← Havering (all cycles) · 5 May 2022 cohort
Havering 2022
Local elections held 5 May 2022.
Each race compares the marginal winner's share of valid ballots to the proportional quota — the share they'd need under any common proportional method. How the numbers are derived →
If votes were counted by party
Across the 20 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 55 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RES | 67,815 | 37.8% | 21 | 38.2% | 22 | 40.0% | -1 |
| Conservative Party | 57,193 | 31.9% | 23 | 41.8% | 18 | 32.7% | +5 |
| Labour Party | 38,591 | 21.5% | 9 | 16.4% | 12 | 21.8% | -3 |
| I RES | 9,484 | 5.3% | 2 | 3.6% | 3 | 5.5% | -1 |
| Green Party | 2,608 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Liberal Democrats | 1,493 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| HRES | 1,386 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 300 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| ECP | 265 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| H & U IND | 199 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Reform UK | 23 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 179,357 | 100.0% | 55 | 100.0% | 55 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
The 2022 cycle was an all-out election — every seat was contested. The two opencouncildata snapshots below show the council immediately after the 2022 election (current) and on the eve of it (2021), so you can see what the result replaced.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Gooshays · 3 seats · won at 34.5% · above quota
- St Alban's · 2 seats · won at 42.9% · above quota
- South Hornchurch · 2 seats · won at 44.7% · above quota
- Rainham and Wennington · 3 seats · won at 37.2% · above quota
- Beam Park · 2 seats · won at 48.3% · above quota
- St Edward's · 3 seats · won at 40.5% · above quota
- Hylands and Harrow Lodge · 3 seats · won at 43.2% · above quota
- Emerson Park · 2 seats · won at 51.6% · above quota
- Heaton · 3 seats · won at 44.3% · above quota
- Mawneys · 3 seats · won at 44.6% · above quota
- Rush Green and Crowlands · 3 seats · won at 44.7% · above quota
- Marshalls and Rise Park · 3 seats · won at 49.5% · above quota
- Harold Wood · 3 seats · won at 51.0% · above quota
- Havering-atte-Bower · 3 seats · won at 51.3% · above quota
- Squirrels Heath · 3 seats · won at 52.4% · above quota
- St Andrew's · 3 seats · won at 64.9% · above quota
- Hacton · 2 seats · won at 73.8% · above quota
- Elm Park · 3 seats · won at 67.2% · above quota
- Cranham · 3 seats · won at 68.3% · above quota
- Upminster · 3 seats · won at 68.9% · above quota
Race results
Gooshays · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 34.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,609
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brown P. | Labour Party | 1,038 | 13.3% | 39.8% | +14.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | McGeary P. | Labour Party | 1,014 | 13.0% | 38.9% | +13.9 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Tumilty K. | Labour Party | 901 | 11.5% | 34.5% | +9.5 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Alexander I. | I RES | 754 | 9.6% | 28.9% | — | |
| 5 | Kukielka E. | Conservative Party | 721 | 9.2% | 27.6% | — | |
| 6 | Samuel G. | Conservative Party | 720 | 9.2% | 27.6% | — | |
| 7 | MacMaster G. | I RES | 689 | 8.8% | 26.4% | — | |
| 8 | Puncheon M. | I RES | 575 | 7.3% | 22.0% | — | |
| 9 | Mahal R. | Conservative Party | 568 | 7.3% | 21.8% | — | |
| 10 | Kershaw M. | RES | 346 | 4.4% | 13.3% | — | |
| 11 | Trew G. | RES | 263 | 3.4% | 10.1% | — | |
| 12 | Morant K. | Green Party | 239 | 3.1% | 9.2% | — |
St Alban's · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 42.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,984
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holt J. | Conservative Party | 939 | 23.7% | 47.3% | +14.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Keane J. | Labour Party | 852 | 21.5% | 42.9% | +9.6 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Young A. | Conservative Party | 844 | 21.3% | 42.5% | — | |
| 4 | Mendy H. | Labour Party | 798 | 20.1% | 40.2% | — | |
| 5 | Gould K. | RES | 295 | 7.4% | 14.9% | — | |
| 6 | Swann I. | RES | 240 | 6.0% | 12.1% | — |
South Hornchurch · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 44.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,282
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anne Summers N. | I RES | 1,023 | 22.4% | 44.8% | +11.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Williamson G. | I RES | 1,019 | 22.3% | 44.7% | +11.3 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Pearman J. | Labour Party | 669 | 14.7% | 29.3% | — | |
| 4 | Akhtar M. | Labour Party | 664 | 14.5% | 29.1% | — | |
| 5 | Deon Burton M. | Conservative Party | 573 | 12.6% | 25.1% | — | |
| 6 | Themistocli A. | Conservative Party | 500 | 11.0% | 21.9% | — | |
| 7 | Arrowsmith K. | Green Party | 116 | 2.5% | 5.1% | — |
Rainham and Wennington · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 37.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +12.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,239
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ospreay S. | Conservative Party | 1,443 | 14.9% | 44.6% | +19.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | McArdle J. | Conservative Party | 1,295 | 13.3% | 40.0% | +15.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Edwards S. | Conservative Party | 1,206 | 12.4% | 37.2% | +12.2 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Tucker J. | I RES | 1,194 | 12.3% | 36.9% | — | |
| 5 | Durant D. | I RES | 955 | 9.8% | 29.5% | — | |
| 6 | Darvill S. | Labour Party | 881 | 9.1% | 27.2% | — | |
| 7 | Tebbutt H. | I RES | 848 | 8.7% | 26.2% | — | |
| 8 | Ambia M. | Labour Party | 827 | 8.5% | 25.5% | — | |
| 9 | Osammor A. | Labour Party | 825 | 8.5% | 25.5% | — | |
| 10 | Adebayo S. | Green Party | 242 | 2.5% | 7.5% | — |
Beam Park · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 48.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +15.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,068
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stanton M. | Labour Party | 530 | 24.8% | 49.6% | +16.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | McKeever T. | Labour Party | 516 | 24.2% | 48.3% | +15.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Elliott R. | I RES | 438 | 20.5% | 41.0% | — | |
| 4 | Beal D. | I RES | 415 | 19.4% | 38.9% | — | |
| 5 | Oddy B. | Conservative Party | 102 | 4.8% | 9.6% | — | |
| 6 | Strong T. | Conservative Party | 82 | 3.8% | 7.7% | — | |
| 7 | Phillips K. | Green Party | 30 | 1.4% | 2.8% | — | |
| 8 | Huxtabe L. | Reform UK | 23 | 1.1% | 2.2% | — |
St Edward's · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 40.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +15.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,349
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chapman J. | Conservative Party | 1,108 | 15.7% | 47.2% | +22.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Taylor D. | Conservative Party | 1,003 | 14.2% | 42.7% | +17.7 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Patel N. | Conservative Party | 952 | 13.5% | 40.5% | +15.5 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Kendrick A. | RES | 662 | 9.4% | 28.2% | — | |
| 5 | Stilwell A. | RES | 602 | 8.5% | 25.6% | — | |
| 6 | Leatherbarrow A. | Labour Party | 594 | 8.4% | 25.3% | — | |
| 7 | Williams D. | Labour Party | 589 | 8.4% | 25.1% | — | |
| 8 | Adesanya A. | Labour Party | 588 | 8.3% | 25.0% | — | |
| 9 | Tyler D. | RES | 526 | 7.5% | 22.4% | — | |
| 10 | Kruzycka K. | Green Party | 210 | 3.0% | 8.9% | — | |
| 11 | Davies P. | Liberal Democrats | 120 | 1.7% | 5.1% | — | |
| 12 | Salt K. | Liberal Democrats | 92 | 1.3% | 3.9% | — |
Hylands and Harrow Lodge · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 43.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +18.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,697
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Glass J. | RES | 1,729 | 15.6% | 46.8% | +21.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Wood J. | RES | 1,713 | 15.4% | 46.3% | +21.3 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Smith C. | Conservative Party | 1,596 | 14.4% | 43.2% | +18.2 pts | Elected |
| 4 | White C. | Conservative Party | 1,483 | 13.4% | 40.1% | — | |
| 5 | Donald A. | Conservative Party | 1,476 | 13.3% | 39.9% | — | |
| 6 | Farnsworth R. | Labour Party | 822 | 7.4% | 22.2% | — | |
| 7 | Wood M. | Labour Party | 756 | 6.8% | 20.4% | — | |
| 8 | Hassan M. | Labour Party | 689 | 6.2% | 18.6% | — | |
| 9 | Haines A. | Green Party | 562 | 5.1% | 15.2% | — | |
| 10 | Birch C. | ECP | 140 | 1.3% | 3.8% | — | |
| 11 | Birch J. | ECP | 125 | 1.1% | 3.4% | — |
Emerson Park · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 51.6% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +18.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,905
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garrard L. | RES | 1,512 | 26.0% | 52.0% | +18.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Godwin D. | RES | 1,498 | 25.8% | 51.6% | +18.2 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Swan D. | Conservative Party | 947 | 16.3% | 32.6% | — | |
| 4 | Khiljee N. | Conservative Party | 835 | 14.4% | 28.7% | — | |
| 5 | Gupta A. | Labour Party | 380 | 6.5% | 13.1% | — | |
| 6 | McCarthy M. | Labour Party | 331 | 5.7% | 11.4% | — | |
| 7 | Heron S. | H & U IND | 104 | 1.8% | 3.6% | — | |
| 8 | Hogan V. | H & U IND | 95 | 1.6% | 3.3% | — | |
| 9 | Coles P. | Liberal Democrats | 64 | 1.1% | 2.2% | — | |
| 10 | Potter G. | Liberal Democrats | 44 | 0.8% | 1.5% | — |
Heaton · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 44.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +19.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,604
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anderson M. | Labour Party | 1,267 | 16.2% | 48.7% | +23.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Darvill K. | Labour Party | 1,200 | 15.4% | 46.1% | +21.1 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Walker F. | Labour Party | 1,153 | 14.8% | 44.3% | +19.3 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Ajidele O. | Conservative Party | 775 | 9.9% | 29.8% | — | |
| 5 | Green E. | Conservative Party | 645 | 8.3% | 24.8% | — | |
| 6 | Rimkus R. | Conservative Party | 598 | 7.7% | 23.0% | — | |
| 7 | Glenn M. | I RES | 563 | 7.2% | 21.6% | — | |
| 8 | Brice-Thompson W. | I RES | 548 | 7.0% | 21.0% | — | |
| 9 | Bakoulas M. | I RES | 463 | 5.9% | 17.8% | — | |
| 10 | Lavender B. | RES | 308 | 3.9% | 11.8% | — | |
| 11 | Tyler L. | RES | 292 | 3.7% | 11.2% | — |
Mawneys · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 44.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +19.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,288
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Frost J. | Conservative Party | 1,627 | 16.5% | 49.5% | +24.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Patel D. | Conservative Party | 1,595 | 16.2% | 48.5% | +23.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Smith C. | Conservative Party | 1,467 | 14.9% | 44.6% | +19.6 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Baker C. | RES | 1,095 | 11.1% | 33.3% | — | |
| 5 | Trew L. | RES | 1,045 | 10.6% | 31.8% | — | |
| 6 | Hipson D. | RES | 963 | 9.8% | 29.3% | — | |
| 7 | De Melo A. | Labour Party | 681 | 6.9% | 20.7% | — | |
| 8 | McGeary C. | Labour Party | 631 | 6.4% | 19.2% | — | |
| 9 | Nichols D. | Labour Party | 587 | 6.0% | 17.9% | — | |
| 10 | Brown G. | Liberal Democrats | 87 | 0.9% | 2.6% | — | |
| 11 | Deeks J. | Liberal Democrats | 86 | 0.9% | 2.6% | — |
Rush Green and Crowlands · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 44.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +19.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,292
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benham R. | Conservative Party | 1,561 | 15.8% | 47.4% | +22.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Persaud V. | Conservative Party | 1,536 | 15.6% | 46.7% | +21.7 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Ryan T. | Conservative Party | 1,472 | 14.9% | 44.7% | +19.7 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Leatherbarrow A. | Labour Party | 1,276 | 12.9% | 38.8% | — | |
| 5 | Curtis J. | Labour Party | 1,258 | 12.7% | 38.2% | — | |
| 6 | Ritchie R. | Labour Party | 1,184 | 12.0% | 36.0% | — | |
| 7 | Bevan G. | RES | 578 | 5.9% | 17.6% | — | |
| 8 | Singh A. | RES | 482 | 4.9% | 14.6% | — | |
| 9 | Niemierko T. | RES | 466 | 4.7% | 14.2% | — | |
| 10 | O'Dea R. | Independent | 63 | 0.6% | 1.9% | — |
Marshalls and Rise Park · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 49.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +24.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,952
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crowder P. | Conservative Party | 2,122 | 17.9% | 53.7% | +28.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Dervish O. | Conservative Party | 1,981 | 16.7% | 50.1% | +25.1 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Misir R. | Conservative Party | 1,955 | 16.5% | 49.5% | +24.5 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Mann A. | RES | 1,440 | 12.1% | 36.4% | — | |
| 5 | Barrett K. | RES | 1,432 | 12.1% | 36.2% | — | |
| 6 | Chesney R. | RES | 1,395 | 11.8% | 35.3% | — | |
| 7 | McGeary S. | Labour Party | 547 | 4.6% | 13.8% | — | |
| 8 | Singh B. | Labour Party | 497 | 4.2% | 12.6% | — | |
| 9 | Singh C. | Labour Party | 488 | 4.1% | 12.3% | — |
Harold Wood · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 51.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +26.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,555
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eagling B. | RES | 2,081 | 19.5% | 58.5% | +33.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Goode M. | RES | 1,884 | 17.7% | 53.0% | +28.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Wise D. | RES | 1,812 | 17.0% | 51.0% | +26.0 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Beth C. | Labour Party | 667 | 6.3% | 18.8% | — | |
| 5 | Koseda K. | Labour Party | 613 | 5.7% | 17.2% | — | |
| 6 | Onaiwu S. | Labour Party | 580 | 5.4% | 16.3% | — | |
| 7 | Akinboboye T. | Conservative Party | 566 | 5.3% | 15.9% | — | |
| 8 | Lammin D. | HRES | 484 | 4.5% | 13.6% | — | |
| 9 | Turner K. | HRES | 472 | 4.4% | 13.3% | — | |
| 10 | Meer A. | HRES | 430 | 4.0% | 12.1% | — | |
| 11 | Edes R. | Conservative Party | 426 | 4.0% | 12.0% | — | |
| 12 | Webster G. | Conservative Party | 405 | 3.8% | 11.4% | — | |
| 13 | Coles J. | Liberal Democrats | 145 | 1.4% | 4.1% | — | |
| 14 | Sanderson I. | Liberal Democrats | 99 | 0.9% | 2.8% | — |
Havering-atte-Bower · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 51.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +26.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,934
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Best R. | Conservative Party | 1,703 | 19.3% | 58.0% | +33.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Crowder J. | Conservative Party | 1,663 | 18.9% | 56.7% | +31.7 pts | Elected |
| 3 | White D. | Conservative Party | 1,504 | 17.1% | 51.3% | +26.3 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Perry C. | RES | 1,157 | 13.1% | 39.4% | — | |
| 5 | Alasia S. | Labour Party | 1,008 | 11.5% | 34.4% | — | |
| 6 | Lashley B. | Labour Party | 977 | 11.1% | 33.3% | — | |
| 7 | Ranjbaran T. | Labour Party | 790 | 9.0% | 26.9% | — |
Squirrels Heath · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 52.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +27.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 4,380
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vickery C. | Conservative Party | 2,383 | 18.1% | 54.4% | +29.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Prince K. | Conservative Party | 2,331 | 17.7% | 53.2% | +28.2 pts | Elected |
| 3 | White M. | Conservative Party | 2,295 | 17.5% | 52.4% | +27.4 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Bryan K. | RES | 1,124 | 8.6% | 25.7% | — | |
| 5 | Perry R. | RES | 967 | 7.4% | 22.1% | — | |
| 6 | Rushworth C. | RES | 897 | 6.8% | 20.5% | — | |
| 7 | Burke M. | Labour Party | 871 | 6.6% | 19.9% | — | |
| 8 | Meyer N. | Labour Party | 741 | 5.6% | 16.9% | — | |
| 9 | Purnell C. | Labour Party | 714 | 5.4% | 16.3% | — | |
| 10 | Wallace M. | Independent | 237 | 1.8% | 5.4% | — | |
| 11 | Clarke T. | Liberal Democrats | 235 | 1.8% | 5.4% | — | |
| 12 | Hibbs-Brown C. | Liberal Democrats | 184 | 1.4% | 4.2% | — | |
| 13 | Stafford C. | Liberal Democrats | 161 | 1.2% | 3.7% | — |
St Andrew's · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 64.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +39.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 4,162
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middleton P. | RES | 2,855 | 22.9% | 68.6% | +43.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | O'Sullivan G. | RES | 2,823 | 22.6% | 67.8% | +42.8 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Vincent B. | RES | 2,700 | 21.6% | 64.9% | +39.9 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Frost H. | Conservative Party | 747 | 6.0% | 17.9% | — | |
| 5 | Mylod J. | Conservative Party | 735 | 5.9% | 17.7% | — | |
| 6 | Rose O. | Conservative Party | 702 | 5.6% | 16.9% | — | |
| 7 | Butler N. | Labour Party | 624 | 5.0% | 15.0% | — | |
| 8 | Jervis J. | Labour Party | 534 | 4.3% | 12.8% | — | |
| 9 | Miah A. | Labour Party | 471 | 3.8% | 11.3% | — | |
| 10 | Davis M. | Green Party | 295 | 2.4% | 7.1% | — |
Hacton · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 73.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +40.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,877
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morgon R. | RES | 2,315 | 40.2% | 80.5% | +47.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Whitney R. | RES | 2,124 | 36.9% | 73.8% | +40.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Connew P. | Conservative Party | 430 | 7.5% | 14.9% | — | |
| 4 | Marks P. | Conservative Party | 337 | 5.9% | 11.7% | — | |
| 5 | Jiggens S. | Labour Party | 275 | 4.8% | 9.6% | — | |
| 6 | Earley S. | Labour Party | 272 | 4.7% | 9.5% | — |
Elm Park · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 67.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +42.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 4,205
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mugglestone B. | RES | 2,971 | 23.6% | 70.7% | +45.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Nunn S. | RES | 2,934 | 23.3% | 69.8% | +44.8 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Wilkes J. | RES | 2,827 | 22.4% | 67.2% | +42.2 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Davis J. | Labour Party | 769 | 6.1% | 18.3% | — | |
| 5 | Carr G. | Labour Party | 709 | 5.6% | 16.9% | — | |
| 6 | Davis M. | Labour Party | 616 | 4.9% | 14.7% | — | |
| 7 | Best V. | Conservative Party | 608 | 4.8% | 14.5% | — | |
| 8 | Azharuddin M. | Conservative Party | 474 | 3.8% | 11.3% | — | |
| 9 | Travnicek M. | Conservative Party | 443 | 3.5% | 10.5% | — | |
| 10 | Haines G. | Green Party | 263 | 2.1% | 6.3% | — |
Cranham · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 68.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +43.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,858
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ford G. | RES | 3,107 | 26.8% | 80.5% | +55.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Tyler J. | RES | 2,807 | 24.3% | 72.8% | +47.8 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Ruck P. | RES | 2,636 | 22.8% | 68.3% | +43.3 pts | Elected |
| 4 | McEvoy T. | Conservative Party | 535 | 4.6% | 13.9% | — | |
| 5 | Weedon D. | Conservative Party | 496 | 4.3% | 12.9% | — | |
| 6 | Darvill K. | Labour Party | 449 | 3.9% | 11.6% | — | |
| 7 | Foong P. | Conservative Party | 435 | 3.8% | 11.3% | — | |
| 8 | Dawson D. | Labour Party | 338 | 2.9% | 8.8% | — | |
| 9 | Stafford J. | Labour Party | 306 | 2.6% | 7.9% | — | |
| 10 | Hughes D. | Green Party | 289 | 2.5% | 7.5% | — | |
| 11 | Brown S. | Liberal Democrats | 121 | 1.0% | 3.1% | — | |
| 12 | Sait P. | Liberal Democrats | 55 | 0.5% | 1.4% | — |
Upminster · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 68.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +43.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 4,252
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hawthorn L. | RES | 3,028 | 23.7% | 71.2% | +46.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ford O. | RES | 2,954 | 23.2% | 69.5% | +44.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Wilkins C. | RES | 2,930 | 23.0% | 68.9% | +43.9 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Baker A. | Conservative Party | 953 | 7.5% | 22.4% | — | |
| 5 | Miller S. | Conservative Party | 711 | 5.6% | 16.7% | — | |
| 6 | Robinson B. | Conservative Party | 584 | 4.6% | 13.7% | — | |
| 7 | Chalk P. | Labour Party | 453 | 3.6% | 10.7% | — | |
| 8 | McGeary S. | Labour Party | 419 | 3.3% | 9.9% | — | |
| 9 | Sullivan J. | Labour Party | 362 | 2.8% | 8.5% | — | |
| 10 | Collins M. | Green Party | 362 | 2.8% | 8.5% | — |