← Cherwell (all cycles) · 5 May 2016 cohort
Cherwell 2016
Local elections held 5 May 2016.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 16 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 48 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 47,579 | 49.1% | 38 | 79.2% | 25 | 52.1% | +13 |
| Labour Party | 28,893 | 29.8% | 8 | 16.7% | 15 | 31.3% | -7 |
| Green Party | 7,473 | 7.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 6.3% | -3 |
| Liberal Democrats | 5,247 | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 4.2% | -2 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 4,266 | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 4.2% | -2 |
| Independent | 3,388 | 3.5% | 2 | 4.2% | 1 | 2.1% | +1 |
| Total | 96,846 | 100.0% | 48 | 100.0% | 48 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
The 2016 cycle was an all-out election — every seat was contested. The two opencouncildata snapshots below show the council immediately after the 2016 election (current) and on the eve of it (2015), so you can see what the result replaced.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Bicester West · 3 seats · won at 25.0% · 0.0 pts below quota
- Kidlington West · 3 seats · won at 37.4% · above quota
- Banbury Grimsbury and Hightown · 3 seats · won at 42.4% · above quota
- Banbury Cross and Neithrop · 3 seats · won at 43.3% · above quota
- Banbury Hardwick · 3 seats · won at 44.3% · above quota
- Bicester East · 3 seats · won at 46.8% · above quota
- Bicester South and Ambrosden · 3 seats · won at 46.8% · above quota
- Kidlington East · 3 seats · won at 48.3% · above quota
- Launton and Otmoor · 3 seats · won at 49.3% · above quota
- Bicester North and Caversfield · 3 seats · won at 54.2% · above quota
- Banbury Calthorpe and Easington · 3 seats · won at 54.9% · above quota
- Adderbury, Bloxham and Bodicote · 3 seats · won at 55.0% · above quota
- Banbury Ruscote · 3 seats · won at 55.5% · above quota
- Deddington · 3 seats · won at 57.8% · above quota
- Cropredy, Sibfords and Wroxton · 3 seats · won at 59.8% · above quota
- Fringford and Heyfords · 3 seats · won at 62.3% · above quota
Race results
Bicester West · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 25.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. 0.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,039
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Les Sibley | Independent | 1,612 | 26.4% | 79.1% | +54.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Debbie Pickford | Conservative Party | 662 | 10.8% | 32.5% | +7.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Jolanta Lis | Conservative Party | 509 | 8.3% | 25.0% | 0.0 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Harry Knight | Independent | 495 | 8.1% | 24.3% | — | |
| 5 | Matt Snape | Conservative Party | 484 | 7.9% | 23.7% | — | |
| 6 | Stuart Moss | Labour Party | 464 | 7.6% | 22.8% | — | |
| 7 | Alan Hasted | Independent | 463 | 7.6% | 22.7% | — | |
| 8 | Bob Massingham | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 453 | 7.4% | 22.2% | — | |
| 9 | Sylvia Howells | Labour Party | 450 | 7.4% | 22.1% | — | |
| 10 | Steven Uttley | Labour Party | 331 | 5.4% | 16.2% | — | |
| 11 | Fiona Mawson | Green Party | 194 | 3.2% | 9.5% | — |
Kidlington West · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 37.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +12.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,536
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sandra Rhodes | Conservative Party | 1,071 | 14.1% | 42.2% | +17.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Alan Mackenzie-Wintle | Conservative Party | 1,011 | 13.3% | 39.9% | +14.9 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Nigel Simpson | Conservative Party | 948 | 12.5% | 37.4% | +12.4 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Doug Williamson | Liberal Democrats | 857 | 11.3% | 33.8% | — | |
| 5 | Dawn Glatz | Liberal Democrats | 832 | 10.9% | 32.8% | — | |
| 6 | Joe Claxton | Liberal Democrats | 820 | 10.8% | 32.3% | — | |
| 7 | Chris Robins | Labour Party | 517 | 6.8% | 20.4% | — | |
| 8 | John Stansby | Labour Party | 442 | 5.8% | 17.4% | — | |
| 9 | Michael Taylor | Labour Party | 411 | 5.4% | 16.2% | — | |
| 10 | Heather Firkin | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 389 | 5.1% | 15.3% | — | |
| 11 | Rita White | Green Party | 311 | 4.1% | 12.3% | — |
Banbury Grimsbury and Hightown · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 42.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +17.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,889
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew Beere | Labour Party | 966 | 17.0% | 51.1% | +26.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Claire Bell | Labour Party | 930 | 16.4% | 49.2% | +24.2 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Shaida Hussain | Labour Party | 801 | 14.1% | 42.4% | +17.4 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Tony Mepham | Conservative Party | 740 | 13.1% | 39.2% | — | |
| 5 | Nick Harrison | Conservative Party | 621 | 11.0% | 32.9% | — | |
| 6 | Gary Wills | Conservative Party | 611 | 10.8% | 32.4% | — | |
| 7 | Jason Williams | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 344 | 6.1% | 18.2% | — | |
| 8 | Jack Barton | Green Party | 284 | 5.0% | 15.0% | — | |
| 9 | Kenneth Ashworth | Liberal Democrats | 213 | 3.8% | 11.3% | — | |
| 10 | Dave Wiles | Liberal Democrats | 156 | 2.8% | 8.3% | — |
Banbury Cross and Neithrop · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 43.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +18.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,031
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Surinder Dhesi | Labour Party | 1,247 | 20.5% | 61.4% | +36.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Hannah Banfield | Labour Party | 1,188 | 19.5% | 58.5% | +33.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Alastair Milne-Home | Conservative Party | 880 | 14.4% | 43.3% | +18.3 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Sonny Sidhu | Labour Party | 832 | 13.7% | 41.0% | — | |
| 5 | Andrew McHugh | Conservative Party | 731 | 12.0% | 36.0% | — | |
| 6 | Nick Poole | Conservative Party | 729 | 12.0% | 35.9% | — | |
| 7 | Bernard Dod | Green Party | 485 | 8.0% | 23.9% | — |
Banbury Hardwick · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 44.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +19.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,427
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Donaldson | Conservative Party | 689 | 16.1% | 48.3% | +23.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Nicholas Turner | Conservative Party | 638 | 14.9% | 44.7% | +19.7 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Tony Ilott | Conservative Party | 633 | 14.8% | 44.3% | +19.3 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Mary Evans Young | Labour Party | 532 | 12.4% | 37.3% | — | |
| 5 | Anne Davis | Labour Party | 504 | 11.8% | 35.3% | — | |
| 6 | Henry Goodman | Labour Party | 447 | 10.4% | 31.3% | — | |
| 7 | Ian Hackford | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 368 | 8.6% | 25.8% | — | |
| 8 | Andrew Aris | Green Party | 246 | 5.7% | 17.2% | — | |
| 9 | Anthony Burns | Liberal Democrats | 225 | 5.3% | 15.8% | — |
Bicester East · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 46.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +21.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,773
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean Gaul | Conservative Party | 1,002 | 18.8% | 56.5% | +31.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Richard Mould | Conservative Party | 913 | 17.2% | 51.5% | +26.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Tom Wallis | Conservative Party | 830 | 15.6% | 46.8% | +21.8 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Sarah Haydon | Labour Party | 803 | 15.1% | 45.3% | — | |
| 5 | Marcus English | Labour Party | 728 | 13.7% | 41.1% | — | |
| 6 | Steven Sargeant | Labour Party | 665 | 12.5% | 37.5% | — | |
| 7 | Nicholas Roesen | Green Party | 379 | 7.1% | 21.4% | — |
Bicester South and Ambrosden · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 46.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +21.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,747
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dan Sames | Conservative Party | 889 | 17.0% | 50.9% | +25.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David Anderson | Conservative Party | 877 | 16.7% | 50.2% | +25.2 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Nick Cotter | Independent | 818 | 15.6% | 46.8% | +21.8 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Norman Bolster | Conservative Party | 693 | 13.2% | 39.7% | — | |
| 5 | Christopher Howells | Labour Party | 449 | 8.6% | 25.7% | — | |
| 6 | Glyn Austin | Labour Party | 445 | 8.5% | 25.5% | — | |
| 7 | Roger Nixon | Green Party | 381 | 7.3% | 21.8% | — | |
| 8 | Dickie Bird | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 366 | 7.0% | 21.0% | — | |
| 9 | Michael Nixon | Labour Party | 323 | 6.2% | 18.5% | — |
Kidlington East · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 48.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +23.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,462
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maurice Billington | Conservative Party | 1,606 | 21.7% | 65.2% | +40.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Neil Prestidge | Conservative Party | 1,232 | 16.7% | 50.0% | +25.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Carmen Griffiths | Conservative Party | 1,188 | 16.1% | 48.3% | +23.3 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Catharine Arakelian | Labour Party | 642 | 8.7% | 26.1% | — | |
| 5 | Andrew Hornsby-Smith | Labour Party | 614 | 8.3% | 24.9% | — | |
| 6 | Janet Warren | Labour Party | 554 | 7.5% | 22.5% | — | |
| 7 | Alison Street | Liberal Democrats | 457 | 6.2% | 18.6% | — | |
| 8 | David Thurling | Liberal Democrats | 331 | 4.5% | 13.4% | — | |
| 9 | Tracey Wyse | Liberal Democrats | 331 | 4.5% | 13.4% | — | |
| 10 | Michael Jones | Green Party | 224 | 3.0% | 9.1% | — | |
| 11 | Paul Mackilligin | Green Party | 206 | 2.8% | 8.4% | — |
Launton and Otmoor · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 49.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +24.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,900
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simon Holland | Conservative Party | 1,006 | 17.6% | 52.9% | +27.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Tim Hallchurch | Conservative Party | 947 | 16.6% | 49.8% | +24.8 pts | Elected |
| 3 | David Hughes | Conservative Party | 936 | 16.4% | 49.3% | +24.3 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Catherine Chester | Labour Party | 610 | 10.7% | 32.1% | — | |
| 5 | Graham Carey | Labour Party | 524 | 9.2% | 27.6% | — | |
| 6 | Mike Hobbs | Labour Party | 459 | 8.1% | 24.2% | — | |
| 7 | Paul Genge | Green Party | 450 | 7.9% | 23.7% | — | |
| 8 | Alan Harris | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 394 | 6.9% | 20.7% | — | |
| 9 | Tim Emptage | Liberal Democrats | 375 | 6.6% | 19.7% | — |
Bicester North and Caversfield · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 54.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +29.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,459
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lynn Pratt | Conservative Party | 804 | 18.4% | 55.1% | +30.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jason Slaymaker | Conservative Party | 797 | 18.2% | 54.6% | +29.6 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Nicholas Mawer | Conservative Party | 790 | 18.1% | 54.2% | +29.2 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Margaret Lyon | Labour Party | 518 | 11.8% | 35.5% | — | |
| 5 | Peter Lyon | Labour Party | 447 | 10.2% | 30.6% | — | |
| 6 | Derek Colden | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 364 | 8.3% | 25.0% | — | |
| 7 | Marc Rufus | Labour Party | 360 | 8.2% | 24.7% | — | |
| 8 | Ian Middleton | Green Party | 296 | 6.8% | 20.3% | — |
Banbury Calthorpe and Easington · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 54.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +29.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,274
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kieron Mallon | Conservative Party | 1,359 | 19.9% | 59.8% | +34.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Colin Clarke | Conservative Party | 1,332 | 19.5% | 58.6% | +33.6 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Nigel Morris | Conservative Party | 1,248 | 18.3% | 54.9% | +29.9 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Mike Beal | Labour Party | 786 | 11.5% | 34.6% | — | |
| 5 | Jane Rogers | Labour Party | 700 | 10.3% | 30.8% | — | |
| 6 | Derek Evans | Labour Party | 686 | 10.1% | 30.2% | — | |
| 7 | Dawn Gosling | Green Party | 425 | 6.2% | 18.7% | — | |
| 8 | Janice Johnson | Liberal Democrats | 286 | 4.2% | 12.6% | — |
Adderbury, Bloxham and Bodicote · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 55.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +30.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,352
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Heath | Conservative Party | 1,321 | 18.7% | 56.2% | +31.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mike Bishop | Conservative Party | 1,312 | 18.6% | 55.8% | +30.8 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Nigel Randall | Conservative Party | 1,294 | 18.3% | 55.0% | +30.0 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Naomi Kanetsuka | Green Party | 573 | 8.1% | 24.4% | — | |
| 5 | John Haywood | Green Party | 484 | 6.9% | 20.6% | — | |
| 6 | Shaun Greenslade-Hibbert | Green Party | 451 | 6.4% | 19.2% | — | |
| 7 | Susan Christie | Labour Party | 444 | 6.3% | 18.9% | — | |
| 8 | John Christie | Labour Party | 422 | 6.0% | 17.9% | — | |
| 9 | Matt Johnson | Labour Party | 390 | 5.5% | 16.6% | — | |
| 10 | Peter Davies | Liberal Democrats | 364 | 5.2% | 15.5% | — |
Banbury Ruscote · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 55.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +30.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,632
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Cherry | Labour Party | 1,105 | 22.6% | 67.7% | +42.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sean Woodcock | Labour Party | 924 | 18.9% | 56.6% | +31.6 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Barry Richards | Labour Party | 905 | 18.5% | 55.5% | +30.5 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Stuart Robbins | Conservative Party | 500 | 10.2% | 30.6% | — | |
| 5 | Linda Wren | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 436 | 8.9% | 26.7% | — | |
| 6 | Pat Tompson | Conservative Party | 404 | 8.3% | 24.8% | — | |
| 7 | Nicola Smith | Conservative Party | 400 | 8.2% | 24.5% | — | |
| 8 | Christopher Manley | Green Party | 221 | 4.5% | 13.5% | — |
Deddington · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 57.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +32.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,528
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryn Williams | Conservative Party | 1,725 | 22.7% | 68.2% | +43.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Hugo Brown | Conservative Party | 1,573 | 20.7% | 62.2% | +37.2 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Mike Kerford-Byrnes | Conservative Party | 1,460 | 19.3% | 57.8% | +32.8 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Aaron Bliss | Green Party | 684 | 9.0% | 27.1% | — | |
| 5 | Alasdair Brown | Labour Party | 654 | 8.6% | 25.9% | — | |
| 6 | Annette Murphy | Labour Party | 618 | 8.1% | 24.4% | — | |
| 7 | Polly Foster | Labour Party | 462 | 6.1% | 18.3% | — | |
| 8 | Aubrey Ellis | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 408 | 5.4% | 16.1% | — |
Cropredy, Sibfords and Wroxton · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 59.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +34.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,323
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | George Reynolds | Conservative Party | 1,623 | 23.3% | 69.9% | +44.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ken Atack | Conservative Party | 1,513 | 21.7% | 65.1% | +40.1 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Douglas Webb | Conservative Party | 1,389 | 19.9% | 59.8% | +34.8 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Anne Cullen | Labour Party | 581 | 8.3% | 25.0% | — | |
| 5 | Susan Moon | Labour Party | 525 | 7.5% | 22.6% | — | |
| 6 | Perran Moon | Labour Party | 478 | 6.9% | 20.6% | — | |
| 7 | Non Kinchin-Smith | Green Party | 477 | 6.8% | 20.5% | — | |
| 8 | Markus Wise | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 384 | 5.5% | 16.5% | — |
Fringford and Heyfords · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 62.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +37.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,910
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | James Macnamara | Conservative Party | 1,249 | 21.8% | 65.4% | +40.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ian Corkin | Conservative Party | 1,220 | 21.3% | 63.9% | +38.9 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Barry Wood | Conservative Party | 1,190 | 20.8% | 62.3% | +37.3 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Jenny Tamblyn | Green Party | 412 | 7.2% | 21.6% | — | |
| 5 | Sheila Haydon | Labour Party | 400 | 7.0% | 20.9% | — | |
| 6 | Sara Corr | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 360 | 6.3% | 18.8% | — | |
| 7 | Lee Isaacs | Labour Party | 314 | 5.5% | 16.4% | — | |
| 8 | Gareth Richard | Labour Party | 296 | 5.2% | 15.5% | — | |
| 9 | Graham Wilson | Green Party | 290 | 5.1% | 15.2% | — |