← Central Bedfordshire (all cycles) · 2 May 2019 cohort
Central Bedfordshire 2019
Local elections held 2 May 2019.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 31 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 59 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 61,375 | 43.3% | 41 | 69.5% | 26 | 44.1% | +15 |
| Labour Party | 28,107 | 19.8% | 1 | 1.7% | 12 | 20.3% | -11 |
| Independent | 25,913 | 18.3% | 13 | 22.0% | 11 | 18.6% | +2 |
| Liberal Democrats | 13,745 | 9.7% | 3 | 5.1% | 6 | 10.2% | -3 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 7,596 | 5.4% | 1 | 1.7% | 3 | 5.1% | -2 |
| Green Party | 4,540 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1.7% | -1 |
| WEP | 274 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Renew | 241 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 141,791 | 100.0% | 59 | 100.0% | 59 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
The 2019 cycle was an all-out election — every seat was contested. The two opencouncildata snapshots below show the council immediately after the 2019 election (current) and on the eve of it (2018), so you can see what the result replaced.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Parkside · 1 seat · won at 28.4% · −21.6 pts below quota
- Tithe Farm · 1 seat · won at 33.1% · −16.9 pts below quota
- Dunstable – Manshead · 1 seat · won at 38.9% · −11.1 pts below quota
- Houghton Conquest and Haynes · 1 seat · won at 42.0% · −8.0 pts below quota
- Dunstable – Icknield · 2 seats · won at 34.7% · above quota
- Dunstable – Central · 1 seat · won at 54.5% · above quota
- Dunstable – Northfields · 2 seats · won at 39.0% · above quota
- Biggleswade South · 2 seats · won at 39.4% · above quota
- Linslade · 3 seats · won at 32.7% · above quota
- Houghton Hall · 2 seats · won at 43.7% · above quota
- Leighton Buzzard North · 3 seats · won at 35.9% · above quota
- Sandy · 3 seats · won at 37.1% · above quota
- Flitwick · 3 seats · won at 39.3% · above quota
- Toddington · 2 seats · won at 47.7% · above quota
- Cranfield and Marston Moretaine · 3 seats · won at 42.8% · above quota
- Barton-le-Clay · 1 seat · won at 68.6% · above quota
- Eaton Bray · 1 seat · won at 68.8% · above quota
- Caddington · 2 seats · won at 53.3% · above quota
- Leighton Buzzard South · 3 seats · won at 45.1% · above quota
- Silsoe and Shillington · 1 seat · won at 70.6% · above quota
- Westoning, Flitton and Greenfield · 1 seat · won at 71.3% · above quota
- Ampthill · 3 seats · won at 46.5% · above quota
- Biggleswade North · 2 seats · won at 58.1% · above quota
- Heath and Reach · 1 seat · won at 75.2% · above quota
- Stotfold and Langford · 3 seats · won at 51.6% · above quota
- Dunstable – Watling · 2 seats · won at 61.2% · above quota
- Aspley and Woburn · 1 seat · won at 78.5% · above quota
- Northill · 1 seat · won at 79.0% · above quota
- Arlesey · 3 seats · won at 59.0% · above quota
- Shefford · 2 seats · won at 70.0% · above quota
- Potton · 2 seats · won at 72.1% · above quota
Race results
Parkside · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 28.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −21.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 885
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antonia Ryan | Labour Party | 251 | 28.4% | −21.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Janet Cooper | Independent | 196 | 22.1% | — | |
| 3 | Angela White | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 190 | 21.5% | — | |
| 4 | Alan Corkhill | Conservative Party | 136 | 15.4% | — | |
| 5 | Ray Morgan | Liberal Democrats | 85 | 9.6% | — | |
| 6 | Gillian Patrick | Green Party | 27 | 3.1% | — |
Tithe Farm · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 33.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −16.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 885
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Patrick Hamill | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 293 | 33.1% | −16.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Martin Kennedy | Labour Party | 232 | 26.2% | — | |
| 3 | Tracey McMahon | Independent | 156 | 17.6% | — | |
| 4 | David Abbott | Conservative Party | 122 | 13.8% | — | |
| 5 | Kenneth Wattingham | Liberal Democrats | 60 | 6.8% | — | |
| 6 | Catherine Aganoglu | Green Party | 22 | 2.5% | — |
Dunstable – Manshead · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 38.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −11.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,122
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Philip Crawley | Conservative Party | 436 | 38.9% | −11.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Louise O'Riordan | Labour Party | 337 | 30.0% | — | |
| 3 | John Brown | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 189 | 16.8% | — | |
| 4 | Patricia Larkman | Liberal Democrats | 160 | 14.3% | — |
Houghton Conquest and Haynes · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 42.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −8.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 912
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rebecca Hares | Independent | 383 | 42.0% | −8.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Martin Hawkins | Conservative Party | 311 | 34.1% | — | |
| 3 | Richard James | Independent | 111 | 12.2% | — | |
| 4 | David Short | Labour Party | 107 | 11.7% | — |
Dunstable – Icknield · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 34.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,728
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Chatterley | Conservative Party | 641 | 18.5% | 37.1% | +3.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David McVicar | Conservative Party | 599 | 17.3% | 34.7% | +1.3 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Kayson Gurney | Independent | 593 | 17.2% | 34.3% | — | |
| 4 | Kenson Gurney | Independent | 516 | 14.9% | 29.9% | — | |
| 5 | Catherine Howes | Labour Party | 442 | 12.8% | 25.6% | — | |
| 6 | Michael Rogers | Labour Party | 378 | 10.9% | 21.9% | — | |
| 7 | Susan Thorne | Liberal Democrats | 145 | 4.2% | 8.4% | — | |
| 8 | Richard Hunt | Liberal Democrats | 142 | 4.1% | 8.2% | — |
Dunstable – Central · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,051
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carole Hegley | Conservative Party | 573 | 54.5% | +4.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Russell McCulloch | Labour Party | 290 | 27.6% | — | |
| 3 | David Jones | Liberal Democrats | 188 | 17.9% | — |
Dunstable – Northfields · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 39.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,681
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Johnson Tamara | Conservative Party | 689 | 20.5% | 41.0% | +7.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Gladys Sanders | Conservative Party | 655 | 19.5% | 39.0% | +5.6 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Kevin Flint | Labour Party | 607 | 18.1% | 36.1% | — | |
| 4 | Julian Mockridge | Labour Party | 606 | 18.0% | 36.1% | — | |
| 5 | Martin Young | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 354 | 10.5% | 21.1% | — | |
| 6 | Elaine Morgan | Liberal Democrats | 232 | 6.9% | 13.8% | — | |
| 7 | Lynda Walmsley | Liberal Democrats | 218 | 6.5% | 13.0% | — |
Biggleswade South · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 39.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +6.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,721
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Foster | Conservative Party | 1,180 | 21.7% | 43.4% | +10.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Hayley Whitaker | Independent | 1,072 | 19.7% | 39.4% | +6.1 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Michael North | Conservative Party | 969 | 17.8% | 35.6% | — | |
| 4 | Georgina Gale | Labour Party | 602 | 11.1% | 22.1% | — | |
| 5 | Julian Vaughan | Labour Party | 588 | 10.8% | 21.6% | — | |
| 6 | Timothy Woodward | Independent | 577 | 10.6% | 21.2% | — | |
| 7 | Duncan Strachan | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 453 | 8.3% | 16.7% | — |
Linslade · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 32.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,486
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victoria Harvey | Independent | 1,347 | 12.9% | 38.6% | +13.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Gordon Perham | Conservative Party | 1,222 | 11.7% | 35.1% | +10.1 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Peter Snelling | Liberal Democrats | 1,139 | 10.9% | 32.7% | +7.7 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Stephen Jones | Conservative Party | 1,076 | 10.3% | 30.9% | — | |
| 5 | Anthony Morris | Conservative Party | 1,013 | 9.7% | 29.1% | — | |
| 6 | Russell Goodchild | Liberal Democrats | 911 | 8.7% | 26.1% | — | |
| 7 | Nigel Carnell | Liberal Democrats | 874 | 8.4% | 25.1% | — | |
| 8 | Susan James | Independent | 779 | 7.4% | 22.3% | — | |
| 9 | Christine Sheppard | Labour Party | 665 | 6.4% | 19.1% | — | |
| 10 | Jane Woodman | Labour Party | 560 | 5.4% | 16.1% | — | |
| 11 | Roy Walker | Independent | 447 | 4.3% | 12.8% | — | |
| 12 | Isaac Sibiya | Labour Party | 426 | 4.1% | 12.2% | — |
Houghton Hall · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 43.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +10.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,443
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Susan Goodchild | Liberal Democrats | 825 | 28.6% | 57.2% | +23.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Yvonne Farrell | Liberal Democrats | 630 | 21.8% | 43.7% | +10.3 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Jack Butler | Labour Party | 334 | 11.6% | 23.1% | — | |
| 4 | Joe Angell | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 321 | 11.1% | 22.2% | — | |
| 5 | John Kane | Conservative Party | 289 | 10.0% | 20.0% | — | |
| 6 | Ian Purvis | Labour Party | 277 | 9.6% | 19.2% | — | |
| 7 | James Carroll | Independent | 210 | 7.3% | 14.6% | — |
Leighton Buzzard North · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 35.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +10.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,157
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brian Spurr | Conservative Party | 1,341 | 14.2% | 42.5% | +17.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Kenneth Ferguson | Conservative Party | 1,294 | 13.7% | 41.0% | +16.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Ewan Wallace | Conservative Party | 1,135 | 12.0% | 35.9% | +10.9 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Michael Bishop | Labour Party | 843 | 8.9% | 26.7% | — | |
| 5 | Daniel Scott | Labour Party | 744 | 7.9% | 23.6% | — | |
| 6 | Christie Melon | Labour Party | 689 | 7.3% | 21.8% | — | |
| 7 | Christopher Feander | Liberal Democrats | 633 | 6.7% | 20.0% | — | |
| 8 | Anne Gray | Liberal Democrats | 619 | 6.5% | 19.6% | — | |
| 9 | Rosalind Mennie | Liberal Democrats | 578 | 6.1% | 18.3% | — | |
| 10 | Andrew Dore | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 462 | 4.9% | 14.6% | — | |
| 11 | Caroline Redwood | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 461 | 4.9% | 14.6% | — | |
| 12 | Michael Woodhouse | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 399 | 4.2% | 12.6% | — | |
| 13 | Nanci Hogan | WEP | 274 | 2.9% | 8.7% | — |
Sandy · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 37.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +12.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,825
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simon Ford | Independent | 2,152 | 25.4% | 76.2% | +51.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Caroline Maudlin | Conservative Party | 1,150 | 13.6% | 40.7% | +15.7 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Tracey Stock | Conservative Party | 1,048 | 12.4% | 37.1% | +12.1 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Peter Aldis | Liberal Democrats | 996 | 11.8% | 35.3% | — | |
| 5 | Peter Smith | Conservative Party | 860 | 10.1% | 30.4% | — | |
| 6 | Kenneth Lynch | Green Party | 711 | 8.4% | 25.2% | — | |
| 7 | Kevin Backhouse | Liberal Democrats | 478 | 5.6% | 16.9% | — | |
| 8 | Alexandra Morris | Labour Party | 317 | 3.7% | 11.2% | — | |
| 9 | Richard Peters | Labour Party | 280 | 3.3% | 9.9% | — | |
| 10 | Ben Gutteridge | Liberal Democrats | 271 | 3.2% | 9.6% | — | |
| 11 | Orhan Tuncay | Labour Party | 212 | 2.5% | 7.5% | — |
Flitwick · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 39.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +14.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,022
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neil Bunyan | Conservative Party | 1,466 | 16.2% | 48.5% | +23.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Gareth Mackey | Independent | 1,397 | 15.4% | 46.2% | +21.2 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Charles Gomm | Conservative Party | 1,187 | 13.1% | 39.3% | +14.3 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Fiona Chapman | Conservative Party | 1,120 | 12.4% | 37.1% | — | |
| 5 | Russell Shaw | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 615 | 6.8% | 20.4% | — | |
| 6 | Cathrine Jones | Labour Party | 603 | 6.7% | 20.0% | — | |
| 7 | Tania Malkani | Labour Party | 566 | 6.2% | 18.7% | — | |
| 8 | Jack Moore | Liberal Democrats | 551 | 6.1% | 18.2% | — | |
| 9 | Dan Toinko | Labour Party | 543 | 6.0% | 18.0% | — | |
| 10 | Richard Kennedy | Liberal Democrats | 529 | 5.8% | 17.5% | — | |
| 11 | John White | Liberal Democrats | 488 | 5.4% | 16.2% | — |
Toddington · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 47.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +14.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,700
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Silvia Amantea-Collins | Independent | 1,557 | 28.8% | 57.7% | +24.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mary Walsh | Independent | 1,289 | 23.9% | 47.7% | +14.4 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Thomas Nicols | Conservative Party | 806 | 14.9% | 29.9% | — | |
| 4 | Gary Tubb | Conservative Party | 583 | 10.8% | 21.6% | — | |
| 5 | Rhiannon Meades | Labour Party | 459 | 8.5% | 17.0% | — | |
| 6 | Barry James | Labour Party | 368 | 6.8% | 13.6% | — | |
| 7 | Richard Roe | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 338 | 6.3% | 12.5% | — |
Cranfield and Marston Moretaine · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 42.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +17.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,766
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Susan Clark | Conservative Party | 1,508 | 18.2% | 54.5% | +29.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Kenneth Matthews | Conservative Party | 1,285 | 15.5% | 46.5% | +21.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Robert Morris | Conservative Party | 1,183 | 14.3% | 42.8% | +17.8 pts | Elected |
| 4 | John Guinn | Independent | 1,042 | 12.6% | 37.7% | — | |
| 5 | Alison Parker | Green Party | 772 | 9.3% | 27.9% | — | |
| 6 | Roger Baker | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 695 | 8.4% | 25.1% | — | |
| 7 | Elizabeth Rooney | Labour Party | 630 | 7.6% | 22.8% | — | |
| 8 | Michelle White | Labour Party | 507 | 6.1% | 18.3% | — | |
| 9 | Karl O'Dell | Labour Party | 435 | 5.2% | 15.7% | — | |
| 10 | Alan Victor | Renew | 241 | 2.9% | 8.7% | — |
Barton-le-Clay · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 68.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +18.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,683
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ian Shingler | Independent | 1,155 | 68.6% | +18.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Joseph Irwin | Conservative Party | 253 | 15.0% | — | |
| 3 | Jonathan Paxton | Liberal Democrats | 197 | 11.7% | — | |
| 4 | Karl Bruckdorfer | Labour Party | 78 | 4.6% | — |
Eaton Bray · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 68.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +18.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,142
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Philip Spicer | Conservative Party | 786 | 68.8% | +18.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Andrew Waters | Green Party | 265 | 23.2% | — | |
| 3 | Marc Windmill | Labour Party | 91 | 8.0% | — |
Caddington · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 53.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +20.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,356
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kevin Collins | Conservative Party | 1,418 | 30.1% | 60.2% | +26.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Edward Perry | Conservative Party | 1,256 | 26.7% | 53.3% | +20.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | John Waller | Independent | 1,041 | 22.1% | 44.2% | — | |
| 4 | Shirley Smith | Labour Party | 551 | 11.7% | 23.4% | — | |
| 5 | Ian Lowery | Labour Party | 445 | 9.4% | 18.9% | — |
Leighton Buzzard South · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 45.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +20.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,828
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Dodwell | Conservative Party | 1,445 | 17.0% | 51.1% | +26.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Raymond Berry | Conservative Party | 1,279 | 15.1% | 45.2% | +20.2 pts | Elected |
| 3 | David Bowater | Conservative Party | 1,276 | 15.0% | 45.1% | +20.1 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Adrian Heffernan | Labour Party | 674 | 7.9% | 23.8% | — | |
| 5 | Christopher Northedge | Labour Party | 624 | 7.4% | 22.1% | — | |
| 6 | Robert Connelly | Labour Party | 622 | 7.3% | 22.0% | — | |
| 7 | Anne Guess | Liberal Democrats | 566 | 6.7% | 20.0% | — | |
| 8 | Christopher Leaman | Liberal Democrats | 484 | 5.7% | 17.1% | — | |
| 9 | John Hewitt | Liberal Democrats | 482 | 5.7% | 17.0% | — | |
| 10 | Frank Lelliott | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 367 | 4.3% | 13.0% | — | |
| 11 | Antonio Vitiello | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 344 | 4.1% | 12.2% | — | |
| 12 | Steven Wildman | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 322 | 3.8% | 11.4% | — |
Silsoe and Shillington · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 70.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +20.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,688
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alison Graham | Independent | 1,192 | 70.6% | +20.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Blake Stephenson | Conservative Party | 384 | 22.7% | — | |
| 3 | Sheila Gardner | Labour Party | 112 | 6.6% | — |
Westoning, Flitton and Greenfield · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 71.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +21.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,549
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | James Jamieson | Conservative Party | 1,105 | 71.3% | +21.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Richard Ellis | Green Party | 343 | 22.1% | — | |
| 3 | Rachel Garnham | Labour Party | 101 | 6.5% | — |
Ampthill · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 46.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +21.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,360
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Smith | Independent | 2,135 | 21.2% | 63.5% | +38.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Michael Blair | Conservative Party | 1,595 | 15.8% | 47.5% | +22.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Paul Duckett | Conservative Party | 1,564 | 15.5% | 46.5% | +21.5 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Stephen Addy | Conservative Party | 1,542 | 15.3% | 45.9% | — | |
| 5 | Susan Clinch | Green Party | 1,193 | 11.8% | 35.5% | — | |
| 6 | Catherine Brown | Liberal Democrats | 967 | 9.6% | 28.8% | — | |
| 7 | Valerie Quinn | Labour Party | 449 | 4.5% | 13.4% | — | |
| 8 | Louise Chinnery | Labour Party | 373 | 3.7% | 11.1% | — | |
| 9 | Carmen Williams | Labour Party | 263 | 2.6% | 7.8% | — |
Biggleswade North · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 58.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +24.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,890
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steven Watkins | Conservative Party | 1,161 | 30.7% | 61.4% | +28.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ian Bond | Conservative Party | 1,098 | 29.0% | 58.1% | +24.8 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Sarah Doyle | Labour Party | 783 | 20.7% | 41.4% | — | |
| 4 | Fiona Factor | Labour Party | 738 | 19.5% | 39.0% | — |
Heath and Reach · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 75.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +25.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,354
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Versallion | Conservative Party | 1,018 | 75.2% | +25.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Dominic Scholfield | Green Party | 205 | 15.1% | — | |
| 3 | Susan Wellstood-Eason | Labour Party | 131 | 9.7% | — |
Stotfold and Langford · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 51.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +26.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,173
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alan Saunders | Conservative Party | 1,874 | 19.7% | 59.1% | +34.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Steven Dixon | Conservative Party | 1,753 | 18.4% | 55.2% | +30.2 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Nicola Harris | Conservative Party | 1,636 | 17.2% | 51.6% | +26.6 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Helen Wightwick | Labour Party | 1,044 | 11.0% | 32.9% | — | |
| 5 | Nicholas Andrews | Labour Party | 998 | 10.5% | 31.5% | — | |
| 6 | Matthew Brennan | Labour Party | 809 | 8.5% | 25.5% | — | |
| 7 | Paul Francis | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 775 | 8.1% | 24.4% | — | |
| 8 | Binanti Cuzner | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 630 | 6.6% | 19.9% | — |
Dunstable – Watling · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 61.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +27.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,116
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eugene Ghent | Conservative Party | 1,304 | 30.8% | 61.6% | +28.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | John Young | Conservative Party | 1,295 | 30.6% | 61.2% | +27.9 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Roger Pepworth | Labour Party | 477 | 11.3% | 22.5% | — | |
| 4 | Trudi Kleanthous | Labour Party | 471 | 11.1% | 22.3% | — | |
| 5 | Steven Ashby | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 388 | 9.2% | 18.3% | — | |
| 6 | Ian Witherick | Liberal Democrats | 297 | 7.0% | 14.0% | — |
Aspley and Woburn · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 78.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +28.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,147
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Baker | Independent | 1,686 | 78.5% | +28.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Christopher Wells | Conservative Party | 371 | 17.3% | — | |
| 3 | Susan Morris | Labour Party | 90 | 4.2% | — |
Northill · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 79.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +29.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,231
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Frank Firth | Conservative Party | 972 | 79.0% | +29.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Andrew Harland | Labour Party | 259 | 21.0% | — |
Arlesey · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 59.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +34.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,050
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ian Dalgarno | Conservative Party | 1,899 | 20.8% | 62.3% | +37.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David Shelvey | Conservative Party | 1,858 | 20.3% | 60.9% | +35.9 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Richard Wenham | Conservative Party | 1,799 | 19.7% | 59.0% | +34.0 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Tom Hoeksma | Green Party | 1,002 | 10.9% | 32.8% | — | |
| 5 | Kevin O'Daly | Labour Party | 942 | 10.3% | 30.9% | — | |
| 6 | Douglas Landman | Labour Party | 884 | 9.7% | 29.0% | — | |
| 7 | Daniel Riley | Labour Party | 767 | 8.4% | 25.1% | — |
Shefford · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 70.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +36.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,954
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anthony Brown | Conservative Party | 1,374 | 35.2% | 70.3% | +37.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mark Liddiard | Conservative Party | 1,368 | 35.0% | 70.0% | +36.7 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Glenda Tizard | Labour Party | 643 | 16.5% | 32.9% | — | |
| 4 | Sheila Woods | Labour Party | 522 | 13.4% | 26.7% | — |
Potton · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 72.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +38.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,982
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adam Zerny | Independent | 2,729 | 45.8% | 91.5% | +58.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Tracey Wye | Independent | 2,151 | 36.1% | 72.1% | +38.8 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Doreen Gurney | Conservative Party | 440 | 7.4% | 14.8% | — | |
| 4 | Grant Fage | Conservative Party | 375 | 6.3% | 12.6% | — | |
| 5 | Daniel Cherry | Labour Party | 166 | 2.8% | 5.6% | — | |
| 6 | Wendy Bater | Labour Party | 102 | 1.7% | 3.4% | — |