← Central Bedfordshire (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort
Central Bedfordshire 2023
Local elections held 4 May 2023.
Each race compares the marginal winner's share of valid ballots to the proportional quota — the share they'd need under any common proportional method. How the numbers are derived →
If votes were counted by party
Across the 31 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 63 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independent | 45,822 | 29.5% | 27 | 42.9% | 19 | 30.2% | +8 |
| Conservative Party | 44,790 | 28.8% | 20 | 31.7% | 18 | 28.6% | +2 |
| Labour Party | 33,347 | 21.4% | 5 | 7.9% | 14 | 22.2% | -9 |
| Liberal Democrats | 24,013 | 15.4% | 10 | 15.9% | 10 | 15.9% | 0 |
| Green Party | 6,572 | 4.2% | 1 | 1.6% | 2 | 3.2% | -1 |
| Reform UK | 900 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| ENG DEM | 133 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 155,577 | 100.0% | 63 | 100.0% | 63 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
The 2023 cycle was an all-out election — every seat was contested. The two opencouncildata snapshots below show the council immediately after the 2023 election (current) and on the eve of it (2022), so you can see what the result replaced.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Dunstable South · 1 seat · won at 30.5% · −19.5 pts below quota
- Dunstable Central · 1 seat · won at 36.4% · −13.6 pts below quota
- Dunstable East · 2 seats · won at 29.6% · −3.8 pts below quota
- Northill · 1 seat · won at 47.4% · −2.6 pts below quota
- Toddington · 2 seats · won at 32.4% · −0.9 pts below quota
- Houghton Regis West · 2 seats · won at 32.5% · −0.8 pts below quota
- Dunstable North · 2 seats · won at 34.4% · above quota
- Biggleswade East · 2 seats · won at 34.5% · above quota
- Stotfold · 2 seats · won at 35.6% · above quota
- Arlesey and Fairfield · 2 seats · won at 36.3% · above quota
- Westoning Flitton and Greenfield · 1 seat · won at 54.7% · above quota
- Dunstable West · 2 seats · won at 38.3% · above quota
- Meppershall and Shillington · 1 seat · won at 55.8% · above quota
- Caddington · 2 seats · won at 39.3% · above quota
- Houghton Conquest and Haynes · 1 seat · won at 56.7% · above quota
- Barton-le-Clay and Silsoe · 2 seats · won at 40.5% · above quota
- Cranfield and Marston Moretaine · 3 seats · won at 32.4% · above quota
- Flitwick · 3 seats · won at 33.2% · above quota
- Heath and Reach · 1 seat · won at 59.7% · above quota
- Houghton Regis East · 3 seats · won at 34.9% · above quota
- Ampthill · 3 seats · won at 35.6% · above quota
- Sandy · 3 seats · won at 36.8% · above quota
- Eaton Bray · 1 seat · won at 63.3% · above quota
- Leighton-Linslade North · 3 seats · won at 38.3% · above quota
- Shefford · 2 seats · won at 49.8% · above quota
- Leighton-Linslade West · 3 seats · won at 42.3% · above quota
- Biggleswade West · 3 seats · won at 42.4% · above quota
- Clifton, Henlow and Langford · 3 seats · won at 50.3% · above quota
- Leighton-Linslade South · 3 seats · won at 58.1% · above quota
- Potton · 2 seats · won at 72.7% · above quota
- Aspley and Woburn · 1 seat · won at 90.4% · above quota
Race results
Dunstable South · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 30.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −19.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 950
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crawley, P. | Conservative Party | 290 | 30.5% | −19.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Kotarski, N. | Independent | 288 | 30.3% | — | |
| 3 | Kimondo, S. | Labour Party | 266 | 28.0% | — | |
| 4 | Larkmam, P. | Liberal Democrats | 106 | 11.2% | — |
Dunstable Central · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 36.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −13.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,011
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hegley, C. | Conservative Party | 368 | 36.4% | −13.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Alderman, G. | Labour Party | 351 | 34.7% | — | |
| 3 | Palmer, A. | Independent | 221 | 21.9% | — | |
| 4 | Jones, D. | Liberal Democrats | 71 | 7.0% | — |
Dunstable East · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 29.6% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,912
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gurney, J. | Independent | 716 | 18.7% | 37.5% | +4.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Gurney, K. | Independent | 565 | 14.8% | 29.6% | −3.8 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Martin, G. | Conservative Party | 536 | 14.0% | 28.0% | — | |
| 4 | Russell, G. | Labour Party | 490 | 12.8% | 25.6% | — | |
| 5 | Kottadan, S. | Labour Party | 473 | 12.4% | 24.7% | — | |
| 6 | Patel, J. | Conservative Party | 393 | 10.3% | 20.6% | — | |
| 7 | O'Riordan, L. | Independent | 316 | 8.3% | 16.5% | — | |
| 8 | Hunt, R. | Liberal Democrats | 180 | 4.7% | 9.4% | — | |
| 9 | Egan, R. | Liberal Democrats | 154 | 4.0% | 8.1% | — |
Northill · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,427
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniels, P. | Conservative Party | 676 | 47.4% | −2.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sheridan, S. | Independent | 541 | 37.9% | — | |
| 3 | Harland, A. | Labour Party | 210 | 14.7% | — |
Toddington · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 32.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,210
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walsh, M. | Independent | 1,418 | 32.1% | 64.2% | +30.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Purser, G. | Conservative Party | 716 | 16.2% | 32.4% | −0.9 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Winslet, S. | Green Party | 618 | 14.0% | 28.0% | — | |
| 4 | Akhter, S. | Conservative Party | 562 | 12.7% | 25.4% | — | |
| 5 | Herod, M. | Labour Party | 467 | 10.6% | 21.1% | — | |
| 6 | Owen, C. | Labour Party | 326 | 7.4% | 14.8% | — | |
| 7 | Roberts, M. | Liberal Democrats | 313 | 7.1% | 14.2% | — |
Houghton Regis West · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 32.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,206
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goodchild, S. | Liberal Democrats | 498 | 20.7% | 41.3% | +8.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Farrell, Y. | Liberal Democrats | 392 | 16.3% | 32.5% | −0.8 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Bater, W. | Labour Party | 341 | 14.1% | 28.3% | — | |
| 4 | Butler, A. | Labour Party | 292 | 12.1% | 24.2% | — | |
| 5 | Krupski, O. | Conservative Party | 228 | 9.5% | 18.9% | — | |
| 6 | Carroll, J. | Independent | 190 | 7.9% | 15.8% | — | |
| 7 | Herber, M. | Independent | 185 | 7.7% | 15.3% | — | |
| 8 | Nnadozie, V. | Conservative Party | 182 | 7.5% | 15.1% | — | |
| 9 | Aganoglu, C. | Green Party | 103 | 4.3% | 8.5% | — |
Dunstable North · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 34.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,525
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brennan, M. | Labour Party | 647 | 21.2% | 42.4% | +9.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Neall, M. | Labour Party | 524 | 17.2% | 34.4% | +1.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Tamara, J. | Conservative Party | 492 | 16.1% | 32.3% | — | |
| 4 | Kane, J. | Conservative Party | 469 | 15.4% | 30.8% | — | |
| 5 | Coleman, B. | Independent | 381 | 12.5% | 25.0% | — | |
| 6 | Corkhill, A. | Independent | 261 | 8.6% | 17.1% | — | |
| 7 | Hundal, P. | Green Party | 110 | 3.6% | 7.2% | — | |
| 8 | Morgan, E. | Liberal Democrats | 103 | 3.4% | 6.8% | — | |
| 9 | Wattingham, K. | Liberal Democrats | 63 | 2.1% | 4.1% | — |
Biggleswade East · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 34.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,958
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tranter, G. | Independent | 769 | 19.6% | 39.3% | +5.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Fage, G. | Conservative Party | 676 | 17.3% | 34.5% | +1.2 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Foster, M. | Conservative Party | 659 | 16.8% | 33.7% | — | |
| 4 | Skilton, A. | Labour Party | 658 | 16.8% | 33.6% | — | |
| 5 | Smy, M. | Independent | 513 | 13.1% | 26.2% | — | |
| 6 | Tookey, G. | Labour Party | 428 | 10.9% | 21.9% | — | |
| 7 | Nelson, A. | Green Party | 140 | 3.6% | 7.2% | — | |
| 8 | Holland-Lindsay, J. | Liberal Democrats | 73 | 1.9% | 3.7% | — |
Stotfold · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 35.6% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,089
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Woodfine, K. | Independent | 1,348 | 32.3% | 64.5% | +31.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Wightwick, H. | Labour Party | 743 | 17.8% | 35.6% | +2.2 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Dixon, S. | Conservative Party | 604 | 14.5% | 28.9% | — | |
| 4 | Dhaliwal, S. | Labour Party | 569 | 13.6% | 27.2% | — | |
| 5 | Richardson, J. | Conservative Party | 527 | 12.6% | 25.2% | — | |
| 6 | McGann, R. | Liberal Democrats | 386 | 9.2% | 18.5% | — |
Arlesey and Fairfield · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 36.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,996
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chillery, J. | Independent | 895 | 22.4% | 44.8% | +11.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Andrews, N. | Labour Party | 724 | 18.1% | 36.3% | +2.9 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Stevenson, N. | Liberal Democrats | 620 | 15.5% | 31.1% | — | |
| 4 | Brown, J. | Conservative Party | 458 | 11.5% | 22.9% | — | |
| 5 | Dalgarno, I. | Conservative Party | 434 | 10.9% | 21.7% | — | |
| 6 | Fox, T. | Labour Party | 431 | 10.8% | 21.6% | — | |
| 7 | Harris, N. | Independent | 430 | 10.8% | 21.5% | — |
Westoning Flitton and Greenfield · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,449
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamieson, J. | Conservative Party | 793 | 54.7% | +4.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Bhasin, E. | Independent | 261 | 18.0% | — | |
| 3 | Ellis, G. | Green Party | 186 | 12.8% | — | |
| 4 | Hickman, N. | Labour Party | 136 | 9.4% | — | |
| 5 | Bowater, D. | Liberal Democrats | 73 | 5.0% | — |
Dunstable West · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 38.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,141
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ghent, E. | Conservative Party | 893 | 20.9% | 41.7% | +8.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Young, N. | Conservative Party | 819 | 19.1% | 38.3% | +4.9 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Attwell, R. | Independent | 697 | 16.3% | 32.6% | — | |
| 4 | Pepworth, R. | Labour Party | 526 | 12.3% | 24.6% | — | |
| 5 | Crooks, P. | Labour Party | 462 | 10.8% | 21.6% | — | |
| 6 | Morrison, K. | Independent | 439 | 10.3% | 20.5% | — | |
| 7 | Owen, E. | Liberal Democrats | 251 | 5.9% | 11.7% | — | |
| 8 | Witherick, I. | Liberal Democrats | 195 | 4.6% | 9.1% | — |
Meppershall and Shillington · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 55.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,394
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephenson, B. | Conservative Party | 778 | 55.8% | +5.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Tizzard, G. | Labour Party | 239 | 17.1% | — | |
| 3 | Holland, D. | Reform UK | 165 | 11.8% | — | |
| 4 | Morgan, R. | Liberal Democrats | 123 | 8.8% | — | |
| 5 | Shingler, I. | Independent | 89 | 6.4% | — |
Caddington · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 39.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +6.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,652
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malone, V. | Independent | 1,394 | 26.3% | 52.6% | +19.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Collins, K. | Conservative Party | 1,043 | 19.7% | 39.3% | +6.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Stott, M. | Conservative Party | 719 | 13.6% | 27.1% | — | |
| 4 | Waller, J. | Independent | 651 | 12.3% | 24.5% | — | |
| 5 | Smith, S. | Labour Party | 421 | 7.9% | 15.9% | — | |
| 6 | Dinsdale, M. | Labour Party | 333 | 6.3% | 12.6% | — | |
| 7 | Russell, M. | Green Party | 309 | 5.8% | 11.7% | — | |
| 8 | Goss, E. | Liberal Democrats | 289 | 5.4% | 10.9% | — | |
| 9 | Thorne, S. | Liberal Democrats | 145 | 2.7% | 5.5% | — |
Houghton Conquest and Haynes · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 56.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +6.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,107
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hares, R. | Independent | 628 | 56.7% | +6.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Smith, M. | Conservative Party | 233 | 21.0% | — | |
| 3 | Brown, K. | Labour Party | 149 | 13.5% | — | |
| 4 | Forster, P. | Liberal Democrats | 49 | 4.4% | — | |
| 5 | Hartley, P. | Green Party | 48 | 4.3% | — |
Barton-le-Clay and Silsoe · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 40.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,173
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | French, A. | Independent | 882 | 20.3% | 40.6% | +7.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Childs, L. | Independent | 879 | 20.2% | 40.5% | +7.1 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Irwin, J. | Conservative Party | 596 | 13.7% | 27.4% | — | |
| 4 | Byng, A. | Conservative Party | 573 | 13.2% | 26.4% | — | |
| 5 | Paxton, J. | Liberal Democrats | 403 | 9.3% | 18.6% | — | |
| 6 | Widdowfield, G. | Labour Party | 376 | 8.7% | 17.3% | — | |
| 7 | Lupata, S. | Labour Party | 340 | 7.8% | 15.7% | — | |
| 8 | Martin, P. | Liberal Democrats | 199 | 4.6% | 9.2% | — | |
| 9 | Ellis, M. | Reform UK | 97 | 2.2% | 4.5% | — |
Cranfield and Marston Moretaine · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 32.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,037
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clark, S. | Conservative Party | 1,406 | 15.4% | 46.3% | +21.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Bongo, S. | Independent | 1,312 | 14.4% | 43.2% | +18.2 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Morris, R. | Conservative Party | 984 | 10.8% | 32.4% | +7.4 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Victor, A. | Independent | 925 | 10.2% | 30.5% | — | |
| 5 | Dalal, B. | Conservative Party | 888 | 9.7% | 29.2% | — | |
| 6 | Rooney, E. | Labour Party | 767 | 8.4% | 25.3% | — | |
| 7 | O'Dell, K. | Labour Party | 695 | 7.6% | 22.9% | — | |
| 8 | Durojaiye, J. | Labour Party | 581 | 6.4% | 19.1% | — | |
| 9 | Tyrtania, A. | Green Party | 507 | 5.6% | 16.7% | — | |
| 10 | Clough, G. | Independent | 444 | 4.9% | 14.6% | — | |
| 11 | Taylor, J. | Liberal Democrats | 425 | 4.7% | 14.0% | — | |
| 12 | MacLean, N. | Reform UK | 176 | 1.9% | 5.8% | — |
Flitwick · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 33.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,432
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mackey, G. | Independent | 2,248 | 21.8% | 65.5% | +40.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Townsend, H. | Independent | 1,785 | 17.3% | 52.0% | +27.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Adams, I. | Conservative Party | 1,138 | 11.1% | 33.2% | +8.2 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Bunyan, N. | Conservative Party | 1,090 | 10.6% | 31.8% | — | |
| 5 | Parsons, T. | Conservative Party | 854 | 8.3% | 24.9% | — | |
| 6 | Yates, C. | Labour Party | 698 | 6.8% | 20.3% | — | |
| 7 | London, N. | Labour Party | 493 | 4.8% | 14.4% | — | |
| 8 | Dudas, K. | Labour Party | 469 | 4.6% | 13.7% | — | |
| 9 | Roberts, K. | Green Party | 429 | 4.2% | 12.5% | — | |
| 10 | Harley, R. | Green Party | 292 | 2.8% | 8.5% | — | |
| 11 | Milne, L. | Green Party | 252 | 2.4% | 7.3% | — | |
| 12 | Kidd, A. | Liberal Democrats | 209 | 2.0% | 6.1% | — | |
| 13 | Shaw, R. | Reform UK | 192 | 1.9% | 5.6% | — | |
| 14 | White, A. | Liberal Democrats | 147 | 1.4% | 4.3% | — |
Heath and Reach · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 59.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,309
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Versallion, M. | Conservative Party | 782 | 59.7% | +9.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sheppard, C. | Labour Party | 209 | 16.0% | — | |
| 3 | Leaman, R. | Liberal Democrats | 143 | 10.9% | — | |
| 4 | Palmer, H. | Reform UK | 121 | 9.2% | — | |
| 5 | Hine, S. | Green Party | 54 | 4.1% | — |
Houghton Regis East · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 34.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,614
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamill, P. | Independent | 730 | 15.1% | 45.2% | +20.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | McMahon, T. | Independent | 619 | 12.8% | 38.3% | +13.3 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Alderman, C. | Labour Party | 563 | 11.6% | 34.9% | +9.9 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Green, A. | Labour Party | 466 | 9.6% | 28.9% | — | |
| 5 | Russell, S. | Labour Party | 463 | 9.6% | 28.7% | — | |
| 6 | Cooper, J. | Independent | 434 | 9.0% | 26.9% | — | |
| 7 | Ellaway, L. | Liberal Democrats | 366 | 7.6% | 22.7% | — | |
| 8 | Taylor, D. | Liberal Democrats | 345 | 7.1% | 21.4% | — | |
| 9 | Rolfe, M. | Liberal Democrats | 296 | 6.1% | 18.3% | — | |
| 10 | Daly, N. | Conservative Party | 239 | 4.9% | 14.8% | — | |
| 11 | Warren, N. | Conservative Party | 201 | 4.2% | 12.5% | — | |
| 12 | Patrick, G. | Green Party | 121 | 2.5% | 7.5% | — |
Ampthill · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 35.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +10.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,737
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Smith, M. | Independent | 1,923 | 17.2% | 51.5% | +26.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Summerfield, G. | Independent | 1,513 | 13.5% | 40.5% | +15.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Clinch, S. | Green Party | 1,330 | 11.9% | 35.6% | +10.6 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Blair, M. | Conservative Party | 1,268 | 11.3% | 33.9% | — | |
| 5 | Addy, S. | Conservative Party | 1,197 | 10.7% | 32.0% | — | |
| 6 | Duckett, P. | Conservative Party | 1,092 | 9.7% | 29.2% | — | |
| 7 | Jones, J. | Green Party | 906 | 8.1% | 24.2% | — | |
| 8 | Brown, C. | Liberal Democrats | 572 | 5.1% | 15.3% | — | |
| 9 | Chinnery, L. | Labour Party | 485 | 4.3% | 13.0% | — | |
| 10 | Worley, A. | Labour Party | 436 | 3.9% | 11.7% | — | |
| 11 | Short, D. | Labour Party | 341 | 3.0% | 9.1% | — | |
| 12 | Moriondo, M. | Reform UK | 149 | 1.3% | 4.0% | — |
Sandy · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 36.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,054
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ford, S. | Independent | 2,124 | 23.2% | 69.5% | +44.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Bell, S. | Independent | 1,325 | 14.5% | 43.4% | +18.4 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Pashby, R. | Independent | 1,124 | 12.3% | 36.8% | +11.8 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Maudlin, C. | Conservative Party | 1,018 | 11.1% | 33.3% | — | |
| 5 | Aldis, N. | Liberal Democrats | 831 | 9.1% | 27.2% | — | |
| 6 | Hewitt, J. | Conservative Party | 802 | 8.8% | 26.3% | — | |
| 7 | Gilling, M. | Conservative Party | 589 | 6.4% | 19.3% | — | |
| 8 | King, A. | Labour Party | 586 | 6.4% | 19.2% | — | |
| 9 | Mott, W. | Labour Party | 425 | 4.6% | 13.9% | — | |
| 10 | Yardley, M. | Labour Party | 339 | 3.7% | 11.1% | — |
Eaton Bray · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 63.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +13.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,095
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spicer, P. | Conservative Party | 693 | 63.3% | +13.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Scholfield, D. | Green Party | 209 | 19.1% | — | |
| 3 | Faulkner, K. | Labour Party | 193 | 17.6% | — |
Leighton-Linslade North · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 38.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +13.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,131
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bligh, D. | Liberal Democrats | 1,285 | 13.7% | 41.0% | +16.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Pughe, K. | Liberal Democrats | 1,271 | 13.5% | 40.6% | +15.6 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Carnell, N. | Liberal Democrats | 1,200 | 12.8% | 38.3% | +13.3 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Bishop, M. | Labour Party | 976 | 10.4% | 31.2% | — | |
| 5 | Jones, S. | Conservative Party | 956 | 10.2% | 30.5% | — | |
| 6 | Carberry, P. | Labour Party | 920 | 9.8% | 29.4% | — | |
| 7 | Morris, T. | Conservative Party | 911 | 9.7% | 29.1% | — | |
| 8 | Woodman, J. | Labour Party | 876 | 9.3% | 28.0% | — | |
| 9 | Wallace, E. | Conservative Party | 864 | 9.2% | 27.6% | — | |
| 10 | Vitiello, A. | ENG DEM | 133 | 1.4% | 4.2% | — |
Shefford · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 49.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +16.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,820
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liddiard, M. | Conservative Party | 918 | 25.2% | 50.5% | +17.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Brown, T. | Conservative Party | 907 | 24.9% | 49.8% | +16.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Risbridger, J. | Labour Party | 752 | 20.7% | 41.3% | — | |
| 4 | Tizard, J. | Labour Party | 747 | 20.5% | 41.1% | — | |
| 5 | Moore, J. | Liberal Democrats | 315 | 8.7% | 17.3% | — |
Leighton-Linslade West · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 42.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +17.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,744
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harvey, V. | Independent | 1,786 | 15.9% | 47.7% | +22.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Owen, S. | Liberal Democrats | 1,756 | 15.6% | 46.9% | +21.9 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Goodchild, R. | Liberal Democrats | 1,583 | 14.1% | 42.3% | +17.3 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Worrall, J. | Liberal Democrats | 1,021 | 9.1% | 27.3% | — | |
| 5 | Gallie, J. | Conservative Party | 942 | 8.4% | 25.2% | — | |
| 6 | Bowles, B. | Labour Party | 939 | 8.4% | 25.1% | — | |
| 7 | Roan, K. | Labour Party | 888 | 7.9% | 23.7% | — | |
| 8 | Fahn, A. | Conservative Party | 862 | 7.7% | 23.0% | — | |
| 9 | McBain, B. | Labour Party | 838 | 7.5% | 22.4% | — | |
| 10 | Battams, R. | Independent | 618 | 5.5% | 16.5% | — |
Biggleswade West · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 42.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +17.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,124
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whitaker, H. | Independent | 2,192 | 23.4% | 70.2% | +45.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Watkins, S. | Independent | 1,581 | 16.9% | 50.6% | +25.6 pts | Elected |
| 3 | How, P. | Independent | 1,325 | 14.1% | 42.4% | +17.4 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Vaughan, J. | Labour Party | 739 | 7.9% | 23.7% | — | |
| 5 | Burgin, P. | Labour Party | 698 | 7.4% | 22.3% | — | |
| 6 | Ashton, N. | Labour Party | 698 | 7.4% | 22.3% | — | |
| 7 | Russell, M. | Conservative Party | 692 | 7.4% | 22.2% | — | |
| 8 | Bond, I. | Conservative Party | 678 | 7.2% | 21.7% | — | |
| 9 | Patel, S. | Conservative Party | 589 | 6.3% | 18.9% | — | |
| 10 | Godfrey, T. | Liberal Democrats | 179 | 1.9% | 5.7% | — |
Clifton, Henlow and Langford · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 50.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +25.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,159
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Richardson, D. | Conservative Party | 1,680 | 17.7% | 53.2% | +28.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Shelvey, D. | Conservative Party | 1,667 | 17.6% | 52.8% | +27.8 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Wenham, R. | Conservative Party | 1,589 | 16.8% | 50.3% | +25.3 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Abbott, L. | Labour Party | 1,270 | 13.4% | 40.2% | — | |
| 5 | O'Daly, K. | Labour Party | 1,001 | 10.6% | 31.7% | — | |
| 6 | Patel, V. | Labour Party | 881 | 9.3% | 27.9% | — | |
| 7 | Fuller, L. | Green Party | 742 | 7.8% | 23.5% | — | |
| 8 | Mann, D. | Liberal Democrats | 647 | 6.8% | 20.5% | — |
Leighton-Linslade South · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 58.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +33.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,696
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holland-Lindsay, E. | Liberal Democrats | 2,355 | 21.2% | 63.7% | +38.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Leaman, C. | Liberal Democrats | 2,211 | 19.9% | 59.8% | +34.8 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Roberts, S. | Liberal Democrats | 2,146 | 19.4% | 58.1% | +33.1 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Dodwell, A. | Conservative Party | 696 | 6.3% | 18.8% | — | |
| 5 | Berry, R. | Conservative Party | 652 | 5.9% | 17.6% | — | |
| 6 | Marsden, G. | Labour Party | 577 | 5.2% | 15.6% | — | |
| 7 | Bjelobaba, B. | Conservative Party | 566 | 5.1% | 15.3% | — | |
| 8 | Betts, C. | Labour Party | 539 | 4.9% | 14.6% | — | |
| 9 | Scott, D. | Labour Party | 537 | 4.8% | 14.5% | — | |
| 10 | Tobin, J. | Independent | 422 | 3.8% | 11.4% | — | |
| 11 | Cursons, S. | Independent | 387 | 3.5% | 10.5% | — |
Potton · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 72.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +39.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,626
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zerny, A. | Independent | 2,296 | 43.7% | 87.4% | +54.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Wye, T. | Independent | 1,908 | 36.3% | 72.7% | +39.3 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Worboys, S. | Conservative Party | 288 | 5.5% | 11.0% | — | |
| 4 | Pullinger, R. | Conservative Party | 272 | 5.2% | 10.4% | — | |
| 5 | Beattie, R. | Green Party | 216 | 4.1% | 8.2% | — | |
| 6 | Barrow, R. | Labour Party | 163 | 3.1% | 6.2% | — | |
| 7 | Cheesewright, R. | Labour Party | 109 | 2.1% | 4.2% | — |
Aspley and Woburn · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 90.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +40.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,039
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baker, J. | Independent | 1,844 | 90.4% | +40.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Hawkins, M. | Conservative Party | 103 | 5.1% | — | |
| 3 | Davies, N. | Labour Party | 68 | 3.3% | — | |
| 4 | Emm, J. | Liberal Democrats | 24 | 1.2% | — |