← Castle Point (all cycles) · 6 May 2021 cohort

Castle Point 2021

Local elections held 6 May 2021.

13 ward races
15 seats
6 elected below the proportional quota
40.0% of seats below quota
4 unfairly awarded seats
26.7% of seats unfairly awarded

Each race compares the marginal winner's share of valid ballots to the proportional quota — the share they'd need under any common proportional method. How the numbers are derived →

If votes were counted by party

Across the 13 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 15 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Conservative Party9,05340.7%533.3%746.7%-2
Independent6,12827.6%533.3%426.7%+1
CI IND3,70916.7%533.3%213.3%+3
Labour Party2,75912.4%00.0%213.3%-2
Liberal Democrats4261.9%00.0%00.0%0
Green Party1160.5%00.0%00.0%0
Reform UK380.2%00.0%00.0%0
Total22,229100.0%15100.0%15100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Council composition: what this election replaced

Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2021 election (current) and immediately before it (2020). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2021 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.

Current (2021)
Previous (2020)

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Canvey Island Winter Gardens · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 37.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −12.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,229

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Taylor A.CI IND46537.8%−12.2 ptsElected
2Stone J.A.N.Conservative Party34027.7%
3Savill R.Independent27322.2%
4Manclark D.G.Labour Party15112.3%

Electorate 4,891 · EC ward code E05004089 · Back to ward index

St. Marys · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 42.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −7.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,930

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Savage R.Independent81642.3%−7.7 ptsElected
2Goldfinch R.C.I.Conservative Party76639.7%
3Chapman L.J.Labour Party34818.0%

Electorate 4,979 · EC ward code E05004093 · Back to ward index

St. Peters · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 44.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −5.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,847

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Egan B.Conservative Party82944.9%−5.1 ptsElected
2Woodley J.C.Independent74240.2%
3Emberson W.F.Labour Party20911.3%
4Duff G.Liberal Democrats673.6%

Electorate 5,132 · EC ward code E05004094 · Back to ward index

Victoria · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,972

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Gibson W.J.Independent92246.8%−3.2 ptsElected
2Quartermaine S.D.B.Conservative Party73537.3%
3Harrison T.F.Labour Party22311.3%
4Hopkins V.L.Liberal Democrats924.7%

Electorate 4,642 · EC ward code E05004095 · Back to ward index

Cedar Hall · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,864

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Mountford S.Independent90548.6%−1.4 ptsElected
2Dixon M.Conservative Party74139.8%
3Chasiya M.Labour Party1779.5%
4Negus C.M.Liberal Democrats412.2%

Electorate 5,021 · EC ward code E05004090 · Back to ward index

Canvey Island East · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,382

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Sach C.J.CI IND67749.0%−1.0 ptsElected
2Cartey O.W.Conservative Party57741.8%
3Reilly J.C.Labour Party1289.3%

Electorate 4,870 · EC ward code E05004085 · Back to ward index

Appleton · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 53.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +3.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,900

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Skipp T.Conservative Party1,01153.2%+3.2 ptsElected
2McCarthy-Calvert L.K.Independent63533.4%
3Rocha T.Labour Party25413.4%

Electorate 5,337 · EC ward code E05004082 · Back to ward index

St. James · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,013

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Hart S.E.Conservative Party1,09854.5%+4.5 ptsElected
2Ainsley S.A.Independent48324.0%
3Bailey G.A.Labour Party29814.8%
4Hopkins M.S.M.Liberal Democrats1346.7%

Electorate 5,418 · EC ward code E05004092 · Back to ward index

Canvey Island North · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 55.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,555

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Payne J.A.CI IND86355.5%+5.5 ptsElected
2Roper A.Conservative Party50132.2%
3McArthur-Curtis M.Labour Party19112.3%

Electorate 5,283 · EC ward code E05004086 · Back to ward index

Canvey Island South · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 55.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,545

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Campagna B.C.CI IND86455.9%+5.9 ptsElected
2Griffin S.Conservative Party50232.5%
3Anderson E.Labour Party1167.5%
4Huntman J.D.Reform UK382.5%
5Bannister R.J.Liberal Democrats251.6%

Electorate 5,134 · EC ward code E05004087 · Back to ward index

Canvey Island Central · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 63.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +13.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,320

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Anderson J.M.CI IND84063.6%+13.6 ptsElected
2Stanley J.Conservative Party32724.8%
3Smith K.Labour Party15311.6%

Electorate 5,088 · EC ward code E05004084 · Back to ward index

St. Georges · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 58.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +25.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 779

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Walter C.Conservative Party67043.0%86.0%+52.7 ptsElected
2Dearson M.E.Independent45729.3%58.7%+25.3 ptsElected
3Dunhill R.Labour Party31520.2%40.4%
4Brew B.Green Party1167.4%14.9%

Electorate 4,536 · EC ward code E05004091 · Back to ward index

Boyce · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 84.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +51.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,057

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Thornton A.Conservative Party95645.2%90.4%+57.1 ptsElected
2Baillie R.S.Independent89542.3%84.7%+51.3 ptsElected
3Miller T.G.Labour Party1969.3%18.5%
4Swindell E.Liberal Democrats673.2%6.3%

Electorate 5,338 · EC ward code E05004083 · Back to ward index