← Rugby (all cycles) · 6 May 2021 cohort

Rugby 2021

Local elections held 6 May 2021.

14 ward races
15 seats
3 elected below the proportional quota
20.0% of seats below quota
3 unfairly awarded seats
20.0% of seats unfairly awarded

Each race compares the marginal winner's share of valid ballots to the proportional quota — the share they'd need under any common proportional method. How the numbers are derived →

If votes were counted by party

Across the 14 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 15 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Conservative Party15,02748.6%1066.7%853.3%+2
Labour Party8,41427.2%213.3%426.7%-2
Liberal Democrats4,88815.8%320.0%213.3%+1
Green Party2,5598.3%00.0%16.7%-1
LIBER420.1%00.0%00.0%0
Total30,930100.0%15100.0%15100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Council composition: what this election replaced

Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2021 election (current) and immediately before it (2020). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2021 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.

Current (2021)
Previous (2020)

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Eastlands · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 42.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −7.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,058

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Roodhouse S.Liberal Democrats87242.4%−7.6 ptsElected
2Watts T.Conservative Party57127.7%
3Molina S.Labour Party44821.8%
4Dunne A.Green Party1678.1%

Electorate 5,876 · EC ward code E05008986 · Back to ward index

Paddox · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,468

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Douglas T.M.Liberal Democrats1,11445.1%−4.9 ptsElected
2Jones A.G.Conservative Party81232.9%
3Mawby C.Labour Party40116.2%
4Beggs B.Green Party1415.7%

Electorate 5,655 · EC ward code E05008983 · Back to ward index

Newbold and Brownsover · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,732

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Rabin W.D.J.Conservative Party83848.4%−1.6 ptsElected
2Brown K.R.G.Labour Party78045.0%
3Tafazzal H.Liberal Democrats1146.6%

Electorate 6,403 · EC ward code E05008982 · Back to ward index

Coton and Boughton · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. 0.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,066

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Robbins C.A.Conservative Party1,03450.0%0.0 ptsElected
2Livesey A.A.Labour Party69733.7%
3Blackburn E.J.Liberal Democrats1507.3%
4Pailthorpe C.Green Party1436.9%
5Pullin J.LIBER422.0%

Electorate 5,746 · EC ward code E05008977 · Back to ward index

Rokeby and Overslade · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,405

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Dumbleton C.Liberal Democrats1,20550.1%+0.1 ptsElected
2Lawrence T.J.P.Conservative Party70729.4%
3Gore M.W.Labour Party36015.0%
4Crowley K.Green Party1335.5%

Electorate 5,980 · EC ward code E05008985 · Back to ward index

New Bilton · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 51.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,508

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Mistry I.Labour Party78251.9%+1.9 ptsElected
2Jones G.Conservative Party53235.3%
3Pickup M.J.Green Party19412.9%

Electorate 5,495 · EC ward code E05008981 · Back to ward index

Benn · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,690

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1O'Rourke M.Labour Party88852.5%+2.5 ptsElected
2Lowe R.E.Conservative Party46127.3%
3Stevenson B.Green Party21913.0%
4Trimble H.D.Liberal Democrats1227.2%

Electorate 6,057 · EC ward code E05008974 · Back to ward index

Bilton · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,316

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1A'Barrow H.B.Conservative Party1,25654.2%+4.2 ptsElected
2Kennedy-George L.M.Liberal Democrats49921.5%
3Bates P.Labour Party40117.3%
4Brook R.J.Green Party1606.9%

Electorate 5,184 · EC ward code E05008975 · Back to ward index

Clifton Newton and Churchover · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 925

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Hassell E.Conservative Party53958.3%+8.3 ptsElected
2Harrington R.O.Labour Party23225.1%
3Summers M.A.Green Party808.6%
4Trimble P.Liberal Democrats748.0%

Electorate 2,263 · EC ward code E05008976 · Back to ward index

Wolston and the Lawfords · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,178

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Willis T.Conservative Party1,27658.6%+8.6 ptsElected
2Rooney-Ellis A.K.Labour Party47721.9%
3Summers L.K.Green Party42519.5%

Electorate 6,099 · EC ward code E05010760 · Back to ward index

Hillmorton · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 59.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,913

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Daly A.M.Conservative Party1,13459.3%+9.3 ptsElected
2Baulk S.Labour Party50126.2%
3Douglas J.E.Liberal Democrats1718.9%
4Feledziak N.Green Party1075.6%

Electorate 5,301 · EC ward code E05008979 · Back to ward index

Dunsmore · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 67.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +17.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,779

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Roberts H.D.Conservative Party1,88867.9%+17.9 ptsElected
2Hughes B.Labour Party55219.9%
3Sandison R.L.Green Party33912.2%

Electorate 6,494 · EC ward code E05010759 · Back to ward index

Admirals and Cawston · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 51.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +18.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,272

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Watson-Merret C.D.Conservative Party1,18126.0%52.0%+18.6 ptsElected
2Williams M.Conservative Party1,16625.7%51.3%+18.0 ptsElected
3Moran M.J.Labour Party77417.0%34.1%
4Vickers J.Labour Party65014.3%28.6%
5Chase L.M.Liberal Democrats3738.2%16.4%
6Farley J.Green Party2064.5%9.1%
7Sawyer A.Liberal Democrats1944.3%8.5%

Electorate 6,771 · EC ward code E05010758 · Back to ward index

Revel and Binley Wood · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 69.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +19.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,348

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Gillias T.Conservative Party1,63269.5%+19.5 ptsElected
2Fenney S.Y.E.Labour Party47120.1%
3Ward S.G.Green Party24510.4%

Electorate 5,222 · EC ward code E05008984 · Back to ward index