← Castle Point (all cycles) · 5 May 2016 cohort
Castle Point 2016
Local elections held 5 May 2016.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 13 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 14 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 7,943 | 37.3% | 9 | 64.3% | 5 | 35.7% | +4 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 6,673 | 31.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 5 | 35.7% | -5 |
| Labour Party | 3,403 | 16.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 14.3% | -2 |
| CIIP | 3,090 | 14.5% | 5 | 35.7% | 2 | 14.3% | +3 |
| Liberal Democrats | 211 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 21,320 | 100.0% | 14 | 100.0% | 14 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2016 election (current) and immediately before it (2015). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2016 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Canvey Island North · 1 seat · won at 36.5% · −13.5 pts below quota
- Canvey Island East · 1 seat · won at 37.0% · −13.0 pts below quota
- St Mary's · 1 seat · won at 39.6% · −10.4 pts below quota
- Canvey Island Winter Gardens · 1 seat · won at 46.1% · −3.9 pts below quota
- Canvey Island Central · 1 seat · won at 46.2% · −3.8 pts below quota
- St Peter's · 1 seat · won at 47.3% · −2.7 pts below quota
- Boyce · 1 seat · won at 47.7% · −2.3 pts below quota
- Cedar Hall · 1 seat · won at 48.3% · −1.7 pts below quota
- St James · 1 seat · won at 48.7% · −1.3 pts below quota
- Appleton · 1 seat · won at 49.3% · −0.7 pts below quota
- Canvey Island South · 1 seat · won at 50.9% · above quota
- Victoria · 1 seat · won at 55.0% · above quota
- St George's · 2 seats · won at 42.4% · above quota
Race results
Canvey Island North · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 36.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −13.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,526
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Payne | CIIP | 557 | 36.5% | −13.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Daniel Frost | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 514 | 33.7% | — | |
| 3 | David Manclark | Conservative Party | 308 | 20.2% | — | |
| 4 | Sonia Mutch | Labour Party | 147 | 9.6% | — |
Canvey Island East · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 37.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −13.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,400
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carole Sach | CIIP | 518 | 37.0% | −13.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sarah Mahoney | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 488 | 34.9% | — | |
| 3 | Wayne Johnson | Conservative Party | 264 | 18.9% | — | |
| 4 | Jackie Reilly | Labour Party | 130 | 9.3% | — |
St Mary's · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 39.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −10.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,585
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Cross | Conservative Party | 628 | 39.6% | −10.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | James Smith | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 546 | 34.4% | — | |
| 3 | Jack Rawlings | Labour Party | 411 | 25.9% | — |
Canvey Island Winter Gardens · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,255
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Allan Taylor | CIIP | 579 | 46.1% | −3.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Lucy Parkin | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 298 | 23.7% | — | |
| 3 | Raymond Cattermole | Conservative Party | 224 | 17.8% | — | |
| 4 | Margaret McArthur-Curtis | Labour Party | 154 | 12.3% | — |
Canvey Island Central · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,408
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Anderson | CIIP | 650 | 46.2% | −3.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Judith McKinlay | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 394 | 28.0% | — | |
| 3 | James Cutler | Conservative Party | 215 | 15.3% | — | |
| 4 | Bill Scott | Labour Party | 130 | 9.2% | — | |
| 5 | John Hardy | Liberal Democrats | 19 | 1.3% | — |
St Peter's · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,519
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beverley Egan | Conservative Party | 718 | 47.3% | −2.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sandra Aubrey | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 594 | 39.1% | — | |
| 3 | William Emberson | Labour Party | 207 | 13.6% | — |
Boyce · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,682
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeffrey Stanley | Conservative Party | 803 | 47.7% | −2.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Robert Baillie | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 604 | 35.9% | — | |
| 3 | Audrey Regan | Labour Party | 275 | 16.3% | — |
Cedar Hall · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,529
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elizabeth Wass | Conservative Party | 738 | 48.3% | −1.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | James Parkin | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 513 | 33.6% | — | |
| 3 | Bernard Thorne | Labour Party | 278 | 18.2% | — |
St James · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,719
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | William Sharp | Conservative Party | 838 | 48.7% | −1.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Robert Hemmings | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 455 | 26.5% | — | |
| 3 | Dina Mehdi | Labour Party | 234 | 13.6% | — | |
| 4 | Geoff Duff | Liberal Democrats | 192 | 11.2% | — |
Appleton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,687
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thomas Skipp | Conservative Party | 832 | 49.3% | −0.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Lee Gardiner | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 566 | 33.6% | — | |
| 3 | Gwyneth Bailey | Labour Party | 289 | 17.1% | — |
Canvey Island South · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,544
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barry Campagna | CIIP | 786 | 50.9% | +0.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Michael Aubrey | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 410 | 26.6% | — | |
| 3 | Anthony Belford | Conservative Party | 269 | 17.4% | — | |
| 4 | Michael Curham | Labour Party | 79 | 5.1% | — |
Victoria · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 55.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,563
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simon Hart | Conservative Party | 860 | 55.0% | +5.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Samuel Parkyn | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 422 | 27.0% | — | |
| 3 | Thomas Harrison | Labour Party | 281 | 18.0% | — |
St George's · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 42.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,452
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steven Cole | Conservative Party | 630 | 21.7% | 43.4% | +10.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Arthur Walter | Conservative Party | 616 | 21.2% | 42.4% | +9.1 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Karen Parkin | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 437 | 15.1% | 30.1% | — | |
| 4 | William Wright | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 432 | 14.9% | 29.8% | — | |
| 5 | Joseph Cooke | Labour Party | 404 | 13.9% | 27.8% | — | |
| 6 | Frederick West | Labour Party | 384 | 13.2% | 26.5% | — |