← Moray (all cycles) · 5 May 2022 cohort
Moray 2022
Local elections held 5 May 2022.
Each race compares the marginal winner's share of valid ballots to the proportional quota — the share they'd need under any common proportional method. How the numbers are derived →
If votes were counted by party
Across the 7 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 23 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 10,698 | 36.3% | 10 | 43.5% | 9 | 39.1% | +1 |
| Scottish National Party | 10,613 | 36.0% | 7 | 30.4% | 9 | 39.1% | -2 |
| Labour Party | 3,616 | 12.3% | 3 | 13.0% | 3 | 13.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 2,327 | 7.9% | 2 | 8.7% | 2 | 8.7% | 0 |
| Liberal Democrats | 1,121 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Green Party | 1,001 | 3.4% | 1 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0% | +1 |
| Scottish Family Party | 99 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Sovereignty | 23 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 29,498 | 100.0% | 23 | 100.0% | 23 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2022 election (current) and immediately before it (2021). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2022 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Fochabers Lhanbryde · 3 seats · won at 10.1% · −14.9 pts below quota
- Forres · 4 seats · won at 9.1% · −10.9 pts below quota
- Heldon and Laich · 4 seats · won at 12.7% · −7.3 pts below quota
- Keith and Cullen · 3 seats · won at 18.9% · −6.1 pts below quota
- Speyside Glenlivet · 3 seats · won at 20.1% · −4.9 pts below quota
- Elgin City North · 3 seats · won at 25.9% · above quota
- Elgin City South · 3 seats · won at 26.8% · above quota
Race results
Fochabers Lhanbryde · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 10.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −14.9 pts Valid ballots Voters who cast a valid ballot, from source data. 3,996
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marc Macrae | Conservative Party | 1,590 | 39.8% | 39.8% | +14.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Shona Morrison | Scottish National Party | 940 | 23.5% | 23.5% | −1.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Dave Bremner | Scottish National Party | 778 | 19.5% | 19.5% | — | |
| 4 | Ben Williams | Labour Party | 404 | 10.1% | 10.1% | −14.9 pts | Elected |
| 5 | Donald Cameron | Liberal Democrats | 284 | 7.1% | 7.1% | — |
Forres · 4-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~4× smaller. 9.1% Proportional quota 20.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −10.9 pts Valid ballots Voters who cast a valid ballot, from source data. 6,057
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 4 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 4. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Lawrence | Scottish National Party | 2,077 | 34.3% | 34.3% | +14.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Kathleen Robertson | Conservative Party | 1,516 | 25.0% | 25.0% | +5.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Paul Mcbain | Conservative Party | 962 | 15.9% | 15.9% | −4.1 pts | Elected |
| 4 | James Hynam | Labour Party | 643 | 10.6% | 10.6% | — | |
| 5 | Draeyk Van Der Horn | Green Party | 550 | 9.1% | 9.1% | −10.9 pts | Elected |
| 6 | Shaun Moat | Independent | 309 | 5.1% | 5.1% | — |
Heldon and Laich · 4-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~4× smaller. 12.7% Proportional quota 20.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −7.3 pts Valid ballots Voters who cast a valid ballot, from source data. 4,936
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 4 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 4. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neil Cameron | Scottish National Party | 1,455 | 29.5% | 29.5% | +9.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | James Allan | Conservative Party | 1,331 | 27.0% | 27.0% | +7.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | John Cowe | Independent | 914 | 18.5% | 18.5% | −1.5 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Bridget Mustard | Conservative Party | 629 | 12.7% | 12.7% | −7.3 pts | Elected |
| 5 | Andrew O'Neill | Labour Party | 379 | 7.7% | 7.7% | — | |
| 6 | Calum Cameron | Liberal Democrats | 228 | 4.6% | 4.6% | — |
Keith and Cullen · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 18.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −6.1 pts Valid ballots Voters who cast a valid ballot, from source data. 3,432
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Theresa Ann Coull | Scottish National Party | 1,493 | 43.5% | 43.5% | +18.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Donald Gatt | Conservative Party | 849 | 24.7% | 24.7% | −0.3 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Tracy Colyer | Conservative Party | 650 | 18.9% | 18.9% | −6.1 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Les Tarr | Liberal Democrats | 341 | 9.9% | 9.9% | — | |
| 5 | William Keith Barclay | Scottish Family Party | 99 | 2.9% | 2.9% | — |
Speyside Glenlivet · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 20.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.9 pts Valid ballots Voters who cast a valid ballot, from source data. 3,337
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juli Harris | Scottish National Party | 1,227 | 36.8% | 36.8% | +11.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David Gordon | Conservative Party | 1,129 | 33.8% | 33.8% | +8.8 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Derek Ross | Independent | 672 | 20.1% | 20.1% | −4.9 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Elidh Myrvang Brown | Green Party | 286 | 8.6% | 8.6% | — | |
| 5 | David McHutchon | Sovereignty | 23 | 0.7% | 0.7% | — |
Elgin City North · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 25.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.9 pts Valid ballots Voters who cast a valid ballot, from source data. 3,678
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jérémie Fernandes | Scottish National Party | 1,199 | 32.6% | 32.6% | +7.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sandy Keith | Labour Party | 1,048 | 28.5% | 28.5% | +3.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Amber Dunbar | Conservative Party | 952 | 25.9% | 25.9% | +0.9 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Graham Jarvis | Independent | 170 | 4.6% | 4.6% | — | |
| 5 | Rebecca Jane Kail | Green Party | 165 | 4.5% | 4.5% | — | |
| 6 | Neil Alexander | Liberal Democrats | 144 | 3.9% | 3.9% | — |
Elgin City South · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 26.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.8 pts Valid ballots Voters who cast a valid ballot, from source data. 4,062
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Graham Leadbitter | Scottish National Party | 1,444 | 35.5% | 35.5% | +10.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | John Divers | Labour Party | 1,142 | 28.1% | 28.1% | +3.1 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Peter Bloomfield | Conservative Party | 1,090 | 26.8% | 26.8% | +1.8 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Michaela French | Independent | 161 | 4.0% | 4.0% | — | |
| 5 | Bernard Matthew Salmon | Liberal Democrats | 124 | 3.1% | 3.1% | — | |
| 6 | Paul Briggs | Independent | 101 | 2.5% | 2.5% | — |