← Harlow (all cycles) · 2 May 2024 cohort
Harlow 2024
Local elections held 2 May 2024.
Each race compares the marginal winner's share of valid ballots to the proportional quota — the share they'd need under any common proportional method. How the numbers are derived →
If votes were counted by party
Across the 11 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 33 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labour Party | 21,928 | 43.8% | 16 | 48.5% | 15 | 45.5% | +1 |
| Conservative Party | 21,900 | 43.8% | 17 | 51.5% | 15 | 45.5% | +2 |
| Green Party | 4,314 | 8.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 9.1% | -3 |
| HALL | 993 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Liberal Democrats | 351 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 325 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 141 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 55 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 50,007 | 100.0% | 33 | 100.0% | 33 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
The 2024 cycle was an all-out election — every seat was contested. The two opencouncildata snapshots below show the council immediately after the 2024 election (current) and on the eve of it (2023), so you can see what the result replaced.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Sumners and Kingsmoor · 3 seats · won at 44.3% · above quota
- Latton Bush and Stewards · 3 seats · won at 45.4% · above quota
- Bush Fair · 3 seats · won at 46.5% · above quota
- Mark Hall · 3 seats · won at 47.5% · above quota
- Great Parndon · 3 seats · won at 50.4% · above quota
- Old Harlow · 3 seats · won at 53.2% · above quota
- Church Langley South and Potter Street · 3 seats · won at 54.2% · above quota
- Netteswell · 3 seats · won at 54.4% · above quota
- Little Parndon and Town Centre · 3 seats · won at 55.3% · above quota
- Passmores · 3 seats · won at 58.3% · above quota
- Church Langley North and Newhall · 3 seats · won at 58.9% · above quota
Race results
Sumners and Kingsmoor · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 44.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +19.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,780
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Perrin, R. | Conservative Party | 886 | 16.6% | 49.8% | +24.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Souter, C. | Conservative Party | 864 | 16.2% | 48.5% | +23.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Ghaffari, E. | Conservative Party | 788 | 14.8% | 44.3% | +19.3 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Davis, R. | Labour Party | 752 | 14.1% | 42.3% | — | |
| 5 | Dunne, C. | Labour Party | 719 | 13.5% | 40.4% | — | |
| 6 | Vincent, S. | Labour Party | 670 | 12.5% | 37.6% | — | |
| 7 | Leverett, A. | HALL | 285 | 5.3% | 16.0% | — | |
| 8 | Bull, J. | Green Party | 205 | 3.8% | 11.5% | — | |
| 9 | Bull, D. | Green Party | 170 | 3.2% | 9.6% | — |
Latton Bush and Stewards · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 45.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +20.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,890
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Howard, L. | Labour Party | 890 | 15.7% | 47.1% | +22.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Gunn, A. | Conservative Party | 881 | 15.5% | 46.6% | +21.6 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Seales, S. | Conservative Party | 859 | 15.1% | 45.4% | +20.4 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Steer, J. | Conservative Party | 836 | 14.7% | 44.2% | — | |
| 5 | Waite, P. | Labour Party | 805 | 14.2% | 42.6% | — | |
| 6 | O'Dell, P. | Labour Party | 781 | 13.8% | 41.3% | — | |
| 7 | James, K. | HALL | 221 | 3.9% | 11.7% | — | |
| 8 | Higginson, T. | Green Party | 215 | 3.8% | 11.4% | — | |
| 9 | Margetts, J. | Green Party | 183 | 3.2% | 9.7% | — |
Bush Fair · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 46.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +21.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,585
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dunne, J. | Labour Party | 778 | 16.4% | 49.1% | +24.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Morrison, K. | Labour Party | 769 | 16.2% | 48.5% | +23.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Ingall, M. | Labour Party | 737 | 15.5% | 46.5% | +21.5 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Morrison, C. | Conservative Party | 589 | 12.4% | 37.2% | — | |
| 5 | Hindocha, N. | Conservative Party | 575 | 12.1% | 36.3% | — | |
| 6 | Kasule, B. | Conservative Party | 550 | 11.6% | 34.7% | — | |
| 7 | Bolton, H. | Green Party | 177 | 3.7% | 11.2% | — | |
| 8 | Steadman, J. | Green Party | 175 | 3.7% | 11.0% | — | |
| 9 | Margetts, D. | Green Party | 175 | 3.7% | 11.0% | — | |
| 10 | Long, D. | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 141 | 3.0% | 8.9% | — | |
| 11 | Tennison, W. | Liberal Democrats | 89 | 1.9% | 5.6% | — |
Mark Hall · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 47.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +22.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,436
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Houlihan, M. | Labour Party | 722 | 16.8% | 50.3% | +25.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | O'Dell, A. | Labour Party | 685 | 15.9% | 47.7% | +22.7 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Shears, L. | Labour Party | 682 | 15.8% | 47.5% | +22.5 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Carter, S. | Conservative Party | 408 | 9.5% | 28.4% | — | |
| 5 | Taylor, J. | Green Party | 370 | 8.6% | 25.8% | — | |
| 6 | Purse, F. | Conservative Party | 337 | 7.8% | 23.5% | — | |
| 7 | Purse, J. | Conservative Party | 329 | 7.6% | 22.9% | — | |
| 8 | Johnson, E. | Green Party | 240 | 5.6% | 16.7% | — | |
| 9 | King, P. | Green Party | 233 | 5.4% | 16.2% | — | |
| 10 | Gough, M. | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 184 | 4.3% | 12.8% | — | |
| 11 | Rideout, L. | Liberal Democrats | 117 | 2.7% | 8.1% | — |
Great Parndon · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 50.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +25.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,568
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carter, D. | Conservative Party | 932 | 19.8% | 59.4% | +34.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ellis, H. | Conservative Party | 825 | 17.5% | 52.6% | +27.6 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Saggers, M. | Conservative Party | 791 | 16.8% | 50.4% | +25.4 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Jackson, R. | Labour Party | 581 | 12.3% | 37.0% | — | |
| 5 | Jolley, A. | Labour Party | 527 | 11.2% | 33.6% | — | |
| 6 | Tennison, H. | Labour Party | 490 | 10.4% | 31.2% | — | |
| 7 | Taylor, N. | HALL | 289 | 6.1% | 18.4% | — | |
| 8 | O'Brien, V. | Green Party | 149 | 3.2% | 9.5% | — | |
| 9 | Pike, L. | Green Party | 121 | 2.6% | 7.7% | — |
Old Harlow · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 53.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +28.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,771
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charles, J. | Conservative Party | 1,042 | 19.6% | 58.8% | +33.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Garnett, M. | Conservative Party | 957 | 18.0% | 54.0% | +29.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Livings, S. | Conservative Party | 943 | 17.7% | 53.2% | +28.2 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Danver, M. | Labour Party | 665 | 12.5% | 37.5% | — | |
| 5 | Kerrigan, L. | Labour Party | 563 | 10.6% | 31.8% | — | |
| 6 | Shulstschik, A. | Labour Party | 559 | 10.5% | 31.6% | — | |
| 7 | Gregory, Y. | Green Party | 247 | 4.6% | 13.9% | — | |
| 8 | Stansfield, J. | Green Party | 168 | 3.2% | 9.5% | — | |
| 9 | Van Der Poel, J. | Green Party | 115 | 2.2% | 6.5% | — | |
| 10 | Lenihan, P. | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 55 | 1.0% | 3.1% | — |
Church Langley South and Potter Street · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 54.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +29.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,523
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Purse, N. | Conservative Party | 939 | 20.6% | 61.7% | +36.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Brown, D. | Conservative Party | 890 | 19.5% | 58.4% | +33.4 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Leppard, J. | Conservative Party | 826 | 18.1% | 54.2% | +29.2 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Gallacher, C. | Labour Party | 568 | 12.4% | 37.3% | — | |
| 5 | Mullard-Toal, E. | Labour Party | 513 | 11.2% | 33.7% | — | |
| 6 | Mace, J. | Labour Party | 505 | 11.1% | 33.2% | — | |
| 7 | Richardson, T. | Green Party | 187 | 4.1% | 12.3% | — | |
| 8 | Roberts, G. | Independent | 141 | 3.1% | 9.3% | — |
Netteswell · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 54.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +29.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,297
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Griggs, J. | Labour Party | 871 | 22.4% | 67.2% | +42.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Watson, N. | Labour Party | 710 | 18.3% | 54.8% | +29.8 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Mullard-Toal, S. | Labour Party | 705 | 18.1% | 54.4% | +29.4 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Carter, W. | Conservative Party | 420 | 10.8% | 32.4% | — | |
| 5 | Hardware, E. | Conservative Party | 403 | 10.4% | 31.1% | — | |
| 6 | Petch, V. | Conservative Party | 367 | 9.4% | 28.3% | — | |
| 7 | Judd, M. | Green Party | 147 | 3.8% | 11.3% | — | |
| 8 | Thurston, R. | Liberal Democrats | 145 | 3.7% | 11.2% | — | |
| 9 | Margetts, A. | Green Party | 122 | 3.1% | 9.4% | — |
Little Parndon and Town Centre · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 55.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +30.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,213
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vince, C. | Labour Party | 761 | 20.9% | 62.7% | +37.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Durcan, T. | Labour Party | 710 | 19.5% | 58.5% | +33.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Hulcoop, M. | Labour Party | 671 | 18.4% | 55.3% | +30.3 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Brown, D. | Conservative Party | 388 | 10.7% | 32.0% | — | |
| 5 | Longster, G. | Conservative Party | 349 | 9.6% | 28.8% | — | |
| 6 | Richards, A. | Conservative Party | 332 | 9.1% | 27.4% | — | |
| 7 | Bow, K. | Green Party | 187 | 5.1% | 15.4% | — | |
| 8 | Schellin-Jolley, C. | Green Party | 133 | 3.7% | 11.0% | — | |
| 9 | Kemm, D. | Green Party | 108 | 3.0% | 8.9% | — |
Passmores · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 58.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +33.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,283
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Edwards, T. | Labour Party | 799 | 20.8% | 62.3% | +37.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Pritchard, D. | Labour Party | 753 | 19.6% | 58.7% | +33.7 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Shepherd, J. | Labour Party | 748 | 19.4% | 58.3% | +33.3 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Maison, A. | Conservative Party | 427 | 11.1% | 33.3% | — | |
| 5 | Field, M. | Conservative Party | 422 | 11.0% | 32.9% | — | |
| 6 | Malik, A. | Conservative Party | 337 | 8.8% | 26.3% | — | |
| 7 | Barnes, S. | HALL | 198 | 5.1% | 15.4% | — | |
| 8 | Williams, G. | Green Party | 166 | 4.3% | 12.9% | — |
Church Langley North and Newhall · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 58.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +33.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,323
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Johnson, A. | Conservative Party | 831 | 20.9% | 62.8% | +37.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Swords, D. | Conservative Party | 798 | 20.1% | 60.3% | +35.3 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Hardware, M. | Conservative Party | 779 | 19.6% | 58.9% | +33.9 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Stevens, E. | Labour Party | 437 | 11.0% | 33.0% | — | |
| 5 | O'Dell, S. | Labour Party | 418 | 10.5% | 31.6% | — | |
| 6 | Solomon, J. | Labour Party | 384 | 9.7% | 29.0% | — | |
| 7 | Margetts, M. | Green Party | 185 | 4.7% | 14.0% | — | |
| 8 | White, B. | Green Party | 136 | 3.4% | 10.3% | — |