.1%

EC ward code E05000658 · Back to ward index

Bradshaw · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,731

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Jackie RadcliffeConservative Party1,88650.5%+0.5 ptsElected
2Tony ShepherdLabour Party92424.8%
3Stephen ThomasUK Independence Party (UKIP)52414.0%
4Eric HylandIndependent2015.4%
5Garry VeeversLiberal Democrats1002.7%
6Daniel BoltonGreen Party962.6%

EC ward code E05000651 · Back to ward index

Smithills · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 4,498

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Roger HayesLiberal Democrats2,28750.8%+0.8 ptsElected
2John GillattLabour Party1,15325.6%
3Roy MarshUK Independence Party (UKIP)54612.1%
4Danny HaslamConservative Party4149.2%
5Richard MiddleshawGreen Party982.2%

EC ward code E05000666 · Back to ward index

Heaton and Lostock · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 56.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +6.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 4,766

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Andy MorganConservative Party2,68056.2%+6.2 ptsElected
2Ged CarterLabour Party1,28527.0%
3Jonathan BaxendaleUK Independence Party (UKIP)4028.4%
4Rebekah FairhurstLiberal Democrats2635.5%
5Laura DiggleGreen Party1362.9%

EC ward code E05000659 · Back to ward index

Bromley Cross · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 56.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +6.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 4,304

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Alan WilkinsonConservative Party2,44356.8%+6.8 ptsElected
2Geoffrey KnowlesLabour Party1,02223.7%
3Brett VarnamUK Independence Party (UKIP)46010.7%
4David WalshLiberal Democrats1964.6%
5Liz SpencerGreen Party1834.3%

EC ward code E05000653 · Back to ward index

Halliwell · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 66.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +16.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,064

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Cliff MorrisLabour Party2,04266.6%+16.6 ptsElected
2Sandra HarveyUK Independence Party (UKIP)50316.4%
3Edward MatherConservative Party2608.5%
4Ian McHughGreen Party1374.5%
5Jon NewLiberal Democrats1224.0%

EC ward code E05000657 · Back to ward index

Crompton · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 67.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +17.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,604

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Hanif DarveshLabour Party2,43267.5%+17.5 ptsElected
2Paul EcclesUK Independence Party (UKIP)70219.5%
3Nadim MuslimConservative Party3389.4%
4Anne WarrenLiberal Democrats1323.7%

EC ward code E05000654 · Back to ward index

Great Lever · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 69.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +19.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,155

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Mohammed IqbalLabour Party2,19269.5%+19.5 ptsElected
2Dot SextonUK Independence Party (UKIP)40712.9%
3Mohammed WaqasConservative Party2417.6%
4David FigginsGreen Party1916.1%
5Robert GrahamLiberal Democrats1243.9%

EC ward code E05000656 · Back to ward index

Rumworth · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 72.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +22.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,556

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Rosa KayLabour Party2,56872.2%+22.2 ptsElected
2Hafiz ButtConservative Party37310.5%
3Kathy RichardsonUK Independence Party (UKIP)35410.0%
4Alan JohnsonGreen Party1795.0%
5Christopher AmosLiberal Democrats822.3%

EC ward code E05000665 · Back to ward index