← North East Lincolnshire (all cycles) · 6 May 2021 cohort

North East Lincolnshire 2021

Local elections held 6 May 2021.

12 ward races
14 seats
4 elected below the proportional quota
28.6% of seats below quota
4 unfairly awarded seats
28.6% of seats unfairly awarded

Each race compares the marginal winner's share of valid ballots to the proportional quota — the share they'd need under any common proportional method. How the numbers are derived →

If votes were counted by party

Across the 12 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 14 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Conservative Party16,07755.9%1285.7%964.3%+3
Labour Party7,34725.6%00.0%428.6%-4
Liberal Democrats2,8549.9%214.3%17.1%+1
Independent1,1013.8%00.0%00.0%0
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition5692.0%00.0%00.0%0
FREE5021.7%00.0%00.0%0
UK Independence Party (UKIP)2821.0%00.0%00.0%0
Social Democratic Party210.1%00.0%00.0%0
Total28,753100.0%14100.0%14100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Council composition: what this election replaced

Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2021 election (current) and immediately before it (2020). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2021 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.

Current (2021)
Previous (2020)

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

South · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 44.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −5.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,412

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Batson P.D.Conservative Party62844.5%−5.5 ptsElected
2Mill S.J.Labour Party53337.7%
3Bramley J.E.UK Independence Party (UKIP)1268.9%
4Emmerson L.L.Independent1127.9%
5O'Flynn V.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition130.9%

Electorate 8,495 · EC ward code E05001723 · Back to ward index

Croft Baker · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,335

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Reynolds G.D.Conservative Party1,08346.4%−3.6 ptsElected
2Wheatley K.H.Labour Party72331.0%
3Horobin R.Liberal Democrats40717.4%
4Parkinson J.A.FREE883.8%
5Best J.D.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition341.5%

Electorate 8,467 · EC ward code E05001713 · Back to ward index

Immingham · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,378

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Astbury G.E.Conservative Party1,14448.1%−1.9 ptsElected
2Watson D.A.Labour Party72130.3%
3Turner D.Independent27311.5%
4Barton D.Independent2118.9%
5Newton N.R.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition291.2%

Electorate 8,824 · EC ward code E05001719 · Back to ward index

Sidney Sussex · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,621

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Robinson B.M.Conservative Party79048.7%−1.3 ptsElected
2Rogers G.Labour Party61838.1%
3Smith A.FREE925.7%
4Bonner L.Liberal Democrats744.6%
5Gee M.P.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition472.9%

Electorate 8,068 · EC ward code E05001722 · Back to ward index

Heneage · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,859

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Smith M.Conservative Party93150.1%+0.1 ptsElected
2Clough E.L.Labour Party73439.5%
3Driver A.Liberal Democrats733.9%
4Bolton D.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition643.4%
5Francis T.A.FREE573.1%

Electorate 7,967 · EC ward code E05001717 · Back to ward index

Park · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,734

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Westcott D.Conservative Party1,44452.8%+2.8 ptsElected
2Shuff K.G.Labour Party67624.7%
3De Freitas D.M.Liberal Democrats45016.5%
4Greenfield A.H.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition682.5%
5Blake A.A.UK Independence Party (UKIP)572.1%
6Lobley N.A.FREE391.4%

Electorate 8,771 · EC ward code E05001720 · Back to ward index

Freshney · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,940

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Brasted T.Conservative Party1,10557.0%+7.0 ptsElected
2Barber C.Labour Party75839.1%
3Shaw T.J.FREE412.1%
4Clifford D.M.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition361.9%

Electorate 7,206 · EC ward code E05001715 · Back to ward index

Yarborough · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,913

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Sandford M.L.Conservative Party1,10457.7%+7.7 ptsElected
2Kaczmarek E.T.P.Labour Party56129.3%
3Stephen L.Liberal Democrats1447.5%
4Barlow K.I.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition834.3%
5Mellors T.Social Democratic Party211.1%

Electorate 8,504 · EC ward code E05001727 · Back to ward index

Haverstoe · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 71.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +21.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,914

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Parkinson B.Conservative Party2,09471.9%+21.9 ptsElected
2Rodwell I.S.Labour Party51917.8%
3Teakle K.Liberal Democrats2478.5%
4Tuplin P.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition541.9%

Electorate 7,937 · EC ward code E05001716 · Back to ward index

Humberston and New Waltham · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 76.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +26.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,930

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Dawkins H.A.Conservative Party2,24276.5%+26.5 ptsElected
2Townsend I.K.Labour Party55318.9%
3Jolly W.P.FREE973.3%
4Mitchell D.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition381.3%

Electorate 9,460 · EC ward code E05001718 · Back to ward index

East Marsh · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 61.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +28.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,092

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Rudd K.Liberal Democrats78836.1%72.2%+38.9 ptsElected
2Aisthorpe N.D.Liberal Democrats67130.7%61.5%+28.1 ptsElected
3Quibell K.A.Labour Party2119.7%19.3%
4Hogan C.M.Conservative Party1958.9%17.9%
5Dasein B.M.Independent1597.3%14.6%
6Coulbeck L.Independent1597.3%14.6%

Electorate 6,715 · EC ward code E05001714 · Back to ward index

Scartho · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 69.6% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +36.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,267

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Croft C.L.Conservative Party1,73938.4%76.7%+43.4 ptsElected
2Shepherd R.Conservative Party1,57834.8%69.6%+36.3 ptsElected
3Augusta R.Labour Party74016.3%32.6%
4Slattery J.Independent1874.1%8.2%
5Pow V.Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition1032.3%4.5%
6Stockton J.M.UK Independence Party (UKIP)992.2%4.4%
7Woods N.L.FREE881.9%3.9%

Electorate 8,817 · EC ward code E05001721 · Back to ward index