← Castle Point (all cycles) · 2 May 2019 cohort
Castle Point 2019
Local elections held 2 May 2019.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 14 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 14 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 8,789 | 44.8% | 8 | 57.1% | 7 | 50.0% | +1 |
| CIIP | 4,721 | 24.1% | 6 | 42.9% | 4 | 28.6% | +2 |
| Labour Party | 3,421 | 17.4% | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 14.3% | -2 |
| Independent | 1,735 | 8.8% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 7.1% | -1 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 591 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Liberal Democrats | 351 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 19,608 | 100.0% | 14 | 100.0% | 14 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2019 election (current) and immediately before it (2018). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2019 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Canvey Island South · 1 seat · won at 39.7% · −10.3 pts below quota
- St James · 1 seat · won at 39.8% · −10.2 pts below quota
- Boyce · 1 seat · won at 47.9% · −2.1 pts below quota
- Canvey Island West · 1 seat · won at 48.9% · −1.1 pts below quota
- Appleton · 1 seat · won at 52.3% · above quota
- Victoria · 1 seat · won at 54.0% · above quota
- Canvey Island East · 1 seat · won at 64.9% · above quota
- Canvey Island Winter Gardens · 1 seat · won at 67.1% · above quota
- St George's · 1 seat · won at 67.1% · above quota
- Canvey Island Central · 1 seat · won at 71.2% · above quota
- St Mary's · 1 seat · won at 71.8% · above quota
- Canvey Island North · 1 seat · won at 71.9% · above quota
- St Peter's · 1 seat · won at 75.2% · above quota
- Cedar Hall · 1 seat · won at 76.3% · above quota
Race results
Canvey Island South · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 39.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −10.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,529
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Janice Payne | CIIP | 607 | 39.7% | −10.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Colin Letchford | Independent | 604 | 39.5% | — | |
| 3 | Scott Griffin | Conservative Party | 247 | 16.2% | — | |
| 4 | Elizabeth Anderson | Labour Party | 71 | 4.6% | — |
St James · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 39.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −10.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,837
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacqui Thornton | Conservative Party | 732 | 39.8% | −10.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Brian Allars | Independent | 344 | 18.7% | — | |
| 3 | Brian Lee | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 310 | 16.9% | — | |
| 4 | Milton Dunmow | Labour Party | 227 | 12.4% | — | |
| 5 | Miles Hopkins | Liberal Democrats | 224 | 12.2% | — |
Boyce · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,716
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chas Mumford | Conservative Party | 822 | 47.9% | −2.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Gwyn Bailey | Labour Party | 594 | 34.6% | — | |
| 3 | Robert Baillie | Independent | 300 | 17.5% | — |
Canvey Island West · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,056
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Thomas | CIIP | 516 | 48.9% | −1.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ray Howard | Conservative Party | 468 | 44.3% | — | |
| 3 | Bill Scott | Labour Party | 72 | 6.8% | — |
Appleton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,521
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eoin Egan | Conservative Party | 795 | 52.3% | +2.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Lynsey McCarthy-Calvert | Independent | 487 | 32.0% | — | |
| 3 | Rosalind Dunhill | Labour Party | 239 | 15.7% | — |
Victoria · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,495
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colin Riley | Conservative Party | 807 | 54.0% | +4.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David Gibson | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 281 | 18.8% | — | |
| 3 | Tom Harrison | Labour Party | 280 | 18.7% | — | |
| 4 | Geoff Duff | Liberal Democrats | 127 | 8.5% | — |
Canvey Island East · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 64.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +14.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,317
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Martin Tucker | CIIP | 855 | 64.9% | +14.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Susan Richardson | Conservative Party | 362 | 27.5% | — | |
| 3 | Jackie Reilly | Labour Party | 100 | 7.6% | — |
Canvey Island Winter Gardens · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 67.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +17.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,258
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Graham Withers | CIIP | 844 | 67.1% | +17.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sean Quartermaine | Conservative Party | 254 | 20.2% | — | |
| 3 | David Manclark | Labour Party | 160 | 12.7% | — |
St George's · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 67.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +17.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,176
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steven Cole | Conservative Party | 789 | 67.1% | +17.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Joe Cooke | Labour Party | 387 | 32.9% | — |
Canvey Island Central · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 71.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +21.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,259
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dave Blackwell | CIIP | 897 | 71.2% | +21.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | John Stone | Conservative Party | 228 | 18.1% | — | |
| 3 | Kieran Smith | Labour Party | 134 | 10.6% | — |
St Mary's · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 71.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +21.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,372
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | James Cutler | Conservative Party | 985 | 71.8% | +21.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Christine Shaw | Labour Party | 387 | 28.2% | — |
Canvey Island North · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 71.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +21.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,393
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Fuller | CIIP | 1,002 | 71.9% | +21.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Owen Cartey | Conservative Party | 271 | 19.5% | — | |
| 3 | Maggie McArthur-Curtis | Labour Party | 120 | 8.6% | — |
St Peter's · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 75.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +25.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,335
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bill Dick | Conservative Party | 1,004 | 75.2% | +25.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Christopher Tobin | Labour Party | 331 | 24.8% | — |
Cedar Hall · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 76.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +26.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,344
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colin Maclean | Conservative Party | 1,025 | 76.3% | +26.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Brendan Duffield | Labour Party | 319 | 23.7% | — |