← Bury (all cycles) · 5 May 2016 cohort
Bury 2016
Local elections held 5 May 2016.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 17 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 17 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labour Party | 23,277 | 44.1% | 10 | 58.8% | 8 | 47.1% | +2 |
| Conservative Party | 18,166 | 34.4% | 6 | 35.3% | 6 | 35.3% | 0 |
| Liberal Democrats | 4,404 | 8.3% | 1 | 5.9% | 1 | 5.9% | 0 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 3,946 | 7.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 5.9% | -1 |
| Green Party | 2,689 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 5.9% | -1 |
| EDP | 280 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 52,762 | 100.0% | 17 | 100.0% | 17 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2016 election (current) and immediately before it (2015). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2016 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- St Mary's · 1 seat · won at 41.3% · −8.7 pts below quota
- Elton · 1 seat · won at 41.8% · −8.2 pts below quota
- Ramsbottom · 1 seat · won at 43.8% · −6.2 pts below quota
- Holyrood · 1 seat · won at 45.1% · −4.9 pts below quota
- Sedgley · 1 seat · won at 45.4% · −4.6 pts below quota
- Tottington · 1 seat · won at 46.6% · −3.4 pts below quota
- Radcliffe North · 1 seat · won at 46.8% · −3.2 pts below quota
- Unsworth · 1 seat · won at 48.0% · −2.0 pts below quota
- Radcliffe East · 1 seat · won at 49.6% · −0.4 pts below quota
- Moorside · 1 seat · won at 51.3% · above quota
- Pilkington Park · 1 seat · won at 54.9% · above quota
- Radcliffe West · 1 seat · won at 55.8% · above quota
- Redvales · 1 seat · won at 58.4% · above quota
- Besses · 1 seat · won at 58.7% · above quota
- Church · 1 seat · won at 59.8% · above quota
- North Manor · 1 seat · won at 60.8% · above quota
- East · 1 seat · won at 63.5% · above quota
Race results
St Mary's · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 41.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −8.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,268
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jane Black | Labour Party | 1,349 | 41.3% | −8.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Michael Powell | Liberal Democrats | 1,330 | 40.7% | — | |
| 3 | Danny Franks | Conservative Party | 463 | 14.2% | — | |
| 4 | Jozias Bailey-Sharam | Green Party | 126 | 3.9% | — |
Elton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 41.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −8.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,395
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Susan Southworth | Labour Party | 1,418 | 41.8% | −8.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Dene Vernon | Conservative Party | 1,312 | 38.6% | — | |
| 3 | Dave Bentley | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 465 | 13.7% | — | |
| 4 | Charlotte Allen | Green Party | 123 | 3.6% | — | |
| 5 | Jacob Royde | Liberal Democrats | 77 | 2.3% | — |
Ramsbottom · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 43.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −6.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,866
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ian Schofield | Conservative Party | 1,695 | 43.8% | −6.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Karen Leach | Labour Party | 1,658 | 42.9% | — | |
| 3 | David Barker | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 372 | 9.6% | — | |
| 4 | Zarrin Shannon | Green Party | 141 | 3.6% | — |
Holyrood · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,844
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steve Wright | Liberal Democrats | 1,733 | 45.1% | −4.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Paddy Heneghan | Labour Party | 1,463 | 38.1% | — | |
| 3 | Nicholas Jones | Conservative Party | 280 | 7.3% | — | |
| 4 | Angela Zwierzanski | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 229 | 6.0% | — | |
| 5 | Janneke Calle | Green Party | 139 | 3.6% | — |
Sedgley · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,726
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Silbiger | Conservative Party | 1,692 | 45.4% | −4.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Andrea Simpson | Labour Party | 1,633 | 43.8% | — | |
| 3 | Elizabeth Clayton | Liberal Democrats | 233 | 6.3% | — | |
| 4 | Kamila Laing | Green Party | 168 | 4.5% | — |
Tottington · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,932
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greg Keeley | Conservative Party | 1,367 | 46.6% | −3.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Martin Hayes | Labour Party | 929 | 31.7% | — | |
| 3 | Hazel Gorman | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 417 | 14.2% | — | |
| 4 | David Foss | Liberal Democrats | 116 | 4.0% | — | |
| 5 | Carmel Walker | Green Party | 103 | 3.5% | — |
Radcliffe North · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,108
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sharon Briggs | Labour Party | 1,456 | 46.8% | −3.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Carl Curran | Conservative Party | 1,000 | 32.2% | — | |
| 3 | Michael Zwierzanski | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 539 | 17.3% | — | |
| 4 | Matthew Bailey | Green Party | 113 | 3.6% | — |
Unsworth · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,841
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Jones | Labour Party | 1,365 | 48.0% | −2.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Bernie Vincent | Conservative Party | 885 | 31.2% | — | |
| 3 | Tony Clough | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 411 | 14.5% | — | |
| 4 | Steve Middleton | Liberal Democrats | 114 | 4.0% | — | |
| 5 | Nicole Haydock | Green Party | 66 | 2.3% | — |
Radcliffe East · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,502
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rhyse Cathcart | Labour Party | 1,242 | 49.6% | −0.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Phil Husband | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 506 | 20.2% | — | |
| 3 | Zain Shah | Conservative Party | 432 | 17.3% | — | |
| 4 | Niamh McGarry-Gribbin | Green Party | 180 | 7.2% | — | |
| 5 | Robert Graham | Liberal Democrats | 142 | 5.7% | — |
Moorside · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 51.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,680
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Annette McKay | Labour Party | 1,375 | 51.3% | +1.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Victor Hagan | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 569 | 21.2% | — | |
| 3 | Luis McBriar | Conservative Party | 511 | 19.1% | — | |
| 4 | Larissa Heath | Green Party | 135 | 5.0% | — | |
| 5 | Sam Stretch | Liberal Democrats | 90 | 3.4% | — |
Pilkington Park · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,205
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oliver Kersh | Conservative Party | 1,760 | 54.9% | +4.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Debra Green | Labour Party | 1,197 | 37.3% | — | |
| 3 | Wilfrid Davison | Liberal Democrats | 134 | 4.2% | — | |
| 4 | Zachery Garsia | Green Party | 114 | 3.6% | — |
Radcliffe West · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 55.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,335
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tony Cummings | Labour Party | 1,303 | 55.8% | +5.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Liam Dean | Conservative Party | 458 | 19.6% | — | |
| 3 | Ian Henderson | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 438 | 18.8% | — | |
| 4 | Karen Wood | Green Party | 83 | 3.6% | — | |
| 5 | Kamran Islam | Liberal Democrats | 53 | 2.3% | — |
Redvales · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,963
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shaheena Haroon | Labour Party | 1,729 | 58.4% | +8.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Julie Green | Conservative Party | 867 | 29.3% | — | |
| 3 | Paul Johnstone | Green Party | 367 | 12.4% | — |
Besses · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,430
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elizabeth Fitzgerald | Labour Party | 1,426 | 58.7% | +8.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David Lewis | Conservative Party | 486 | 20.0% | — | |
| 3 | Stephen Morris | EDP | 280 | 11.5% | — | |
| 4 | Joanne Gardner | Green Party | 132 | 5.4% | — | |
| 5 | Katriona Middleton | Liberal Democrats | 106 | 4.4% | — |
Church · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 59.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,448
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roy-Edward Walker | Conservative Party | 2,061 | 59.8% | +9.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Gavin McGill | Labour Party | 1,102 | 32.0% | — | |
| 3 | Andrew Hunt | Green Party | 188 | 5.5% | — | |
| 4 | Rodney Rew | Liberal Democrats | 97 | 2.8% | — |
North Manor · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 60.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +10.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,751
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dorothy Gunther | Conservative Party | 2,281 | 60.8% | +10.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Timothy Butcher | Labour Party | 1,066 | 28.4% | — | |
| 3 | Mary Heath | Green Party | 225 | 6.0% | — | |
| 4 | Ewan Arthur | Liberal Democrats | 179 | 4.8% | — |
East · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 63.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +13.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,468
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stella Smith | Labour Party | 1,566 | 63.5% | +13.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Tahira Shaffi | Conservative Party | 616 | 25.0% | — | |
| 3 | Glyn Heath | Green Party | 286 | 11.6% | — |