← Broxbourne (all cycles) · 5 May 2016 cohort
Broxbourne 2016
Local elections held 5 May 2016.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 10 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 10 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 10,336 | 54.6% | 9 | 90.0% | 6 | 60.0% | +3 |
| Labour Party | 5,016 | 26.5% | 1 | 10.0% | 2 | 20.0% | -1 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 3,441 | 18.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 20.0% | -2 |
| Green Party | 137 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 18,930 | 100.0% | 10 | 100.0% | 10 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2016 election (current) and immediately before it (2015). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2016 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Rosedale and Bury Green · 1 seat · won at 45.3% · −4.7 pts below quota
- Hoddesdon Town and Rye Park · 1 seat · won at 45.5% · −4.5 pts below quota
- Cheshunt South and Theobalds · 1 seat · won at 49.8% · −0.2 pts below quota
- Wormley and Turnford · 1 seat · won at 50.0% · above quota
- Waltham Cross · 1 seat · won at 55.5% · above quota
- Hoddesdon North · 1 seat · won at 56.3% · above quota
- Flamstead End · 1 seat · won at 58.1% · above quota
- Broxbourne and Hoddesdon South · 1 seat · won at 62.8% · above quota
- Goffs Oak · 1 seat · won at 65.9% · above quota
- Cheshunt North · 1 seat · won at 67.3% · above quota
Race results
Rosedale and Bury Green · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,749
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Darren Pitcher | Conservative Party | 793 | 45.3% | −4.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Selina Norgrove | Labour Party | 483 | 27.6% | — | |
| 3 | Cliff Hunt | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 473 | 27.0% | — |
Hoddesdon Town and Rye Park · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,673
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ken Ayling | Conservative Party | 761 | 45.5% | −4.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mark Hall | Labour Party | 459 | 27.4% | — | |
| 3 | Sidney Pratt | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 453 | 27.1% | — |
Cheshunt South and Theobalds · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,789
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carol Crump | Conservative Party | 891 | 49.8% | −0.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ian Dust | Labour Party | 504 | 28.2% | — | |
| 3 | Mavis Clark | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 394 | 22.0% | — |
Wormley and Turnford · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. 0.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,938
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lewis Cocking | Conservative Party | 969 | 50.0% | 0.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Kehinde Osifuwa | Labour Party | 519 | 26.8% | — | |
| 3 | Dawn Bloor | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 450 | 23.2% | — |
Waltham Cross · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 55.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,170
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malcolm Aitken | Labour Party | 1,205 | 55.5% | +5.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Patsy Spears | Conservative Party | 965 | 44.5% | — |
Hoddesdon North · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 56.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +6.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,025
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Keith Brown | Conservative Party | 1,140 | 56.3% | +6.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Tony Faulkner | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 504 | 24.9% | — | |
| 3 | Ed Hopwood | Labour Party | 381 | 18.8% | — |
Flamstead End · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,756
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dee Hart | Conservative Party | 1,021 | 58.1% | +8.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Shirley Pratt | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 412 | 23.5% | — | |
| 3 | Errol Lawrence | Labour Party | 323 | 18.4% | — |
Broxbourne and Hoddesdon South · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 62.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +12.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,264
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Holliday | Conservative Party | 1,422 | 62.8% | +12.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Evelyn Faulkner | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 375 | 16.6% | — | |
| 3 | Kathy Condon | Labour Party | 330 | 14.6% | — | |
| 4 | Robert Hyde | Green Party | 137 | 6.1% | — |
Goffs Oak · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 65.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +15.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,818
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeremy Pearce | Conservative Party | 1,198 | 65.9% | +15.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Steve Coster | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 380 | 20.9% | — | |
| 3 | Gillian Lawrence | Labour Party | 240 | 13.2% | — |
Cheshunt North · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 67.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +17.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,748
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Linda Russell | Conservative Party | 1,176 | 67.3% | +17.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Tony Renwick | Labour Party | 572 | 32.7% | — |