← Hertsmere (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort
Hertsmere 2023
Local elections held 4 May 2023.
Each race compares the marginal winner's share of valid ballots to the proportional quota — the share they'd need under any common proportional method. How the numbers are derived →
If votes were counted by party
Across the 16 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 39 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 26,432 | 43.0% | 16 | 41.0% | 17 | 43.6% | -1 |
| Labour Party | 20,217 | 32.9% | 14 | 35.9% | 13 | 33.3% | +1 |
| Liberal Democrats | 13,286 | 21.6% | 9 | 23.1% | 9 | 23.1% | 0 |
| Green Party | 1,037 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 317 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Reform UK | 130 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 61,419 | 100.0% | 39 | 100.0% | 39 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
The 2023 cycle was an all-out election — every seat was contested. The two opencouncildata snapshots below show the council immediately after the 2023 election (current) and on the eve of it (2022), so you can see what the result replaced.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Shenley · 2 seats · won at 42.1% · above quota
- Potters Bar Oakmere · 2 seats · won at 47.5% · above quota
- Bentley Heath and the Royds · 2 seats · won at 47.9% · above quota
- Borehamwood Hillside · 3 seats · won at 45.9% · above quota
- Potters Bar Parkfield · 2 seats · won at 55.7% · above quota
- Bushey Park · 3 seats · won at 48.6% · above quota
- Borehamwood Brookmeadow · 3 seats · won at 49.1% · above quota
- Potters Bar Furzefield · 2 seats · won at 58.8% · above quota
- Bushey St James · 3 seats · won at 52.2% · above quota
- Aldenham East · 2 seats · won at 61.4% · above quota
- Bushey Heath · 2 seats · won at 61.8% · above quota
- Aldenham West · 2 seats · won at 64.1% · above quota
- Borehamwood Kenilworth · 3 seats · won at 60.5% · above quota
- Bushey North · 3 seats · won at 60.6% · above quota
- Elstree · 2 seats · won at 69.3% · above quota
- Borehamwood Cowley Hill · 3 seats · won at 62.0% · above quota
Race results
Shenley · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 42.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,372
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Susman, N. | Conservative Party | 604 | 22.0% | 44.0% | +10.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jones, P. | Conservative Party | 577 | 21.0% | 42.1% | +8.7 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Shaw, J. | Labour Party | 430 | 15.7% | 31.4% | — | |
| 4 | Davies, A. | Labour Party | 377 | 13.7% | 27.5% | — | |
| 5 | Gilligan, R. | Independent | 317 | 11.6% | 23.1% | — | |
| 6 | Gunning, H. | Liberal Democrats | 154 | 5.6% | 11.2% | — | |
| 7 | Humphries, J. | Green Party | 147 | 5.4% | 10.7% | — | |
| 8 | Lewis, D. | Liberal Democrats | 84 | 3.1% | 6.1% | — | |
| 9 | Selkus, D. | Reform UK | 53 | 1.9% | 3.9% | — |
Potters Bar Oakmere · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 47.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +14.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,314
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jones, S. | Conservative Party | 651 | 24.8% | 49.6% | +16.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Georgiou, R. | Labour Party | 624 | 23.8% | 47.5% | +14.2 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Harrison, A. | Labour Party | 612 | 23.3% | 46.6% | — | |
| 4 | Lyon, R. | Conservative Party | 606 | 23.1% | 46.1% | — | |
| 5 | Collins, J. | Green Party | 134 | 5.1% | 10.2% | — |
Bentley Heath and the Royds · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 47.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +14.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,545
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Green, H. | Labour Party | 741 | 24.0% | 48.0% | +14.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sachdev, M. | Conservative Party | 740 | 24.0% | 47.9% | +14.6 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Doolan, J. | Labour Party | 712 | 23.0% | 46.1% | — | |
| 4 | Shah, P. | Conservative Party | 705 | 22.8% | 45.6% | — | |
| 5 | Jeffs, F. | Green Party | 191 | 6.2% | 12.4% | — |
Borehamwood Hillside · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 45.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +20.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,667
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Collins, A. | Labour Party | 847 | 16.9% | 50.8% | +25.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Kaza, A. | Labour Party | 770 | 15.4% | 46.2% | +21.2 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Clarkson, A. | Conservative Party | 765 | 15.3% | 45.9% | +20.9 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Eni, V. | Conservative Party | 747 | 14.9% | 44.8% | — | |
| 5 | Turner, F. | Conservative Party | 732 | 14.6% | 43.9% | — | |
| 6 | Kumar, T. | Labour Party | 725 | 14.5% | 43.5% | — | |
| 7 | Bielfield, M. | Green Party | 230 | 4.6% | 13.8% | — | |
| 8 | Goorney, R. | Liberal Democrats | 184 | 3.7% | 11.0% | — |
Potters Bar Parkfield · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 55.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +22.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,339
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sullivan, L. | Conservative Party | 799 | 29.8% | 59.7% | +26.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sachdev, A. | Conservative Party | 746 | 27.9% | 55.7% | +22.4 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Ballard, S. | Labour Party | 435 | 16.2% | 32.5% | — | |
| 4 | Doolan, H. | Labour Party | 392 | 14.6% | 29.3% | — | |
| 5 | Bridgen, R. | Liberal Democrats | 164 | 6.1% | 12.2% | — | |
| 6 | Lister, D. | Green Party | 142 | 5.3% | 10.6% | — |
Bushey Park · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 48.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +23.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,199
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Allen, M. | Liberal Democrats | 1,225 | 18.6% | 55.7% | +30.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Amron, M. | Liberal Democrats | 1,184 | 17.9% | 53.8% | +28.8 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Shah, S. | Liberal Democrats | 1,068 | 16.2% | 48.6% | +23.6 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Silver, L. | Conservative Party | 925 | 14.0% | 42.1% | — | |
| 5 | Carter, D. | Conservative Party | 873 | 13.2% | 39.7% | — | |
| 6 | Swerling, A. | Conservative Party | 840 | 12.7% | 38.2% | — | |
| 7 | Guilfoyle, F. | Labour Party | 188 | 2.8% | 8.5% | — | |
| 8 | Hoeksma, D. | Labour Party | 155 | 2.3% | 7.0% | — | |
| 9 | Khan, H. | Labour Party | 140 | 2.1% | 6.4% | — |
Borehamwood Brookmeadow · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 49.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +24.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,789
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Challice, R. | Labour Party | 942 | 17.6% | 52.7% | +27.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Alexander, G. | Labour Party | 935 | 17.4% | 52.3% | +27.3 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Plancey, A. | Conservative Party | 878 | 16.4% | 49.1% | +24.1 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Pitrakou, C. | Labour Party | 854 | 15.9% | 47.7% | — | |
| 5 | Briski, G. | Conservative Party | 807 | 15.0% | 45.1% | — | |
| 6 | Sachdev, S. | Conservative Party | 733 | 13.7% | 41.0% | — | |
| 7 | Slack, I. | Liberal Democrats | 218 | 4.1% | 12.2% | — |
Potters Bar Furzefield · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 58.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +25.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,388
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gray, C. | Labour Party | 831 | 29.9% | 59.9% | +26.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Myers, C. | Labour Party | 816 | 29.4% | 58.8% | +25.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Dodhia, A. | Conservative Party | 495 | 17.8% | 35.7% | — | |
| 4 | Worster, M. | Conservative Party | 462 | 16.6% | 33.3% | — | |
| 5 | Jankunas, N. | Liberal Democrats | 94 | 3.4% | 6.8% | — | |
| 6 | Rhodes, S. | Reform UK | 77 | 2.8% | 5.5% | — |
Bushey St James · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 52.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +27.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,881
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Handley, M. | Liberal Democrats | 1,109 | 19.6% | 58.9% | +33.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ponder, M. | Liberal Democrats | 1,046 | 18.5% | 55.6% | +30.6 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Shenton, C. | Liberal Democrats | 982 | 17.4% | 52.2% | +27.2 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Choudhury, P. | Conservative Party | 657 | 11.6% | 34.9% | — | |
| 5 | Rutledge, P. | Conservative Party | 625 | 11.1% | 33.2% | — | |
| 6 | West, J. | Conservative Party | 621 | 11.0% | 33.0% | — | |
| 7 | Halsey, P. | Labour Party | 214 | 3.8% | 11.4% | — | |
| 8 | Reid, M. | Labour Party | 197 | 3.5% | 10.5% | — | |
| 9 | Riley, Y. | Labour Party | 193 | 3.4% | 10.3% | — |
Aldenham East · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 61.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +28.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,389
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Selby, L. | Conservative Party | 967 | 34.8% | 69.6% | +36.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Rosehill, B. | Conservative Party | 853 | 30.7% | 61.4% | +28.1 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Denton-Cardew, B. | Liberal Democrats | 311 | 11.2% | 22.4% | — | |
| 4 | Howard, S. | Liberal Democrats | 300 | 10.8% | 21.6% | — | |
| 5 | Goldman, J. | Labour Party | 179 | 6.4% | 12.9% | — | |
| 6 | Brown, J. | Labour Party | 167 | 6.0% | 12.0% | — |
Bushey Heath · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 61.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +28.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,241
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morris, P. | Conservative Party | 818 | 33.0% | 65.9% | +32.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Quilty, S. | Conservative Party | 767 | 30.9% | 61.8% | +28.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Kay, O. | Liberal Democrats | 368 | 14.8% | 29.7% | — | |
| 4 | Kutchinsky, R. | Liberal Democrats | 341 | 13.7% | 27.5% | — | |
| 5 | Nirmal, P. | Labour Party | 94 | 3.8% | 7.6% | — | |
| 6 | Lee, D. | Labour Party | 94 | 3.8% | 7.6% | — |
Aldenham West · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 64.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +30.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,173
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clapper, C. | Conservative Party | 882 | 37.6% | 75.2% | +41.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Lambert, D. | Conservative Party | 752 | 32.1% | 64.1% | +30.8 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Huff, S. | Labour Party | 200 | 8.5% | 17.1% | — | |
| 4 | May, J. | Liberal Democrats | 186 | 7.9% | 15.9% | — | |
| 5 | Al-Saadoon, S. | Liberal Democrats | 164 | 7.0% | 14.0% | — | |
| 6 | Dhadra, R. | Labour Party | 161 | 6.9% | 13.7% | — |
Borehamwood Kenilworth · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 60.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +35.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,675
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oakley, N. | Labour Party | 1,074 | 21.4% | 64.1% | +39.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Kaza, P. | Labour Party | 1,056 | 21.0% | 63.0% | +38.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Rani, P. | Labour Party | 1,014 | 20.2% | 60.5% | +35.5 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Green, E. | Conservative Party | 565 | 11.2% | 33.7% | — | |
| 5 | Glyn, S. | Conservative Party | 543 | 10.8% | 32.4% | — | |
| 6 | Lazarus, D. | Conservative Party | 533 | 10.6% | 31.8% | — | |
| 7 | Elliman, E. | Liberal Democrats | 241 | 4.8% | 14.4% | — |
Bushey North · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 60.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +35.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,878
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nicolas, L. | Liberal Democrats | 1,219 | 21.6% | 64.9% | +39.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Matthews, A. | Liberal Democrats | 1,169 | 20.7% | 62.2% | +37.2 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Richards, P. | Liberal Democrats | 1,139 | 20.2% | 60.6% | +35.6 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Jefferson, J. | Conservative Party | 508 | 9.0% | 27.1% | — | |
| 5 | Patel, N. | Conservative Party | 450 | 8.0% | 24.0% | — | |
| 6 | Gee, F. | Conservative Party | 437 | 7.8% | 23.3% | — | |
| 7 | Mayo, E. | Labour Party | 249 | 4.4% | 13.3% | — | |
| 8 | Maizels, J. | Labour Party | 248 | 4.4% | 13.2% | — | |
| 9 | Reardon, P. | Labour Party | 215 | 3.8% | 11.4% | — |
Elstree · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 69.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +36.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,200
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cohen, H. | Conservative Party | 845 | 35.2% | 70.4% | +37.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Bright, M. | Conservative Party | 832 | 34.7% | 69.3% | +36.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Metzer, J. | Labour Party | 278 | 11.6% | 23.2% | — | |
| 4 | Juss, S. | Labour Party | 255 | 10.6% | 21.3% | — | |
| 5 | Smith, T. | Liberal Democrats | 106 | 4.4% | 8.8% | — | |
| 6 | Novokreshchenov, I. | Liberal Democrats | 84 | 3.5% | 7.0% | — |
Borehamwood Cowley Hill · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 62.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +37.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,411
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Butler, R. | Labour Party | 1,000 | 23.6% | 70.9% | +45.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Newmark, J. | Labour Party | 928 | 21.9% | 65.8% | +40.8 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Smith, L. | Labour Party | 875 | 20.7% | 62.0% | +37.0 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Landsberg, J. | Conservative Party | 376 | 8.9% | 26.6% | — | |
| 5 | Nygate, D. | Conservative Party | 360 | 8.5% | 25.5% | — | |
| 6 | Rosehill, R. | Conservative Party | 356 | 8.4% | 25.2% | — | |
| 7 | Coleman, N. | Green Party | 193 | 4.6% | 13.7% | — | |
| 8 | Goncalves, P. | Liberal Democrats | 146 | 3.4% | 10.3% | — |