← Carlisle (all cycles) · 5 May 2016 cohort
Carlisle 2016
Local elections held 5 May 2016.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 17 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 17 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labour Party | 9,374 | 39.2% | 9 | 52.9% | 8 | 47.1% | +1 |
| Conservative Party | 8,180 | 34.2% | 5 | 29.4% | 7 | 41.2% | -2 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 2,297 | 9.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 5.9% | -1 |
| Liberal Democrats | 1,892 | 7.9% | 1 | 5.9% | 1 | 5.9% | 0 |
| Independent | 1,036 | 4.3% | 2 | 11.8% | 0 | 0.0% | +2 |
| Green Party | 966 | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 182 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 23,927 | 100.0% | 17 | 100.0% | 17 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2016 election (current) and immediately before it (2015). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2016 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Yewdale · 1 seat · won at 41.3% · −8.7 pts below quota
- Botcherby · 1 seat · won at 42.8% · −7.2 pts below quota
- Brampton · 1 seat · won at 45.7% · −4.3 pts below quota
- St Aidans · 1 seat · won at 48.5% · −1.5 pts below quota
- Morton · 1 seat · won at 48.5% · −1.5 pts below quota
- Castle · 1 seat · won at 49.9% · −0.1 pts below quota
- Stanwix Urban · 1 seat · won at 50.8% · above quota
- Great Corby and Geltsdale · 1 seat · won at 50.9% · above quota
- Belah · 1 seat · won at 51.7% · above quota
- Denton Holme · 1 seat · won at 53.9% · above quota
- Harraby · 1 seat · won at 54.4% · above quota
- Dalston · 1 seat · won at 56.0% · above quota
- Upperby · 1 seat · won at 58.3% · above quota
- Currock · 1 seat · won at 58.6% · above quota
- Belle Vue · 1 seat · won at 59.3% · above quota
- Wetheral · 1 seat · won at 63.5% · above quota
- Hayton · 1 seat · won at 69.8% · above quota
Race results
Yewdale · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 41.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −8.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,943
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maureen McDonald | Labour Party | 803 | 41.3% | −8.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Christina Finlayson | Conservative Party | 757 | 39.0% | — | |
| 3 | Malcolm Craik | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 296 | 15.2% | — | |
| 4 | David Bradley | Green Party | 87 | 4.5% | — |
Botcherby · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 42.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −7.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,194
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeffrey Bomford | Independent | 511 | 42.8% | −7.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Anne Glendinning | Labour Party | 499 | 41.8% | — | |
| 3 | Lawrence Fisher | Conservative Party | 157 | 13.1% | — | |
| 4 | Henry Goodwin | Green Party | 27 | 2.3% | — |
Brampton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,286
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephen Layden | Conservative Party | 588 | 45.7% | −4.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David Brooks | Labour Party | 363 | 28.2% | — | |
| 3 | John Harding | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 200 | 15.6% | — | |
| 4 | Richard O'Brien | Green Party | 71 | 5.5% | — | |
| 5 | Olwyn Luckley | Liberal Democrats | 64 | 5.0% | — |
St Aidans · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,135
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lucy Patrick | Labour Party | 550 | 48.5% | −1.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Geoffrey Osborne | Conservative Party | 278 | 24.5% | — | |
| 3 | David Parker | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 200 | 17.6% | — | |
| 4 | John Reardon | Green Party | 107 | 9.4% | — |
Morton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,454
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Therese Sidgwick | Labour Party | 705 | 48.5% | −1.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Charlotte Smallwood | Conservative Party | 281 | 19.3% | — | |
| 3 | Fiona Mills | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 273 | 18.8% | — | |
| 4 | Peter Noble | Liberal Democrats | 130 | 8.9% | — | |
| 5 | Robin Morrison | Green Party | 39 | 2.7% | — | |
| 6 | David Barton | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 26 | 1.8% | — |
Castle · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,091
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanna Coleman | Labour Party | 544 | 49.9% | −0.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Melissa Andrews | Conservative Party | 258 | 23.6% | — | |
| 3 | Robert Reid-Sinclair | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 150 | 13.7% | — | |
| 4 | Manwara Begum | Liberal Democrats | 89 | 8.2% | — | |
| 5 | Alan Simpson | Green Party | 50 | 4.6% | — |
Stanwix Urban · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,909
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paul Nedved | Conservative Party | 969 | 50.8% | +0.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Stephen Sidgwick | Labour Party | 637 | 33.4% | — | |
| 3 | Helen Davison | Green Party | 187 | 9.8% | — | |
| 4 | Brendan Murphy | Liberal Democrats | 116 | 6.1% | — |
Great Corby and Geltsdale · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 688
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Doreen Parsons | Conservative Party | 350 | 50.9% | +0.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Alan McGuckin | Labour Party | 178 | 25.9% | — | |
| 3 | Michael Gee | Liberal Democrats | 98 | 14.2% | — | |
| 4 | Sky Higgins | Green Party | 62 | 9.0% | — |
Belah · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 51.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,865
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Morton | Conservative Party | 965 | 51.7% | +1.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Paul Birks | Labour Party | 630 | 33.8% | — | |
| 3 | Philip Douglass | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 189 | 10.1% | — | |
| 4 | Penelope Foster | Green Party | 72 | 3.9% | — | |
| 5 | Robert Charlesworth | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 9 | 0.5% | — |
Denton Holme · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 53.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +3.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,321
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ruth Alcroft | Labour Party | 712 | 53.9% | +3.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Barbara Eden | Conservative Party | 273 | 20.7% | — | |
| 3 | John Warmingham | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 168 | 12.7% | — | |
| 4 | Neil Boothman | Green Party | 112 | 8.5% | — | |
| 5 | John Higginson | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 56 | 4.2% | — |
Harraby · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,566
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lee Sherriff | Labour Party | 852 | 54.4% | +4.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Michael Randall | Conservative Party | 447 | 28.5% | — | |
| 3 | Philip Chappelhow | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 227 | 14.5% | — | |
| 4 | Daniel Little | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 40 | 2.6% | — |
Dalston · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 56.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +6.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,133
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevor Allison | Liberal Democrats | 1,195 | 56.0% | +6.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Robert Mitchell | Conservative Party | 623 | 29.2% | — | |
| 3 | Raymond Warwick | Labour Party | 315 | 14.8% | — |
Upperby · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,136
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Niall McNulty | Labour Party | 662 | 58.3% | +8.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Christine Holliday | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 191 | 16.8% | — | |
| 3 | Shaidat Danmole-Ellis | Conservative Party | 147 | 12.9% | — | |
| 4 | James Osler | Liberal Democrats | 101 | 8.9% | — | |
| 5 | Daniel Thorburn | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 35 | 3.1% | — |
Currock · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,160
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colin Glover | Labour Party | 680 | 58.6% | +8.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | John Denholm | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 203 | 17.5% | — | |
| 3 | Neville Lishman | Conservative Party | 190 | 16.4% | — | |
| 4 | Helen Atkinson | Green Party | 36 | 3.1% | — | |
| 5 | Marjorie Richardson | Liberal Democrats | 35 | 3.0% | — | |
| 6 | Brent Kennedy | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 16 | 1.4% | — |
Belle Vue · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 59.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,623
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leslie Tickner | Labour Party | 963 | 59.3% | +9.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Robert Currie | Conservative Party | 660 | 40.7% | — |
Wetheral · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 63.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +13.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,671
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barry Earp | Conservative Party | 1,061 | 63.5% | +13.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Annia Banks | Labour Party | 281 | 16.8% | — | |
| 3 | Geoffrey Round | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 200 | 12.0% | — | |
| 4 | Hazel Graham | Green Party | 65 | 3.9% | — | |
| 5 | David Wood | Liberal Democrats | 64 | 3.8% | — |
Hayton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 69.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +19.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 752
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raymond Tinnion | Independent | 525 | 69.8% | +19.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Keith Meller | Conservative Party | 176 | 23.4% | — | |
| 3 | Richard Hunt | Green Party | 51 | 6.8% | — |