← Adur (all cycles) · 6 May 2021 cohort

Adur 2021

Local elections held 6 May 2021.

14 ward races
18 seats
5 elected below the proportional quota
27.8% of seats below quota
3 unfairly awarded seats
16.7% of seats unfairly awarded

Each race compares the marginal winner's share of valid ballots to the proportional quota — the share they'd need under any common proportional method. How the numbers are derived →

If votes were counted by party

Across the 14 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 18 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Conservative Party10,19545.4%1161.1%950.0%+2
Labour Party7,06131.4%527.8%633.3%-1
Green Party2,66411.9%15.6%211.1%-1
Liberal Democrats1,3526.0%00.0%15.6%-1
Independent1,1225.0%15.6%00.0%+1
UK Independence Party (UKIP)800.4%00.0%00.0%0
Total22,474100.0%18100.0%18100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Council composition: what this election replaced

Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2021 election (current) and immediately before it (2020). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2021 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.

Current (2021)
Previous (2020)

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Mash Barn · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 42.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −7.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,104

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Sluman S.L.Labour Party46542.1%−7.9 ptsElected
2Lock J.Conservative Party44139.9%
3Martin D.Liberal Democrats13212.0%
4Morgan K.Green Party666.0%

Electorate 3,345 · EC ward code E05007569 · Back to ward index

Southwick Green · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 44.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −5.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,469

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Baine R.C.C.Labour Party65444.5%−5.5 ptsElected
2Williams L.Y.Conservative Party59340.4%
3Jones I.A.Liberal Democrats22215.1%

Electorate 3,486 · EC ward code E05007574 · Back to ward index

St. Nicolas · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,757

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Crisp G.Green Party82346.8%−3.2 ptsElected
2Coomber B.K.Conservative Party62435.5%
3Lowe A.Labour Party31017.6%

Electorate 3,177 · EC ward code E05007572 · Back to ward index

St. Marys · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,585

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Gardner J.M.A.Labour Party75447.6%−2.4 ptsElected
2Mendoza M.Conservative Party52132.9%
3Mott J.F.Green Party20512.9%
4Pressley N.J.Liberal Democrats1056.6%

Electorate 3,940 · EC ward code E05007571 · Back to ward index

Buckingham · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,299

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Boram K.Conservative Party64649.7%−0.3 ptsElected
2Bannister M.Labour Party36428.0%
3Groves-Williams L.C.Green Party14911.5%
4Batchelor D.P.Liberal Democrats14010.8%

Electorate 3,106 · EC ward code E05007562 · Back to ward index

Manor · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,200

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Albury C.R.Conservative Party70358.6%+8.6 ptsElected
2Carden S.Labour Party23519.6%
3Rumble M.Green Party14011.7%
4Creed S.Liberal Democrats12210.2%

Electorate 3,288 · EC ward code E05007567 · Back to ward index

Cokeham · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 60.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +10.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,130

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Wilkinson R.Conservative Party68860.9%+10.9 ptsElected
2Aulton R.Labour Party30527.0%
3Grove-Williams P.G.Green Party13712.1%

Electorate 3,483 · EC ward code E05007564 · Back to ward index

Eastbrook · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 44.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,086

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Funnell J.R.Conservative Party58026.7%53.4%+20.1 ptsElected
2O'Neal C.J.Labour Party48622.4%44.8%+11.4 ptsElected
3Flower D.Labour Party47221.7%43.5%
4Lennon J.Conservative Party45521.0%41.9%
5Ginnelly P.G.Green Party1788.2%16.4%

Electorate 3,471 · EC ward code E05007565 · Back to ward index

Southlands · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 45.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,001

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Stainforth D.A.Labour Party46223.1%46.2%+12.8 ptsElected
2Edwards T.M.Conservative Party45222.6%45.2%+11.8 ptsElected
3Norfolk B.J.Conservative Party39519.7%39.5%
4Cheverest S.J.Labour Party36318.1%36.3%
5Kearns N.A.Liberal Democrats1939.6%19.3%
6Younger A.Green Party1376.8%13.7%

Electorate 3,165 · EC ward code E05007573 · Back to ward index

Peverel · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 62.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +12.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,071

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Barton V.Conservative Party66562.1%+12.1 ptsElected
2Page A.Labour Party21620.2%
3Finnigan L.M.Green Party11510.7%
4Humphrey K.J.Liberal Democrats757.0%

Electorate 3,398 · EC ward code E05007570 · Back to ward index

Hillside · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 62.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +12.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,129

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Dunn A.D.Conservative Party70262.2%+12.2 ptsElected
2Giles C.A.Labour Party33829.9%
3Harmsworth L.S.Green Party897.9%

Electorate 3,408 · EC ward code E05007566 · Back to ward index

Widewater · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 48.6% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +15.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,445

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Bridges A.Conservative Party85329.5%59.0%+25.7 ptsElected
2Pannell J.Conservative Party70224.3%48.6%+15.2 ptsElected
3Alden P.Labour Party44515.4%30.8%
4Garrard S.R.Labour Party35712.4%24.7%
5Whiting R.L.Green Party2438.4%16.8%
6Martin S.Liberal Democrats2107.3%14.5%
7Virgo B.UK Independence Party (UKIP)802.8%5.5%

Electorate 4,736 · EC ward code E05007575 · Back to ward index

Marine · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 68.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +18.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,636

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Loader J.Independent1,12268.6%+18.6 ptsElected
2Sweet N.R.Labour Party28617.5%
3Riley P.L.Green Party22813.9%

Electorate 3,572 · EC ward code E05007568 · Back to ward index

Churchill · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 57.6% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +24.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,016

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Buxton M.Conservative Party59029.0%58.1%+24.8 ptsElected
2Neocleous S.Conservative Party58528.8%57.6%+24.3 ptsElected
3Knight S.Labour Party29014.3%28.6%
4Piatt K.Labour Party25912.8%25.5%
5Mears H.Green Party1547.6%15.2%
6Male S.Liberal Democrats1537.5%15.1%

Electorate 3,478 · EC ward code E05007563 · Back to ward index