← Brentwood (all cycles) · 5 May 2016 cohort
Brentwood 2016
Local elections held 5 May 2016.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 12 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 13 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 8,343 | 46.3% | 7 | 53.8% | 7 | 53.8% | 0 |
| Liberal Democrats | 4,875 | 27.1% | 4 | 30.8% | 4 | 30.8% | 0 |
| Labour Party | 2,130 | 11.8% | 1 | 7.7% | 1 | 7.7% | 0 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 1,228 | 6.8% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 7.7% | -1 |
| Independent | 1,154 | 6.4% | 1 | 7.7% | 0 | 0.0% | +1 |
| Green Party | 285 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 18,015 | 100.0% | 13 | 100.0% | 13 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2016 election (current) and immediately before it (2015). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2016 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Brentwood South · 1 seat · won at 33.9% · −16.1 pts below quota
- Warley · 1 seat · won at 44.1% · −5.9 pts below quota
- Brentwood West · 1 seat · won at 53.1% · above quota
- Ingatestone, Fryerning and Mountnessing · 1 seat · won at 57.8% · above quota
- Pilgrims Hatch · 1 seat · won at 57.9% · above quota
- Brentwood North · 1 seat · won at 58.9% · above quota
- Shenfield · 1 seat · won at 59.5% · above quota
- Brizes and Doddinghurst · 1 seat · won at 65.1% · above quota
- Hutton South · 1 seat · won at 65.5% · above quota
- Tipps Cross · 2 seats · won at 51.4% · above quota
- Hutton Central · 1 seat · won at 70.1% · above quota
- Hutton North · 1 seat · won at 74.0% · above quota
Race results
Brentwood South · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 33.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −16.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,435
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julie Morrissey | Labour Party | 486 | 33.9% | −16.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Catherine Tierney | Conservative Party | 478 | 33.3% | — | |
| 3 | Wilfred Southgate | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 246 | 17.1% | — | |
| 4 | Dominic Naylor | Liberal Democrats | 225 | 15.7% | — |
Warley · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 44.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −5.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,748
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nigel Clarke | Liberal Democrats | 771 | 44.1% | −5.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sim Owolabi | Conservative Party | 699 | 40.0% | — | |
| 3 | Tim Barrett | Labour Party | 176 | 10.1% | — | |
| 4 | Wendy Stephen | Green Party | 102 | 5.8% | — |
Brentwood West · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 53.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +3.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,667
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karen Chilvers | Liberal Democrats | 886 | 53.1% | +3.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Peter Freeman | Conservative Party | 536 | 32.2% | — | |
| 3 | Deborah Foster | Labour Party | 159 | 9.5% | — | |
| 4 | Paul Jeater | Green Party | 86 | 5.2% | — |
Ingatestone, Fryerning and Mountnessing · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,731
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thomas Bridge | Conservative Party | 1,000 | 57.8% | +7.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Alison Heales | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 336 | 19.4% | — | |
| 3 | Jane Winter | Labour Party | 256 | 14.8% | — | |
| 4 | Rebecca Coleman-Bennett | Liberal Democrats | 139 | 8.0% | — |
Pilgrims Hatch · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,658
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Kendall | Liberal Democrats | 960 | 57.9% | +7.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Bryan Finegan | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 296 | 17.9% | — | |
| 3 | Aaron Hardy | Conservative Party | 284 | 17.1% | — | |
| 4 | Cameron Ball | Labour Party | 118 | 7.1% | — |
Brentwood North · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,640
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alison Fulcher | Liberal Democrats | 966 | 58.9% | +8.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Paul Yarwood | Conservative Party | 410 | 25.0% | — | |
| 3 | Helen Witty | Labour Party | 167 | 10.2% | — | |
| 4 | John Hamilton | Green Party | 97 | 5.9% | — |
Shenfield · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 59.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,707
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | James Tumbridge | Conservative Party | 1,016 | 59.5% | +9.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Linda Price | Liberal Democrats | 430 | 25.2% | — | |
| 3 | Richard Briggs | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 165 | 9.7% | — | |
| 4 | Richard Millwood | Labour Party | 96 | 5.6% | — |
Brizes and Doddinghurst · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 65.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +15.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,479
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roger McCheyne | Conservative Party | 963 | 65.1% | +15.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Peter Sceats | Independent | 187 | 12.6% | — | |
| 3 | Jason Laplain | Liberal Democrats | 166 | 11.2% | — | |
| 4 | Emma Benson | Labour Party | 163 | 11.0% | — |
Hutton South · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 65.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +15.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,055
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Reed | Conservative Party | 691 | 65.5% | +15.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David Watt | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 185 | 17.5% | — | |
| 3 | Toby Blunsten | Labour Party | 108 | 10.2% | — | |
| 4 | Colin Brown | Liberal Democrats | 71 | 6.7% | — |
Tipps Cross · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 51.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +18.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 969
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roger Keeble | Independent | 687 | 35.4% | 70.9% | +37.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Aimi Middlehurst | Conservative Party | 498 | 25.7% | 51.4% | +18.1 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Gordon Cowley | Conservative Party | 355 | 18.3% | 36.6% | — | |
| 4 | Tracey Thomas | Independent | 280 | 14.4% | 28.9% | — | |
| 5 | Michele Wigram | Labour Party | 65 | 3.4% | 6.7% | — | |
| 6 | Eric Watts | Labour Party | 53 | 2.7% | 5.5% | — |
Hutton Central · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 70.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +20.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 889
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Kerslake | Conservative Party | 623 | 70.1% | +20.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Grace Bell | Liberal Democrats | 150 | 16.9% | — | |
| 3 | Susan Kortlandt | Labour Party | 116 | 13.0% | — |
Hutton North · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 74.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +24.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,068
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Louise McKinlay | Conservative Party | 790 | 74.0% | +24.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Liam Preston | Labour Party | 167 | 15.6% | — | |
| 3 | David Green | Liberal Democrats | 111 | 10.4% | — |