← Caerphilly (all cycles) · 5 May 2022 cohort
Caerphilly 2022
Local elections held 5 May 2022.
Each race compares the marginal winner's share of valid ballots to the proportional quota — the share they'd need under any common proportional method. How the numbers are derived →
If votes were counted by party
Across the 31 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 69 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labour Party | 41,350 | 43.4% | 44 | 63.8% | 31 | 44.9% | +13 |
| Plaid Cymru | 34,144 | 35.9% | 18 | 26.1% | 25 | 36.2% | -7 |
| Independent | 14,656 | 15.4% | 6 | 8.7% | 11 | 15.9% | -5 |
| Conservative Party | 3,631 | 3.8% | 1 | 1.4% | 2 | 2.9% | -1 |
| Liberal Democrats | 904 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Green Party | 214 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Social Democratic Party | 210 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 111 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 95,220 | 100.0% | 69 | 100.0% | 69 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
The 2022 cycle was an all-out election — every seat was contested. The two opencouncildata snapshots below show the council immediately after the 2022 election (current) and on the eve of it (2021), so you can see what the result replaced.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Cross Keys · 1 seat · won at 51.5% · above quota
- Nelson · 2 seats · won at 40.5% · above quota
- Maesycwmmer · 1 seat · won at 59.9% · above quota
- Argoed · 1 seat · won at 61.3% · above quota
- Crumlin · 2 seats · won at 48.0% · above quota
- Van · 2 seats · won at 52.2% · above quota
- Hengoed · 2 seats · won at 52.8% · above quota
- Pontllanfraith · 3 seats · won at 46.7% · above quota
- Aberbargoed and Bargoed · 3 seats · won at 46.8% · above quota
- Morgan Jones · 3 seats · won at 47.6% · above quota
- Gilfach · 1 seat · won at 72.7% · above quota
- Abercarn · 2 seats · won at 57.1% · above quota
- Risca West · 2 seats · won at 57.3% · above quota
- Machen and Rudry · 2 seats · won at 57.6% · above quota
- Llanbradach · 2 seats · won at 59.1% · above quota
- St. Cattwg · 3 seats · won at 51.1% · above quota
- Newbridge · 3 seats · won at 52.7% · above quota
- Penmaen · 2 seats · won at 61.6% · above quota
- Twyn Carno · 1 seat · won at 80.4% · above quota
- Cefn Forest and Pengam · 3 seats · won at 55.9% · above quota
- Moriah and Pontlottyn · 2 seats · won at 69.4% · above quota
- Risca East · 3 seats · won at 61.4% · above quota
- New Tredegar · 2 seats · won at 70.7% · above quota
- Bedwas and Trethomas · 3 seats · won at 63.3% · above quota
- Ystrad Mynach · 2 seats · won at 72.4% · above quota
- Darran Valley · 1 seat · won at 89.5% · above quota
- St. Martins · 3 seats · won at 68.1% · above quota
- Penyrheol · 4 seats · won at 69.3% · above quota
- Blackwood · 3 seats · won at 76.3% · above quota
- Ynysddu · 2 seats · won at 85.0% · above quota
- Aber Valley · 3 seats · won at 76.9% · above quota
Race results
Cross Keys · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 51.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 806
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simmonds J. | Labour Party | 415 | 51.5% | +1.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Cook C. | Plaid Cymru | 334 | 41.4% | — | |
| 3 | Potts T. | Liberal Democrats | 57 | 7.1% | — |
Nelson · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 40.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,279
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morgan S. | Labour Party | 627 | 24.5% | 49.0% | +15.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Miles N. | Conservative Party | 518 | 20.3% | 40.5% | +7.2 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Powell R. | Independent | 383 | 15.0% | 30.0% | — | |
| 4 | Jenkins B. | Independent | 365 | 14.3% | 28.5% | — | |
| 5 | Dafydd E. | Plaid Cymru | 296 | 11.6% | 23.2% | — | |
| 6 | John A. | Plaid Cymru | 286 | 11.2% | 22.4% | — | |
| 7 | Miles B. | Labour Party | 82 | 3.2% | 6.4% | — |
Maesycwmmer · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 59.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 563
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rao J. | Labour Party | 337 | 59.9% | +9.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Davies G. | Plaid Cymru | 226 | 40.1% | — |
Argoed · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 61.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 581
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Williams W. | Labour Party | 356 | 61.3% | +11.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | James I. | Independent | 121 | 20.8% | — | |
| 3 | Parsons S. | Plaid Cymru | 104 | 17.9% | — |
Crumlin · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 48.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +14.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,359
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thomas C. | Labour Party | 846 | 31.1% | 62.3% | +28.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Woodland K. | Labour Party | 652 | 24.0% | 48.0% | +14.7 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Davies M. | Plaid Cymru | 562 | 20.7% | 41.4% | — | |
| 4 | Morgan C. | Plaid Cymru | 470 | 17.3% | 34.6% | — | |
| 5 | Lloyd M. | Liberal Democrats | 104 | 3.8% | 7.7% | — | |
| 6 | Lloyd S. | Liberal Democrats | 83 | 3.1% | 6.1% | — |
Van · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 52.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +18.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 939
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forehead C. | Labour Party | 536 | 28.6% | 57.1% | +23.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Forehead E. | Labour Party | 490 | 26.1% | 52.2% | +18.9 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Hughes L. | Plaid Cymru | 443 | 23.6% | 47.2% | — | |
| 4 | Grenfell J. | Plaid Cymru | 408 | 21.7% | 43.5% | — |
Hengoed · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 52.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +19.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,090
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cushing D. | Plaid Cymru | 608 | 27.9% | 55.8% | +22.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Parry T. | Plaid Cymru | 576 | 26.4% | 52.8% | +19.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Rowlands T. | Labour Party | 502 | 23.0% | 46.1% | — | |
| 4 | Stone R. | Labour Party | 494 | 22.7% | 45.3% | — |
Pontllanfraith · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 46.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +21.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,744
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adams M. | Labour Party | 1,045 | 20.0% | 59.9% | +34.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Cook P. | Labour Party | 926 | 17.7% | 53.1% | +28.1 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Gordon C. | Labour Party | 815 | 15.6% | 46.7% | +21.7 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Richards L. | Independent | 782 | 14.9% | 44.8% | — | |
| 5 | Williams R. | Independent | 565 | 10.8% | 32.4% | — | |
| 6 | Wells J. | Independent | 515 | 9.8% | 29.5% | — | |
| 7 | Clark C. | Conservative Party | 373 | 7.1% | 21.4% | — | |
| 8 | Pearce J. | Social Democratic Party | 210 | 4.0% | 12.0% | — |
Aberbargoed and Bargoed · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 46.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +21.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,714
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Davies T. | Labour Party | 904 | 17.6% | 52.7% | +27.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Price D. | Labour Party | 810 | 15.7% | 47.2% | +22.2 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Ingram-Jones D. | Labour Party | 803 | 15.6% | 46.8% | +21.8 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Bissex-Foster C. | Plaid Cymru | 743 | 14.4% | 43.3% | — | |
| 5 | Edwards P. | Plaid Cymru | 729 | 14.2% | 42.5% | — | |
| 6 | Houston K. | Plaid Cymru | 676 | 13.1% | 39.4% | — | |
| 7 | Puddefoot R. | Independent | 259 | 5.0% | 15.1% | — | |
| 8 | Gingell B. | Independent | 219 | 4.3% | 12.8% | — |
Morgan Jones · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 47.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +22.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,924
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pritchard J. | Labour Party | 1,092 | 18.9% | 56.8% | +31.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Cook S. | Labour Party | 1,002 | 17.4% | 52.1% | +27.1 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Broughton-Pettit A. | Labour Party | 916 | 15.9% | 47.6% | +22.6 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Prew M. | Plaid Cymru | 816 | 14.1% | 42.4% | — | |
| 5 | Downes M. | Plaid Cymru | 636 | 11.0% | 33.1% | — | |
| 6 | Robotham M. | Plaid Cymru | 625 | 10.8% | 32.5% | — | |
| 7 | Child J. | Conservative Party | 242 | 4.2% | 12.6% | — | |
| 8 | Child J. | Conservative Party | 229 | 4.0% | 11.9% | — | |
| 9 | Celnik A. | Green Party | 214 | 3.7% | 11.1% | — |
Gilfach · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 72.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +22.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 472
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrews C. | Labour Party | 343 | 72.7% | +22.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Meredith E. | Plaid Cymru | 129 | 27.3% | — |
Abercarn · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 57.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +23.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,144
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whitcombe A. | Labour Party | 743 | 32.5% | 64.9% | +31.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Preece D. | Labour Party | 653 | 28.5% | 57.1% | +23.7 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Jones J. | Plaid Cymru | 484 | 21.2% | 42.3% | — | |
| 4 | Jones I. | Plaid Cymru | 408 | 17.8% | 35.7% | — |
Risca West · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 57.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +23.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,099
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Owen B. | Independent | 983 | 44.7% | 89.5% | +56.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Wright C. | Labour Party | 629 | 28.6% | 57.3% | +23.9 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Derraven R. | Independent | 585 | 26.6% | 53.3% | — |
Machen and Rudry · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 57.6% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +24.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,164
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morgan C. | Labour Party | 714 | 30.7% | 61.4% | +28.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | McConnell A. | Labour Party | 670 | 28.8% | 57.6% | +24.3 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Aicheler S. | Liberal Democrats | 417 | 17.9% | 35.8% | — | |
| 4 | Smith E. | Conservative Party | 283 | 12.2% | 24.3% | — | |
| 5 | Bryant G. | Liberal Democrats | 243 | 10.4% | 20.9% | — |
Llanbradach · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 59.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +25.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,089
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mann C. | Plaid Cymru | 775 | 35.6% | 71.2% | +37.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Enright G. | Plaid Cymru | 643 | 29.5% | 59.1% | +25.7 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Birkinshaw-Bird A. | Labour Party | 394 | 18.1% | 36.2% | — | |
| 4 | Birkinshaw-Bird R. | Labour Party | 365 | 16.8% | 33.5% | — |
St. Cattwg · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 51.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +26.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,650
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pritchard H. | Plaid Cymru | 902 | 18.2% | 54.7% | +29.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Gair A. | Labour Party | 848 | 17.1% | 51.4% | +26.4 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Pritchard J. | Plaid Cymru | 843 | 17.0% | 51.1% | +26.1 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Bezzina C. | Labour Party | 822 | 16.6% | 49.8% | — | |
| 5 | Toner J. | Labour Party | 784 | 15.8% | 47.5% | — | |
| 6 | Moss C. | Plaid Cymru | 752 | 15.2% | 45.6% | — |
Newbridge · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 52.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +27.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,384
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hussey A. | Labour Party | 745 | 17.9% | 53.8% | +28.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Johnston G. | Labour Party | 733 | 17.7% | 53.0% | +28.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Jeremiah L. | Labour Party | 729 | 17.6% | 52.7% | +27.7 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Ackerman L. | Plaid Cymru | 687 | 16.5% | 49.6% | — | |
| 5 | Mills R. | Plaid Cymru | 468 | 11.3% | 33.8% | — | |
| 6 | Morrisey W. | Plaid Cymru | 415 | 10.0% | 30.0% | — | |
| 7 | Edwards C. | Conservative Party | 193 | 4.6% | 13.9% | — | |
| 8 | Butcher K. | Conservative Party | 182 | 4.4% | 13.2% | — |
Penmaen · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 61.6% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +28.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,259
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saralis R. | Labour Party | 831 | 33.0% | 66.0% | +32.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sadler J. | Labour Party | 775 | 30.8% | 61.6% | +28.2 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Short A. | Plaid Cymru | 458 | 18.2% | 36.4% | — | |
| 4 | Jones K. | Plaid Cymru | 454 | 18.0% | 36.1% | — |
Twyn Carno · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 80.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +30.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 811
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cuss C. | Labour Party | 652 | 80.4% | +30.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Bailie P. | Independent | 159 | 19.6% | — |
Cefn Forest and Pengam · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 55.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +30.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,533
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Williams S. | Labour Party | 929 | 20.2% | 60.6% | +35.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Heron T. | Labour Party | 886 | 19.3% | 57.8% | +32.8 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Chacon-Dawson M. | Labour Party | 856 | 18.6% | 55.9% | +30.9 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Phillips L. | Independent | 582 | 12.7% | 38.0% | — | |
| 5 | James G. | Independent | 554 | 12.0% | 36.1% | — | |
| 6 | Edwards G. | Independent | 553 | 12.0% | 36.1% | — | |
| 7 | Parker J. | Conservative Party | 238 | 5.2% | 15.5% | — |
Moriah and Pontlottyn · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 69.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +36.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,126
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Powerll M. | Labour Party | 907 | 40.3% | 80.6% | +47.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Harse D. | Labour Party | 781 | 34.7% | 69.4% | +36.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Morgan R. | Plaid Cymru | 305 | 13.5% | 27.1% | — | |
| 4 | Davies A. | Plaid Cymru | 259 | 11.5% | 23.0% | — |
Risca East · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 61.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +36.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,020
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | George N. | Labour Party | 698 | 22.8% | 68.4% | +43.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Leonard A. | Labour Party | 631 | 20.6% | 61.8% | +36.8 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Leonard P. | Labour Party | 626 | 20.5% | 61.4% | +36.4 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Ham B. | Plaid Cymru | 404 | 13.2% | 39.6% | — | |
| 5 | Thomas A. | Plaid Cymru | 401 | 13.1% | 39.3% | — | |
| 6 | Farrell M. | Plaid Cymru | 301 | 9.8% | 29.5% | — |
New Tredegar · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 70.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +37.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 873
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenner E. | Labour Party | 675 | 38.7% | 77.4% | +44.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Evans M. | Labour Party | 617 | 35.4% | 70.7% | +37.4 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Gifford T. | Independent | 299 | 17.1% | 34.3% | — | |
| 4 | Vann F. | Independent | 154 | 8.8% | 17.7% | — |
Bedwas and Trethomas · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 63.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +38.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,443
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phipps L. | Labour Party | 1,197 | 27.7% | 83.0% | +58.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Aldworth L. | Labour Party | 1,023 | 23.6% | 70.9% | +45.9 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Winslade J. | Labour Party | 913 | 21.1% | 63.3% | +38.3 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Llewellyn D. | Plaid Cymru | 469 | 10.8% | 32.5% | — | |
| 5 | Leek J. | Plaid Cymru | 343 | 7.9% | 23.8% | — | |
| 6 | Lloyd K. | Conservative Party | 273 | 6.3% | 18.9% | — | |
| 7 | Thomas P. | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 111 | 2.6% | 7.7% | — |
Ystrad Mynach · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 72.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +39.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,263
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | James M. | Plaid Cymru | 972 | 38.5% | 77.0% | +43.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Angel A. | Plaid Cymru | 914 | 36.2% | 72.4% | +39.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Cook M. | Labour Party | 640 | 25.3% | 50.7% | — |
Darran Valley · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 89.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +39.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 572
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chapman R. | Labour Party | 512 | 89.5% | +39.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Hughes G. | Independent | 60 | 10.5% | — |
St. Martins · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 68.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +43.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,086
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elsbury C. | Plaid Cymru | 1,581 | 25.3% | 75.8% | +50.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Fussell J. | Plaid Cymru | 1,522 | 24.3% | 73.0% | +48.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Kent S. | Plaid Cymru | 1,421 | 22.7% | 68.1% | +43.1 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Lewis C. | Labour Party | 1,165 | 18.6% | 55.9% | — | |
| 5 | Lea R. | Conservative Party | 568 | 9.1% | 27.2% | — |
Penyrheol · 4-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~4× smaller. 69.3% Proportional quota 20.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +49.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 4 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,103
This is a 4-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 4 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~4×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 4, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 4 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 4. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whittle L. | Plaid Cymru | 1,975 | 23.5% | 93.9% | +73.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Scriven J. | Plaid Cymru | 1,660 | 19.7% | 79.0% | +59.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Skivens S. | Plaid Cymru | 1,626 | 19.3% | 77.3% | +57.3 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Ead G. | Plaid Cymru | 1,458 | 17.3% | 69.3% | +49.3 pts | Elected |
| 5 | Rosser P. | Labour Party | 1,159 | 13.8% | 55.1% | — | |
| 6 | Gorman B. | Conservative Party | 532 | 6.3% | 25.3% | — |
Blackwood · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 76.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +51.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,142
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Etheridge K. | Independent | 1,877 | 29.2% | 87.6% | +62.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Farina-Childs A. | Independent | 1,695 | 26.4% | 79.1% | +54.1 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Dix N. | Independent | 1,634 | 25.4% | 76.3% | +51.3 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Jones D. | Labour Party | 738 | 11.5% | 34.5% | — | |
| 5 | Marsden H. | Labour Party | 482 | 7.5% | 22.5% | — |
Ynysddu · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 85.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +51.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,354
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jones J. | Independent | 1,162 | 42.9% | 85.9% | +52.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Reed J. | Independent | 1,150 | 42.5% | 85.0% | +51.6 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Marsden P. | Labour Party | 213 | 7.9% | 15.7% | — | |
| 4 | Marsden P. | Labour Party | 182 | 6.7% | 13.4% | — |
Aber Valley · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 76.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +51.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,006
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roberts J. | Plaid Cymru | 903 | 29.9% | 89.8% | +64.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Taylor J. | Plaid Cymru | 901 | 29.9% | 89.6% | +64.6 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Bishop C. | Plaid Cymru | 773 | 25.6% | 76.9% | +51.9 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Morgan J. | Labour Party | 440 | 14.6% | 43.8% | — |