← Lancaster (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

Lancaster 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

27 ward races
61 seats
2 elected below the proportional quota
3.3% of seats below quota
9 unfairly awarded seats
14.8% of seats unfairly awarded

Each race compares the marginal winner's share of valid ballots to the proportional quota — the share they'd need under any common proportional method. How the numbers are derived →

If votes were counted by party

Across the 27 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 61 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Labour Party24,28031.8%2439.3%2032.8%+4
Green Party22,67029.7%2134.4%1829.5%+3
Conservative Party14,82019.4%58.2%1219.7%-7
Liberal Democrats7,69110.1%711.5%69.8%+1
MBIND6,1698.1%34.9%58.2%-2
Independent8211.1%11.6%00.0%+1
Total76,451100.0%61100.0%61100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Council composition: what this election replaced

The 2023 cycle was an all-out election — every seat was contested. The two opencouncildata snapshots below show the council immediately after the 2023 election (current) and on the eve of it (2022), so you can see what the result replaced.

Current (2023)
Previous (2022)

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Silverdale · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 40.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −9.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 896

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Greenwell, W.Liberal Democrats36340.5%−9.5 ptsElected
2Williamson, P.Conservative Party32135.8%
3Rockall, B.Labour Party11512.8%
4McCoy, A.Green Party9710.8%

Electorate 1,648 · Back to ward index

Overton · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 40.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −9.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 593

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Gardiner, A.Conservative Party24140.6%−9.4 ptsElected
2Yates, J.Labour Party18531.2%
3Slater, J.MBIND13021.9%
4Maddocks, D.Green Party376.2%

Electorate 1,939 · Back to ward index

Bare · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 26.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,733

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Blaikie, G.Liberal Democrats4869.3%28.0%+3.0 ptsElected
2Knight, K.Conservative Party4669.0%26.9%+1.9 ptsElected
3Bottoms, D.MBIND4598.8%26.5%+1.5 ptsElected
4Bateson, S.Conservative Party4478.6%25.8%
5Knight, S.MBIND4458.6%25.7%
6Jakeman, M.Conservative Party4308.3%24.8%
7Ainscough, C.Labour Party3997.7%23.0%
8Walsh, R.MBIND3586.9%20.7%
9Dagdeviren, L.Liberal Democrats3496.7%20.1%
10Kenrick, F.Labour Party3286.3%18.9%
11Balsamini, D.Liberal Democrats3095.9%17.8%
12Dugan, M.Independent2885.5%16.6%
13Carrington, L.Green Party1913.7%11.0%
14Hughes, S.Green Party1312.5%7.6%
15Lee, A.Green Party1132.2%6.5%

Electorate 5,536 · Back to ward index

Heysham North · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 35.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 632

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Cozler, C.Labour Party27021.4%42.7%+9.4 ptsElected
2Cleet, R.Independent22117.5%35.0%+1.6 ptsElected
3Jarnell, M.Labour Party20115.9%31.8%
4Kent, C.MBIND17413.8%27.5%
5Padgett, A.MBIND13010.3%20.6%
6Mall, S.Conservative Party1048.2%16.5%
7Chapple, E.Liberal Democrats685.4%10.8%
8Stansfield, L.Liberal Democrats443.5%7.0%
9Maskell, J.Green Party322.5%5.1%
10McMurray, P.Green Party201.6%3.2%

Electorate 3,427 · Back to ward index

Warton · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 787

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Tyldesley, S.Green Party41552.7%+2.7 ptsElected
2Harvey, T.Conservative Party23229.5%
3Ainsworth, D.Labour Party749.4%
4Parsons, J.Liberal Democrats668.4%

Electorate 2,014 · Back to ward index

Torrisholme · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 37.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +3.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,011

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Dennison, R.MBIND44321.9%43.8%+10.5 ptsElected
2Cooper, B.MBIND37618.6%37.2%+3.9 ptsElected
3Hewitt, C.Conservative Party32115.9%31.8%
4Penney, T.Labour Party29214.4%28.9%
5Matthews, C.Independent1537.6%15.1%
6Livesey, R.Green Party1447.1%14.2%
7Cowley, W.Independent1336.6%13.2%
8Willmott, R.Green Party874.3%8.6%
9Wilson, T.Liberal Democrats733.6%7.2%

Electorate 3,607 · Back to ward index

Poulton · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 37.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 814

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Hart, P.Liberal Democrats39524.3%48.5%+15.2 ptsElected
2Livermore, J.Liberal Democrats30418.7%37.3%+4.0 ptsElected
3Metcalfe, T.Labour Party22713.9%27.9%
4Panesh, M.Labour Party19812.2%24.3%
5Heath, T.MBIND16710.3%20.5%
6Heath, J.MBIND1549.5%18.9%
7Moser, P.Green Party603.7%7.4%
8Yates, J.Conservative Party593.6%7.2%
9McMurray, J.Green Party382.3%4.7%
10Boyd-Power, V.Independent261.6%3.2%

Electorate 3,825 · Back to ward index

Scotforth East · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 39.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,355

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Maddocks, S.Labour Party60722.4%44.8%+11.5 ptsElected
2Wood, J.Labour Party52919.5%39.1%+5.7 ptsElected
3Mills, N.Green Party52619.4%38.8%
4Robertson, C.Green Party47317.5%34.9%
5Hoggarth, S.Conservative Party27810.3%20.5%
6Quinn, G.Conservative Party2097.7%15.4%
7Long, R.Liberal Democrats873.2%6.4%

Electorate 3,502 · Back to ward index

Heysham Central · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 39.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +6.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 972

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Armistead, C.Labour Party43022.1%44.2%+10.9 ptsElected
2Penney, S.Labour Party38619.9%39.7%+6.4 ptsElected
3Knight, G.MBIND37019.0%38.1%
4Thistlethwaite, G.MBIND36318.7%37.3%
5Taylor-Craddock, L.Conservative Party21411.0%22.0%
6Young, J.Green Party1115.7%11.4%
7Wingfield, C.Green Party492.5%5.0%
8Foulsham, B.Liberal Democrats211.1%2.2%

Electorate 3,474 · Back to ward index

University · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 41.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 479

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Hall, E.Labour Party21722.7%45.3%+12.0 ptsElected
2Fish, T.Green Party19720.6%41.1%+7.8 ptsElected
3Metcalf-Riener, I.Green Party19019.8%39.7%
4Hurst, L.Labour Party17218.0%35.9%
5Hassan, B.Conservative Party646.7%13.4%
6Helmy, K.Conservative Party555.7%11.5%
7Evans, C.Liberal Democrats343.5%7.1%
8Cross, T.Liberal Democrats293.0%6.1%

Electorate 3,921 · Back to ward index

Lower Lune Valley · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 41.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,466

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Pritchard, J.Liberal Democrats73325.0%50.0%+16.7 ptsElected
2Jackson, P.Liberal Democrats60620.7%41.4%+8.0 ptsElected
3Jackson, J.Conservative Party57019.4%38.9%
4Scott, M.Conservative Party43514.8%29.7%
5King, M.Labour Party1695.8%11.5%
6Kay, A.Labour Party1615.5%11.0%
7Wright, M.Green Party1444.9%9.8%
8Mills, R.Green Party1133.9%7.7%

Electorate 3,709 · Back to ward index

Upper Lune Valley · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 59.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 814

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Hunter, R.Liberal Democrats48359.3%+9.3 ptsElected
2Parkinson, J.Conservative Party25731.6%
3Payne, J.Green Party749.1%

Electorate 1,827 · Back to ward index

Westgate · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 35.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +10.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,166

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Hanson, J.Labour Party49114.0%42.1%+17.1 ptsElected
2Black, M.Labour Party43712.5%37.5%+12.5 ptsElected
3Harris, C.Labour Party41411.8%35.5%+10.5 ptsElected
4Blacow, D.MBIND40811.7%35.0%
5Knight, D.MBIND39311.2%33.7%
6Dixon, W.MBIND38210.9%32.8%
7Jackson, B.Liberal Democrats2256.4%19.3%
8Johnston, C.Conservative Party1825.2%15.6%
9Staig, S.Conservative Party1805.1%15.4%
10Stenneken, M.Liberal Democrats1203.4%10.3%
11Sutton, T.Liberal Democrats822.3%7.0%
12Bashford, K.Green Party712.0%6.1%
13Gordon, A.Green Party621.8%5.3%
14Westaway, J.Green Party501.4%4.3%

Electorate 5,554 · Back to ward index

Halton-with-Aughton and Kellet · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 45.6% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +12.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,422

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1McGowan, S.Green Party71625.2%50.4%+17.0 ptsElected
2Sommerville, J.Green Party64822.8%45.6%+12.3 ptsElected
3Gibbins, D.Conservative Party58220.5%40.9%
4Morris, S.Conservative Party46416.3%32.6%
5Hyde, K.Labour Party2809.8%19.7%
6White, T.Liberal Democrats1535.4%10.8%

Electorate 3,896 · Back to ward index

Ellel · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 47.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +13.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,558

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Maddocks, S.Green Party95130.5%61.0%+27.7 ptsElected
2Tynan, P.Green Party73323.5%47.0%+13.7 ptsElected
3Park, J.Conservative Party42613.7%27.3%
4Austen-Baker, R.Conservative Party41213.2%26.4%
5Corkerry, S.Labour Party2959.5%18.9%
6Hopkins, A.Labour Party2457.9%15.7%
7Fildes, R.Liberal Democrats541.7%3.5%

Electorate 4,020 · Back to ward index

Bowerham · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 48.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +15.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,429

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Mills, H.Green Party73625.8%51.5%+18.2 ptsElected
2Punshon, S.Green Party69624.4%48.7%+15.4 ptsElected
3Lewis, E.Labour Party60421.1%42.3%
4Curphey, P.Labour Party54118.9%37.9%
5Edwards, C.Conservative Party1314.6%9.2%
6Whitehouse, C.Conservative Party1204.2%8.4%
7Sue-Too, L.Liberal Democrats301.0%2.1%

Electorate 3,965 · Back to ward index

John O'Gaunt · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 48.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +15.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,019

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Abuhajar, S.Green Party55127.0%54.1%+20.8 ptsElected
2Russell, G.Green Party49824.4%48.9%+15.6 ptsElected
3Corkerry, L.Labour Party44121.6%43.3%
4Prue, L.Labour Party39519.4%38.8%
5Gray, M.Conservative Party663.2%6.5%
6Kitchen, P.Conservative Party602.9%5.9%
7Harvey, J.Liberal Democrats261.3%2.6%

Electorate 3,328 · Back to ward index

West End · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 42.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +17.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,136

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Pattison, M.Labour Party54315.9%47.8%+22.8 ptsElected
2Ainscough, J.Labour Party49714.6%43.8%+18.8 ptsElected
3Whitaker, D.Labour Party47714.0%42.0%+17.0 ptsElected
4Pilling, C.Liberal Democrats39311.5%34.6%
5Perkins, J.Liberal Democrats38211.2%33.6%
6Pilling, J.Liberal Democrats36510.7%32.1%
7Duncan, T.MBIND1775.2%15.6%
8Aspinall, K.MBIND1574.6%13.8%
9Fletcher, A.MBIND1554.5%13.6%
10Ennis, M.Conservative Party1043.1%9.2%
11Bandszus, C.Green Party601.8%5.3%
12Hester, S.Green Party561.6%4.9%
13Westcombe, M.Green Party421.2%3.7%

Electorate 5,552 · Back to ward index

Carnforth and Millhead · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 45.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +20.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,248

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Gardner, P.Labour Party63316.9%50.7%+25.7 ptsElected
2Belcher, L.Labour Party58615.7%47.0%+22.0 ptsElected
3Hanna, C.Labour Party57115.3%45.8%+20.8 ptsElected
4Bromilow, K.Conservative Party53614.3%43.0%
5Yates, P.Conservative Party53414.3%42.8%
6Guilding, M.Conservative Party49013.1%39.3%
7Jones, A.Green Party1413.8%11.3%
8Chandisingh, D.Green Party1273.4%10.2%
9Sear, J.Green Party1253.3%10.0%

Electorate 4,720 · Back to ward index

Heysham South · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 48.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +23.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,341

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Hartley, C.Labour Party73718.3%54.9%+29.9 ptsElected
2Bradley, P.Labour Party70717.6%52.7%+27.7 ptsElected
3Potter, C.Labour Party65116.2%48.5%+23.5 ptsElected
4Riley, B.Conservative Party42510.6%31.7%
5Greenall, M.MBIND3909.7%29.1%
6Freeman, P.Conservative Party3418.5%25.4%
7Knight, E.MBIND2726.8%20.3%
8Fulton, J.MBIND2666.6%19.8%
9Deery, M.Green Party741.8%5.5%
10Renolds, G.Green Party681.7%5.1%
11Wild, H.Green Party501.2%3.7%
12Kent, S.Liberal Democrats431.1%3.2%

Electorate 5,189 · Back to ward index

Bolton and Slyne · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 50.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +25.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,963

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Budden, K.Conservative Party1,05017.8%53.5%+28.5 ptsElected
2Newton, P.Conservative Party1,01017.2%51.5%+26.5 ptsElected
3Wild, J.Conservative Party98516.7%50.2%+25.2 ptsElected
4Mossop, C.Labour Party61810.5%31.5%
5Mossop, K.Labour Party5729.7%29.1%
6Wheatley, I.Liberal Democrats4217.2%21.5%
7Saville, T.Liberal Democrats4056.9%20.6%
8Mumford, L.Green Party3425.8%17.4%
9Swan, J.Green Party2694.6%13.7%
10Flemming, G.Green Party2163.7%11.0%

Electorate 5,907 · Back to ward index

Scotforth West · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 61.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +28.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,654

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Mills, A.Green Party1,08332.7%65.5%+32.1 ptsElected
2Hamilton-Cox, T.Green Party1,02330.9%61.9%+28.5 ptsElected
3Askari, S.Labour Party38711.7%23.4%
4Miller, D.Labour Party37311.3%22.6%
5Dexter, L.Conservative Party2076.3%12.5%
6Hayes, H.Conservative Party1624.9%9.8%
7Martin, M.Liberal Democrats732.2%4.4%

Electorate 4,008 · Back to ward index

Bulk · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 55.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +30.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,743

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Jackson, C.Green Party1,14021.8%65.4%+40.4 ptsElected
2Lenox, J.Green Party1,06120.3%60.9%+35.9 ptsElected
3Riches, S.Green Party96418.4%55.3%+30.3 ptsElected
4Doebler, S.Labour Party61011.7%35.0%
5Johnson, R.Labour Party54610.4%31.3%
6Fletcher, D.Labour Party5169.9%29.6%
7Banthorpe, C.Conservative Party1092.1%6.3%
8Gaskill, N.Conservative Party1072.0%6.1%
9Hall, K.Conservative Party1042.0%6.0%
10Dunster, P.Liberal Democrats711.4%4.1%

Electorate 5,763 · Back to ward index

Castle · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 56.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +31.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,172

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Brookes, D.Green Party76721.8%65.4%+40.4 ptsElected
2McGregor, S.Green Party71120.2%60.7%+35.7 ptsElected
3Stubbins, P.Green Party65718.7%56.1%+31.1 ptsElected
4Bateman, J.Labour Party38310.9%32.7%
5Corless, E.Labour Party36210.3%30.9%
6Snow, B.Labour Party3209.1%27.3%
7Walton, K.Conservative Party932.6%7.9%
8Farmer, S.Conservative Party822.3%7.0%
9Stuchlik, J.Conservative Party752.1%6.4%
10Beesley, H.Liberal Democrats661.9%5.6%

Electorate 5,290 · Back to ward index

Skerton · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 56.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +31.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,092

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Redfern, R.Labour Party69621.2%63.7%+38.7 ptsElected
2Thornberry, A.Labour Party65920.1%60.3%+35.3 ptsElected
3Gawith, G.Labour Party61518.8%56.3%+31.3 ptsElected
4Busby, E.Green Party2718.3%24.8%
5Bain, K.Green Party2397.3%21.9%
6Heath, E.Green Party2327.1%21.2%
7Webb, J.Conservative Party1685.1%15.4%
8Hailey, A.Conservative Party1534.7%14.0%
9Wilkinson, M.Conservative Party1484.5%13.6%
10Kaye, D.Liberal Democrats952.9%8.7%

Electorate 5,184 · Back to ward index

Marsh · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 62.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +37.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,717

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Dowding, G.Green Party1,24124.1%72.3%+47.3 ptsElected
2Bannon, M.Green Party1,22323.7%71.2%+46.2 ptsElected
3Wilkinson, N.Green Party1,07921.0%62.9%+37.9 ptsElected
4Rafferty, J.Labour Party4087.9%23.8%
5Cozler, M.Labour Party3997.7%23.2%
6Soffa, B.Labour Party3546.9%20.6%
7Wrennall, J.Conservative Party1252.4%7.3%
8Harmey, A.Conservative Party1132.2%6.6%
9Timmings, R.Conservative Party1102.1%6.4%
10Stanning, A.Liberal Democrats981.9%5.7%

Electorate 5,259 · Back to ward index

Scale Hall · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 68.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +43.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 938

This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Colbridge, R.Labour Party66323.6%70.7%+45.7 ptsElected
2Parr, H.Labour Party65523.3%69.8%+44.8 ptsElected
3Black, P.Labour Party63922.7%68.1%+43.1 ptsElected
4Lowther-Edwards, J.Conservative Party2639.3%28.0%
5Turner, C.Green Party1645.8%17.5%
6Hardy, D.Green Party1645.8%17.5%
7Long, J.Liberal Democrats1394.9%14.8%
8Pogson, G.Green Party1274.5%13.5%

Electorate 5,236 · Back to ward index