← Rushmoor (all cycles) · 6 May 2021 cohort

Rushmoor 2021

Local elections held 6 May 2021.

13 ward races
14 seats
2 elected below the proportional quota
14.3% of seats below quota
3 unfairly awarded seats
21.4% of seats unfairly awarded

Each race compares the marginal winner's share of valid ballots to the proportional quota — the share they'd need under any common proportional method. How the numbers are derived →

If votes were counted by party

Across the 13 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 14 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Conservative Party12,87652.7%1178.6%857.1%+3
Labour Party8,22833.7%321.4%535.7%-2
Liberal Democrats3,16112.9%00.0%17.1%-1
Independent960.4%00.0%00.0%0
UK Independence Party (UKIP)640.3%00.0%00.0%0
Reform UK210.1%00.0%00.0%0
Total24,446100.0%14100.0%14100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Council composition: what this election replaced

Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2021 election (current) and immediately before it (2020). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2021 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.

Current (2021)
Previous (2020)

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

St. Marks · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 44.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −5.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,739

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Bedford D.B.Conservative Party77544.6%−5.4 ptsElected
2Mitchell E.R.Liberal Democrats69840.1%
3Hewitt C.R.Labour Party26615.3%

Electorate 5,230 · EC ward code E05008999 · Back to ward index

Rowhill · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,967

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Sheehan M.L.Conservative Party88745.1%−4.9 ptsElected
2Crawford A.Labour Party72236.7%
3Hilliar A.R.Liberal Democrats35818.2%

Electorate 5,042 · EC ward code E05008997 · Back to ward index

Empress · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,848

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Munro M.Conservative Party94050.9%+0.9 ptsElected
2Jones B.Labour Party40822.1%
3Card L.J.Liberal Democrats38320.7%
4Wallace D.M.Independent965.2%
5Seery B.S.Reform UK211.1%

Electorate 4,573 · EC ward code E05008992 · Back to ward index

Aldershot Park · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 51.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,528

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Roberts M.Labour Party78851.6%+1.6 ptsElected
2Trussler S.Conservative Party63841.8%
3Scopes L.Liberal Democrats1026.7%

Electorate 5,141 · EC ward code E05008989 · Back to ward index

Cherrywood · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,704

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Thapa N.B.Conservative Party89852.7%+2.7 ptsElected
2Grattan C.P.Labour Party80647.3%

Electorate 5,222 · EC ward code E05008990 · Back to ward index

Wellington · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,070

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Belbase J.N.Conservative Party58754.9%+4.9 ptsElected
2Koohestani H.Labour Party40237.6%
3O'Dowd-Booth O.J.Liberal Democrats817.6%

Electorate 4,028 · EC ward code E05009000 · Back to ward index

Knellwood · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 55.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,404

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Taylor P.G.Conservative Party1,33455.5%+5.5 ptsElected
2Card C.W.Liberal Democrats60525.2%
3Williams G.I.Labour Party40116.7%
4Culshaw Z.J.UK Independence Party (UKIP)642.7%

Electorate 5,640 · EC ward code E05008994 · Back to ward index

West Heath · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 56.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +6.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,793

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Hope M.Conservative Party1,01556.6%+6.6 ptsElected
2Thomas R.Labour Party46025.7%
3Fraser-Fleming C.Liberal Democrats31817.7%

Electorate 4,903 · EC ward code E05009001 · Back to ward index

Manor Park · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 56.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +6.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,174

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Clifford D.E.Conservative Party1,23756.9%+6.9 ptsElected
2Crossley J.Labour Party70132.2%
3Trotter M.Liberal Democrats23610.9%

Electorate 5,685 · EC ward code E05008995 · Back to ward index

Cove and Southwood · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 64.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +14.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,966

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Carter S.Conservative Party1,27564.9%+14.9 ptsElected
2Jabbi M.Labour Party40620.7%
3Whyman J.Liberal Democrats28514.5%

Electorate 5,325 · EC ward code E05008991 · Back to ward index

St. John · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 67.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +17.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,725

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Canty J.B.Conservative Party1,16567.5%+17.5 ptsElected
2Warner J.L.Labour Party56032.5%

Electorate 5,050 · EC ward code E05008998 · Back to ward index

North Town · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 51.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +18.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,477

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Dibble K.Labour Party1,11037.6%75.2%+41.8 ptsElected
2Spall S.J.Labour Party76125.8%51.5%+18.2 ptsElected
3Hartley M.A.Conservative Party51917.6%35.1%
4Trussler S.Conservative Party46915.9%31.8%
5Christodoulou G.A.Liberal Democrats953.2%6.4%

Electorate 4,910 · EC ward code E05008996 · Back to ward index

Fernhill · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 72.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +22.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,574

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Auton J.M.Conservative Party1,13772.2%+22.2 ptsElected
2Collins R.L.Labour Party43727.8%

Electorate 5,289 · EC ward code E05008993 · Back to ward index