← Swindon (all cycles) · 6 May 2021 cohort

Swindon 2021

Local elections held 6 May 2021.

19 ward races
21 seats
7 elected below the proportional quota
33.3% of seats below quota
4 unfairly awarded seats
19.0% of seats unfairly awarded

Each race compares the marginal winner's share of valid ballots to the proportional quota — the share they'd need under any common proportional method. How the numbers are derived →

If votes were counted by party

Across the 19 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 21 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Conservative Party29,89848.5%1571.4%1152.4%+4
Labour Party20,33333.0%523.8%733.3%-2
Liberal Democrats4,7297.7%14.8%14.8%0
Green Party3,7386.1%00.0%14.8%-1
Independent2,8584.6%00.0%14.8%-1
FBM460.1%00.0%00.0%0
LIBER230.0%00.0%00.0%0
Total61,625100.0%21100.0%21100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Council composition: what this election replaced

Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2021 election (current) and immediately before it (2020). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2021 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.

Current (2021)
Previous (2020)

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Eastcott · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 39.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −11.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,370

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Strinkovsky M.Labour Party1,31539.0%−11.0 ptsElected
2Pajak S.J.Liberal Democrats1,27137.7%
3Goyal B.Conservative Party68220.2%
4Valat-Desgranges L.A.L.Independent1023.0%

Electorate 7,849 · EC ward code E05008957 · Back to ward index

Haydon Wick · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 43.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −6.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,344

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Jackson J.D.Conservative Party1,46943.9%−6.1 ptsElected
2Donachie O.Independent89626.8%
3Davis D.F.Labour Party73922.1%
4Zmarzlik J.P.Green Party1915.7%
5Montgomery V.F.Independent491.5%

Electorate 8,897 · EC ward code E05010756 · Back to ward index

Mannington and Western · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,603

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Small K.D.Labour Party1,18445.5%−4.5 ptsElected
2Gattapur S.Conservative Party1,05240.4%
3Iddon N.Green Party1636.3%
4King D.A.Liberal Democrats873.3%
5Fine D.Independent712.7%
6Baxter I.FBM461.8%

Electorate 7,515 · EC ward code E05008962 · Back to ward index

Ridgeway · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 28.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 689

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Sumner G.Conservative Party1,00472.9%145.8%+112.5 ptsElected
2McAnespie F.C.Liberal Democrats19914.5%28.9%−4.4 ptsElected
3James S.T.Labour Party14410.5%20.9%
4Ritchie K.Independent302.2%4.4%

Electorate 2,674 · EC ward code E05008966 · Back to ward index

Penhill and Upper Stratton · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,763

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Smith D.Conservative Party1,26245.7%−4.3 ptsElected
2Venkatesh R.K.Labour Party1,13040.9%
3Henery K.Green Party1555.6%
4Horrobin M.A.Liberal Democrats1144.1%
5Legg D.Independent1023.7%

Electorate 9,213 · EC ward code E05010757 · Back to ward index

Rodbourne Cheney · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,034

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Nukana S.Conservative Party1,39646.0%−4.0 ptsElected
2Adams P.L.Labour Party1,22440.3%
3Hebden-Leeder R.G.Green Party2227.3%
4Pearce A.Independent1053.5%
5King G.H.Liberal Democrats872.9%

Electorate 9,111 · EC ward code E05008967 · Back to ward index

Gorse Hill and Pinehurst · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,020

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Ballman E.R.Labour Party1,40646.6%−3.4 ptsElected
2Jones C.L.Conservative Party1,13437.5%
3Bentley A.H.J.Green Party2919.6%
4Polson J.P.G.Liberal Democrats1183.9%
5Osborne A.Independent712.4%

Electorate 9,244 · EC ward code E05008958 · Back to ward index

Liden Eldene and Park South · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,916

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Flux C.G.Conservative Party1,47550.6%+0.6 ptsElected
2Allsopp S.Labour Party1,17340.2%
3Salmon M.Liberal Democrats1455.0%
4Costello M.Independent1234.2%

Electorate 8,032 · EC ward code E05008960 · Back to ward index

Old Town · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 51.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,463

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Milner-Barry J.E.Labour Party1,78151.4%+1.4 ptsElected
2Elliott L.W.Conservative Party1,19634.5%
3Hughes J.V.Green Party2106.1%
4Wiltshire M.G.Liberal Democrats1945.6%
5Woodham S.J.Independent591.7%
6Almond T.LIBER230.7%

Electorate 7,887 · EC ward code E05008963 · Back to ward index

Lydiard and Freshbrook · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,151

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Courtliff M.Conservative Party1,64452.2%+2.2 ptsElected
2Philpot T.Labour Party1,01132.1%
3Hales G.S.Green Party2006.3%
4Shepherd C.Liberal Democrats1705.4%
5Jones J.Independent1264.0%

Electorate 8,302 · EC ward code E05008961 · Back to ward index

Central · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 4,268

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Fernandes L.S.Conservative Party2,23052.2%+2.2 ptsElected
2Ali R.Labour Party1,60337.6%
3Porter G.R.Liberal Democrats2425.7%
4Dunn H.Independent1934.5%

Electorate 9,757 · EC ward code E05008954 · Back to ward index

Priory Vale · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,710

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Morris Golds J.Conservative Party1,47054.2%+4.2 ptsElected
2Edwards I.Labour Party89132.9%
3Litchfield S.F.J.Green Party2117.8%
4Mari E.Independent1385.1%

Electorate 8,667 · EC ward code E05008965 · Back to ward index

St. Andrews · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 55.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,722

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Adams D.C.Conservative Party2,07855.8%+5.8 ptsElected
2Mills J.J.Labour Party93625.1%
3Williams B.M.Green Party55514.9%
4Elmer B.Independent1534.1%

Electorate 12,251 · EC ward code E05008968 · Back to ward index

Walcot and Park North · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 56.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +6.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,887

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Miah M.J.Labour Party1,61956.1%+6.1 ptsElected
2Goes F.X.Conservative Party89531.0%
3Pajak D.E.Liberal Democrats2358.1%
4Newham S.Independent1384.8%

Electorate 8,833 · EC ward code E05008971 · Back to ward index

Shaw · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 56.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +6.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,048

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Williams K.R.Conservative Party1,71856.4%+6.4 ptsElected
2Smith T.J.Labour Party87228.6%
3Kimber N.K.Green Party35611.7%
4Da Silva J.Independent1023.3%

Electorate 8,047 · EC ward code E05008970 · Back to ward index

St. Margaret and South Marston · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 56.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +6.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,492

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Holland R.S.Conservative Party1,98456.8%+6.8 ptsElected
2Jennings B.J.Labour Party1,20734.6%
3Freeman K.F.Green Party1955.6%
4Benham S.Independent1063.0%

Electorate 8,948 · EC ward code E05008969 · Back to ward index

Blunsden and Highworth · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 56.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +6.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,645

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Manro K.Conservative Party2,07356.9%+6.9 ptsElected
2Baynham K.G.P.Labour Party86723.8%
3Day A.D.Green Party44212.1%
4Heal M.J.Liberal Democrats1373.8%
5Hurst T.Independent1263.5%

Electorate 9,017 · EC ward code E05010755 · Back to ward index

Wroughton and Wichelstowe · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 48.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +15.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,760

This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Ford B.J.Conservative Party1,54728.0%56.1%+22.7 ptsElected
2Martyn D.G.C.Conservative Party1,33524.2%48.4%+15.0 ptsElected
3Barrett M.Liberal Democrats85815.5%31.1%
4Poole A.C.Liberal Democrats73513.3%26.6%
5Fairbourn P.Green Party3416.2%12.4%
6Hamid M.A.Labour Party2574.7%9.3%
7Fairbourn S.J.Green Party2063.7%7.5%
8Tariq Z.A.Labour Party1953.5%7.1%
9Mabberley S.Independent460.8%1.7%

Electorate 6,397 · EC ward code E05008972 · Back to ward index

Covingham and Dorcan · single-seat

Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 68.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +18.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,292

RankCandidatePartyVotesShare of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes.Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it.Elected
1Parry B.S.Conservative Party2,25468.5%+18.5 ptsElected
2Wilson R.S.Labour Party77923.7%
3Tamas I.Liberal Democrats1374.2%
4Bartholomew C.H.Independent1223.7%

Electorate 8,293 · EC ward code E05008956 · Back to ward index