← Folkestone & Hythe (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

Folkestone & Hythe 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

13 ward races
30 seats
2 elected below the proportional quota
6.7% of seats below quota
5 unfairly awarded seats
16.7% of seats unfairly awarded

Each race compares the marginal winner's share of valid ballots to the proportional quota — the share they'd need under any common proportional method. How the numbers are derived →

If votes were counted by party

Across the 13 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 30 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Green Party20,21831.0%1136.7%1033.3%+1
Conservative Party18,13727.8%516.7%930.0%-4
Labour Party13,63120.9%1033.3%620.0%+4
Liberal Democrats7,35311.3%26.7%310.0%-1
Independent4,2046.4%26.7%26.7%0
Reform UK8231.3%00.0%00.0%0
FOUND6080.9%00.0%00.0%0
SPGB1260.2%00.0%00.0%0
UK Independence Party (UKIP)1240.2%00.0%00.0%0
Total65,224100.0%30100.0%30100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Council composition: what this election replaced

The 2023 cycle was an all-out election — every seat was contested. The two opencouncildata snapshots below show the council immediately after the 2023 election (current) and on the eve of it (2022), so you can see what the result replaced.

Current (2023)
Previous (2022)

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Broadmead · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 39.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −10.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,148

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Walker, B.Labour Party45439.5%−10.5 ptsElected
2Leigh, K.Conservative Party44839.0%
3Stokes, J.Liberal Democrats24621.4%

Electorate 3,106 · Back to ward index

Romney Marsh · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 28.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,857

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Grant, L.Conservative Party64717.4%34.8%+1.5 ptsElected
2Cooper, T.Labour Party53414.4%28.8%−4.6 ptsElected
3Hills, T.Conservative Party53214.3%28.6%
4Weatherhead, A.Independent49113.2%26.4%
5Goode, T.Labour Party48113.0%25.9%
6Meyers, I.Independent45112.1%24.3%
7Hawkins, J.Green Party3579.6%19.2%
8Matthews, N.Liberal Democrats1614.3%8.7%
9Young, D.Independent601.6%3.2%

Electorate 5,938 · Back to ward index

Walland and Denge Marsh · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 35.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,744

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Goddard, C.Conservative Party86824.9%49.8%+16.5 ptsElected
2Martin, A.Conservative Party61817.7%35.4%+2.1 ptsElected
3Webb, P.Independent40611.6%23.3%
4Cooper, C.Labour Party38211.0%21.9%
5Piper, S.Liberal Democrats3229.2%18.5%
6Carter, R.Green Party3018.6%17.3%
7Rye, K.Independent2697.7%15.4%
8Glass, J.Independent1975.6%11.3%
9Laws, L.UK Independence Party (UKIP)1243.6%7.1%

Electorate 6,133 · Back to ward index

New Romney · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 37.6% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,738

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Thomas, P.Independent68019.6%39.1%+5.8 ptsElected
2Wimble, D.Independent65318.8%37.6%+4.2 ptsElected
3Rolfe, P.Conservative Party50114.4%28.8%
4Glover, L.Conservative Party40011.5%23.0%
5Watkinson, M.Green Party3179.1%18.2%
6Carey, P.Labour Party3159.1%18.1%
7Davies, J.Independent2467.1%14.2%
8Nevard, W.Reform UK1815.2%10.4%
9Robertson-Richie, H.Liberal Democrats1113.2%6.4%
10Houston, J.Independent722.1%4.1%

Electorate 5,910 · Back to ward index

North Downs East · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 36.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,550

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Scoffham, S.Green Party1,12714.7%44.2%+19.2 ptsElected
2Butcher, J.Green Party98812.9%38.7%+13.7 ptsElected
3Godfrey, D.Conservative Party92012.0%36.1%+11.1 ptsElected
4Wade, D.Green Party90311.8%35.4%
5Peall, S.Conservative Party89611.7%35.1%
6Monk, D.Conservative Party84911.1%33.3%
7Beaumont, L.Liberal Democrats5427.1%21.3%
8Hayden, N.Labour Party5246.8%20.5%
9McGirr, L.Labour Party4826.3%18.9%
10Martin, P.Independent4195.5%16.4%

Electorate 9,035 · Back to ward index

Cheriton · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 37.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +12.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,702

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Shoob, R.Green Party1,21915.0%45.1%+20.1 ptsElected
2Blakemore, P.Green Party1,07813.3%39.9%+14.9 ptsElected
3Blakemore, M.Green Party1,01812.6%37.7%+12.7 ptsElected
4Gurung, D.Conservative Party6918.5%25.6%
5Gane, P.Liberal Democrats6908.5%25.5%
6Bingham, P.Labour Party6247.7%23.1%
7West, R.Liberal Democrats6107.5%22.6%
8Love, R.Conservative Party5667.0%21.0%
9Collier, J.Conservative Party5566.9%20.6%
10Darling, J.Labour Party5316.6%19.7%
11Smith, C.Labour Party5226.4%19.3%

Electorate 9,405 · Back to ward index

North Downs West · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 47.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +13.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,876

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Martin, E.Green Party93224.8%49.7%+16.4 ptsElected
2Hollingsbee, J.Conservative Party88223.5%47.0%+13.7 ptsElected
3Dudas, L.Conservative Party70418.8%37.5%
4Yohannes, S.Labour Party52113.9%27.8%
5Sanger, C.Liberal Democrats51013.6%27.2%
6Braine, G.Reform UK2025.4%10.8%

Electorate 5,380 · Back to ward index

Folkestone Harbour · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 48.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +15.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,394

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Chapman, B.Labour Party69524.9%49.9%+16.5 ptsElected
2Keen, N.Labour Party68124.4%48.9%+15.5 ptsElected
3Lawes, M.FOUND37213.3%26.7%
4McKenna, F.FOUND2368.5%16.9%
5Hibbert, G.Conservative Party2308.2%16.5%
6Moffatt, R.Conservative Party2107.5%15.1%
7McNeice, T.Liberal Democrats1987.1%14.2%
8Rowledge, A.Liberal Democrats1214.3%8.7%
9Thomas, A.SPGB451.6%3.2%

Electorate 4,897 · Back to ward index

Folkestone Central · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 42.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +17.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,294

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Davison, L.Labour Party1,21117.6%52.8%+27.8 ptsElected
2Akuffo-Kelly, A.Labour Party1,05815.4%46.1%+21.1 ptsElected
3McShane, L.Labour Party98114.3%42.8%+17.8 ptsElected
4Beresford, C.Conservative Party6599.6%28.7%
5James, S.Conservative Party6479.4%28.2%
6Jeffrey, D.Conservative Party6168.9%26.8%
7Hawkins, C.Green Party5457.9%23.8%
8Horrox, M.Liberal Democrats3014.4%13.1%
9Pemberton, A.Liberal Democrats2854.1%12.4%
10Rylands, B.Independent2603.8%11.3%
11Mannerings, A.Liberal Democrats2393.5%10.4%
12Hess, M.SPGB811.2%3.5%

Electorate 8,212 · Back to ward index

East Folkestone · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 53.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +28.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,801

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Meade, J.Labour Party1,09820.3%61.0%+36.0 ptsElected
2McConville, C.Labour Party1,03019.1%57.2%+32.2 ptsElected
3Lockwood, A.Labour Party96217.8%53.4%+28.4 ptsElected
4Brett, M.Green Party54810.1%30.4%
5Brinton, J.Conservative Party4778.8%26.5%
6Deba, E.Conservative Party4358.1%24.2%
7Reed, S.Conservative Party4348.0%24.1%
8Anson, D.Liberal Democrats4197.8%23.3%

Electorate 8,262 · Back to ward index

Hythe Rural · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 63.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +29.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,670

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Wing, J.Green Party1,10333.0%66.0%+32.7 ptsElected
2Speakman, J.Green Party1,05531.6%63.2%+29.8 ptsElected
3Gabris, J.Conservative Party48214.4%28.9%
4Lyons, M.Conservative Party47114.1%28.2%
5Fanu, E.Labour Party2296.9%13.7%

Electorate 5,030 · Back to ward index

Sandgate and West Folkestone · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 68.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +34.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,745

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Prater, T.Liberal Democrats1,40840.4%80.7%+47.4 ptsElected
2Fuller, G.Liberal Democrats1,19034.1%68.2%+34.9 ptsElected
3Danby, S.Labour Party3169.1%18.1%
4Jones, P.Conservative Party3149.0%18.0%
5Moody, D.Conservative Party2617.5%15.0%

Electorate 4,434 · Back to ward index

Hythe · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 70.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +45.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,997

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Jones, A.Green Party2,97124.8%74.3%+49.3 ptsElected
2Martin, J.Green Party2,93024.4%73.3%+48.3 ptsElected
3Holgate, R.Green Party2,82623.6%70.7%+45.7 ptsElected
4Dearden, M.Conservative Party9898.2%24.7%
5Owen, D.Conservative Party9467.9%23.7%
6Potter, B.Conservative Party8887.4%22.2%
7Turner, D.Reform UK4403.7%11.0%

Electorate 9,165 · Back to ward index