← Harlow (all cycles) · 6 May 2021 cohort
Harlow 2021
Local elections held 6 May 2021.
Each race compares the marginal winner's share of valid ballots to the proportional quota — the share they'd need under any common proportional method. How the numbers are derived →
If votes were counted by party
Across the 11 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 13 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 13,948 | 60.0% | 12 | 92.3% | 8 | 61.5% | +4 |
| Labour Party | 8,288 | 35.6% | 1 | 7.7% | 5 | 38.5% | -4 |
| Liberal Democrats | 522 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| HALL | 463 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 39 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 23,260 | 100.0% | 13 | 100.0% | 13 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2021 election (current) and immediately before it (2020). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2021 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Bush Fair · 1 seat · won at 48.9% · −1.1 pts below quota
- Little Parndon and Hare Street · 1 seat · won at 52.1% · above quota
- Netteswell · 1 seat · won at 52.3% · above quota
- Harlow Common · 1 seat · won at 57.9% · above quota
- Staple Tye · 1 seat · won at 58.3% · above quota
- Great Parndon · 1 seat · won at 59.0% · above quota
- Mark Hall · 1 seat · won at 61.1% · above quota
- Sumners and Kingsmoor · 1 seat · won at 62.6% · above quota
- Old Harlow · 1 seat · won at 66.1% · above quota
- Toddbrook · 2 seats · won at 50.8% · above quota
- Church Langley · 2 seats · won at 77.6% · above quota
Race results
Bush Fair · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,970
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swords D. | Conservative Party | 963 | 48.9% | −1.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ingall M. | Labour Party | 916 | 46.5% | — | |
| 3 | Tennison W.L. | Liberal Democrats | 91 | 4.6% | — |
Little Parndon and Hare Street · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,910
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vince C. | Labour Party | 996 | 52.1% | +2.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jolles A.R.N. | Conservative Party | 914 | 47.9% | — |
Netteswell · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,616
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morrison C.L. | Conservative Party | 845 | 52.3% | +2.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Morrison K. | Labour Party | 668 | 41.3% | — | |
| 3 | Thurston R.K. | Liberal Democrats | 103 | 6.4% | — |
Harlow Common · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,928
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leppard J. | Conservative Party | 1,116 | 57.9% | +7.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Toal E.B. | Labour Party | 812 | 42.1% | — |
Staple Tye · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,565
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gunn A.H. | Conservative Party | 912 | 58.3% | +8.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mullard S.P. | Labour Party | 566 | 36.2% | — | |
| 3 | Millington C. | Liberal Democrats | 87 | 5.6% | — |
Great Parndon · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 59.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,770
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Johnson E.C. | Conservative Party | 1,044 | 59.0% | +9.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Pritchard D.W. | Labour Party | 464 | 26.2% | — | |
| 3 | Taylor N.L. | HALL | 262 | 14.8% | — |
Mark Hall · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 61.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,692
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saggers M.R. | Conservative Party | 1,033 | 61.1% | +11.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Shears L. | Labour Party | 539 | 31.9% | — | |
| 3 | Rideout L.A. | Liberal Democrats | 120 | 7.1% | — |
Sumners and Kingsmoor · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 62.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +12.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,739
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Perrin R.M. | Conservative Party | 1,089 | 62.6% | +12.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | O'Dell A. | Labour Party | 449 | 25.8% | — | |
| 3 | Leverett A.W. | HALL | 201 | 11.6% | — |
Old Harlow · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 66.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +16.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,498
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garnett M.G. | Conservative Party | 1,650 | 66.1% | +16.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Elcock G.P. | Labour Party | 688 | 27.5% | — | |
| 3 | Robins C.S. | Liberal Democrats | 121 | 4.8% | — | |
| 4 | Lenihan P. | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 39 | 1.6% | — |
Toddbrook · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 50.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +17.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,521
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malik A. | Conservative Party | 810 | 26.6% | 53.3% | +19.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Williams G.J. | Conservative Party | 773 | 25.4% | 50.8% | +17.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Adu-Twumwaa H.N.A. | Labour Party | 730 | 24.0% | 48.0% | — | |
| 4 | Waite P. | Labour Party | 729 | 24.0% | 47.9% | — |
Church Langley · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 77.6% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +44.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,765
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carter S.N. | Conservative Party | 1,429 | 40.5% | 81.0% | +47.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Purse N. | Conservative Party | 1,370 | 38.8% | 77.6% | +44.3 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Jenkins R.M. | Labour Party | 400 | 11.3% | 22.7% | — | |
| 4 | Shepherd J.D.A. | Labour Party | 331 | 9.4% | 18.8% | — |