← Cambridge (all cycles) · 2 May 2019 cohort
Cambridge 2019
Local elections held 2 May 2019.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 14 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 16 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labour Party | 13,936 | 37.2% | 9 | 56.3% | 7 | 43.8% | +2 |
| Liberal Democrats | 13,131 | 35.0% | 7 | 43.8% | 6 | 37.5% | +1 |
| Green Party | 5,746 | 15.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 12.5% | -2 |
| Conservative Party | 3,308 | 8.8% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 6.3% | -1 |
| Independent | 838 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 462 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Renew | 69 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 37,490 | 100.0% | 16 | 100.0% | 16 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2019 election (current) and immediately before it (2018). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2019 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Queen Edith's · 1 seat · won at 36.8% · −13.2 pts below quota
- East Chesterton · 1 seat · won at 44.1% · −5.9 pts below quota
- Petersfield · 1 seat · won at 45.5% · −4.5 pts below quota
- Coleridge · 1 seat · won at 46.0% · −4.0 pts below quota
- Romsey · 1 seat · won at 48.4% · −1.6 pts below quota
- Market · 1 seat · won at 48.6% · −1.4 pts below quota
- Arbury · 1 seat · won at 48.9% · −1.1 pts below quota
- Cherry Hinton · 1 seat · won at 49.4% · −0.6 pts below quota
- Castle · 1 seat · won at 49.9% · −0.1 pts below quota
- Abbey · 1 seat · won at 50.0% · above quota
- Newnham · 1 seat · won at 50.1% · above quota
- West Chesterton · 1 seat · won at 50.5% · above quota
- King's Hedges · 2 seats · won at 45.2% · above quota
- Trumpington · 2 seats · won at 45.3% · above quota
Race results
Queen Edith's · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 36.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −13.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,903
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | George Pippas | Liberal Democrats | 1,067 | 36.8% | −13.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sam Davies | Independent | 838 | 28.9% | — | |
| 3 | Dan Greef | Labour Party | 464 | 16.0% | — | |
| 4 | Elisabeth Whitebread | Green Party | 329 | 11.3% | — | |
| 5 | Manas Deb | Conservative Party | 205 | 7.1% | — |
East Chesterton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 44.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −5.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,488
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gerri Bird | Labour Party | 1,097 | 44.1% | −5.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Owen Dunn | Liberal Democrats | 827 | 33.2% | — | |
| 3 | Gareth Bailey | Green Party | 271 | 10.9% | — | |
| 4 | Timur Coskun | Conservative Party | 165 | 6.6% | — | |
| 5 | Peter Burkinshaw | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 128 | 5.1% | — |
Petersfield · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,130
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Davey | Labour Party | 969 | 45.5% | −4.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sarah Brown | Liberal Democrats | 622 | 29.2% | — | |
| 3 | Virgil Ierubino | Green Party | 433 | 20.3% | — | |
| 4 | Stephen Burdett | Conservative Party | 106 | 5.0% | — |
Coleridge · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,261
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grace Hadley | Labour Party | 1,041 | 46.0% | −4.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Alex Harrison | Liberal Democrats | 422 | 18.7% | — | |
| 3 | Sarah Nicmanis | Green Party | 395 | 17.5% | — | |
| 4 | Donald Douglas | Conservative Party | 250 | 11.1% | — | |
| 5 | Bill Kaminski | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 153 | 6.8% | — |
Romsey · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,350
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anna Smith | Labour Party | 1,138 | 48.4% | −1.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Caitlin Patterson | Green Party | 540 | 23.0% | — | |
| 3 | Joshua Blanchard Lewis | Liberal Democrats | 526 | 22.4% | — | |
| 4 | Martin Keegan | Conservative Party | 146 | 6.2% | — |
Market · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,789
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katie Porrer | Liberal Democrats | 870 | 48.6% | −1.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Steve King | Labour Party | 478 | 26.7% | — | |
| 3 | Emma Garnett | Green Party | 329 | 18.4% | — | |
| 4 | William Phelps | Conservative Party | 112 | 6.3% | — |
Arbury · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,242
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carina O'Reilly | Labour Party | 1,097 | 48.9% | −1.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Timothy Ward | Liberal Democrats | 554 | 24.7% | — | |
| 3 | Stephen Lawrence | Green Party | 351 | 15.7% | — | |
| 4 | Harry Clynch | Conservative Party | 240 | 10.7% | — |
Cherry Hinton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,148
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Ashton | Labour Party | 1,062 | 49.4% | −0.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Henry Wright | Liberal Democrats | 464 | 21.6% | — | |
| 3 | Jennifer Richens | Green Party | 352 | 16.4% | — | |
| 4 | Mohammed Delowar Hossain | Conservative Party | 270 | 12.6% | — |
Castle · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,376
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greg Chadwick | Liberal Democrats | 1,186 | 49.9% | −0.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Isabel Lambourne | Labour Party | 698 | 29.4% | — | |
| 3 | Matthew Green | Green Party | 332 | 14.0% | — | |
| 4 | Oliver Riley | Conservative Party | 160 | 6.7% | — |
Abbey · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. 0.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,108
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haf Davies | Labour Party | 1,055 | 50.0% | 0.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Naomi Bennett | Green Party | 477 | 22.6% | — | |
| 3 | Jake Butt | Liberal Democrats | 328 | 15.6% | — | |
| 4 | David Smith | Conservative Party | 179 | 8.5% | — | |
| 5 | Boris Boyd | Renew | 69 | 3.3% | — |
Newnham · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,002
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Markus Gehring | Liberal Democrats | 1,003 | 50.1% | +0.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Joe Beastall | Labour Party | 552 | 27.6% | — | |
| 3 | Mark Slade | Green Party | 276 | 13.8% | — | |
| 4 | Dolly Theis | Conservative Party | 171 | 8.5% | — |
West Chesterton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,857
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Damien Tunnacliffe | Liberal Democrats | 1,444 | 50.5% | +0.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Alex Skinner | Labour Party | 933 | 32.7% | — | |
| 3 | Shayne Mitchell | Green Party | 310 | 10.9% | — | |
| 4 | Michael Harford | Conservative Party | 170 | 6.0% | — |
King's Hedges · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 45.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,662
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexandra Collis | Labour Party | 851 | 25.6% | 51.2% | +17.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Kevin Price | Labour Party | 751 | 22.6% | 45.2% | +11.9 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Luke Hallam | Liberal Democrats | 455 | 13.7% | 27.4% | — | |
| 4 | Ewan Redpath | Liberal Democrats | 380 | 11.4% | 22.9% | — | |
| 5 | Angela Ditchfield | Green Party | 352 | 10.6% | 21.2% | — | |
| 6 | Eric Barrett-Payton | Conservative Party | 190 | 5.7% | 11.4% | — | |
| 7 | David Corn | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 181 | 5.4% | 10.9% | — | |
| 8 | Benedict Smith | Conservative Party | 164 | 4.9% | 9.9% | — |
Trumpington · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 45.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,256
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peter Lord | Liberal Democrats | 1,509 | 23.2% | 46.3% | +13.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Daniel Summerbell | Liberal Democrats | 1,474 | 22.6% | 45.3% | +11.9 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Matt Bird | Labour Party | 977 | 15.0% | 30.0% | — | |
| 4 | May Shafi | Labour Party | 773 | 11.9% | 23.7% | — | |
| 5 | Ceri Galloway | Green Party | 600 | 9.2% | 18.4% | — | |
| 6 | Shapour Meftah | Conservative Party | 431 | 6.6% | 13.2% | — | |
| 7 | Sue Wells | Green Party | 399 | 6.1% | 12.3% | — | |
| 8 | Philip Salway | Conservative Party | 349 | 5.4% | 10.7% | — |