← Luton (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort
Luton 2023
Local elections held 4 May 2023.
Each race compares the marginal winner's share of valid ballots to the proportional quota — the share they'd need under any common proportional method. How the numbers are derived →
If votes were counted by party
Across the 19 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 45 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labour Party | 46,166 | 50.2% | 27 | 60.0% | 23 | 51.1% | +4 |
| Liberal Democrats | 33,338 | 36.3% | 15 | 33.3% | 17 | 37.8% | -2 |
| Conservative Party | 9,238 | 10.0% | 3 | 6.7% | 4 | 8.9% | -1 |
| Independent | 2,728 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 2.2% | -1 |
| Reform UK | 455 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 91,925 | 100.0% | 45 | 100.0% | 45 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
The 2023 cycle was an all-out election — every seat was contested. The two opencouncildata snapshots below show the council immediately after the 2023 election (current) and on the eve of it (2022), so you can see what the result replaced.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Biscot · 2 seats · won at 44.5% · above quota
- Round Green · 2 seats · won at 46.0% · above quota
- South · 2 seats · won at 50.7% · above quota
- Leagrave · 2 seats · won at 51.9% · above quota
- Poets · 2 seats · won at 53.7% · above quota
- Central · 2 seats · won at 56.7% · above quota
- Sundon Park · 2 seats · won at 57.9% · above quota
- Barnfield · 3 seats · won at 52.0% · above quota
- Bramingham · 3 seats · won at 52.8% · above quota
- High Town · 2 seats · won at 61.4% · above quota
- Saints · 3 seats · won at 55.7% · above quota
- Dallow · 2 seats · won at 64.8% · above quota
- Vauxhall · 2 seats · won at 67.5% · above quota
- Northwell · 3 seats · won at 63.0% · above quota
- Beech Hill · 3 seats · won at 65.3% · above quota
- Lewsey · 2 seats · won at 78.1% · above quota
- Challney · 3 seats · won at 71.2% · above quota
- Wigmore · 2 seats · won at 82.2% · above quota
- Stopsley · 3 seats · won at 77.4% · above quota
Race results
Biscot · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 44.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,089
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raja, Z. | Labour Party | 937 | 22.4% | 44.9% | +11.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Saleem, T. | Labour Party | 929 | 22.2% | 44.5% | +11.1 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Ali-Khan, F. | Independent | 713 | 17.1% | 34.1% | — | |
| 4 | Moheeuddin, T. | Independent | 643 | 15.4% | 30.8% | — | |
| 5 | Uddin, S. | Liberal Democrats | 525 | 12.6% | 25.1% | — | |
| 6 | Malik, J. | Liberal Democrats | 431 | 10.3% | 20.6% | — |
Round Green · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 46.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +12.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,736
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fry, G. | Liberal Democrats | 910 | 26.2% | 52.4% | +19.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ahmed, Z. | Liberal Democrats | 799 | 23.0% | 46.0% | +12.7 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Khan, R. | Labour Party | 785 | 22.6% | 45.2% | — | |
| 4 | Waheed, Y. | Labour Party | 682 | 19.6% | 39.3% | — | |
| 5 | Choudhury, S. | Conservative Party | 160 | 4.6% | 9.2% | — | |
| 6 | Shaikh, M. | Conservative Party | 136 | 3.9% | 7.8% | — |
South · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 50.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +17.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,273
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stevens, S. | Liberal Democrats | 710 | 27.9% | 55.8% | +22.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Isles, C. | Labour Party | 645 | 25.3% | 50.7% | +17.3 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Abodunrin-Olokode, D. | Liberal Democrats | 602 | 23.6% | 47.3% | — | |
| 4 | Agbley, D. | Labour Party | 589 | 23.1% | 46.3% | — |
Leagrave · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 51.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +18.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,622
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lovell, M. | Labour Party | 1,020 | 31.5% | 62.9% | +29.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Steer, F. | Labour Party | 842 | 26.0% | 51.9% | +18.6 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Alom, I. | Conservative Party | 692 | 21.3% | 42.7% | — | |
| 4 | Nikyalvi, M. | Conservative Party | 465 | 14.3% | 28.7% | — | |
| 5 | Fletcher, J. | Reform UK | 224 | 6.9% | 13.8% | — |
Poets · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 53.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +20.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,613
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Burnett, J. | Labour Party | 919 | 28.5% | 57.0% | +23.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Khan, A. | Labour Party | 866 | 26.8% | 53.7% | +20.4 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Ali, T. | Liberal Democrats | 749 | 23.2% | 46.4% | — | |
| 4 | Omondi, E. | Liberal Democrats | 692 | 21.5% | 42.9% | — |
Central · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 56.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +23.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 789
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Begum, F. | Labour Party | 626 | 39.7% | 79.3% | +46.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Hanif, M. | Labour Party | 447 | 28.3% | 56.7% | +23.3 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Ahmed, B. | Independent | 195 | 12.4% | 24.7% | — | |
| 4 | Aziz, A. | Liberal Democrats | 122 | 7.7% | 15.5% | — | |
| 5 | Aziz, A. | Liberal Democrats | 110 | 7.0% | 13.9% | — | |
| 6 | Hussain, A. | Independent | 78 | 4.9% | 9.9% | — |
Sundon Park · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 57.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +24.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,662
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moore, S. | Liberal Democrats | 1,010 | 30.4% | 60.8% | +27.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mead, C. | Liberal Democrats | 962 | 28.9% | 57.9% | +24.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Johnson, D. | Labour Party | 722 | 21.7% | 43.4% | — | |
| 4 | Akhtar, M. | Labour Party | 630 | 19.0% | 37.9% | — |
Barnfield · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 52.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +27.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,984
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Franks, D. | Liberal Democrats | 1,690 | 18.9% | 56.6% | +31.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Petts, J. | Liberal Democrats | 1,627 | 18.2% | 54.5% | +29.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Ali, A. | Liberal Democrats | 1,551 | 17.3% | 52.0% | +27.0 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Ahmed, S. | Labour Party | 1,174 | 13.1% | 39.3% | — | |
| 5 | Saleem, S. | Labour Party | 956 | 10.7% | 32.0% | — | |
| 6 | Haque, A. | Labour Party | 932 | 10.4% | 31.2% | — | |
| 7 | Dearden, A. | Conservative Party | 378 | 4.2% | 12.7% | — | |
| 8 | Deekue, S. | Conservative Party | 371 | 4.1% | 12.4% | — | |
| 9 | Mohmand, Z. | Conservative Party | 274 | 3.1% | 9.2% | — |
Bramingham · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 52.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +27.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,770
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miller, S. | Conservative Party | 1,601 | 19.3% | 57.8% | +32.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Baker, J. | Conservative Party | 1,529 | 18.4% | 55.2% | +30.2 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Ambia, A. | Conservative Party | 1,463 | 17.6% | 52.8% | +27.8 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Billington, D. | Labour Party | 1,279 | 15.4% | 46.2% | — | |
| 5 | Amin, B. | Labour Party | 1,268 | 15.3% | 45.8% | — | |
| 6 | Khan, M. | Labour Party | 1,171 | 14.1% | 42.3% | — |
High Town · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 61.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +28.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,276
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taylor, J. | Labour Party | 798 | 31.3% | 62.5% | +29.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ali, U. | Labour Party | 783 | 30.7% | 61.4% | +28.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | French, J. | Independent | 446 | 17.5% | 35.0% | — | |
| 4 | Shahid, M. | Independent | 294 | 11.5% | 23.0% | — | |
| 5 | Hill, L. | Conservative Party | 231 | 9.1% | 18.1% | — |
Saints · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 55.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +30.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,739
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hussain, S. | Labour Party | 1,630 | 19.8% | 59.5% | +34.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Abbas, G. | Labour Party | 1,594 | 19.4% | 58.2% | +33.2 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Naser, S. | Labour Party | 1,525 | 18.6% | 55.7% | +30.7 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Malik, A. | Liberal Democrats | 1,202 | 14.6% | 43.9% | — | |
| 5 | Khurshid, S. | Liberal Democrats | 1,187 | 14.4% | 43.3% | — | |
| 6 | Hussain, B. | Liberal Democrats | 1,078 | 13.1% | 39.4% | — |
Dallow · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 64.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +31.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,636
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Farooq, M. | Labour Party | 1,101 | 33.7% | 67.3% | +34.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Khan, A. | Labour Party | 1,059 | 32.4% | 64.8% | +31.4 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Hussain, B. | Liberal Democrats | 619 | 18.9% | 37.8% | — | |
| 4 | Hussain, A. | Liberal Democrats | 492 | 15.0% | 30.1% | — |
Vauxhall · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 67.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +34.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,286
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Keens, T. | Liberal Democrats | 893 | 34.7% | 69.4% | +36.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Bridgen, L. | Liberal Democrats | 868 | 33.7% | 67.5% | +34.2 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Begum, S. | Labour Party | 422 | 16.4% | 32.8% | — | |
| 4 | Thomas, B. | Labour Party | 389 | 15.1% | 30.2% | — |
Northwell · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 63.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +38.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,072
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roche, R. | Labour Party | 1,400 | 22.5% | 67.6% | +42.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Nicholls, A. | Labour Party | 1,397 | 22.5% | 67.4% | +42.4 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Ajisola, B. | Labour Party | 1,306 | 21.0% | 63.0% | +38.0 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Turner, P. | Conservative Party | 664 | 10.7% | 32.0% | — | |
| 5 | Ali, A. | Conservative Party | 520 | 8.4% | 25.1% | — | |
| 6 | Rudrangi, S. | Conservative Party | 482 | 7.8% | 23.3% | — | |
| 7 | Cohen, J. | Reform UK | 231 | 3.7% | 11.1% | — | |
| 8 | Hussain, A. | Independent | 217 | 3.5% | 10.5% | — |
Beech Hill · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 65.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +40.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,952
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chowdhury, R. | Labour Party | 2,158 | 24.4% | 73.1% | +48.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Hussain, J. | Labour Party | 2,127 | 24.0% | 72.1% | +47.1 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Malik, R. | Labour Party | 1,928 | 21.8% | 65.3% | +40.3 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Karim, M. | Liberal Democrats | 958 | 10.8% | 32.5% | — | |
| 5 | Latif, A. | Liberal Democrats | 947 | 10.7% | 32.1% | — | |
| 6 | Javed, G. | Liberal Democrats | 737 | 8.3% | 25.0% | — |
Lewsey · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 78.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +44.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,167
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simmons, H. | Labour Party | 1,008 | 43.2% | 86.4% | +53.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Begum, Y. | Labour Party | 912 | 39.1% | 78.1% | +44.8 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Carpenter, E. | Conservative Party | 272 | 11.7% | 23.3% | — | |
| 4 | Parveen, A. | Independent | 142 | 6.1% | 12.2% | — |
Challney · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 71.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +46.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,171
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahmood, B. | Labour Party | 1,572 | 24.1% | 72.4% | +47.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Malik, K. | Labour Party | 1,562 | 24.0% | 71.9% | +46.9 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Shaw, T. | Labour Party | 1,546 | 23.7% | 71.2% | +46.2 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Javid, M. | Liberal Democrats | 654 | 10.0% | 30.1% | — | |
| 5 | Zaman, S. | Liberal Democrats | 593 | 9.1% | 27.3% | — | |
| 6 | Ahktar, F. | Liberal Democrats | 587 | 9.0% | 27.0% | — |
Wigmore · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 82.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +48.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,141
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gallagher, C. | Liberal Democrats | 1,809 | 42.3% | 84.5% | +51.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Skepelhorn, A. | Liberal Democrats | 1,760 | 41.1% | 82.2% | +48.9 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Ahmed, R. | Labour Party | 374 | 8.7% | 17.5% | — | |
| 4 | Mayunga, B. | Labour Party | 338 | 7.9% | 15.8% | — |
Stopsley · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 77.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +52.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,761
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Underwood, R. | Liberal Democrats | 2,185 | 26.4% | 79.1% | +54.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Wynn, D. | Liberal Democrats | 2,142 | 25.9% | 77.6% | +52.6 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Marshall, N. | Liberal Democrats | 2,137 | 25.8% | 77.4% | +52.4 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Islam, S. | Labour Party | 629 | 7.6% | 22.8% | — | |
| 5 | Ahmed, I. | Labour Party | 596 | 7.2% | 21.6% | — | |
| 6 | Choudhury, S. | Labour Party | 593 | 7.2% | 21.5% | — |