← Merthyr Tydfil (all cycles) · 5 May 2022 cohort
Merthyr Tydfil 2022
Local elections held 5 May 2022.
Each race compares the marginal winner's share of valid ballots to the proportional quota — the share they'd need under any common proportional method. How the numbers are derived →
If votes were counted by party
Across the 11 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 30 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labour Party | 19,642 | 49.2% | 15 | 50.0% | 15 | 50.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 17,145 | 42.9% | 15 | 50.0% | 13 | 43.3% | +2 |
| Plaid Cymru | 2,592 | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 6.7% | -2 |
| Conservative Party | 237 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Green Party | 174 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| ND | 136 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 39,926 | 100.0% | 30 | 100.0% | 30 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
The 2022 cycle was an all-out election — every seat was contested. The two opencouncildata snapshots below show the council immediately after the 2022 election (current) and on the eve of it (2021), so you can see what the result replaced.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Bedlinog and Trelewis · 2 seats · won at 43.2% · above quota
- Cyfarthfa · 3 seats · won at 42.3% · above quota
- Gurnos · 3 seats · won at 42.6% · above quota
- Vaynor · 2 seats · won at 54.7% · above quota
- Town · 4 seats · won at 42.2% · above quota
- Penydarren · 3 seats · won at 51.9% · above quota
- Park · 2 seats · won at 60.5% · above quota
- Dowlais and Pant · 3 seats · won at 52.6% · above quota
- Treharris · 3 seats · won at 54.4% · above quota
- Merthyr Vale · 2 seats · won at 76.0% · above quota
- Plymouth · 3 seats · won at 69.6% · above quota
Race results
Bedlinog and Trelewis · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 43.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 944
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colbran M. | Independent | 581 | 30.8% | 61.6% | +28.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Symonds M. | Independent | 408 | 21.6% | 43.2% | +9.9 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Matthews V. | Labour Party | 362 | 19.2% | 38.4% | — | |
| 4 | Beard J. | Labour Party | 343 | 18.2% | 36.4% | — | |
| 5 | Searl R. | ND | 136 | 7.2% | 14.4% | — | |
| 6 | Dawson E. | Conservative Party | 57 | 3.0% | 6.0% | — |
Cyfarthfa · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 42.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +17.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,656
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thomas G. | Independent | 1,031 | 20.7% | 62.2% | +37.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jones M. | Independent | 836 | 16.8% | 50.5% | +25.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Jones C. | Independent | 701 | 14.1% | 42.3% | +17.3 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Chaplin D. | Labour Party | 696 | 14.0% | 42.0% | — | |
| 5 | Amaro K. | Labour Party | 654 | 13.2% | 39.5% | — | |
| 6 | Cremin A. | Labour Party | 477 | 9.6% | 28.8% | — | |
| 7 | McLean L. | Plaid Cymru | 394 | 7.9% | 23.8% | — | |
| 8 | Phillips S. | Conservative Party | 180 | 3.6% | 10.9% | — |
Gurnos · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 42.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +17.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 844
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Davies J. | Independent | 519 | 20.5% | 61.5% | +36.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Davies L. | Independent | 514 | 20.3% | 60.9% | +35.9 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Smith B. | Labour Party | 359 | 14.2% | 42.6% | +17.6 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Griffiths P. | Independent | 306 | 12.1% | 36.3% | — | |
| 5 | Williams T. | Independent | 283 | 11.2% | 33.5% | — | |
| 6 | Patman S. | Labour Party | 281 | 11.1% | 33.3% | — | |
| 7 | Galleozzie G. | Labour Party | 269 | 10.6% | 31.9% | — |
Vaynor · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 54.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +21.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 973
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mytton L. | Independent | 655 | 33.7% | 67.4% | +34.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Tovey C. | Independent | 532 | 27.4% | 54.7% | +21.4 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Jones S. | Independent | 386 | 19.8% | 39.7% | — | |
| 4 | Bish R. | Labour Party | 372 | 19.1% | 38.3% | — |
Town · 4-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~4× smaller. 42.2% Proportional quota 20.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +22.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 4 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,958
This is a 4-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 4 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~4×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 4, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 4 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 4. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jones D. | Labour Party | 995 | 12.7% | 50.8% | +30.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Thomas J. | Independent | 943 | 12.0% | 48.2% | +28.2 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Barry A. | Independent | 873 | 11.1% | 44.6% | +24.6 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Jenkins J. | Independent | 826 | 10.5% | 42.2% | +22.2 pts | Elected |
| 5 | O'Neill K. | Independent | 807 | 10.3% | 41.2% | — | |
| 6 | McCarthy K. | Labour Party | 716 | 9.1% | 36.6% | — | |
| 7 | Maycock R. | Labour Party | 707 | 9.0% | 36.1% | — | |
| 8 | Eaglestone M. | Labour Party | 659 | 8.4% | 33.7% | — | |
| 9 | O'Malley S. | Plaid Cymru | 368 | 4.7% | 18.8% | — | |
| 10 | Pugh V. | Plaid Cymru | 320 | 4.1% | 16.3% | — | |
| 11 | Gwynne I. | Plaid Cymru | 312 | 4.0% | 15.9% | — | |
| 12 | Evans L. | Plaid Cymru | 306 | 3.9% | 15.6% | — |
Penydarren · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 51.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +26.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 978
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isaac D. | Labour Party | 650 | 22.2% | 66.5% | +41.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Gibbs K. | Labour Party | 523 | 17.8% | 53.5% | +28.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Scriven J. | Labour Party | 508 | 17.3% | 51.9% | +26.9 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Davies C. | Independent | 454 | 15.5% | 46.4% | — | |
| 5 | Thomas P. | Independent | 272 | 9.3% | 27.8% | — | |
| 6 | Amos J. | Independent | 194 | 6.6% | 19.8% | — | |
| 7 | Sullivan S. | Plaid Cymru | 190 | 6.5% | 19.4% | — | |
| 8 | Ryan S. | Independent | 143 | 4.9% | 14.6% | — |
Park · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 60.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +27.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,132
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jones C. | Labour Party | 701 | 31.0% | 62.0% | +28.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Minett Vokes L. | Labour Party | 685 | 30.3% | 60.5% | +27.2 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Launchbury J. | Independent | 479 | 21.2% | 42.3% | — | |
| 4 | Morgan J. | Independent | 398 | 17.6% | 35.2% | — |
Dowlais and Pant · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 52.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +27.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,527
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sammon D. | Independent | 1,120 | 24.4% | 73.3% | +48.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Layton P. | Independent | 851 | 18.6% | 55.7% | +30.7 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Hughes D. | Independent | 803 | 17.5% | 52.6% | +27.6 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Owen R. | Labour Party | 485 | 10.6% | 31.8% | — | |
| 5 | Beard S. | Labour Party | 480 | 10.5% | 31.4% | — | |
| 6 | Williams S. | Labour Party | 470 | 10.3% | 30.8% | — | |
| 7 | Plowright J. | Independent | 226 | 4.9% | 14.8% | — | |
| 8 | Cushen J. | Plaid Cymru | 147 | 3.2% | 9.6% | — |
Treharris · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 54.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +29.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,769
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Richards G. | Labour Party | 1,635 | 30.8% | 92.4% | +67.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Thomas I. | Labour Party | 966 | 18.2% | 54.6% | +29.6 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Galsworthy E. | Labour Party | 963 | 18.1% | 54.4% | +29.4 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Whitefoot F. | Plaid Cymru | 555 | 10.5% | 31.4% | — | |
| 5 | Andrews C. | Independent | 527 | 9.9% | 29.8% | — | |
| 6 | Hughes J. | Independent | 488 | 9.2% | 27.6% | — | |
| 7 | Clayton T. | Green Party | 174 | 3.3% | 9.8% | — |
Merthyr Vale · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 76.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +42.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 942
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roberts D. | Labour Party | 892 | 47.3% | 94.7% | +61.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Thomas S. | Labour Party | 716 | 38.0% | 76.0% | +42.7 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Colston L. | Independent | 276 | 14.6% | 29.3% | — |
Plymouth · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 69.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +44.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,264
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lewis G. | Labour Party | 1,138 | 30.0% | 90.1% | +65.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Carter B. | Labour Party | 1,061 | 28.0% | 84.0% | +59.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Williams-Price A. | Labour Party | 879 | 23.2% | 69.6% | +44.6 pts | Elected |
| 4 | John L. | Independent | 364 | 9.6% | 28.8% | — | |
| 5 | Evans N. | Independent | 349 | 9.2% | 27.6% | — |