← Bolton (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

Bolton 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

20 ward races
60 seats
7 unfairly awarded seats
11.7% of seats unfairly awarded

Each race compares the marginal winner's share of valid ballots to the proportional quota — the share they'd need under any common proportional method. How the numbers are derived →

If votes were counted by party

Across the 20 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 60 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Labour Party76,90640.4%2643.3%2541.7%+1
Conservative Party62,11732.7%1728.3%2033.3%-3
Liberal Democrats18,6369.8%610.0%610.0%0
REF & BFC9,2964.9%00.0%35.0%-3
H & B 1ST9,1824.8%610.0%35.0%+3
OK3,8142.0%35.0%11.7%+2
Green Party3,3881.8%00.0%11.7%-1
F & K 1ST3,0431.6%23.3%11.7%+1
IND CHOICE1,6210.9%00.0%00.0%0
LL & DL 1ST1,2460.7%00.0%00.0%0
WEST 1ST IND7420.4%00.0%00.0%0
NH2180.1%00.0%00.0%0
Independent300.0%00.0%00.0%0
Total190,239100.0%60100.0%60100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Council composition: what this election replaced

The 2023 cycle was an all-out election — every seat was contested. The two opencouncildata snapshots below show the council immediately after the 2023 election (current) and on the eve of it (2022), so you can see what the result replaced.

Current (2023)
Previous (2022)

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Westhoughton South · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 34.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,982

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Chadwick, D.Labour Party1,16313.0%39.0%+14.0 ptsElected
2Wilkinson, D.Liberal Democrats1,14112.8%38.3%+13.3 ptsElected
3Maher, N.Liberal Democrats1,02111.4%34.2%+9.2 ptsElected
4McGeown, D.Liberal Democrats1,00811.3%33.8%
5McHugh, J.Labour Party99511.1%33.4%
6Millington, K.Labour Party97010.8%32.5%
7Eckersley-Fallon, R.Conservative Party6377.1%21.4%
8Kirkman, C.Conservative Party6277.0%21.0%
9Watters, A.Conservative Party6116.8%20.5%
10Gough, S.WEST 1ST IND3493.9%11.7%
11Kemp, M.REF & BFC2312.6%7.7%
12Holt, S.REF & BFC1922.1%6.4%

Electorate 10,292 · Back to ward index

Westhoughton North and Hunger Hill · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 34.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,094

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Price, A.Liberal Democrats1,13512.2%36.7%+11.7 ptsElected
2Tighe, M.Conservative Party1,11112.0%35.9%+10.9 ptsElected
3Eckersley-Fallon, B.Conservative Party1,06511.5%34.4%+9.4 ptsElected
4Finney, A.Conservative Party1,06411.5%34.4%
5Jackson, A.Liberal Democrats1,04911.3%33.9%
6Wroe, G.Liberal Democrats98110.6%31.7%
7Armstrong, A.Labour Party7598.2%24.5%
8Walsh, Z.Labour Party7167.7%23.1%
9Steiner, M.Labour Party6446.9%20.8%
10Speight, J.WEST 1ST IND3934.2%12.7%
11Haslam, S.REF & BFC1922.1%6.2%
12Rylance, H.Green Party1731.9%5.6%

Electorate 10,209 · Back to ward index

Little Lever and Darcy Lever · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 35.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +10.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,704

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Taylor-Burke, A.Conservative Party1,21315.0%44.9%+19.9 ptsElected
2Meehan, D.Conservative Party98612.2%36.5%+11.5 ptsElected
3Barnard, L.Labour Party96411.9%35.7%+10.7 ptsElected
4Khan, F.Conservative Party8019.9%29.6%
5Fisk, J.Labour Party7859.7%29.0%
6Sproat, B.Labour Party7329.0%27.1%
7Hornby, S.LL & DL 1ST6648.2%24.6%
8Gibbon, R.LL & DL 1ST5827.2%21.5%
9Harris, K.REF & BFC4725.8%17.5%
10Johnson, S.REF & BFC3334.1%12.3%
11Varnam, B.REF & BFC3133.9%11.6%
12Martin, S.Liberal Democrats1131.4%4.2%
13Asghar, N.Liberal Democrats851.0%3.1%
14Wilkinson, M.Liberal Democrats690.9%2.6%

Electorate 9,591 · Back to ward index

Horwich North · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 39.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +14.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,823

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Bamforth, R.H & B 1ST1,91016.7%50.0%+25.0 ptsElected
2Rotheram, C.H & B 1ST1,70914.9%44.7%+19.7 ptsElected
3Rigby, V.H & B 1ST1,49413.0%39.1%+14.1 ptsElected
4McKeon, K.Labour Party1,46712.8%38.4%
5Jarvis, M.Labour Party1,39212.1%36.4%
6Watkin, S.Labour Party1,19310.4%31.2%
7Baines, M.Conservative Party6255.4%16.3%
8Kyle, M.Conservative Party4353.8%11.4%
9Elliott, R.Conservative Party4273.7%11.2%
10Riesco, R.Green Party2382.1%6.2%
11Turner-Allen, M.Liberal Democrats2141.9%5.6%
12Carr, E.REF & BFC1581.4%4.1%
13Fairhurst, G.Liberal Democrats1161.0%3.0%
14Turner-Preece, C.Liberal Democrats900.8%2.4%

Electorate 11,093 · Back to ward index

Hulton · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 43.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +18.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,243

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Shaikh, S.Labour Party1,43114.7%44.1%+19.1 ptsElected
2Khan, A.Labour Party1,41214.5%43.5%+18.5 ptsElected
3Bullock, D.Conservative Party1,40014.4%43.2%+18.2 ptsElected
4Hewitt, T.Conservative Party1,39514.3%43.0%
5Pratheepan, L.Labour Party1,34613.8%41.5%
6Patel, S.Conservative Party1,33113.7%41.0%
7Shepherd, W.Green Party3623.7%11.2%
8Armstrong, R.REF & BFC2983.1%9.2%
9Lowe, R.REF & BFC2622.7%8.1%
10Gradwell, D.Liberal Democrats1821.9%5.6%
11Maher, L.Liberal Democrats1631.7%5.0%
12Hough, R.Liberal Democrats1471.5%4.5%

Electorate 10,528 · Back to ward index

Astley Bridge · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 43.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +18.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,714

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Fairclough, H.Conservative Party2,03118.2%54.7%+29.7 ptsElected
2Walsh, J.Conservative Party1,69515.2%45.6%+20.6 ptsElected
3Taylor, K.Labour Party1,61314.5%43.4%+18.4 ptsElected
4Sutton, S.Labour Party1,59914.4%43.1%
5Rimmer, S.Conservative Party1,59414.3%42.9%
6Zaman, H.Labour Party1,33912.0%36.1%
7Devereux, M.Green Party4183.8%11.3%
8Haslam, J.Liberal Democrats2572.3%6.9%
9Armstrong, M.REF & BFC2502.2%6.7%
10Mulligan, K.Liberal Democrats1751.6%4.7%
11Tonge, J.Liberal Democrats1701.5%4.6%

Electorate 11,442 · Back to ward index

Breightmet · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 44.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +19.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,854

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Fielding, S.Labour Party1,38216.1%48.4%+23.4 ptsElected
2Warren, A.Conservative Party1,29315.1%45.3%+20.3 ptsElected
3Morrisey, R.Labour Party1,26014.7%44.1%+19.1 ptsElected
4Hartigan, S.Conservative Party1,23214.4%43.2%
5Dean, M.Conservative Party1,14613.4%40.1%
6Ulasi, U.Labour Party1,13113.2%39.6%
7Turner, C.REF & BFC3594.2%12.6%
8Sayers, J.REF & BFC3424.0%12.0%
9Gregory, D.REF & BFC2773.2%9.7%
10Godfrey, H.Liberal Democrats1411.6%4.9%

Electorate 10,705 · Back to ward index

Horwich South and Blackrod · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 44.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +19.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,870

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Grant, D.H & B 1ST1,48117.2%51.6%+26.6 ptsElected
2Wright, P.H & B 1ST1,31615.3%45.9%+20.9 ptsElected
3Williamson, S.H & B 1ST1,27214.8%44.3%+19.3 ptsElected
4Khan, F.Labour Party7668.9%26.7%
5Baines, S.Conservative Party7528.7%26.2%
6Mohammed, N.Labour Party7478.7%26.0%
7Butler, G.Labour Party6747.8%23.5%
8Norris, P.Conservative Party5426.3%18.9%
9Wright, H.Conservative Party4995.8%17.4%
10Alker, H.Green Party2062.4%7.2%
11Richards, L.REF & BFC1131.3%3.9%
12Younge, O.Liberal Democrats931.1%3.2%
13Fairhurst, S.Liberal Democrats931.1%3.2%
14Turner-Preece, S.Liberal Democrats550.6%1.9%

Electorate 9,685 · Back to ward index

Farnworth South · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 44.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +19.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,007

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Flitcroft, M.F & K 1ST1,18419.7%59.0%+34.0 ptsElected
2Sanders, P.F & K 1ST1,17319.5%58.5%+33.5 ptsElected
3Mistry, C.Labour Party90015.0%44.9%+19.9 ptsElected
4Schofield, J.Labour Party87714.6%43.7%
5Khan, A.Labour Party84614.1%42.2%
6Armstrong, J.REF & BFC3816.3%19.0%
7Yates, N.Conservative Party1712.8%8.5%
8Gillies, J.Liberal Democrats1372.3%6.8%
9Alom, K.Conservative Party1141.9%5.7%
10Davda, Z.Conservative Party1051.7%5.2%
11Macpherson, C.Liberal Democrats671.1%3.3%
12Cooper, R.Liberal Democrats651.1%3.2%

Electorate 9,536 · Back to ward index

Halliwell · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 46.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +21.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 4,099

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Jiva, R.Labour Party2,08016.9%50.7%+25.7 ptsElected
2Patel, S.Labour Party1,98316.1%48.4%+23.4 ptsElected
3Morris, K.Labour Party1,91115.5%46.6%+21.6 ptsElected
4Haji, M.Conservative Party1,83414.9%44.7%
5Patel, S.Conservative Party1,71513.9%41.8%
6Ugharadar, F.Conservative Party1,68313.7%41.1%
7Cryer, N.REF & BFC2161.8%5.3%
8Fitzsimmons, G.REF & BFC1851.5%4.5%
9McLoughlin, M.Green Party1711.4%4.2%
10Nightingale, D.REF & BFC1681.4%4.1%
11Godfrey, F.Liberal Democrats1501.2%3.7%
12Stone, G.Liberal Democrats1020.8%2.5%
13Kay, K.Liberal Democrats990.8%2.4%

Electorate 10,329 · Back to ward index

Bromley Cross · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 47.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +22.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,454

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Connor, S.Conservative Party1,90318.4%55.1%+30.1 ptsElected
2Cowen, A.Conservative Party1,88318.2%54.5%+29.5 ptsElected
3Muslim, N.Conservative Party1,62715.7%47.1%+22.1 ptsElected
4Brown, I.Labour Party1,20111.6%34.8%
5Canning, P.Labour Party1,19511.5%34.6%
6Cox, G.Labour Party1,04710.1%30.3%
7Harrison, L.Green Party3433.3%9.9%
8Armstrong, L.REF & BFC3383.3%9.8%
9Wilkes, J.Liberal Democrats1911.8%5.5%
10Atty, C.Liberal Democrats1831.8%5.3%
11Perrigo, A.REF & BFC1731.7%5.0%
12Marsden, R.REF & BFC1531.5%4.4%
13Turner-Allen, L.Liberal Democrats1251.2%3.6%

Electorate 9,742 · Back to ward index

Rumworth · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 48.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +23.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 4,656

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Atcha, A.Labour Party2,49117.8%53.5%+28.5 ptsElected
2Ali, S.Labour Party2,48417.8%53.4%+28.4 ptsElected
3Khan, A.Labour Party2,23816.0%48.1%+23.1 ptsElected
4Patel, A.Conservative Party2,01914.5%43.4%
5Davda, Y.Conservative Party1,97514.1%42.4%
6Abdullah, R.Conservative Party1,82913.1%39.3%
7Johnson, A.Green Party3742.7%8.0%
8Johnson, G.Green Party2962.1%6.4%
9Speakman, C.REF & BFC1631.2%3.5%
10Hayes, J.Liberal Democrats990.7%2.1%

Electorate 11,436 · Back to ward index

Heaton, Lostock and Chew Moor · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 48.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +23.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 4,142

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Cox, M.Conservative Party2,11217.0%51.0%+26.0 ptsElected
2Galloway, A.Conservative Party2,05416.5%49.6%+24.6 ptsElected
3Morgan, A.Conservative Party2,01016.2%48.5%+23.5 ptsElected
4Fisher, L.Labour Party1,1849.5%28.6%
5Gillatt, J.Labour Party1,1699.4%28.2%
6Kugathas, J.Labour Party1,0958.8%26.4%
7Campbell, G.IND CHOICE6845.5%16.5%
8Chadwick, S.IND CHOICE5414.4%13.1%
9Rock, S.IND CHOICE3963.2%9.6%
10Fairhurst, R.Liberal Democrats2992.4%7.2%
11Priest, J.Liberal Democrats2882.3%7.0%
12Martin, P.Liberal Democrats2852.3%6.9%
13McGreavy, G.REF & BFC2782.2%6.7%
14Halliwell, A.Independent300.2%0.7%

Electorate 11,189 · Back to ward index

Bradshaw · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 49.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +24.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,112

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Moller, J.Conservative Party1,65817.8%53.3%+28.3 ptsElected
2Webb, L.Conservative Party1,63717.5%52.6%+27.6 ptsElected
3Dean, M.Conservative Party1,53616.5%49.4%+24.4 ptsElected
4Challender, K.Labour Party1,22413.1%39.3%
5Lovat, B.Labour Party1,08211.6%34.8%
6Kureshi, S.Labour Party99010.6%31.8%
7Howarth, S.Liberal Democrats3473.7%11.2%
8Robertson, J.Liberal Democrats3303.5%10.6%
9Harris, S.REF & BFC2833.0%9.1%
10Bagnall, D.Liberal Democrats2492.7%8.0%

Electorate 9,574 · Back to ward index

Smithills · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 50.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +25.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,335

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Hayes, R.Liberal Democrats1,94419.4%58.3%+33.3 ptsElected
2Priest, S.Liberal Democrats1,86718.7%56.0%+31.0 ptsElected
3Veevers, G.Liberal Democrats1,68716.9%50.6%+25.6 ptsElected
4Gillatt, N.Labour Party9229.2%27.6%
5Sesay, S.Labour Party8718.7%26.1%
6Akhtar, Z.Labour Party8288.3%24.8%
7Forshaw, C.Conservative Party4734.7%14.2%
8Norris, C.Conservative Party3933.9%11.8%
9Taylor, D.Conservative Party3593.6%10.8%
10Attenborough, V.Green Party2862.9%8.6%
11Shaw, H.REF & BFC2032.0%6.1%
12Tonge, S.REF & BFC1711.7%5.1%

Electorate 10,503 · Back to ward index

Kearsley · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 51.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +26.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,173

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Newall, D.OK1,35020.7%62.1%+37.1 ptsElected
2Heslop, P.OK1,34320.6%61.8%+36.8 ptsElected
3Livesey, M.OK1,12117.2%51.6%+26.6 ptsElected
4Wilkinson, T.F & K 1ST68610.5%31.6%
5Hallworth, S.Labour Party4116.3%18.9%
6Gorman, E.Labour Party3855.9%17.7%
7Amedu, M.Labour Party3575.5%16.4%
8Cunningham, M.Conservative Party2704.1%12.4%
9Ratcliffe, G.Conservative Party2213.4%10.2%
10Pattison, J.REF & BFC1802.8%8.3%
11Croden, L.Conservative Party1271.9%5.8%
12Cooper, C.Liberal Democrats280.4%1.3%
13Strawbridge, C.Liberal Democrats260.4%1.2%
14Strawbridge, J.Liberal Democrats140.2%0.6%

Electorate 9,192 · Back to ward index

Tonge with the Haulgh · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 54.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +29.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,581

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Donaghy, M.Labour Party1,51819.6%58.8%+33.8 ptsElected
2Peel, N.Labour Party1,44618.7%56.0%+31.0 ptsElected
3Mort, E.Labour Party1,40118.1%54.3%+29.3 ptsElected
4Bain, S.Conservative Party77310.0%29.9%
5Tully, C.Conservative Party7279.4%28.2%
6Lane, J.Conservative Party7269.4%28.1%
7Jones, T.REF & BFC5276.8%20.4%
8Forrest, B.Liberal Democrats1942.5%7.5%
9Harasiwka, R.Liberal Democrats1592.1%6.2%
10Harasiwka, F.Liberal Democrats1552.0%6.0%
11Mcallister, A.NH1171.5%4.5%

Electorate 11,238 · Back to ward index

Great Lever · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 55.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +30.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,720

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Ayub, M.Labour Party2,41021.6%64.8%+39.8 ptsElected
2Iqbal, M.Labour Party2,28820.5%61.5%+36.5 ptsElected
3Hon, K.Labour Party2,04818.4%55.1%+30.1 ptsElected
4Nazar, M.Conservative Party1,58014.2%42.5%
5Owen, S.Conservative Party9708.7%26.1%
6Pathan, S.Conservative Party9508.5%25.5%
7Alom, M.Green Party2802.5%7.5%
8Jones, T.REF & BFC1701.5%4.6%
9Worthington, P.REF & BFC1611.4%4.3%
10Farrell, M.Liberal Democrats1181.1%3.2%
11Learmonth, D.Liberal Democrats1010.9%2.7%
12Macpherson, D.Liberal Democrats840.8%2.3%

Electorate 11,377 · Back to ward index

Farnworth North · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 58.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +33.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,593

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Khurram, H.Labour Party1,59820.5%61.6%+36.6 ptsElected
2Ayub, N.Labour Party1,58020.3%60.9%+35.9 ptsElected
3Haworth, S.Labour Party1,50819.4%58.1%+33.1 ptsElected
4Mahmood, R.Conservative Party5677.3%21.9%
5Armstrong, J.REF & BFC5206.7%20.1%
6Whitworth, S.REF & BFC4876.3%18.8%
7Tyler, R.Conservative Party3474.5%13.4%
8Lawlor, K.REF & BFC3414.4%13.1%
9Hood, B.Conservative Party2723.5%10.5%
10Kochitty, P.Green Party2413.1%9.3%
11Connor, W.Liberal Democrats1331.7%5.1%
12Connor, D.Liberal Democrats1141.5%4.4%
13Hunter, C.Liberal Democrats720.9%2.8%

Electorate 9,912 · Back to ward index

Queens Park and Central · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 69.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +44.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,259

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Zaman, A.Labour Party1,67224.7%74.0%+49.0 ptsElected
2Silvester, R.Labour Party1,62524.0%71.9%+46.9 ptsElected
3Thomas, L.Labour Party1,56123.0%69.1%+44.1 ptsElected
4Ajwani, H.Conservative Party3545.2%15.7%
5Butt, H.Conservative Party3475.1%15.4%
6Shah, S.Conservative Party2844.2%12.6%
7Earp, T.REF & BFC2173.2%9.6%
8Harvey, S.REF & BFC1892.8%8.4%
9Ball, S.Liberal Democrats1632.4%7.2%
10Isherwood, M.Liberal Democrats1472.2%6.5%
11Tonge, A.Liberal Democrats1161.7%5.1%
12Massey, A.NH1011.5%4.5%

Electorate 9,818 · Back to ward index