← Cherwell (all cycles) · 2 May 2019 cohort
Cherwell 2019
Local elections held 2 May 2019.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 16 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 17 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 15,783 | 42.5% | 9 | 52.9% | 8 | 47.1% | +1 |
| Labour Party | 7,854 | 21.1% | 3 | 17.6% | 3 | 17.6% | 0 |
| Liberal Democrats | 6,151 | 16.6% | 2 | 11.8% | 3 | 17.6% | -1 |
| Green Party | 3,984 | 10.7% | 1 | 5.9% | 2 | 11.8% | -1 |
| Independent | 2,544 | 6.8% | 2 | 11.8% | 1 | 5.9% | +1 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 840 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 37,156 | 100.0% | 17 | 100.0% | 17 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2019 election (current) and immediately before it (2018). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2019 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Bicester East · 1 seat · won at 40.1% · −9.9 pts below quota
- Kidlington East · 1 seat · won at 40.4% · −9.6 pts below quota
- Bicester North and Caversfield · 1 seat · won at 47.9% · −2.1 pts below quota
- Banbury Cross and Neithrop · 1 seat · won at 48.5% · −1.5 pts below quota
- Banbury Grimsbury and Hightown · 1 seat · won at 49.2% · −0.8 pts below quota
- Banbury Hardwick · 1 seat · won at 49.7% · −0.3 pts below quota
- Deddington · 1 seat · won at 49.9% · −0.1 pts below quota
- Adderbury, Bloxham and Bodicote · 1 seat · won at 52.2% · above quota
- Banbury Calthorpe and Easington · 1 seat · won at 53.2% · above quota
- Banbury Ruscote · 1 seat · won at 53.9% · above quota
- Fringford and Heyfords · 1 seat · won at 55.2% · above quota
- Bicester South and Ambrosden · 1 seat · won at 56.5% · above quota
- Bicester West · 1 seat · won at 57.5% · above quota
- Launton and Otmoor · 1 seat · won at 57.6% · above quota
- Cropredy, Sibfords and Wroxton · 1 seat · won at 58.8% · above quota
- Kidlington West · 2 seats · won at 55.4% · above quota
Race results
Bicester East · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 40.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −9.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,844
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Richard Mould | Conservative Party | 740 | 40.1% | −9.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Robert Nixon | Green Party | 620 | 33.6% | — | |
| 3 | Celia Kavuma | Labour Party | 348 | 18.9% | — | |
| 4 | Bruce Shakespeare | Liberal Democrats | 136 | 7.4% | — |
Kidlington East · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 40.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −9.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,696
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ian Middleton | Green Party | 1,089 | 40.4% | −9.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Neil Prestidge | Conservative Party | 1,016 | 37.7% | — | |
| 3 | John Stansby | Labour Party | 377 | 14.0% | — | |
| 4 | Anthony Morris | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 214 | 7.9% | — |
Bicester North and Caversfield · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,657
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jason Slaymaker | Conservative Party | 794 | 47.9% | −2.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Francis Boon | Green Party | 298 | 18.0% | — | |
| 3 | Dan Murphy | Liberal Democrats | 291 | 17.6% | — | |
| 4 | Margaret Lyon | Labour Party | 274 | 16.5% | — |
Banbury Cross and Neithrop · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,126
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hannah Banfield | Labour Party | 1,031 | 48.5% | −1.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Alastair Milnehome | Conservative Party | 789 | 37.1% | — | |
| 3 | John Whitwell | Liberal Democrats | 306 | 14.4% | — |
Banbury Grimsbury and Hightown · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,946
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Perran Moon | Labour Party | 957 | 49.2% | −0.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David Beverly | Conservative Party | 586 | 30.1% | — | |
| 3 | Carrick Cameron | Green Party | 403 | 20.7% | — |
Banbury Hardwick · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,643
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nathan Bignell | Conservative Party | 817 | 49.7% | −0.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Blue Watson | Labour Party | 417 | 25.4% | — | |
| 3 | Karl Kwiatkowski | Green Party | 215 | 13.1% | — | |
| 4 | Heather Firkin | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 194 | 11.8% | — |
Deddington · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,758
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hugo Brown | Conservative Party | 1,376 | 49.9% | −0.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Aaron Bliss | Green Party | 523 | 19.0% | — | |
| 3 | Nigel Davis | Liberal Democrats | 477 | 17.3% | — | |
| 4 | Annette Murphy | Labour Party | 382 | 13.9% | — |
Adderbury, Bloxham and Bodicote · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,278
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Bishop | Conservative Party | 1,189 | 52.2% | +2.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Andy Aris | Green Party | 416 | 18.3% | — | |
| 3 | Suzette Watson | Labour Party | 377 | 16.5% | — | |
| 4 | Jonathan Gregory | Liberal Democrats | 296 | 13.0% | — |
Banbury Calthorpe and Easington · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 53.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +3.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,288
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colin Clarke | Conservative Party | 1,218 | 53.2% | +3.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Phil Richards | Labour Party | 590 | 25.8% | — | |
| 3 | Brent Jackson | Liberal Democrats | 480 | 21.0% | — |
Banbury Ruscote · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 53.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +3.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,466
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean Woodcock | Labour Party | 790 | 53.9% | +3.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Chris Phillips | Conservative Party | 487 | 33.2% | — | |
| 3 | Ian Thomas | Liberal Democrats | 189 | 12.9% | — |
Fringford and Heyfords · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 55.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,217
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ian Corkin | Conservative Party | 1,223 | 55.2% | +5.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jenny Tamblyn | Green Party | 420 | 18.9% | — | |
| 3 | Dillie Keane | Liberal Democrats | 394 | 17.8% | — | |
| 4 | Alan Harris | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 180 | 8.1% | — |
Bicester South and Ambrosden · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 56.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +6.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,230
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nick Cotter | Independent | 1,259 | 56.5% | +6.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Zoe McLernon | Conservative Party | 675 | 30.3% | — | |
| 3 | Marcus English | Labour Party | 296 | 13.3% | — |
Bicester West · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,234
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fraser Webster | Independent | 1,285 | 57.5% | +7.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Debbie Pickford | Conservative Party | 597 | 26.7% | — | |
| 3 | John Melrose | Labour Party | 352 | 15.8% | — |
Launton and Otmoor · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,034
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tim Hallchurch | Conservative Party | 1,171 | 57.6% | +7.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Michael Nixon | Labour Party | 863 | 42.4% | — |
Cropredy, Sibfords and Wroxton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,554
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Douglas Webb | Conservative Party | 1,503 | 58.8% | +8.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Julian Woodward | Liberal Democrats | 653 | 25.6% | — | |
| 3 | Anne Cullen | Labour Party | 398 | 15.6% | — |
Kidlington West · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 55.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +22.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,593
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katherine Tyson | Liberal Democrats | 1,493 | 28.8% | 57.6% | +24.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Conrad Copeland | Liberal Democrats | 1,436 | 27.7% | 55.4% | +22.1 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Nigel Simpson | Conservative Party | 816 | 15.7% | 31.5% | — | |
| 4 | Alan Mackenzie-Wintle | Conservative Party | 786 | 15.2% | 30.3% | — | |
| 5 | Chuk Okeke | Labour Party | 402 | 7.8% | 15.5% | — | |
| 6 | Hilary Valk | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 252 | 4.9% | 9.7% | — |