← Mole Valley (all cycles) · 2 May 2024 cohort
Mole Valley 2024
Local elections held 2 May 2024.
Each race compares the marginal winner's share of valid ballots to the proportional quota — the share they'd need under any common proportional method. How the numbers are derived →
If votes were counted by party
Across the 13 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 14 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal Democrats | 13,481 | 47.4% | 12 | 85.7% | 7 | 50.0% | +5 |
| Conservative Party | 7,342 | 25.8% | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 28.6% | -4 |
| Green Party | 2,940 | 10.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 7.1% | -1 |
| Independent | 2,535 | 8.9% | 2 | 14.3% | 1 | 7.1% | +1 |
| Labour Party | 1,931 | 6.8% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 7.1% | -1 |
| Reform UK | 186 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 28,415 | 100.0% | 14 | 100.0% | 14 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2024 election (current) and immediately before it (2023). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2024 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Holmwoods and Beare Green · 1 seat · won at 45.4% · −4.6 pts below quota
- Leatherhead South · 1 seat · won at 49.0% · −1.0 pts below quota
- Dorking North · 1 seat · won at 49.6% · −0.4 pts below quota
- Brockham, Betchworth, Buckland, Box Hill and Headley · 1 seat · won at 50.2% · above quota
- Leatherhead North · 1 seat · won at 51.9% · above quota
- Ashtead Park · 1 seat · won at 53.3% · above quota
- Mickleham, Westcott and Okewood · 1 seat · won at 57.0% · above quota
- Capel, Leigh, Newdigate and Charlwood · 2 seats · won at 41.3% · above quota
- Fetcham · 1 seat · won at 58.3% · above quota
- Dorking South · 1 seat · won at 58.8% · above quota
- Ashtead Lanes and Common · 1 seat · won at 58.9% · above quota
- Bookham West · 1 seat · won at 60.6% · above quota
- Bookham East and Eastwick Park · 1 seat · won at 62.6% · above quota
Race results
Holmwoods and Beare Green · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,833
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellman, C. | Liberal Democrats | 832 | 45.4% | −4.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Watson, M. | Conservative Party | 550 | 30.0% | — | |
| 3 | Keats, S. | Reform UK | 186 | 10.1% | — | |
| 4 | Roche, J. | Green Party | 152 | 8.3% | — | |
| 5 | Foster, C. | Labour Party | 113 | 6.2% | — |
Leatherhead South · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,979
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parsons, G. | Liberal Democrats | 970 | 49.0% | −1.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Hall, T. | Conservative Party | 714 | 36.1% | — | |
| 3 | Clark, A. | Labour Party | 164 | 8.3% | — | |
| 4 | Awcock, M. | Green Party | 131 | 6.6% | — |
Dorking North · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,391
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosam, E. | Liberal Democrats | 1,186 | 49.6% | −0.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Crook, C. | Green Party | 608 | 25.4% | — | |
| 3 | Botting, L. | Conservative Party | 300 | 12.5% | — | |
| 4 | Mansfield, C. | Labour Party | 297 | 12.4% | — |
Brockham, Betchworth, Buckland, Box Hill and Headley · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,096
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Keay, P. | Liberal Democrats | 1,052 | 50.2% | +0.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Austin, R. | Conservative Party | 617 | 29.4% | — | |
| 3 | Butterworth, P. | Green Party | 245 | 11.7% | — | |
| 4 | Humphrey, N. | Labour Party | 182 | 8.7% | — |
Leatherhead North · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 51.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,293
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wear, B. | Liberal Democrats | 671 | 51.9% | +1.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Gibbs, A. | Conservative Party | 327 | 25.3% | — | |
| 3 | Roper, C. | Labour Party | 195 | 15.1% | — | |
| 4 | Smith, G. | Green Party | 100 | 7.7% | — |
Ashtead Park · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 53.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +3.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,059
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sevenoaks, G. | Independent | 1,098 | 53.3% | +3.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Shimmin, P. | Liberal Democrats | 375 | 18.2% | — | |
| 3 | Jones, H. | Conservative Party | 368 | 17.9% | — | |
| 4 | Eagle, S. | Labour Party | 134 | 6.5% | — | |
| 5 | Stewart, S. | Green Party | 84 | 4.1% | — |
Mickleham, Westcott and Okewood · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,022
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mursaleen-Plank, L. | Liberal Democrats | 1,153 | 57.0% | +7.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mir, D. | Conservative Party | 603 | 29.8% | — | |
| 3 | Poke, J. | Green Party | 193 | 9.5% | — | |
| 4 | Stringer, J. | Labour Party | 73 | 3.6% | — |
Capel, Leigh, Newdigate and Charlwood · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 41.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,848
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Havard, K. | Liberal Democrats | 857 | 23.2% | 46.4% | +13.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | van den Bogerd, D. | Liberal Democrats | 763 | 20.6% | 41.3% | +8.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | McCorquodale, D. | Conservative Party | 658 | 17.8% | 35.6% | — | |
| 4 | Saunders, M. | Conservative Party | 657 | 17.8% | 35.6% | — | |
| 5 | Scott, L. | Green Party | 400 | 10.8% | 21.6% | — | |
| 6 | Bolton, G. | Green Party | 218 | 5.9% | 11.8% | — | |
| 7 | Hay, M. | Labour Party | 86 | 2.3% | 4.7% | — | |
| 8 | Nasskau, L. | Labour Party | 57 | 1.5% | 3.1% | — |
Fetcham · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,189
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joseph, C. | Liberal Democrats | 1,276 | 58.3% | +8.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Austin, P. | Conservative Party | 686 | 31.3% | — | |
| 3 | Sherring, J. | Green Party | 139 | 6.3% | — | |
| 4 | Heath, B. | Labour Party | 88 | 4.0% | — |
Dorking South · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,102
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wright, N. | Liberal Democrats | 1,236 | 58.8% | +8.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Foulston, M. | Conservative Party | 343 | 16.3% | — | |
| 3 | Crook, M. | Green Party | 301 | 14.3% | — | |
| 4 | Stroud, K. | Labour Party | 222 | 10.6% | — |
Ashtead Lanes and Common · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,440
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Smith, A. | Independent | 1,437 | 58.9% | +8.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Waugh, J. | Liberal Democrats | 450 | 18.4% | — | |
| 3 | Walker, L. | Conservative Party | 259 | 10.6% | — | |
| 4 | Gilchrist, S. | Labour Party | 164 | 6.7% | — | |
| 5 | Stewart, E. | Green Party | 130 | 5.3% | — |
Bookham West · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 60.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +10.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,036
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miller, C. | Liberal Democrats | 1,234 | 60.6% | +10.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Gunn, B. | Conservative Party | 564 | 27.7% | — | |
| 3 | Case, F. | Green Party | 138 | 6.8% | — | |
| 4 | Kent, T. | Labour Party | 100 | 4.9% | — |
Bookham East and Eastwick Park · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 62.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +12.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,279
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matthews, A. | Liberal Democrats | 1,426 | 62.6% | +12.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Calland, L. | Conservative Party | 696 | 30.5% | — | |
| 3 | Green, P. | Green Party | 101 | 4.4% | — | |
| 4 | Mansfield, W. | Labour Party | 56 | 2.5% | — |